• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fire Probability

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Effect of limestone calcined clay cement (LC3) on the fire safety of concrete structures

  • Gupta, Sanchit;Singh, Dheerendra;Gupta, Trilok;Chaudhary, Sandeep
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.263-278
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    • 2022
  • Limestone calcined clay cement (LC3) is a low carbon alternative to conventional cement. Literature shows that using limestone and calcined clay in LC3 increases the thermal degradation of LC3 pastes and can increase the magnitude of fire risk in LC3 concrete structures. Higher thermal degradation of LC3 paste prompts this study toward understanding the fire performance of LC3 concrete and the associated magnitude of fire risk. For fire performance, concrete prepared using ordinary Portland cement (OPC), pozzolanic Portland cement (PPC) and LC3 were exposed to 16 scenarios of different elevated temperatures (400℃, 600℃, 800℃, and 1000℃) for different durations (0.5 h, 1 h, 2 h, and 4 h). After exposure to elevated temperatures, mass loss, residual ultrasonic pulse velocity (rUPV) and residual compressive strength (rCS) were measured as the residual properties of concrete. XRD (X-ray diffraction), TGA (thermogravimetric analysis) and three-factor ANOVA (analysis of variance) are also used to compare the fire performance of LC3 with OPC and PPC. Monte Carlo simulation has been used to assess the magnitude of fire risk in LC3 structures and devise recommendations for the robust application of LC3. Results show that LC3 concrete has weaker fire performance, with average rCS being 11.06% and 1.73% lower than OPC and PPC concrete. Analysis of 106 fire scenarios, in Indian context, shows lower rCS and higher failure probability for LC3 (95.05%, 2.22%) than OPC (98.16%, 0.22%) and PPC (96.48%, 1.14%). For robust application, either LC3 can be restricted to residential and educational structures (failure probability <0.5%), or LC3 can have reserve strength (factor of safety >1.08).

A Study on Fire Scenario Analysis Based on Fire Statistics for Building Fire Risk Analysis (건축물 화재위험평가를 위한 화재통계 기반 화재시나리오 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jin, Seung-Hyeon;Kim, Hye-Won;Koo, In-Hyuk;Kwon, Yeong-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.04a
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    • pp.81-82
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to establish a methodology for rational fire risk assessment for building evacuation safety in case of fire, and specifically, to propose a fire risk assessment technique using fire scenarios considering various uncertain factors in case of fire. In order to analyze the extent to which the assumed conditions can occur, that is, the probability of each accident caused by fire, the safety rate is analyzed according to the presence or absence of each factor by using fire statistics. Factors related to the fire protection performance and evacuation ability of buildings are defined as disaster factors. In this study, disaster factors were classified into the following three categories.

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Development of Algorithm for Analyzing Priority Area of Forest Fire Surveillance Using Viewshed Analysis (가시권 분석을 이용한 산불감시 우선지역 선정 방안)

  • Lee, Byung-Doo;Ryu, Gye-Sun;Kim, Sun-Young;Kim, Kyong-Ha;Lee, Myung-Boa
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.126-135
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the algorithm for priority area of forest fire surveillance was developed to enhance the effectiveness of fire detection. The high priority surveillance area for forest fire detection was defined as the area with not only low value of viewshed analysis of the lookouts and detection cameras but also high fire occurrence probability. To build the priority map, fuzzy function and map algebra were used. The analysis results of Bonghwa-gun, Gyeongbuk Province, showed that the surveillance priority of central and southern area is higher than north area. This algorithm could be used in the allocation of fire prevention resources and selection of suitable point for new fire detection system.

A Study on the Fire Detection Algorithm for Early Fire Detection of Electrical Fire (전기화재 조기감지를 위한 화재감지알고리즘 연구)

  • Lee, Bock-Young;Park, Sang-Tae;Hong, Sung-Ho;Baek, Dong-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.2164.1_2165.1
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    • 2009
  • In this study we suggest fire detection algorithm using fuzzy inference with input variables of temperature and smoke density to detect electrical fire of early stage. The algorithm consists of membership function of temperature and smoke density and fire probability. The antecedent part of the algorithm consists of temperature and smoke density, and the consequent part consists of fire possibility. The inference rules of the algorithm is estimated to input temperature and smoke density obtained by real fire. With the help of algorithms using fuzzy inference we may be diagnose electrical fire precisely.

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A Study on the Estimation of Human Damage Caused by the LP Gas Flame in Enclosure using Probit Model

  • Leem, Sa-Hwan;Huh, Yong-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2009
  • The energetic and environmental problems have been getting serious after the revolution of modern industry. Therefore, demand of gas as an eco-friendly energy source is increasing. With the demand of gas, the use of gas is also increased, so injury and loss of life by the fire have been increasing every year. Hence the influence on flame caused by Vapor Cloud Explosion in enclosure of experimental booth was calculated by using the API regulations. And the accident damage was estimated by applying the influence on the adjacent structures and people into the PROBIT model. According to the probit analysis, the spot which is 5meter away from the flame has nearly 100% of the damage probability by the first-degree burn, 27.8% of the damage probability by the second-degree burn and 14.5% of the death probability by the fire.

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A Study on the Delayed Factors in Evacuation Behavior in the Case of Fire Accidents in Highway Tunnels (고속도로 터널 내 화재사고 발생 시 대피행동 지연 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Jae-Hwan, Cho
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.143-148
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    • 2022
  • This paper attempted to analyze the correlation between the risk image of the evacuees in the tunnel and the variables that affect the evacuation behavior due to the closed feeling. As to whether there is a difference in the level of recognizing the tunnel risk image according to the distribution of jobs, the null hypothesis was rejected at the significance probability of 0.002, so it can be said that the level of recognition of the tunnel risk image varies depending on the job group. In the distribution difference between gender and tunnel risk image recognition level, the significance probability was 0.012, indicating that the null hypothesis was rejected, indicating that the tunnel risk recognition distribution according to gender was different. As a result of analyzing the distribution difference between the tunnel's closed feeling and the tunnel risk perception level, the significance probability was 0.001, and the null hypothesis was rejected, indicating that there was a difference in the tunnel risk image level.

Electrical Fire Hazards Analysis of Electric Iron and Heater Using Fault Tree Analysis

  • Hong, Sung-Ho
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2008
  • The primary goal of this study is to analyze fire hazards of electric home appliances such as electric iron and electric heater using fault tree analysis(FTA). A fault tree(FT) is constructed and used to analyze fire hazards in electric home appliances. The fault tree is built from events that may occur in electric home appliances. The failure rate of basic events are derived from the value of experimental results and reference. And an algorithm analyzing fire in electric home appliances is suggested. We show how fault tree analysis, carried out by means of failure rate, is able to diagnose fire hazards of electric home appliances in a precise manner. We present numerical results such as fire probability of electric home appliances, importance measure, fire cause, etc. It can be helpful in preventing the fire hazards in electric home appliances.

A Study on the Proposal of Durability and Service Life of Fire Door in apartment house (공동주택 방화문의 내구성능 및 내용연수 제안에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Yeong-Jin;Kim, Yun-Seong;Jin, Seung-Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.11a
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    • pp.49-50
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    • 2022
  • There are continuous cases of fire expansion due to fire door problems around the world, including the 2010 Shanghai Apartment Fire, the 2017 Grenfell Tower Fire in England, and the 2020 Ul-san Residential and Commercial Complex Fire. In order to prevent such fire damage, the country has strengthened the performance standards of fire doors, and recently, efforts have been made to ensure the best performance of fire doors by introducing a quality recognition system. Securing the performance of fire doors is a very important aspect. However, there is a concern that old fire doors may not function normally in the event of fire due to natural deterioration, corrosion, and damage during the use process, but countermeasures are insufficient. Therefore, from a management perspective, it is very important to maintain fire doors and secure an appropriate replacement time. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to determine whether the fire door has durability to prevent fire spread in the process of use through operation probability analysis and expert surveys, and to propose an appropriate useful life of the fire door.

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A Study on the Analysis of Evacuation Risk by Building Application for Fire Safety (화재안전을 위한 건축물 용도별 피난리스크 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jin, Seung-hyeon;Koo, In-Hyuk;Seo, Dong-Goo;Kwon, Young-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.164-165
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    • 2021
  • In Korea, in the case of fire scenarios in performance design, it is assumed that the sprinkler is not working. In addition, it does not applicate various fire conditions. Therefore it is not enough that the accuracy about fire scenario. In foreign countries, reseach is being conducted to predict the casualities that can occur due to fire in the building space through statistical risk analysis. Also, research is consistently conducting for design that consider the sprinker probability of operation. Therefore, to analyze the fire risk of each building in Korea, the risk was analyzed using statistical data. As a result, the risk of casualties that can occur for each building use was analyzed as 0.6(persons/cases) for residential buildings, 0.25(persons/cases) for sales facilities, and 0.12(persons/cases) for buisiness facilities.

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Fuzzy event tree analysis for quantified risk assessment due to oil and gas leakage in offshore installations

  • Cheliyan, A.S.;Bhattacharyya, S.K.
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.41-55
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    • 2018
  • Accidental oil and gas leak is a critical concern for the offshore industry because it can lead to severe consequences and as a result, it is imperative to evaluate the probabilities of occurrence of the consequences of the leakage in order to assess the risk. Event Tree Analysis (ETA) is a technique to identify the consequences that can result from the occurrence of a hazardous event. The probability of occurrence of the consequences is evaluated by the ETA, based on the failure probabilities of the sequential events. Conventional ETA deals with events with crisp failure probabilities. In offshore applications, it is often difficult to arrive at a single probability measure due to lack of data or imprecision in data. In such a scenario, fuzzy set theory can be applied to handle imprecision and data uncertainty. This paper presents fuzzy ETA (FETA) methodology to compute the probability of the outcomes initiated due to oil/gas leak in an actual offshore-onshore installation. Post FETA, sensitivity analysis by Fuzzy Weighted Index (FWI) method is performed to find the event that has the maximum contribution to the severe sequences. It is found that events of 'ignition', spreading of fire to 'equipment' and 'other areas' are the highest contributors to the severe consequences, followed by failure of 'leak detection' and 'fire detection' and 'fire water not being effective'. It is also found that the frequency of severe consequences that are catastrophic in nature obtained by ETA is one order less than that obtained by FETA, thereby implying that in ETA, the uncertainty does not propagate through the event tree. The ranking of severe sequences based on their probability, however, are identical in both ETA and FETA.