• Title/Summary/Keyword: Forecast elements

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A Development of the Program for Flight Suitability Distinction and Calculation of Available Sorties (비행 적합성 판별 및 소티수 산출 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim, Young-Rae;Lee, Sang-Chul;Lee, Jin-Sub;Ryu, Kwang-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.105-110
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    • 2011
  • The flight test comes at the end of the aircraft development process and is an unique part. The purposes of the flight test are to evaluate the characteristics of the aircraft and validate its design in the real operating environment. Atmospheric considerations are key elements, when the planner of flight test establishes the flight test planning. The primary objective of atmospheric considerations is to ensure safety of the vehicle. The planning through atmospheric considerations can minimize flight cancellations caused by severe weather. In this paper, we present a program for flight suitability distinction, and develop a program for calculation of available sorties.

Prediction of Dynamic Line Rating Based on Thermal Risk Probability by Time Series Weather Models (시계열 기상모델을 이용한 열적 위험확률 기반 동적 송전용량의 예측)

  • Kim, Dong-Min;Bae, In-Su;Cho, Jong-Man;Chang, Kyung;Kim, Jin-O
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.55 no.7
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    • pp.273-280
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    • 2006
  • This paper suggests the method that forecasts Dynamic Line Rating (DLR). Thermal Overload Risk Probability (TORP) of the next time is forecasted based on the present weather conditions and DLR value by Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). To model weather elements of transmission line for MCS process, this paper will propose the use of statistical weather models that time series is applied. Also, through the case study, it is confirmed that the forecasted TORP can be utilized as a criterion that decides DLR of next time. In short, proposed method may be used usefully to keep security and reliability of transmission line by forecasting transmission capacity of the next time.

Development of F-theta lens for Laser Scanning Unit (LSU) (레이저 주사광학계용 F-Theta Lens 개발)

  • Kim, Byeong-Gun;Lee, Gyeong-Sub;Jeong, Shang-Hwa;Kim, Sang-Suk;Kim, Hye-Jeong;Kim, Jeong-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.07a
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    • pp.459-460
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    • 2005
  • The global consumption of aspheric surfaces will expand rapidly on the Electronics and Optical Components, Information and Communications, Aerospace and Defense, and Medical optics markets etc. We must research on market, technology forecast and analysis of aspheric surfaces that is a principle step of ultra precision machine technology with a base one of optical elements. Especially, F-theta lens is one of the important parts in LSU(Laser scanning unit) because it affects on the optical performance of LSU dominantly. The core is most of important to produce plastic F-theta lens by plastic injection molding method, which is necessary to get the ultra-precision aspheric and non-axisymmetric machine processing technology.

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A Study on the Form Accuracy Improvement of Mold Core for F-Theta Lens (F-Theta Lens 금형코어 형상정도 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Kim S.S.;Jeong S.H.;Kim H.U.;Kim H.J.;Kim J.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.777-780
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    • 2005
  • The global consumption of aspheric surfaces will expand rapidly on the Electronics and Optical Components Information and Communications, Aerospace and Defense, and Medical optics markets etc. We must research on market, technology forecast and analysis of aspheric surfaces that is a principle step of ultra precision machine technology with a base one of optical elements. Especially, F-theta lens is one of the important parts in LSU(Laser scanning unit) because it affects on the optical performance of LSU dominantly. The core is most of important to produce plastic F-theta lens by plastic injection molding method, which is necessary to get the ultra-precision aspheric and non-axisymmetric machine processing technology.

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Survey Research Analysis for Enhancing the Utilization Level of Marine Meteorological Information (해상기상정보의 활용도 향상을 위한 설문조사분석)

  • Park, Jong-Kil;Jung, Woo-Sik;Kim, Eun-Byul;Choi, Su-Jin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.1095-1104
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    • 2011
  • A survey of professionals employed in marine related fields was conducted on subjects related to marine meteorological forecasts and special reports. The outcome of the survey indicated that the respondents were overall satisfied with the determination of the zones related to marine meteorological forecasts and special reports and with the number of forecast factors, but in regards to the questions about specific adjustment methods, it was found that the respondents perceived a need for adjustment. In addition, although there was a high consensus among the respondents that the criteria for watch and warning in the marine special reports were suitable, they voiced the opinion that it will be necessary to implement changes in the current criteria for watch and warning in order to further improve the compatibility of the criteria. The survey found that there was a high level of utilization for the marine meteorological information provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA), and that respondents mostly acquired this information via internet and TV. On the other hand, however, the satisfaction level regarding the accuracy of the marine meteorological information was low in comparison to the utilization level. The survey regarding areas for improvement in the forecasts and special reports also indicated that the need for 'improvement in the accuracy of forecasts' was cited most frequently.

Study of engine oil replacement times estimate method using fuzzy and neural network algorithm (퍼지 및 신경망 알고리즘을 이용한 엔진오일 교환 시기 예측 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Sang-Yep;Hong, You-Sik;Kim, Cheon-Shik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TE
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2005
  • If we can forecast the replacement time of engine oil, we extend the life-time of our engine and increase the continued ratio. But, the replacement times of engine oil is influenced by the following elements: the distance that cars or vehicles travel, vehicles that run a short range, types of engine oil etc. that run a long distance. In this paper, We forecast engine oil replacement times by using fuzzy neural network algorithm. This algerian uses the data of distance covered, color of engine oil etc. Through a sequence of simulation, the exchange system of intelligence style engine oil decides on the replacement times of engine oil quite accurately. Therefore, We expect vehicles to become more convenient if the above algorithm is a lied to the present types of cars.

A Study on Systems Development for Preventing Aviation Deficiency and Accident (항공기 결함과 사고예측시스템 개발)

  • 이일형;한계섭
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.145-168
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    • 1999
  • There are still occurring aviation accidents in spite of great preventing efforts all over the world. This paper contains some methods to prevent aircrafts deficiencies and accidents. First part of this paper refers to the background of those aviation deficiencies on mechanical, human and environment structures which influence directly to the air accidents and general survey on various theories of the aircraft's systems. On the way we discussed the general situations of the air tool's deficiencies which cause tragic accidents to the human lives and assets. After analysis on the situations we suggest the new systems which would forecast more detail accuracies concerned air elements for the safety flying. Then we introduce the following new systems resulting from the forecasting which can solve problems on aircraft deficiencies and complex interrelationships among air accidental factors. To simplify the complex systems, we needed to build the mechanical and organizational database for maintaining the procedures of the past troubleshooting on the major parts preventing deficiencies of those mechanical units. These suggested systems will contribute a great deal of aids, the maintenance credibility and air safety for the air operations and all customers in the world. Avoiding the past troubleshooting from just by using simple systems which can forecast main causes of the units and parts of the crafts, this system will be able to provide excellent management tools for the promoting aviational industries. The comfortable and convenient air operations are very valuable works, and the scientific method and detail maintenance will improve our daily air life by minimizing accidents. Adapting these developing systems, for the forecasting aircraft deficiencies and accidents can be integrated with the other aircraft management systems to promote more air safety in the world. This study is focused to eliminating aircraft accidents through forecasting deficiency symptom procedures by relational coordinations among all of the systems. Futhermore we need continuously detailed analysis and study for eliminating air accidents all together those who work in those fields.

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Prospect for the Outbreak of War between U.S and China by Comparing of the U.S-Japan Relationship in the World WarII Era and the Modern U.S-China Relationship (태평양 전쟁 전 미일관계와 현재의 미중관계 비교를 통한 미중간 전쟁 발발 가능성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-sung
    • Strategy21
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    • s.40
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    • pp.37-81
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    • 2016
  • This paper aims to use crossover analysis to uncover similarities and differences between the U.S-Japan relationship in the World War II era and the modern U.S-China relationship, and to forecast the possibility of the outbreak of war between U.S and China by applying the steps to war theory. The steps to war theory argues that the probability of the outbreak of war between two states within five years would approach 90 percent, if they have ongoing territorial dispute, alliance, rivalry, and arms race. The comparison exposes some similarities with the territorial dispute, alliance, rivalry, but reveals dissimilarities with arms race. U.S-Japan relationship in the World War II era had the arms race, which does not exist the modern U.S-China Relationship. The result of comparison is that the probability for the Outbreak of War between U.S and China correspond to third stage(Risk Level). it means that the probability for the Outbreak of War between U.S and China is 55%. But, There are four elements(① Perception of Leader ② Mutual dependence of economy ③ Possession of nuclear weapon ④ Ravages of war) that reduce the probability for the Outbreak of War. Considering the four elements, the probability for the Outbreak of War between U.S and China is a slim chance. But the probability for the Outbreak of War between U.S and China is excluded because of territorial dispute, alliance, rivalry. So, This paper suggests three points.(① Developing military options ② Reducing the misconception of intend, ③ Promoting navy exchanges) to prevent of Outbreak of War.

A Study on Productivity of Foreign Labors in Domestic Apartment Construction Site -Focused on Evaluation of Productivity and Productivity Impediment Factor- (건설현장에서 외국인 노동자의 생산성에 관한 연구 -생산성 및 생산성 저해인자 평가를 중심으로-)

  • Choi, Hee-Bok;Shin, Youn-Seuk;Kang, Kyung-In
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.5 no.1 s.15
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    • pp.75-79
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    • 2005
  • The Korean society faces a new issue of accepting foreign workers. Foreign labors in construction industry reached about 400,000 recently. Thus they have become one of the essential resources to fill up insufficient labor supplies in construction industry. And it is important how to manage foreign labors efficiently. However there are few studies focused on this subject. Purpose of this study is to research productivity of foreign labors in the domestic construction site. So investigate the value of foreign labors. Also this study forecast elements effect on foreign labors productivity in the construction industry. And research what element is more important to improve productivity and what element is more difficult to manage. In the result, this study is expected to prospect effective method of foreign labor's management in the domestic construction industry, so contribute to utilize foreign labors more efficiently.

The Common Temporary Work Management System Using Historical Database (실적 데이터베이스를 활용한 공통가설공사 관리 시스템 개발)

  • Park Kyoung-Ho;Lee Hoon-ku;Baik Jong-Keon;Kim Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.367-370
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    • 2002
  • The Elements of common temporary work in Construction Project have ambiguous work scope between client and builder. Also problems of non-breakdown, non-standardization in common temporary work are obstructive when contract. Finally they will be reached claim factors on the construction project. Because the common temporary work information management system is not built, We have to develop common temporary work information management system based on historical cost database for Construction Management. This system will successively accomplish the project in pre-construction step to standardize work items and to forecast the cost of common temporary work. Therefore feasibility study will be possible with historical database in new project.

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