• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fire prediction

Search Result 440, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

A Study on Development of App-Based Electric Fire Prediction System (앱기반 전기화재 예측시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Young-Kwan;Kim, Eung-Kwon
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.85-90
    • /
    • 2013
  • Currently, the electric fire prediction system uses PIC(Peripheral Interface Controller) for controller microprocessor. PIC has a slower computing speed than DSP does, so its real-time computing ability is inadequate. So with the basic characteristics waveform during arc generation as the standard reference, the comparison to this reference is used to predict and alarm electric fire from arc. While such alarm can be detected and taken care of from a remote central server, that prediction error rate is high and remote control in mobile environment is not available. In this article, the arc detection of time domain and frequency domain and wavelet-based adaptation algorithm executing the adaptation algorithm in conversion domain were applied to develop an electric fire prediction system loaded with new real-time arc detection algorithm using DSP. Also, remote control was made available through iPhone environment-based app development which enabled remote monitoring for arc's electric signal and power quality, and its utility was verified.

CORRELATION ANALYSIS METHOD OF SENSOR DATA FOR PREDICTING THE FOREST FIRE

  • Shon Ho Sun;Chi Jeong Hee;Kim Eun Hee;Ryu Keun Ho;Jung Doo Yeong;kim Kyung Ok
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
    • /
    • 2005.10a
    • /
    • pp.186-188
    • /
    • 2005
  • Because forest fire changes the direction according to the environmental elements, it is difficult to predict the direction of it. Currently, though some researchers have been studied to which predict the forest fire occurrence and the direction of it, using the remote detection technique, it is not enough and efficient. And recently because of the development of the sensor technique, a lot of In-Situ sensors are being developed. These kinds of In-Situ sensor data are used to collect the environmental elements such as temperature, humidity, and the velocity of the wind. Accordingly we need the prediction technique about the environmental elements analysis and the direction of the forest fire, using the In-Situ sensor data. In this paper, as a technique for predicting the direction of the forest fire, we propose the correlation analysis technique about In-Situ sensor data such as temperature, humidity, the velocity of the wind. The proposed technique is based on the clustering method and clusters the In-Situ sensor data. And then it analyzes the correlation of the multivariate correlations among clusters. These kinds of prediction information not only helps to predict the direction of the forest fire, but also finds the solution after predicting the environmental elements of the forest fire. Accordingly, this technique is expected to reduce the damage by the forest fire which occurs frequently these days.

  • PDF

A Numerical Study of Flame Spread of A Surface Forest Fire (지표화 산불의 화염전파 수치해석)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Lee, Myung-Bo;Kim, Kwang-Il
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2008.03b
    • /
    • pp.80-83
    • /
    • 2008
  • The characteristics of the spread of a forest fire are generally related to the attributes of combustibles, geographical features, and meteorological conditions, such as wind conditions. The most common methodology used to create a prediction model for the spread of forest fires, based on the numerical analysis of the development stages of a forest fire, is an analysis of heat energy transmission by the stage of heat transmission. When a forest fire breaks out, the analysis of the transmission velocity of heat energy is quantifiable by the spread velocity of flame movement through a physical and chemical analysis at every stage of the fire development from flame production and heat transmission to its termination. In this study, the formula used for the 1-dimensional surface forest fire behavior prediction model, derived from a numerical analysis of the surface flame spread rate of solid combustibles, is introduced. The formula for the 1-dimensional surface forest fire behavior prediction model is the estimated equation of the flame spread velocity, depending on the condition of wind velocity on the ground. Experimental and theoretical equations on flame duration, flame height, flame temperature, ignition temperature of surface fuels, etc., has been applied to the device of this formula. As a result of a comparison between the ROS(rate of spread) from this formula and ROSs from various equations of other models or experimental values, a trend suggesting an increasing curved line of the exponent function under 3m/s or less wind velocity condition was identified. As a result of a comparison between experimental values and numerically analyzed values for fallen pine tree leaves, the flame spread velocity reveals has a error of less than 20%.

  • PDF

Prediction of Moisture Migration of Concrete Including Internal Vaporization in Fire (화재시 내부증발을 고려한 콘크리트의 수분이동)

  • Lee, Tae-Gyu
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.23 no.5
    • /
    • pp.17-23
    • /
    • 2009
  • Moisture evaporates, when concrete is exposed to fire, not only at concrete surface but also at inside the concrete to adjust the equilibrium and transfer properties of moisture. The equilibrium properties of moisture are described by means of water vapor sorption isotherms, which illustrate the hysteretical behavior of materials. In this paper, the prediction method of the moisture distribution inside the concrete members at fire is presented. Finite element method is employed to facilitate the moisture diffusion analysis for any position of member. And the moisture diffusivity model of high strength concrete by high temperature is proposed. To demonstrate the validity of this numerical procedure, the prediction by the proposed algorithm is compared with the test result of other researcher. The proposed algorithm shows a good agreement with the experimental results including the vaporization effect inside the concrete.

A Study on the combustible materials Combustion Characteristics in residential facilities fire behavior prediction (주거시설 화재성상예측을 위한 가연물 연소특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong Eun;Kim, Gi Hyeon;Seo, Dong Goo;Kwon, Young Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
    • /
    • 2013.05a
    • /
    • pp.103-104
    • /
    • 2013
  • As a result of experimenting 6 loading combustibles in domestic residential facilities by using Furniture Calorimeter, values of 2,391.26kW were appeared from sofas, 1,891.80kW from drawers, 1,778.95kW from mattress, 1,104kW from chairs, 291kW from tables, and 135.09kW from TV. Also, if applying α value of fire growing rate by classifying fire- growing speeds at NFPA 72 (National Fire Alarm Code 2007, Annex B), mattress can be defined as Ultra-Fast, sofa and drawers Fast, TV Slow, tables Slow, and chairs Medium.

  • PDF

Hazard prediction of coal and gas outburst based on fisher discriminant analysis

  • Chen, Liang;Wang, Enyuan;Feng, Junjun;Wang, Xiaoran;Li, Xuelong
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • v.13 no.5
    • /
    • pp.861-879
    • /
    • 2017
  • Coal and gas outburst is a serious dynamic disaster that occurs during coal mining and threatens the lives of coal miners. Currently, coal and gas outburst is commonly predicted using single indicator and its critical value. However, single indicator is unable to fully reflect all of the factors impacting outburst risk and has poor prediction accuracy. Therefore, a more accurate prediction method is necessary. In this work, we first analyzed on-site impacting factors and precursors of coal and gas outburst; then, we constructed a Fisher discriminant analysis (FDA) index system using the gas adsorption index of drilling cutting ${\Delta}h_2$, the drilling cutting weight S, the initial velocity of gas emission from borehole q, the thickness of soft coal h, and the maximum ratio of post-blasting gas emission peak to pre-blasting gas emission $B_{max}$; finally, we studied an FDA-based multiple indicators discriminant model of coal and gas outburst, and applied the discriminant model to predict coal and gas outburst. The results showed that the discriminant model has 100% prediction accuracy, even when some conventional indexes are lower than the warning criteria. The FDA method has a broad application prospects in coal and gas outburst prediction.

A Study on the Development of a Fire Site Risk Prediction Model based on Initial Information using Big Data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 활용한 초기 정보 기반 화재현장 위험도 예측 모델 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Do Hyoung;Jo, Byung wan
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.245-253
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study develops a risk prediction model that predicts the risk of a fire site by using initial information such as building information and reporter acquisition information, and supports effective mobilization of fire fighting resources and the establishment of damage minimization strategies for appropriate responses in the early stages of a disaster. Method: In order to identify the variables related to the fire damage scale on the fire statistics data, a correlation analysis between variables was performed using a machine learning algorithm to examine predictability, and a learning data set was constructed through preprocessing such as data standardization and discretization. Using this, we tested a plurality of machine learning algorithms, which are evaluated as having high prediction accuracy, and developed a risk prediction model applying the algorithm with the highest accuracy. Result: As a result of the machine learning algorithm performance test, the accuracy of the random forest algorithm was the highest, and it was confirmed that the accuracy of the intermediate value was relatively high for the risk class. Conclusion: The accuracy of the prediction model was limited due to the bias of the damage scale data in the fire statistics, and data refinement by matching data and supplementing the missing values was necessary to improve the predictive model performance.

Prediction Method for Fire Load Prediction of Bedding and Bags Using a Standard Normal Distribution (정규분포를 활용한 이불과 가방에 대한 화재 하중 예측 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Do;Nam, Dong-Koon;Cho, Sung-Woo
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.29 no.4
    • /
    • pp.7-14
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study suggests basic data for fire-resistant compartments to prevent fires from spreading in a traditional markets. As representative combustible goods handled in traditional markets, bedding and bags were chosen. The fire loads could be calculated using the porosity of the materials based on a standard normal distribution. The bedding and bag porosity were 98.7%, and 94.39%, respectively. The the fire load of bedding is $29.9kg/m^2$, and that of bags is $65.61kg/m^2$.