• Title/Summary/Keyword: Firm risk

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The Relationship between Default Risk and Asset Pricing: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

  • KHAN, Usama Ehsan;IQBAL, Javed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.717-729
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    • 2021
  • This paper examines the efficacy of the default risk factor in an emerging market context using the Fama-French five-factor model. Our aim is to test whether the Fama-French five-factor model augmented with a default risk factor improves the predictability of returns of portfolios sorted on the firm's characteristics as well as on industry. The default risk factor is constructed by estimating the probability of default using a hybrid version of dynamic panel probit and artificial neural network (ANN) to proxy default risk. This study also provides evidence on the temporal stability of risk premiums obtained using the Fama-MacBeth approach. Using a sample of 3,806 firm-year observations on non-financial listed companies of Pakistan over 2006-2015 we found that the augmented model performed better when tested across size-investment-default sorted portfolios. The investment factor contains some default-related information, but default risk is independently priced and bears a significantly positive risk premium. The risk premiums are also found temporally stable over the full sample and more recent sample period 2010-2015 as evidence by the Fama-MacBeth regressions. The finding suggests that the default risk factor is not a useless factor and due to mispricing, default risk anomaly prevails in the Pakistani equity market.

The Effect of Management Disclosure and Analysis on the Stock Crash Risk: Evidence from Korea

  • Lee, A-Young;Chae, Soo-Joon
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of quality of management discussion and analysis (MD&A) disclosure on stock price crash risk. The MD&A can be seen to reflect the management's intention on public announcement and reveals directly what the management says to communicate with outside investors. A firm's high-quality MD&A implies the management's commitment to communicating with the market, not allowing the managers to have incentives to hoard unfavorable news, which if revealed to the public, may lead to downward stock price corrections, damaging corporate values. The high-quality MD&A is, thus, likely to reduce the stock price crash risk. We use a logistic regression to test whether MD&A influences crash risk using listed companies in the Korean Stock Exchange (KSE) stock market between 2010 and 2013. Findings of the empirical test show that the higher the quality of MD&A, the less likely crash risk appears, implying that the MD&A disclosed adequately can be one of the factors mitigating firm's stock price crash risk. This study has implications as it presents the MD&A disclosure as a factor influencing stock price crash risk and suggests voluntary disclosure as well as mandatory disclosure acts as a variable that explains the risk of stock price crash.

Determinants and Outcomes of Financial Derivatives: Empirical Evidence from Pakistani Banks

  • ALAM, Atia;ABBAS, Syeda Fizza;ZAHID, Anam;BATOOL, Syeda Irtiqa;KHAN, Misbah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.591-599
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    • 2021
  • The increased risk in financial firms, due to Global Financial Crises and high international trade activities, has encouraged banks to use derivatives for both managing their financial risk and earning non-operating income simultaneously. The present study brings new evidence in the existing literature by determining the drivers behind financial derivative usage in Pakistani banks for 2011 till 2016. Moreover, the paper examines how risk plays a moderating role in determining the relationship between derivative usage and bank value. While assessing the determinants, a two-stage test has conducted, first, the logit regression was used to test the drivers behind the derivative usage in banks. Second, Tobit regression was run to analyze the factors leading to determine the extent of derivative usage. The findings demonstrate that Pakistani banks are using derivatives for both risk management and speculative motive as they are customers and users of derivatives at the same time. Empirical results, regarding moderating role of risk on the value implications of derivative usage, provide mixed findings as derivative usage gives value premium in case of non-systematic risk and foreign exchange risk. Whereas value discounts have been observed for cases where systematic risk is high and managers try to earn non-operating income from speculative activities.

Information Risk and Equity Premium (정보위험과 주식수익률 프리미엄)

  • Park, Jong-Won;Yeoh, Hwan-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.209-237
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the relationship between information risk and equity premium in the Korean stock market. We use accruals quality as a proxy of information risk. Accruals quality (AQ) is estimated by Dechow and Dichev (2002) model, and then AQfactor is constructed based on the estimated AQ. Time-series and cross-sectional regression models are used to examine the relationship between information risk and equity premium, reflecting the critics of Core et al. (2008). The result of the paper shows that information risk proxied by accruals quality is not priced in equity premium in the Korean stock market. This result is consistent with Core et al. (2008) for US firms, but different with Francis et al. (2005) for US firms and Gray et al. (2008) for Australia firms. Also, the result shows that AQfactor is closely correlated with firm characteristic variables such as firm size. This implies that the effect of AQ on equity premium is more likely to arise from the pricing error due to firm characteristics rather than from an unknown risk factor.

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Analysis of the Impact of Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) on the Project Success through PRM Process: Focused on the Overseas Construction Projects (전사적 리스크 관리(ERM)가 프로젝트 리스크 관리(PRM) 향상을 통해 프로젝트 성과에 미치는 영향 분석: 해외 건설사업을 중심으로)

  • Sullim Jung;Seung-Chul Kim;Dae-Cheol Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2024
  • As the complexity and uncertainty of international construction projects increase, the importance of risk management capabilities in the construction industry has become more pronounced. Accordingly, Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) has become a widely adopted approach among organizations as a new way for more effective risk management. Despite its growing application, research related to ERM is still in its infancy, and most of the existing studies have been limited to financial industries. Therefore, this study aims to empirically examine the influence of ERM's core elements on project risk management (PRM) and project performance within construction firms. Our findings indicate that the key ERM components-organization, policy, and culture-significantly enhance PRM processes, underscoring their critical role and importance. Additionally, effective PRM positively affects project outcomes, highlighting its significance for construction companies engaged in international projects. While ERM does not directly impact project performance, it indirectly improves outcomes through enhanced PRM capabilities. It suggests that ERM will contribute to the firm's performance by improving the firm's PRM capability through policies and a risk-focused culture corresponding to the adopted ERM organization and system..

Determination of Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate for the Valuation of Technology of Technology Firm (기술기업의 기술가치평가시 위험조정 할인율의 결정)

  • 성웅현
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2002
  • Risk, or exposure to uncertainty, is an inherent of risk-adjusted discount rate. It is therefore important part factor in the determination of risk-adjusted discount rate. This paper suggests the method to quantify risk and explains the process how to transfer quantified risk into incremental discount rate. The estimates of underlying risks will help determine the size of appropriate risk-adjusted discount rate with logical and scientific way when the technology valuation is made.

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A Study on the Financial Statements Analysis of Ocean-going Shipping Companies (외항화물운송기업의 재무적 특성에 관한 연구 - 대기업군과 중소기업군의 비교를 중심으로 -)

  • OH, Tae-Hyung
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.69
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    • pp.389-406
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    • 2016
  • The Purpose of this study is to analyze the financial statements of ocean-going shipping companies that have experienced financial difficulties since the global financial crisis. Specifically, the study conducts comparing major firm with small and medium-sized firm from fianancial point of view, analyzes the different trends of two groups. As a result, this paper finds the different characteristics between two groups. There were known many financial difficulties in ocean-going shipping companies, but this is not applied to small and medium-sized firm group. Small and medium-sized firm group grew soundly and slowly during research period. But major firm group experienced the deficit and their management condition has deteriorated considerably during that period. To cope with this difficulties, major firm group should take self-effort to improve fianacial structure and establish the risk management system.

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The Effects of Corporate Entrepreneurship on Self-Efficacy and Firm Performance in Small and Medium-sized Firms of Gyeongnam Region (조직 내 기업가정신이 자기효능감과 기업성과에 미치는 영향 -경남지역 중소 제조업체를 대상으로-)

  • Hwang, Sang-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.345-356
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study includes: the relationships between corporate entrepreneurship(innovation, proactiveness, risk-taking) and firm performance(non-financial performance, financial performance) and the mediating effect of the self-efficacy on the relationship between corporate entrepreneurship and firm performance. In order to verify the relationships and mediating effect, data were collected from 368 individuals in employees working in small and medium-sized firms at Gyeongnam region to test theoretical model and its hypotheses. All data collected from the survey were analyzed using with SPSS 18.0. This study reports findings as follows: first, the relationship between the corporate entrepreneurship(except innovation) and the employee's self-efficacy is positively related. Second, there was also a positive correlation between the employee's self-efficacy and firm performance. Third, the relationship between the corporate entrepreneurship and the non-financial performance is positively related. The relationship between the corporate entrepreneurship(except innovation) and the financial performance is positively related. Finally, the employee's self-efficacy played as a partial mediator on the relationship between risk-taking and firm performance. The employee's self-efficacy played as a fully mediator on the relationship between proactiveness and non-financial performance. The employee's self-efficacy played as a partial mediator on the relationship between proactiveness and financial performance. However, there was no empirical evidence for the mediating effect of employee's self-efficacy on the relationship innovation and firm performance. Based on these findings, the implications and the limitations of the study were presented including some directions for future studies.

Impact of Foreign Currency Derivative Usage on Firm Value (외환파생상품사용이 기업가치에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeon, Sang-Won;Kang, Shin-Ae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.285-294
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    • 2012
  • Under conditions of increasing environmental uncertainty, firms' risk management become important. This study examines the impact of foreign currency derivative usage on firm value using 3,004 Korean non-financial firms from 2002 to 2007. The results showed that there was no significant relationship between foreign currency derivative usage and firm value for the whole period and from 2002 to 2004 when exchange rate was relatively less volatile. But form 2005 to 2007 when exchange rate was volatile, foreign currency derivative usage gave significant negative impact on firm value, whereas when contract value was used, the relatinship was significantly positive. These results might be come from the characteristics of contract value and fair value of foreign currency derivatives. increased firm value when contract value was used as foreign currency derivative usage measure. But when fair value was used, there was no significance. For control variables, major shareholders ownership and foreign blockholders ownership was positively related with firm value.

Factors Affecting Financial Risk: Evidence from Listed Enterprises in Vietnam

  • DANG, Hang Thu;PHAN, Duong Thuy;NGUYEN, Ha Thi;HOANG, Le Hong Thi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2020
  • This paper analyzes factors affecting enterprise's financial risk listed on the Vietnam stock market. The panel data of research sample includes 524 non-financial listed enterprises on the Vietnam stock market for a period of eleven years, from 2009 to 2019. The Generalized Least Square (GLS) is employed to address econometric issues and to improve the accuracy of the regression coefficients. In this research, financial risk is measured by the Alexander Bathory model. Debt structure, Solvency, Profitability, Operational ability, Capital structure are independent variables in the study. Firm Size, firm age, growth rate are control variables. The model results show that in order to prevent and limit financial risk for enterprises listed on the Vietnam Stock Market, attention should be paid to variables reflecting Liability structure ratio, Quick Ratio, Return on Assets, Total asset turnover, Accounts receivable turnover, Net assets ratio and Fixed assets ratio. The empirical results show that there are differences in the impact of these factors on the financial risk in state-owned enterprises and non-state enterprises listed on the Vietnam stock market. The findings of this article are useful for business administrators, helping business managers make the right financial decisions to improve the efficiency of financial risk management in enterprises.