• 제목/요약/키워드: Forecast elements

검색결과 58건 처리시간 0.03초

경북대 캠퍼스 내 대기환경 및 미규모 모델(MUKLIMO)을 이용한 바람장 모의 연구 (A Study on the Atmospheric Environment and Simulations of Wind Field using MUKLIMO at the KNU Campus)

  • 민경덕;윤지원;안광득
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.311-325
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    • 2005
  • Elements of atmospheric environment, temperature, humidity and wind, at the compus of KNU(Kyungpook National University) were investigated by the observations. The observed data were compared with those of DWS (Daegu Weather Station). The simulations of wind field and dispersions of polluted gases were conducted by MUKLIMO under the various conditions. The results show that the atmospheric environment of KNU are suitable but the campus does not play role as a heat sink in the city. The simulations of wind field show the air flows and wind channels in the campus clearly. The exhausted gases by motor vehicles on the northside street of campus affect very much to the campus with $NW(300^{\circ})$ wind. The running cars in the campus are also pollute much on the campus with the various wind directions. The characteristics of environmental conditions, various meteorological fields, wind channels, and dispersion of exhausted gases at the campus of KNU were understood quantitatively in the study.

동아시아 여름몬순 지수의 자기조직화지도(SOM)에 의한 강수량의 계절 내 진동 분류 (Classification of Intraseasonal Oscillation in Precipitation using Self-Organizing Map for the East Asian Summer Monsoon)

  • 추정은;하경자
    • 대기
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2011
  • The nonlinear characteristics of summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) in precipitation, which is manifested as fluctuations in convection and circulation, is one of the major difficulty on the prediction of East Asian summer monsoon (EASM). The present study aims to identify the spatial distribution and time evolution of nonlinear phases of monsoon ISO. In order to classify the different phases of monsoon ISO, Self-Organizing Map(SOM) known as a nonlinear pattern recognition technique is used. SOM has a great attractiveness detecting self-similarity among data elements by grouping and clustering such self-similar components. The four important patterns are demonstrated as Meiyu-Baiu, Changma, post-Changma, and dry-spell modes. It is found that SOM well captured the formation of East Asian monsoon trough during early summer and its northward migration together with enhanced convection over subtropical western Pacific and regionally intensive precipitation including Meiyu, Changma and Baiu. The classification of fundamental large scale spatial pattern and evolutionary history of nonlinear phases of monsoon ISO provides the source of predictability for extended-range forecast of summer precipitation.

하이패션에 나타난 고딕 시크 (Gothic Chic in High Fashion)

  • 임은혁
    • 복식
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    • 제63권5호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2013
  • As style is the center of subcultural identity and the clothes and adornments are the most visible symbol of its membership, the style of Goth symbolizes the strong subcultural identity and acts as the practical basis to demonstrate commitment to the subculture. In the turn of the third millennium, fashion designers have drawn upon and extracted elements from many subcultures to use in their collections. High fashion designers have introduced the Goth style since its inception in the 1980s. The energy and authenticity of Goth has been considered to be desirable in high fashion. The aesthetic property of Goth subcultural style defeats the established notion of standardized fashion and stimulates new consciousness, which makes room for diversification and subdivision. This study attempts to forecast the trends of the 21st century via researching the diffusion of Goth style in high fashion. In order to investigate the aesthetics and styles of Gothic chic, along with literature research, this study investigates the fashion collections from the late 1990s to 2000s as well as the images of street fashion magazines.

자동화, 대형화로 인한 물류센터의 건축적 변화에 대한 고찰 - 쿠팡, 이마트, Amazon 물류센터의 사례를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Architectural Changes of the Logistics Center due to Automation and Enlargement - Focusing on the case of Coupang, E-Mart, Amazon Logistics Centers -)

  • 조용현;최춘웅
    • 대한건축학회논문집:계획계
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2020
  • Logistics centers, distribution centers, or warehouse facilities increasingly dominate urban and suburban landscapes, their enormous but blank, repetitive facades completely overshadowing adjacent buildings. Mostly ignored by architects, this new building type symbolically represents the arrival of post-anthropocene, or post-urbicene era of architecture, in which an increasing portion of our built environment will not be intended for human occupancy, but rather for use by machines and artificial intelligence. As a new wave of logistics centers are becoming more automated, and more supersized, it is important to deepen architects' understanding of the organizational logic and programming factors that inform the overall design decisions for these facilities. With a particular focus on three case studies--Coupang, E-Mart, and Amazon Fulfillment Centers, this research examines the current trends in automation and expansion of logistics centers, and offers an analysis and forecast for future facilities in South Korea.

인공지능을 활용한 교통사고 발생 예측에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Traffic Accidents Using Artificial Intelligence)

  • 김가을;김정현;손혜지;김도현
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2021년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.389-391
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    • 2021
  • 국민의 안전을 위해 교통사고를 방지하고자 교통 규제는 계속 확대되고 있지만, 교통사고는 여전히 줄어들지 않고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기상청의 날씨 예측 데이터, 도로교통공단의 요일, 시간대, 장소별 교통사고 발생 데이터, 특정 위치 정보 등 다양한 요인들의 연관관계를 인공지능을 활용하여 분석함으로써 특정 시간, 장소에 대한 교통사고 발생 확률을 예측하고자 한다. 본 연구는 이전의 수많은 교통사고 발생에 대한 객관적인 데이터와 기존의 다른 연구들에서 활용되지 않은 다양한 추가 요소들을 접목시켜 더욱 향상된 교통사고 발생 확률 예측 모델을 도출한다. 본 연구 결과는 국민의 안전한 삶을 위한 다양한 교통 관련 서비스에 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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지식발견 기반의 고속도로 영업소 분할 교통수요 예측 (Prediction of Divided Traffic Demands Based on Knowledge Discovery at Expressway Toll Plaza)

  • 안병탁;윤병조
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.521-528
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    • 2016
  • 고속도로의 주요 영업소 톨부스는 일반적으로 2개 차종(경차포함 승용차, 승용차 이외의 중차량)의 교통수요 변동에 따른 사전 대응방식으로 각 차종에 대하여 운영된다. 이러한 의미에서 2개 차종에 대한 정확한 교통량 예측은 영업소의 첨단 운영에 있어 주요 요소 중 하나이다. 유감스럽게도, 기존 연구로 보고된 현행의 일변량 단기 예측 기법들을 이용하여 2개 차종의 교통량을 동시에 예측하기는 용이하지 않다. 이러한 실용적 학술적 배경으로 인해 수용 가능한 정확도의 수준에서 2개 차종의 장래 교통량 예측은 ITS 예측 분야의 매력적인 연구 주제 중 하나이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기존의 일변량 단기 예측기법의 단점을 극복함과 더불어 2개 차종의 교통량을 동시에 예측하기 위한 다중 입출력(Multiple In-and-Out, MIO) 모형을 제시하도록 한다. 제안된 MIO 모형은 대용량 이력자료의 실시간 이용이 가능한 자료 환경에서 비모수 접근법을 기반으로 개발되었다. 실제 자료를 이용한 적용가능 실험에서, 개발모형은 다변량 예측 수준에도 불구하고 폭 넓게 이용되는 일변량 예측모형 중 하나인 Kalman filtering에 비하여 예측 정확도 측면에서 우수하게 나타났다.

영동지역 겨울철 강수와 연관된 산악효과와 해양효과 (Orographic and Ocean Effects Associated with a Heavy Snowfall Event over Yeongdong Region)

  • 조구희;권태영
    • 대기
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.57-71
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    • 2012
  • Influences of orographic and ocean effect, which depend on the detailed geographic characteristics, upon winter time (December-February) precipitation in the Yeongdong region are investigated. Most of precipitation events in the Yeongdong region during the wintertime are associated with moist northeasterly (coming from the northeast direction) winds and also the spatial distribution of precipitation shows a great difference between Mountain area (Daegwallyeong) and Coastal area (Gangneung). The linear correlation coefficient between the meteorological variables obtained from NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Data and precipitation amount for each precipitation type is calculated. Mountain type precipitation is dominated by northeasterly wind speed of the low level (1000 hPa and 925 hPa) and characterized with more precipitation in mountain area than coastal area. However, Coastal type precipitation is affected by temperature difference between ocean and atmosphere, and characterized with more precipitation in coastal area than mountain area. The results are summarized as follows; In the case of mountain type precipitation, the correlation coefficient between wind speed at 1000 hPa (925 hPa) and precipitation amount at Daegwallyeong is 0.60 (0.61). The correlation is statistical significant at 1% level. In the case of coastal type precipitation, the correlation coefficient of temperature difference between ocean and 925 hPa (850 hPa) over the East sea area and precipitation amount at Gangneung is 0.33 (0.34). As for the mountain type precipitation, a detailed analysis was conducted in order to verify the relationship between precipitation amount at Daegwallyeong and low level wind speed data from wind profiler in Gangneung and Buoy in the East Sea. The results also show the similar behavior. This result indicates that mountain type precipitation in the Yeongdong region is closely related with easterly wind speed. Thus, the statistical analysis of the few selected meteorological variables can be a good indicator to estimate the precipitation totals in the Yeongdong region in winter time.

제스처 인식 대형 놀이 시스템 기반 한자 학습 콘텐츠 (Large Scale Entertainment System based on Gesture Recognition for Learning Chinese Character Contents)

  • 송대현;박재완;이칠우
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제10권9호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문에서는 제스처 인식 대형 놀이 시스템을 기반으로한 한자 학습 콘텐츠에 대해 제안한다. 제안한 시스템은 두 대의 적외선 영상에서 사용자의 포즈를 예측하는 부분과 연속된 포즈들로부터 제스처를 인식하는 부분으로 구성되어 있다. 그리고 각각의 적외선 카메라에서 하나의 포즈에 대한 정면 포즈와 옆면 포즈로 나눠서 획득한 후 이를 사용하여 HMM의 모델을 이용하여 제스처를 분류하였다. 사용자와 컴퓨터간 의사소통에 있어서, 장치를 사용하지 않고 사용자의 행동에 의한 조작을 통해 사용자가 쉽게 조작할 수 있고 편리함을 제공하였다. 또한 두 개의 대형 디스플레이와 다양한 멀티미디어 요소를 이용하여 몰입과 흥미를 유발시킬 수 있기 때문에 정보 전달을 극대화할 수 있다. 단순한 주입식 교육 콘텐츠가 아닌 에듀테인먼트 콘텐츠인 한자 학습 콘텐츠는 게임과 교육을 동시에 제공하여 사용자에게 재미와 흥미를 주어 자연스레 한자를 습득할 수 있고 제스처 기반 대형 놀이 시스템과 결합하면서 사용자에게 놀면서 배울 수 있는 시너지 효과를 기대할 수 있다.

서해안 인접공항의 저고도 항공기상 정확도 연구 (A Study on Accuracy of Meteorological Information for Low Altitude Aerospace around the Airport on the West Coast)

  • 조영진;유광의
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2020
  • This study is to evaluate the accuracy of the meteorological information provided for the aircraft operating at low altitude. At first, it is necessary to identify crucial elements of weather information closely related to flight safety during low altitude flights. The study conducted a survey of pilots of low altitude aircraft, divided into pre-flight and in-flight phases, and reached an opinion that wind direction, wind speed, cloud coverage and ceiling and visibility are important items. Related to these items, we compared and calculated the accuracy of TAFs and METARs from Taean Airfield, Seosan Airport and Gunsan Airport because of their high number of domestic low-altitude flights. Accuracy analysis evaluated the accuracy of two numerical variables, Mean Absolute Error(MAE) and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE), and the cloud coverage which is categorical variable was calculated and compared by accuracy. For numeric variables, one-way ANOVA, which is a parameter-test, was approached to identify differences between actual forecast values and observations based on absolute errors for each item derived from the results of MAE and RMSE accuracy analyses. To determine the satisfaction of both normality assumptions and equivalence variability assumptions, the Shapiro-Wilk test was performed to verify that they do not have a normality distribution for numerical variables, and for the non-parametric test, Kruscal-Wallis test was conducted to determine whether or not they are satisfied.

도서관 공간의 지식정보 구성 및 전달 특성에 관한 연구 (A Study on Characteristics of Knowledge Information Construction & Transfer in the Library Space)

  • 황미영
    • 한국실내디자인학회논문집
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.220-229
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the volume of knowledge information in the form of electronic media is quickly increasing in the library field along with the advancement of electronic communication technology. Libraries have both printed data and electronic data and are faced with the issue of corresponding with the access and use of knowledge information in terms of the space. This study is for building the layout of a sustainable knowledge information space based on the view that the library is the official infrastructure of the knowledge information based society. It is intended to analyze the meaning of knowledge information in the modern society, characteristics in the spatial organization and the transmission of knowledge information. The goal of this study is to understand and forecast the spatial structure where users access knowledge information and exchange with one another and developing the direction and guidelines for the spatial plan that today's libraries prefer through this analysis. For this, this study firstly prepared the base for the research on library space which can be considered as the physical realization of such concepts, through the theoretical review about the knowledge information and social concepts as well as characteristics of modern society. Also, it seized the characteristics in the transmission of knowledge information by conducting a structural analysis of the information service such as knowledge information and space, space and information media, space and space through the cases of 10 public libraries. The analysis resulted in basic data including the system of organizing knowledge information, system of knowledge information transferring elements and structure, and layout pattern of each library. These results are deemed meaningful for the promotion of communication with the user through the exchange, creation, and experience of knowledge information, the social role of today's public library.