• 한국수산경영학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수산경영학회 2007년도 추계학술발표회 및 심포지엄
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• pp.167-184
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• 2007

The objectives of this paper are to identify the causes of the corporate distress and to develop a distress prediction model with the financial information in fishery industry. In this study, the corporate distress is defined as economic failure and technical insolvency. Economic failure occurs by reduction, shut-down, or change of the business and technical insolvency results from failure to pay the financial debt of companies. The 33 distressed firms from 1991 to 2003 were composed by 14 economic failure companies, 15 technical insolvency companies. 4 companies applied to the both cases. The analysis of distress prediction of fishery companies were accomplished according to the distress definition. The analysis was carried out as two steps. The first step was the univariate analysis, which was used for checking the prediction power of individual financial variable. The t-test is used to identify the differences in financial variables between the distressed group and the non-distressed group. The second step was to develop distress prediction model with logistic regression. The variables showed the significant difference in univariate analysis were selected as the prediction variables. The financial ratios, used in the logistic regression model, were selected by backward elimination method. To test stability of the distress prediction model, the whole sample was divided as three sub-samples, period 1(1990$\sim$1993), period 2(1994$\sim$1997), period 3(1998$\sim$2002). The final model built from whole sample appled each three sub-samples. The results of the logistic analysis were as follows. the growth, profitability, stability ratios showed the significant effect on the distress. the some different result was found in the sub-sample (economic failure and technical insolvency). The growth and the profitability were important to predict the economic failure. The profitability and the activity were important to predict technical insolvency. It means that profitability is the really important factor to the fishery companies.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제39권2호
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• pp.61-79
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• 2008

The objectives of this paper are to identify the causes of the corporate distress and to develop a distress prediction model with the financial information in fishery industry. In this study, the corporate distress is defined as economic failure and technical insolvency. Economic failure occurs by reduction, shut - down, or change of the business and technical insolvency results from failure to pay the financial debt of companies. The 33 distressed firms from 1991 to 2003 were composed by 14 economic failure companies, 15 technical insolvency companies. 4 companies applied to the both cases. The analysis of distress prediction of fishery companies were accomplished according to the distress definition. The analysis was carried out as two steps. The first step was the univariate analysis, which was used for checking the prediction power of individual financial variable. The t - test is used to identify the differences in financial variables between the distressed group and the non - distressed group. The second step was to develop distress prediction model with logistic regression. The variables showed the significant difference in univariate analysis were selected as the prediction variables. The financial ratios, used in the logistic regression model, were selected by backward elimination method. To test stability of the distress prediction model, the whole sample was divided as three sub-samples, period 1(1990 - 1993), period 2(1994 - 1997), period 3(1998 - 2002). The final model built from whole sample appled each three sub - samples. The results of the logistic analysis were as follows. the growth, profitability, stability ratios showed the significant effect on the distress. the some different result was found in the sub - sample (economic failure and technical insolvency). The growth and the profitability were important to predict the economic failure. The profitability and the activity were important to predict technical insolvency. It means that profitability is the really important factor to the fishery companies.

• 재무관리연구
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.209-255
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• 1991

본 연구의 목적은, 외국기업이(미국의 입장에서 본) 미국기업을 인수할 때에 경쟁자인 미국기 업보다 왜 상대적으로 높은 프레미엄을 지불하는가를 설명할 수 있는 간단한 이론적 모형을 설정하는 것이다. 이와 함께, 본고는 외국기업이 미국기업을 인수할 경우에 발생한다고 여겨지는, 상대적으로 높은 피인수기업(被引受企業)의 재산증식효과(the wealth effect of foreign takeovers)및 그것의 결정요인(決定要因)에 대한 실증적 분석결과를 제시한다. 본 연구의 결과에 의하면, 기업인수에 의한 피인수기업의 재산증식효과는 외국기업이 미국기업을 인수한 경우가, 미국기업이 자국기업을 인수한 경우보다 훨씬 높게 나타났다. 물론, 이 결과를 얻기 위해, 피 인수기업의 재산증식효과에 영향을 미치는 다른 요인들, 예를 들어, 지불방식(支拂方式)(payment method), 인수형태(引受形態)(acquisition type), 납세상황(納稅狀況)(tax status), 피인수기업(被引受企業)의 규모(規模) 및 인수발표시점(引受發表時點) 등의 요인들을 미리 통제하였다. 그리고, 피인수기업의 재산증식효과는, 외국기업이 미국기업 인수를 위해 조달한 부채(負債)의 이자지불에 대한 모국 및 미국에서의 이중적인 법인세 감면에 의해 설명될 수 있다는 것이 횡단면 회귀분석 결과에 의해 밝혀졌다. 이 결과는 각국(各國)의 상이한 조세제도(調稅制度)가 외국기업이 미국기업 인수시에 발생하는 재산증식효과의 주요원천이라는 것을 의미한다. 그뿐만 아니라, 본 연구는 외국기업(外國企業)의 국적(國籍)이 피인수기업의 재산증식효과에 영향을 미친다는 것도 발견하였다. 특히 일본기업들이 다른 국가 기업들보다 상대적으로 높은 프레미엄를 지불하였다. 그리고 인수기업들 사이에(외국기업 대 외국기업 혹은 외국기업 대 미국기업)경쟁이 존재할 경우, 피인수기업의 주주들이 누리게 되는 초과수익(超過收益)(abnormal returns)이 그렇지 않을 경우보다 훨씬 높다는 것을 보여주고 있다. 이 결과는 기업경영권(企業經營權)을 매매하는 국제시장(國際市場)(global market for corporate controls)도 미국국내의 기업경영권 시장 만큼 경쟁적이라는 것을 시사한다. 한편으로, 외환(外換)의 구매력지수(購買力指數)로부터의 이탈(離脫)(deviation from purchasing power parity)이나, 외국의 인수기업과 미국의 피인수기업의 산업적 특성 등은 피인수기업의 재산증식효과와는 무관하다는 것이 판명되었다.