• Title/Summary/Keyword: Forcasting ability

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A Study on the Fault Early Detection System for the Preventive Maintenance in Power Receiving and Substation (인공신경망을 이용한 수변전설비의 예방보전을 위한 고장 조기 감지시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jung-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.95-100
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    • 2011
  • The modern society longing for the convenience of up-to-date technology, there are attempts of miniaturization and high reliance of power equipments in the effectiveness aspect of urban area's usage of space while requiring more electrical energy than now. Consequently, paper used to the Neral Network for a forcasting conservation system. A neral network is powerful asta modeling tool that is able to capture and represent complex input/output relationships. The true power and advantage of neral networks lies in their ability to learn these relationships directly from the data being modeled. Traditional linear models are simply inadequate when it comes to modeling data that contains non-linear characteristics. Form results of this study, the Neral Network is will play an important role for insulation diagnosis system of real site GIS and power eqipment using $SF_6$ gas.

A case study for the dispersion parameter modification of the Gaussian plume model using linear programming (Linear Programming을 이용한 가우시안 모형의 확산인자 수정에 관한 사례연구)

  • Jeong, Hyo-Joon;Kim, Eun-Han;Suh, Kyung-Suk;Hwang, Won-Tae;Han, Moon-Hee
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2003
  • We developed a grid-based Gaussian plume model to evaluate tracer release data measured at Young Gwang nuclear site in 1996. Downwind distance was divided into every 10m from 0.1km to 20km, and crosswind distance was divided into every 10m centering released point from -5km to 5km. We determined dispersion factors, ${\sigma}_y\;and\;{\sigma}_z$ using Pasquill-Gifford method computed by atmospheric stability. Forecasting ability of the grid-based Gaussian plume model was better at the 3km away from the source than 8km. We confirmed that dispersion band must be modified if receptor is far away from the source, otherwise P-G method is not appropriate to compute diffusion distance and diffusion strength in case of growing distance. So, we developed an empirical equation using linear programming. An objective function was designed to minimize sum of the absolute value between observed and computed values. As a result of application of the modified dispersion equation, prediction ability was improved rather than P-G method.