• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flux prediction

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Analysis of Collision Avoidance Maneuver Frequency for the KOMPSAT-2 and the KOMPSAT-5 (아리랑위성 2호, 5호의 우주파편 충돌회피기동 주기 분석)

  • Kim, Eun-Hyouek;Kim, Hae-Dong;Kim, Eun-Kyou;Kim, Hak-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.39 no.11
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    • pp.1033-1041
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, a collision avoidance maneuver frequency for the KOMPSAT-2 and the KOMPSAT-5 is analyzed. For the statistical prediction of the avoidance maneuver frequency, mission orbits, responsive time, accepted collision probabilities, and positional uncertainties of primary and secondary objects are considered. In addition, the collision avoidance maneuver frequency of the KOMPSAT-2 is compared to the case that NORAD catalog during one year is used to calculate that of the KOMPSAT-2. As a result, the collision avoidance maneuver frequency is one per year on average and effective factors on the statistical prediction of the avoidance maneuver frequency are investigated. Efforts to improve its prediction accuracy are also discussed.

Prediction of Thermal-Hydraulic Phenomena in the LBLOCA Experiment L2-3 Using RELAP5/MOD2 (RELAP5/MOD2 코드에 의한 대형냉각재 상실사고 모사실험 L2-3의 열수력 현상 예측)

  • Bang, Young-Seok;Chung, Bub-Dong;Kim, Hho-Jung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.56-65
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    • 1991
  • The LOFT LOCE L2-3 was simulated using the RELAP5/MOD2 Cycle 36.04 code to assess its capability in predicting the thermal-hydraulic phenomena in LBLOCA of a PWR. The reactor vessel was simulated with two core channels and split downcomer modeling for a base case calculation using the frozen code. The result of the base calculation showed that the code predicted the hydraulic behavior, and the blowdown thermal response at high power region of the core reasonably and that the code had deficiencies in the critical How model during subcooled-two-phase transition period, in the CHF correlation at high mass flux and in the blowdown rewet criteria. An overprediction of coolant inventory due to the deficiencies yielded the poor prediction of reflood thermal response. Improvement of the code, RELAP5 / MOD2 Cycle 36.04, based on the sensitivity study increased the accuracy of the prediction of the rewet phenomena.

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Effect of Model Domain on Summer Precipitation Predictions over the Korean Peninsula in WRF Model (WRF 모형에서 한반도 여름철 강수 예측에 모의영역이 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Hyeong-Gyu;Lee, Hye-Young;Kim, Joowan;Lee, Seungwoo;Boo, Kyung On;Lee, Song-Ee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2021
  • We investigated the impact of domain size on the simulated summer precipitation over the Korean Peninsula using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Two different domains are integrated up to 72-hours from 29 June 2017 to 28 July 2017 when the Changma front is active. The domain sizes are adopted from previous RDAPS (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System) and current LDAPS (Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System) operated by the Korea Meteorological Administration, while other model configurations are fixed identically. We found that the larger domain size showed better prediction skills, especially in precipitation forecast performance. This performance improvement is particularly noticeable over the central region of the Korean Peninsula. Comparisons of physical aspects of each variable revealed that the inflow of moisture flux from the East China Sea was well reproduced in the experiment with a large model domain due to a more realistic North Pacific high compared to the small domain experiment. These results suggest that the North Pacific anticyclone could be an important factor for the precipitation forecast during the summer-time over the Korean Peninsula.

Power peaking factor prediction using ANFIS method

  • Ali, Nur Syazwani Mohd;Hamzah, Khaidzir;Idris, Faridah;Basri, Nor Afifah;Sarkawi, Muhammad Syahir;Sazali, Muhammad Arif;Rabir, Hairie;Minhat, Mohamad Sabri;Zainal, Jasman
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.608-616
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    • 2022
  • Power peaking factors (PPF) is an important parameter for safe and efficient reactor operation. There are several methods to calculate the PPF at TRIGA research reactors such as MCNP and TRIGLAV codes. However, these methods are time-consuming and required high specifications of a computer system. To overcome these limitations, artificial intelligence was introduced for parameter prediction. Previous studies applied the neural network method to predict the PPF, but the publications using the ANFIS method are not well developed yet. In this paper, the prediction of PPF using the ANFIS was conducted. Two input variables, control rod position, and neutron flux were collected while the PPF was calculated using TRIGLAV code as the data output. These input-output datasets were used for ANFIS model generation, training, and testing. In this study, four ANFIS model with two types of input space partitioning methods shows good predictive performances with R2 values in the range of 96%-97%, reveals the strong relationship between the predicted and actual PPF values. The RMSE calculated also near zero. From this statistical analysis, it is proven that the ANFIS could predict the PPF accurately and can be used as an alternative method to develop a real-time monitoring system at TRIGA research reactors.

Prediction of future hydrologic variables of Asia using RCP scenario and global hydrology model (RCP 시나리오 및 전지구 수문 모형을 활용한 아시아 미래 수문인자 예측)

  • Kim, Dawun;Kim, Daeun;Kang, Seok-koo;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.551-563
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    • 2016
  • According to the 4th and 5th assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), global climate has been rapidly changing because of the human activities since Industrial Revolution. The perceived changes were appeared strongly in temperature and concentration of carbon dioxide ($CO_2$). Global average temperature has increased about $0.74^{\circ}C$ over last 100 years (IPCC, 2007) and concentration of $CO_2$ is unprecedented in at least the last 800,000 years (IPCC, 2014). These phenomena influence precipitation, evapotranspiration and soil moisture which have an important role in hydrology, and that is the reason why there is a necessity to study climate change. In this study, Asia region was selected to simulate primary energy index from 1951 to 2100. To predict future climate change effect, Common Land Model (CLM) which is used for various fields across the world was employed. The forcing data was Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) data which is the newest greenhouse gas emission scenario published in IPCC 5th assessment. Validation of net radiation ($R_n$), sensible heat flux (H), latent heat flux (LE) for historical period was performed with 5 flux tower site-data in the region of AsiaFlux and the monthly trends of simulation results were almost equaled to observation data. The simulation results for 2006-2100 showed almost stable net radiation, slightly decreasing sensible heat flux and quite increasing latent heat flux. Especially the uptrend for RCP 8.5 has been about doubled compared to RCP 4.5 and since late 2060s, variations of net radiation and sensible heat flux would be significantly risen becoming an extreme climate condition. In a follow-up study, a simulation for energy index and hydrological index under the detailed condition will be conducted with various scenario established from this study.

Validation of FDS for Fire in Underventilated Condition with Two rooms (환기가 제한된 두 개 격실 화재에서 FDS 검증분석)

  • Bae, Young-Bum;Keum, O-Hyun;Kim, Yun-Il;Ryu, Su-Hyun;Kim, Wee-Kyung;Park, Jong-Seuk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.438-443
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    • 2008
  • Fire model shall be verified and validated to reliably show the predictive capabilities for a specific use. In the process of model verification and validation, both the acceptable uses and limitation of fire model are established. In this study, the results of FDS simulation are compared with the data of PRISME experiment such as temperature, heat release rate, heat flux, product concentrations in the under-ventilated two-room condition. Furthermore, the sensitivity of FDS under ventilation condition changes are evaluated. FDS provide the reliable prediction for under-ventilated two-room fire scenario with slightly deviation.

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Prediction Method of Rebar Corrosion Level Using Infrared Thermographic Data according to Increasing Rate of Early Temperature (적외선 열화상 데이터를 이용한 초기온도 상승률에 따른 철근의 부식률 예측 기법)

  • Yun, Ju-Young;Paik, In-Kwan;Cho, Seung-Ho;Roh, Young-Sook;Chung, Lan
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.425-428
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    • 2007
  • In order to measure corrosion level of reinforcement rebar which is inside reinforced concrete structure, infrared thermographic technique was employed. Experimental test parameters were ambient temperatures, various levels of corrosion states. After analysis of temperature distributions of concrete surface, the amount of heat flux from the concrete surface is directly proportional to the corrosion level which is inside of concrete.

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Prediction of the Heat-Affected Zone in the Micro Electric Discharge Machining (미세 방전가공에서의 열영향층 예측)

  • Kim T.G.;Min B.K.;Lee S.J.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.422-425
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    • 2005
  • This study predicts the heat-affected zone (HAZ) after electrical discharge machining. To predict HAZ, the temperature distribution is calculated using FEM. Heat flux is calculated from electrical energy, and it can be assumed Gaussian distribution. Plasma channel expands as time goes. Copper and NAK80 are used as the workpiece material. The depth of HAZ in simulation is determined by temperature distribution. The simulation results were compared with a developed actual single discharge crater. Through investigating the cross section of simulated & actual craters, the depth of HAZ in simulation and experiment are compared. Simulation model can predict the crater shape.

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Prediction of Chemical Composition of Pure Weld Metal in SAW

  • Kim Y.;Ryu D. H.;Kim J. S.;Lee B. Y.
    • International Journal of Korean Welding Society
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.10-14
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    • 2005
  • An element of Pure Weld Metal(PWM) is important factor to understand the Flux's conduct in Submerged Arc Welding(SAW). To get the element of PWM, pile-up welding over than 10 layers have been used in the past. But, it took a long time to analyze the elements of PWM in this method. Therefore, in this study, instead of pile-up welding over than 10 layers, one pass bead welding is used to predict an element of PWM using mathematical formula which got to be derived. As a results that applied the formula, there was no differences between theoretical and experimental value except the element Mn and Si.

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Migration Characteristics in Sine-Wave Type Rivers

  • Cha, Young-Kee;Pai, Dong-Man;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • v.4
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 1993
  • This paper presents a model on the migration characteristics which is developed by using the equations for conservation of mass, momentum, and for lateral stability of the streambed. This model enables prediction of the magnitude the location of near-bank bed scour as well as rates and direction of meander migration in the sine-wave type revers (SWR) of small sinuosity. It is evident from this study that the transverse bed slope factor B' and transverse mass flux factor play significant roles in predicting migration characteristics, and their values of B'=4.0 and $\alpha$= 0.4 seem reasonable. This model will produce a useful quidelines in planning, design, construction, and development of SWR basin projects.

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