• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제29권6B호
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• pp.513-526
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• 2009

홍수피해를 줄이기 위해 적정한 설계빈도에 맞는 치수대책을 수립한다. 일반적으로 설계빈도는 지역의 현황, 중요도뿐만 아니라 확률강우량 등을 반영한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 최근 10년간 주요 호우사상에 의해 홍수피해가 발생한 지역을 대상으로 지속시간별로 최대강우량의 빈도를 산정하였다. 그리고 빈도별 확률강우량을 초과하는 강우사상의 시간적 특성을 분석하기 위해 초과강우량과 초과횟수 및 단위초과강우량을 산정하여 변동성과 경향성 분석을 수행하였다. 또한 강우관측소의 위치와 시간강우량 특성을 이용해 군집분석을 실시하고 강우관측소를 군집화 하였다. 군집된 지역을 대상으로 평균초과강우량과 평균초과횟수 및 평균단위초과강우량을 산정하였고, 군집지역별 초과강우량과 초과횟수에 대해 변동성 및 경향성을 분석을 실시하여 시간적 변화를 비교하였다.

• 한국방재안전학회논문집
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.53-63
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• 2020

본 연구에서는 2차원 흐름 해석 모형인 Hydro_AS-2D 모형을 이용하여 해수면 상승과 극한 홍수 발생 시 창원시 성산구 및 의창구 일대의 침수피해 상황을 모의하고, 그 결과를 3차원 지형 상에 표출한 후 BIM 기술을 이용하여 최적 대피경로를 도출하였다. 기후변화는 홍수재해 측면에서 크게 두 가지 요소에 영향을 미치는데 해수면 상승과 극한 강우사상의 증가이다. 해수면 상승은 그 자체만으로 연안지역에 해수가 범람하여 침수현상을 유발하는 영향을 미칠 수 있을 뿐 아니라 하천의 기점 홍수위를 상승시켜 하천 전체에 걸쳐 홍수위 상승을 유발한다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 의한 해수위 상승과 태풍에 의한 폭풍해일에 의한 해수위 상승, 그리고 태풍에 의한 극한 강우사상을 모의조건으로 설정하였다. 창원시의 지형공간정보와 하천정비기본계획의 하천횡단 정보를 이용하여 유역전체의 3차원 공간정보로 구성하고 이를 수치모형화 하였다. 연구대상지역은 BIM 기술을 이용하여 3차원 지형정보 상에 건물의 층고, 대피소 위치 등의 정보를 가지고 있는 3차원 도시정보모델로 구축하였으며, 수치모의 결과를 이 모델 상에 표출하고 대피계획을 위한 분석에 사용하였다. 침수발생 시 대피경로는 시간에 따른 침수 범위의 변화에 따라 대피소로의 경로를 설정하는 알고리즘에 의해 결정되며, 설정된 경로는 직관적인 3차원 공간정보 상에 표출되어 사용자에게 제공된다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제55권12호
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• pp.4408-4425
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• 2023

Alarm flood due to abnormality propagation is the most difficult alarm overloading problem in nuclear power plants (NPPs). Root-cause analysis is suggested to help operators in understand emergency events and plant status. Multilevel Flow Modeling (MFM) has been extensively applied in alarm management by virtue of the capability of explaining causal dependencies among alarms. However, there has never been a technique that can identify the actual root cause for complex alarm situations. This paper presents an automated root-cause analysis system based on MFM. The causal reasoning algorithm is first applied to identify several possible root causes that can lead to massive alarms. A novel root-cause ranking algorithm can subsequently be used to isolate the most likely faults from the other root-cause candidates. The proposed method is validated on a pressurized water reactor (PWR) simulator at HAMMLAB. The results show that the actual root cause is accurately identified for every tested operating scenario. The automation of root-cause identification and ranking affords the opportunity of real-time alarm analysis. It is believed that the study can further improve the situation awareness of operators in the alarm flooding situation.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.30-30
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• 2023

This study aims to establish the multi-reservoir operation system model in the Upper Mun River Basin which includes 5 main dams namely, Mun Bon (MB), Lamchae (LC), Lam Takhong (LTK), Lam Phraphoeng (LPP), and Lower Lam Chiengkrai (LLCK) Dams. The knowledge and AI technology were applied aiming to develop innovative prototype for SMART dam-reservoir operation in future. Two different sorts of reservoir operation system model namely, Fuzzy Logic (FL) and Constraint Programming (CP) as well as the development of rainfall and reservoir inflow prediction models using Machine Learning (ML) technique were made to help specify the right amount of daily reservoir releases for the Royal Irrigation Department (RID). The model could also provide the essential information particularly for the Office of National Water Resource of Thailand (ONWR) to determine the short-term and long-term water resource management plan and strengthen water security against flood and drought in this region. The simulated results of base case scenario for reservoir operation in the Upper Mun from 2008 to 2021 indicated that in the same circumstances, FL and CP models could specify the new release schemes to increase the reservoir water storages at the beginning of dry season of approximately 125.25 and 142.20 MCM per year. This means that supplying the agricultural water to farmers in dry season could be well managed. In other words, water scarcity problem could substantially be moderated at some extent in case of incapability to control the expansion of cultivated area size properly. Moreover, using AI technology to determine the new reservoir release schemes plays important role in reducing the actual volume of water shortfall in the basin although the drought situation at LTK and LLCK Dams were still existed in some periods of time. Meanwhile, considering the predicted inflow and hydrologic factors downstream of 5 main dams by FL model and minimizing the flood volume by CP model could ensure that flood risk was considerably minimized as a result of new release schemes.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.617-625
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• 2019

연구목적: 재난 유형별로 관리되는 현장조치행동매뉴얼은 해당 재난의 종합적인 대책 가이드라인이라고 할 수 있지만, 실제 재난은 매뉴얼에 기록된 모든 임무가 다 필요하지는 않기 때문에 현장 담당자가 수행해야할 임무에 혼선이 발생할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 특정 재난 상황에 따라 필요한 임무만 수행할 수 있는 상황 기반 재난 대응 프로세스 모델을 제시한다. 연구방법: 현장조치행동매뉴얼에서 언급된 재난 상황의 유형을 분류하고, 각 재난 상황에 따른 임무 수행 시나리오가 반영된 재난 대응 프로세스를 도출한다. 그리고 이에 대한 검증과 보완으로 안전한국 훈련의 훈련 시나리오를 본 모델에 적용하여 지속적으로 피드백 할 수 있는 체계에 대한 연구를 수행한다. 연구결과: 현장조치 행동 매뉴얼의 재난 상황별로 임무 수행 프로세스를 지원하는 임무 모델과 이를 기반으로 구성되는 재난 대응 프로세스 모델 체계를 제시하였다. 개발된 모델에 기반하여 안전한국 훈련 시나리오 모델을 적용하였다. 결론: 재난 상황을 지원하는 재난 대응 프로세스 모델을 개발하였다. 이를 기반으로 현장 조치 행동매뉴얼이 작성되고, 안전한국 훈련 시나리오가 작성되면, 안전한국 훈련의 점검을 통하여 현장조치 행동매뉴얼의 재난 대응 프로세스가 지속적으로 개선될 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.393-401
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• 2021

본 연구에서는 효율적인 상황실 운영을 위한 새로운 인프라스트럭처 방안으로 공통작전상황도(Common Operating Picture, 이하 COP)의 개념을 활용하여 상황판에 공유되어야 하는 필수 정보요소들을 도출하고자 하였다. 이에 COP의 개념과 실제 해외사례를 확인하고, 재난상황 적용시 고려되어야 하는 COP 정보요소들을 재정립하였으며, 국내 발행된 재난대응 표준매뉴얼과 일일상황보고서 등을 분석하여 COP 재난대응 정보요소를 최종적으로 도출하였다. 정보요소는 재난유형 중 매년 피해를 야기하는 풍수해를 중심으로 총 4개의 단계(①신고접수 및 인지단계, ②상황전파 및 보고단계, ③비상기구 운영단계, ④수습·복구단계)로 구분하였다. 각 재난대응 단계별로 필요한 정보 요소들을 사고규모, 기상 정보, 자원 현황, 구조 정보, 라이프 라인 시설 등으로 다시 구분하였으며, 해당 항목별 세부 정보요소들을 추가적으로 분석하여 필수적으로 상황판에 공유되어야 하는 정보요소를 도출하였다. 본 연구에서 도출해낸 정보들은 COP 특성상 공간적·지리적 특징과 함께 공유되기 때문에 의사결정권자들과 담당자들에게 복합적인 정보를 제공하여 재난상황에 대한 다각적인 접근을 가능하게 한다. 또한 재난대응 담당부처들이 해당 정보들을 공통적으로 공유함으로써 재난대응이 보다 효율적으로 이루어 질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국산업정보학회논문지
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.15-25
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• 2017

A System can be more Dependable from some types of Threats if the Dependability Level Against the Threat on the System is Increased. However, The Dependability-performance Tradeoff should be Considered because the Increased Dependability may Degrade the Performance of the System. Therefore, it is Efficient to Temporally Increase the Dependability Level to High only when an Threat is Predicted on the System in a Short time while Maintaining the Level in Low or mid in Normal Situations. In this Paper, we Present a Threat Prevention Strategy for a Networked Node by Dynamically Changing the Dependability Level According to the Threat Situation on its Logically/physically Neighboring Nodes. As case Studies, we Employ our Strategy to an Internet Server Against TCP SYN Flood Attacks and to a Checkpoint and Rollback System Against Transient Faults. Our Performance Analysis Shows that our Strategy can Effectively Relieve the Damage of the Failure without Serious Performance Degradation.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.103-111
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• 2013

This paper discusses how to manage supply chain disruption risks from natural disasters or other low-likelihood-high-impact risk drivers. After the catastrophic earthquake in Eastern Japan and the severe flood in Thailand, most companies have been attempting to re-establish the business continuity plan to prevent their supply chain from disruption. However, the challenges for managers and individual risks are often interrelated, and thus, actions that mitigate one risk can end up being no contribution as a whole. In this paper, we describe a framework for assessing how much impact individual mitigation strategies have on the entire supply chain protection against disruption, using network reliability. We propose three categories of risk-mitigation approaches: Stabilization, Absorption, and Duplication. We analyze the situation under which each of these strategies is the best suitable. With a clear understanding of relations between these mitigation strategies and the entire supply chain risks, managers can select effective risk-reduction approaches to their supply chain.

• 대한지역사회영양학회지
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.9-27
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• 1996

The nutritional status is strictly related with flood production, flood processing, and distribution along with habits, education and technological achievement, adapted and adjusted to socio-economic conditions. All these factors are independently affecting the nutritional status of populations. In addition to the above mentioned factors launch of it is useful to consider two points ; unification of the South and the North Korea and WTO. The present study gives and overview of basic knowledge about nutritional status of Korean by using availab1e data in relation to nutrition. The basic characteristics of Korean diet with proportions high in carbohydrate and low in fat, have been relatively constant for the past two decades. The average daily flood intake in terms of weight of flood per person is relatively constant throughout the years. Although the proportion of animal food intake tends to increase recently, the Korean diet is still insufficient in meat, eggs, milk, and fish. Moreover because milk has not been accustomed flood with the general population and not much used in traditional flood preparation in Korea, milk consumption was especially low in comparison with western countries. The total energy intake was relatively constant throughout the years from 1969 to 1993. However, changes in the composition have occurred in the past two decades. The amount and proportions of fat have been s1ightly increasing while the total amount of carbohydrate has been decreasing. The nutrition preblems of Korea have changed over the past severa1 decades. The general adequacy of protein and energy existing after Korean War(1950) was resolved now. Since then the average diet appears to be nearly desirable in terms of rapid rates of growth during childhood and attainment of progressively stature and body weight at maturity. The dietary habits of some young people in these days seem to be taking a more western style diets. This trends if established by habit may lead to a marked change in the traditional diet and health. I think Korean nutritional experiences have potential values for tole other countries in Asia and in western countries. Korean diet illustrates a high level of nutritional status and health attainable will a largely vegetable diet : high in complex carbohydrates, and dietary fibre, and low in tat, and reasonable amount of total protein. This is significant for developing and developed countries that must select specific goals fir adequate nutrition for the people. Compared to the western countries, Koreas different incidence of coronary heart disease and malignancy demonstrates the significance of environment and probably the prominent role of diet in the development of these diseases. The changes occurring in the Korean diet of fir the unusual opportunity to assess the effect of diet upon chronic degenerative disease. In the future, the Korean diet might be continue to change significantly These changes are being influenced by socioeconomic factors that have been emerging and growing stronger since mid-l980 and that probably continue to be potent. The expanded purchasing power of the consumer results in increased discretionary purchases. In the case of foodstuffs, the consumer demands appear to be directed toward items of higher protein content, which, being primarily animal products, are inevitably accompanied by an increased consumption of fat. The continued availability of these more expensive flood items depends upon the balance of foreign trade favouring their importation and domestic production. A regression of foreign trade could result in a decreased supply for the consumer, whereas continued growth of trade iou]d provide freedom for increasing availability to the consumer. In this latter situation the exact choice of foodstuffs is depending upon comsumer tastes and the pressures that may influence it.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제57권4호
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• pp.221-229
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• 2020

Naval ships could be seriously damaged by enemy attacks in battle. Moreover, this damage could be spread and deteriorated into a secondary accident. Secondary accidents that have adverse effects on naval ship's survivability, such as fire, flood, smoke extension, and patient occurrence, are defined as casualties. These casualties sharply degrade the survivability of naval ships. Furthermore, naval ships could be burned-out and sunk by casualties in isolated sea. Therefore, damage control and rapid suppression of the casualties in the naval ships is essential. This study was conducted in the establishment of suppression paths according to the characteristics of each casualty so that the developed system can support the rapid suppression in an emergency and even the training situation on a regular state. To establish the suppression paths, the two-dimensional numerical map is designed by converting the three-dimensional features of the naval ships, and the well known algorithms are compared to present the appropriate one for path finding problem on the naval ships. Finally, we devised a specific routing algorithm that fits the characteristics of each casualty in accordance with the Korean Navy's doctrines and handbooks of casualty suppression.