• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.91-98
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• 2021

One of the concerns in the economic policy circle is the fiscal sustainability. This current research revisit the notion of fiscal sustainability for Malaysia using the Indicator of Fiscal Sustainability (IFS) developed by Croce and Juan-Ramón (2003) where we employ samples of time-series data from 1970 to 2017. The findings reveal that 40 out of 48 years, during which the calculated IFS algorithm is above the threshold of 1, imply Malaysia was fiscally unsustainable. Despite having been fiscally unsustainable, Malaysia's fiscal stance shows improvement as a result of fiscal consolidation and fiscal reforms during the sample period. This is shown by the improved calculated IFS algorithm on average, which the value improved from 1.465 in 1970-1993 to 1.377 in 1998-2004 and to 1.146 in the 2006-2013. From the policy front, this indicator can serve as a precautionary early warning measure in formulating future fiscal path for Malaysia. This can be executed by targeting debt ratio and shifting the allocation of expenditures away from less efficient toward more growth-enhancing ones, which eventually would regain fiscal space to counter any incoming economic shocks in the future. This can enhance the fiscal transparency and assist in formulating a fiscal policy strategy in Malaysia.

• 사회복지연구
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• 제47권4호
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• pp.217-254
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• 2016

본 연구는 조세구조에 주목하여, 재정적으로 지속가능한 복지국가의 제도적 특성을 규명하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 분석에서는 복지국가의 재정적 지속가능성이 복지지출에 영향을 미치는 것은 물론 장기적으로 복지지출에 영향을 받을 수도 있으므로, 복지국가의 재정적 지속가능성과 복지지출 수준을 각각의 종속변수로 하는 동시방정식 모형(3단계 최소제곱법 활용)을 추정한다. 분석 결과, 대체로 조세부담 수준을 높이는 것은 복지국가의 재정적 지속 가능성에 정적 영향을 미친다. 반면에, 능력자 부담 원칙과 관련해, 과세원 간의 격차가 확대되는 것은 복지국가의 재정적 지속가능성을 저해한다. 수익자 부담 원칙 차원에서 사회보장기여금과 민간기여의 확충은 복지국가의 재정적 지속가능성 제고에 긍정적으로 기여하는 바 사회보장재원을 다원화하는 것이 장기적으로 복지국가의 재정적 지속가능성 확보에 긍정적인 영향을 할 수 있다.

• 토지주택연구
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• 제2권4호
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• pp.345-353
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• 2011

This paper is focused on the sustainability of public rental housing policy. We have analyzed the general fiscal conditions of central government, the public welfare fiscal conditions, the public expenditure on rental housing, and the Korea Land & Housing Corporation (LH) financial structure. Central government fiscal conditions is controlled by the midium-term fiscal operation plan(2010~2014) and fiscal rules. And the fiscal mandatory expenditures on welfare is increased rapidly by the expansion of beneficiaries, but the fiscal discretionary expenditures particularly on public rental housing can be gradually cut down. LH, the dominant agency responsible for affordable housing, is now confronted with financial distress accruing to excessive burden for public rental housing construction. As a result this paper, we find the discrepancy between the fiscal conditons and public rental housing policies. We suggest the fiscally sustainable rental housing policy. Firstly, the construction plan should be realized reflecting the market and fiscal conditions. Secondly, the provsion and financing system of rental housing should be rebuild within the government fiscal condtions and financial ability of LH.

• 한국병원경영학회지
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.1-26
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• 2010

We achieved both industrialization and democratization during the shortest period in the world. We also achieved good performance in national health insurance: universal coverage, solidarity in financing, equitable access of health care. However, national health insurance system has faced the problem of sustainability: various expenditure and financing problems. The problem of sustainablity has two facets of economic sustainability and fiscal sustainability. Economic sustainability refers to growth in health spending as a proportion of gross domestic product(GDP). Rapid increasing rate of health spending exceeds the growth rate of domestic product. Growth in health spending is more likely to threaten other areas of economic activity. Concern on fiscal sustainability relates to revenue and expenditure on health care. Health care financing face demographic and technical obstacles. Democratic obstacle is aging problem. Technical obstacle is collection of contribution. Expenditure of health care has various problems in benefit structure and efficiency of health care system. In this article, I suggest several policy reforms to enhance sustainability: generating additional revenue from value added tax, changing method of levying contribution, increasing efficiency of health care system by introducing the competition principle. restructuring of benefit scheme of health insurance. contracting with health care institutions to provide health care services.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제42권4호
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• pp.27-58
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• 2020

This paper intends to examine the extent of the fiscal contribution of immigrants to Korea. According to this analysis, the aim is to derive implications pertaining to the direction of Korea's immigration policy as a response to fiscal problems caused by population aging. For this purpose, a macroeconomic model is designed to measure the lifetime net fiscal contribution of immigrants in Korea by visa type, age, and other characteristics. According to this analysis, the sum of the lifetime fiscal contribution for all immigrants in Korea is negative. This implies that immigration policy reforms that increase the inflow size while maintaining the current structure of the foreign population characteristics can rather worsen Korea's fiscal problems. This finding suggests that immigration policy reform may exacerbate Korea's fiscal soundness if it simply targets the maintenance of the numerical balance of the demographic structure.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제44권1호
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• pp.1-47
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• 2022

This paper introduces a politico-economic model with a welfare state and immigration. In this model, policies on taxes and immigration are determined through a plurality voting system. While many studies of fiscal implications of immigration argue that relaxing immigration policies can substitute for tax reforms in an aging economy, I show that the democratic voting procedure can dampen the effect of relaxing immigration policies as desired policy reforms are not always implemented by the winner of an election. This political economy results in three types of social welfare losses. First, the skill composition is not balanced at a socially efficient level because workers are motivated to maximize their wages. Second, older retirees implement excessive taxes to maximize the size of the welfare state. Third, the volume of immigration is lower than the optimal level given the incentive by young workers to regain political power in the future.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제34권3호
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• pp.31-65
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• 2012

본 연구에서는 세대 간 회계를 이용하여 현행 재정정책의 유지 가능성과 최근 논의되고 있는 복지확대정책이 재정건전성과 세대 간 형평성에 미치는 영향에 대해 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 현행 재정정책은 유지 가능하지 못하며, 재정수지 불균형도 매우 큰 것으로 나타났다. 재정지출 수준을 통제하지 않는 한 납세자의 재정부담이 감내할 수 없을 정도로 높아질 수 있을 것으로 예상된다. 또한 최근 논의되고 있는 무상의료와 같은 복지지출 확대정책은 납세자의 재정부담을 대폭적으로 높이게 된다. 무상급식, 무상보육, 반값등록금 지급과 관련된 복지확대정책은 현시점에서의 금액이 비교적 크지 않으며 낮은 출산율로 인해 향후 보육인구와 학령인구가 줄어듦에 따라 지출액이 줄어들 것으로 예상되어 이들 정책으로 인한 재정부담의 증대규모가 비교적 크지 않은 반면, 무상의료의 경우는 현시점에서의 금액도 매우 클 뿐만 아니라 인구의 노령화로 인해 수급자 수가 증가할 것으로 예상되므로 이로 인한 재정부담이 더욱 증가할 것으로 예상된다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.33-61
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• 2013

본 논문의 목적은 생애별 지원체계를 국가별로 비교하고, 거기서 경제성장과 정부재정의 지속성에 대한 함의를 도출해 내는 데 있다. 가족지원체계는 점차 그 중요성이 줄어듦에도 불구, 한국을 비롯한 몇몇 아시아 국가에서 유의하게 나타났다. 공공지원체계(사회보장)의 경우 한국은 OECD 국가 내에서 매우 낮은 수준을 보였는데, 이러한 낮은 사회보장이 높은 저축률과 자본축적에 기여한 긍정적인 측면은 인정된다. 하지만 지난 10년 동안 한국에서의 사회보장은 매우 빠른 속도로 변화하였다. 한국의 자본시장과 노동시장이 이러한 변화에 어떻게 반응하는 가가 향후 정부의 정책방향을 결정하는 데 중요한 요인이 될 것이다.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.55-67
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• 2016

This paper investigated policies that drive the sustainable management of Ivorian forest which disappear at an annual rate of 250000 hectares. Based on an inter-temporal model for optimum allocation of forest land to three competing uses, the article found that sustainability depends on the incentive structure, of which forest taxes and fees are a key, though obviously not the sole, component. The study proposed to increase the area fee level by accounting for environmental externalities generated by forest harvesters and farmers. The paper showed that the area fee is a decreasing function of the forest natural rate of regeneration and the reconversion rate of agricultural surfaces. Finally, at the given forest natural rate of regeneration and the reconversion rate of agricultural surfaces, the model argued that the area fee need to be progressive (arithmetic progression) in the context of ecological equilibrium break while it should remain constant in normal situation.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제32권3호
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• pp.245-246
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• 2022

Concerns about a global economic recession are rising following the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Accordingly, government entities, which are committed to overcome two barriers to severe inflation and economic recession, are showing high interest in spending management so as not to undermine fiscal soundness. Since the health care sector especially accounts for a large proportion of fiscal expenditure, it should be managed in a manner that the expense is appropriately spent. The National Health Insurance System and Healthcare System have secured international competitiveness and reliability by effectively responding to the COVID-19 pandemic. Likewise, considerable efforts should be made to reorganize the welfare and healthcare systems so that they can be sustainable during the post-COVID-19 era and the recession.