• 경영정보학연구
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.173-198
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• 2016

본 연구의 목적은 비즈니스 인텔리전스 연구 관점에서 기업부실화 예측 성능을 향상키시는 것이다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 기존 연구들에서 미흡하게 다루어졌던 1) 데이터셋을 구성하는 과정에서 발생하는 바이어스 문제, 2) 거시경제위험 요소의 미반영 문제, 3) 데이터 불균형 문제, 4) 서술적 바이어스 문제를 다루어 경기순환국면을 반영한 기업부실화 예측 프레임워크를 제안하고, 이를 바탕으로 기업부실화 예측 모델을 개발하였다. 본 연구에서는 경기순환국면별로 각각의 데이터셋을 구성하고, 각 데이터셋에서 의사결정나무, 인공신경망 등 단일 분류기부터 앙상블 기법까지 다양한 데이터마이닝 알고리즘을 적용하여 실험하였다. 또한 본 연구는 데이터불균형 문제를 해결하기 위해, 오버샘플링 기법인 SMOTE(synthetic minority over-sampling technique) 기법을 통해 초기 데이터 불균형 상태에서부터 표본비율을 1:1까지 변화시켜 가며, 기업부실화 예측 모델을 개발하는 실험을 하였고, 예측 모델의 변수 선정 시에 선행연구를 바탕으로 재무비율을 추출하고, 여기서 파생된 IT 산출물인 재무상태변동성과 산업수준상태변동성을 예측 모델에 삽입하였다. 마지막으로, 본 연구는 각 순환국면에서 만들어진 기업부실화 예측 모델의 예측 성능 비교와 경기 확장기와 수축기에서의 기업부실화 예측 모델의 유용성에 대해 논의하였다. 본 연구는 비즈니스 인텔리전스 연구 측면에서 기존 연구에서 미흡하게 다루어졌던 4가지 문제점을 검토하고, 이를 해결할 프레임워크를 제안함으로써 기존 연구 대비 기업부실화 예측률을 10% 이상 향상시켰다는 점에서 연구의 의의를 찾을 수 있다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제42권3호
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• pp.361-372
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• 2014

Purpose: In this paper, we investigate whether the endeavors for 6 sigma quality management by a firm have positive effects on its financial performance and the length of 6 sigma implemented period affects its financial status. Methods: We conduct the analysis using the data from Workplace Panel Survey 2009. We use multiple linear regression in order to analyze the relationship between the efforts for quality management and financial performance. Specifically, the return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) are investigated as dependent variables and the efforts for quality management as independent variable. The Box-Cox transformation and Cook's distance are also used. Results: As a result of the analysis, the indication is that companies that put effect into the six sigma quality management have a positive result in its financial status. In detail, the efforts for six sigma quality management have positive effects on total asset turnover ratio and six sigma implemented period on net income to net sales ratio. Additionally, companies with longer(shorter) period of six sigma program have more (less) improvement in its financial status. Conclusion: It can be concluded that the company's efforts for quality management positively influence financial performance.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.311-328
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• 2022

Purpose - The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between firm's non financial performance and its shareholder return by analyzing PCA while focusing on the classifying all the variables into three categories such as financial, characteristics, and non financial factors of the firms. Design/methodology/approach - By exploring the pattern of self tender from the 801 firms in KOSPI while focusing on the objective of stock disposal, this paper analyzes the change of shareholder return of the firm. Findings - First, the higher major ownership, the lower self tender gets, whereby the higher ownership by foreigners, the ratio of self tender is higher. Secondly, cash dividend has not significant impact on the disposal of self stock, and the high ratio of ownership by foreigners leads to the high probability of retirement rather than the general disposal. In contrast, the major ownership has a negative impact on the general disposal as well as retirement. Thirdly, the score of non financial factors such as Environment(E), Social responsibility(S), and Governance(G) shows the high value in case of the firms with self tender. More specifically, the firms with retirement has the highest value of ESG while it has the lowest value in case of the firms with general disposal. Research implications or Originality - The retirement which means the active shareholder return is strongly affected by the non financial factors. Specifically, the probability of retirement increases in case of the firms with retirement, and even such a tendency is found to the case of the firms with general disposal.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.353-379
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• 2019

This paper aims to determine factors causing the stagnation of Korean firms' fixed investment after the global financial crisis, using panel data for the period of 1999-2016. Fixed investment remained sensitive to cash flow and Tobin's q although their effects decreased after the global financial crisis. A decreasing trend of cash flow and an increase in Tobin's q since the early 2000's imply that the worsening cash flow was a major factor behind the sluggish investment after the crisis. Meanwhile, debt-equity ratio remained significant for non-chaebol affiliated firms, reflecting disparity in access to external financing. Volatility of stock returns also became insignificant after the crisis, casting doubt on the argument that uncertainty was a major factor contributing to the decline of fixed investment. Analysis of financial investment confirmed the significant effect of cash flow, larger than that on financial investment than on fixed investment. In particular, debt repayment and other financial investment, except share repurchase, were sensitive to cash flow. However, the substitution of fixed investment by financial investment is a consequence, rather than a cause of declining fixed investment.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.923-931
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• 2021

The aim of the present study is to analyze the financial performance of converted commercial bank from non-banking financial institution through a case study of Bangladesh Commerce Bank Limited as sample organization. It is observed that the bank is able to achieve a stable growth rate in total deposits, total loans and advances, and net income after tax during the period of 2015-2019. Researchers also calculated some ratio analysis and noticed that the financial position of Bangladesh Commerce Bank Limited was not so strong because bank's ROA, ROE, NIM and other ratios were below standard. Researchers used secondary data that were examined by using descriptive statistical tools and panel data regression model. Result shows that Bangladesh Commerce Bank has satisfactory operating efficiency, assets management efficiency, and gives loans to customers. In addition, the present study has tested some hypotheses regarding net income after tax, ROA and ROE with total assets, total loans, total deposits and interest income. These hypotheses have been accepted, which means there is no significant influence of the independent variable on the dependent variable. The study suggests that Bangladesh Commerce Bank Limited had the opportunities to make their financial position stronger by utilizing their good financial position and management efficiencies.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.43-51
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• 2013

일련의 건설업체들의 사업 구조 변화 과정을 살펴보면 국내건설시장과 해외건설시장의 수주 규모가 건설업체의 재무적 상황과 특정한 관계가 있을 것으로 판단된다. 이러한 관점에서 본 연구에서는 해외건설사업과 건설업체의 재무 건전성 간에 관계성을 실증분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구에서는 유동성 지표는 유동비율을 안정성 지표는 부채비율을 분석에 활용하였다. 분석변수의 시계열 자료는 2000년부터 2010년까지의 분기별 자료이다. 본 연구에서는 유동비율과 해외 및 국내 건설수주액을 활용한 모형을 Model 1로, 부채비율과 해외 및 국내건설수주액을 활용한 모형을 Model 2로 구분하여 분석을 수행하였다. 분석결과 현재 해외건설수주액 증가가 유동비율을 증가시킴으로서 단기 자금회전은 원활히 할 수 있지만 전체적인 관점에서 부채비율을 낮추는 데에는 효과가 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 이에 따라 현재 급격한 해외건설사업 규모 증대를 긍정적인 현상으로 보기에는 무리가 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국식품조리과학회지
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• 제23권2호통권98호
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• pp.270-279
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• 2007

The purposes of this study were to analyze the profitability of audited restaurant franchise firms and to investigate the financial variables affecting profitability. This study decomposed profit variation into the three main factors comprising the Du Pont Identity (operating efficiency, asset use efficiency and financial leverage). The operating efficiency of restaurant franchise firms was on the rise until 2004, but dropped dramatically in 2005. Especially, the profit margin dropped from 13.46% in 2004 to 6.54% in 2005. The asset use efficiency has been decreasing since 2003. The total asset turnover ratio, which can be indicative of over-investment, dropped from 1.55 in 2003 to 1.50 in 2005. The financial leverage remained stable after 2002. There were major differences in debt accumulation among the firms, and the current level of debt was thought to be higher in the restaurant industry than in other industries. Based on the results of a multiple regression analysis, we concluded that the factors affecting ROE were the debt-equity ratio, total asset turnover and the size of the firm. The debt-equity ratio and total asset turnover had a significantly positive effect on ROE, while the firm size had a significantly negative effect on ROE. However, the current ratio and sales growth rate were not significant. The finding that firm size and profitability were negatively related implied that restaurant franchise firms should pursue qualitative growth rather than quantitative growth. There was no major difference in profitability between domestic brands and foreign brands. However, the domestic brand was more efficient in terms of asset usage than the foreign brand.

• 한국융합학회논문지
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• 제10권6호
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• pp.203-218
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• 2019

본 연구는 2011년 6월말 현재 금융감독원의 감독대상이 되는 104개의 상호저축은행을 표본으로 하여, 상호저축은행의 구조조정이 본격화된 2011년 전 후의 BIS자기자본비율 비교를 통하여 상호저축은행이 인위적으로 BIS자기자본비율을 유지 조정하기 위하여 어떤 수단을 사용하여 왔는지를 검증하였다. 실증분석 결과, 상호저축은행은 BIS자기자본비율 조정을 위해 주로 대손충당금을 사용하여 왔음을 확인할 수 있었다. 또한, 대손충당금을 이용한 상호저축은행의 BIS자기자본비율 조정은 특히 2011년 6월말 현재 영업정지 중인 상호저축은행에서 좀 더 유의적으로 이루어졌음을 발견하였다. 마지막으로 외부감사인의 역할과 관련하여 예상과는 달리 Non-Big 4 감사인 뿐만 아니라 Big 4 감사인도 상호저축은행의 인위적인 BIS자기자본비율 조정을 효과적으로 감시하지 못하였음을 발견하였다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.163-177
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• 2016

We consider a jump diffusion process for high-frequency financial asset data. We apply the stationary bootstrapping to construct a bootstrap test for jumps. First-order asymptotic validity is established for the stationary bootstrapping of the jump ratio test under the null hypothesis of no jump. Consistency of the stationary bootstrap test is proved under the alternative of jumps. A Monte-Carlo experiment shows the advantage of a stationary bootstrapping test over the test based on the normal asymptotic theory. The proposed bootstrap test is applied to construct continuous-jump decomposition of the daily realized variance of the KOSPI for the year 2008 of the world-wide financial crisis.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 1th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.824-829
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• 2005

This paper focuses on construction cost volatility for the purpose of private sector investment by use of a financial model with key indices of IRR and DSCR (Debt Service Coverage Ratio). A case project, 1,000 MW pumped storage hydropower plant, has shown that its financial impacts by cost volatility of underground works are less measured than interest rates impacts by interest rate of loans. Probabilistic analysis of costs under geotechnical conditions has been made by Indicator Kriging method. And, in the modeling of interest rates, geometric Brownian motion has been applied. Both of these impacts are measured on the same financial model.