• Title/Summary/Keyword: Financial market monitoring

검색결과 25건 처리시간 0.031초

The use of Case-Based Reasoning for Financial Market Monitoring

  • 한성권;오경주;김태윤
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2006년도 춘계공동학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1207-1213
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    • 2006
  • This paper shows that case-based reasoning (CBR), an artificial intelligence technique, is a quite efficient tool in monitoring financial market against its possible collapse. For this purpose, daily financial condition indicator (DFCI) monitoring financial market is built on CBR and its performance is compared to DFCI on neural network. This study is empirically done for the Korean financial market.

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글로벌 금융위기와 외국인투자자의 감시자 역할 (Global Financial Crisis and the Monitoring Role of Foreign Investors)

  • 이창섭;전홍민;서승범
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제19권9호
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    • pp.233-241
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구의 목적은 국내 자본시장에서 외국인투자자의 감시자 역할로부터 발생하는 영향력이 글로벌 금융위기에 따라 차별적으로 관찰되는지를 실증적으로 분석하는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 2003년부터 2015년까지 총 2,919개의 기업데이터를 수집하여 외국인투자자 지분율과 기업의 자기자본비용 사이의 상관관계분석을 글로벌 금융위기 상황여부에 따라 수행하였다. 실증분석 결과, 외국인투자자는 일반적으로 기업에 대한 감시자 역할(monitoring role)을 효과적으로 수행함으로서 국내 자본시장에서 순기능적인 역할을 하고 있었다. 그러나 글로벌 금융위기 시와 같이 자본시장의 위험 수준이 극대화될 경우에는 이들의 감시자 역할이 효과적으로 이뤄지지 못하는 것으로 관찰되었다. 본 연구는 외국인투자자의 영향력이 자본시장의 위험 수준에 따라 달라질 수 있음을 제시하였다는데 시장참여자들과 학계에 공헌 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

가계 재무건전성이 주택투자수요에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Financial Strength of Households on House Investment Demand)

  • 노상윤;윤보현;최영민
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - This study investigates the following two issues. First, we attempt to find the important determinants of housing investment and to identify their significance rank using survey panel data. Recently, the expansion of global uncertainty in the real estate market has directly and indirectly influenced the Korean housing market; households demonstrate a sensitive reaction to changes in that market. Therefore, this study aims to draw conclusions from understanding how the impact of financial strength of the household is related to house investment. Second, we attempt to verify the effectiveness of diverse indices of financial strength such as DTI, LTV, and PIR as measures to monitor the housing market. In the continuous housing market recession after the global crisis, the government places top priority on residence stability. However, the government still imposes forceful restraints on indices of financial strength. We believe this study verifies the utility of these regulations when used in the housing market. Research design, data, and methodology - The data source for this study is the "National Survey of Tax and Benefit" from 2007 (1st) to 2011 (5th) by the Korea Institute of Public Finance. Based on this survey data, we use panel data of 3,838 households that have been surveyed continuously for 5 years. We sort the base variables according to relevance of house investment criteria using the decision tree model (DTM), which is the standard decision-making model for data-mining techniques. The DTM method is known as a powerful methodology to identify contributory variables for predictive power. In addition, we analyze how important explanatory variables and the financial strength index of households affect housing investment with the binary logistic multi-regressive model. Based on the analyses, we conclude that the financial strength index has a significant role in house investment demand. Results - The results of this research are as follows: 1) The determinants of housing investment are age, consumption expenditures, income, total assets, rent deposit, housing price, habits satisfaction, housing scale, number of household members, and debt related to housing. 2) The impact power of these determinants has changed more or less annually due to economic situations and housing market conditions. The level of consumption expenditure and income are the main determinants before 2009; however, the determinants of housing investment changed to indices of the financial strength of households, i.e., DTI, LTV, and PIR, after 2009. 3) Most of all, since 2009, housing loans has been a more important variable than the level of consumption in making housing market decisions. Conclusions - The results of this research show that sound financing of households has a stronger effect on housing investment than reduced consumption expenditures. At the same time, the key indices that must be monitored by the government under economic emergency conditions differ from those requiring monitoring under normal market conditions; therefore, political indices to encourage and promote the housing market must be divided based on market conditions.

The Impact of Market Discipline on Charter Value of Commercial Banks: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange

  • AKHTAR, Muhammad Naveed;SALEEM, Sana
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.249-261
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    • 2021
  • To tranquilize the devastating impact of unnecessary risk-taking behavior of banks towards the economy for maximizing their profits that usually arises due to widely known 'moral-hazard' problem originating from market competition and intensified by bank's limited liability, the banking system is strongly monitored across all countries of the world. The goal of controlling would become more feasible if there exist some self-discipline and motivations which could safeguard the banks' charter value through the mechanism of market discipline. Therefore, our study is aimed to scrutinize the relation between market discipline and charter value of local commercial banks that are registered on the Pakistan Stock Exchange by analyzing a balanced panel data from the year 2007 to 2019. Deposit growth, interbank deposits, and subordinate debt are taken as proxies to measure market discipline whereas Tobin's Q theory is applied for calculating the charter value. Generalized Least Square Regression with Fixed Effect Model is used for evaluation. The outcomes reveal that in the existence of control variables, all proxies of market discipline have a significant positive impact on bank charter value. Our research has important policy implications for monitoring and supervising financial intermediaries for their stability and soundness by offsetting the complications of moral-hazard in the financial systems.

Mitigating Uncertainty in the Boardroom: Analysis to Financial Reporting for Financial Risk COVID-19

  • JABBAR, Ali Khazaal;ALMAYYAHI, Aymen Raheem Abdulaali;ALI, Ibrahem Mohamed;ALNOOR, Alhamzah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권12호
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    • pp.233-243
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to assess the impacts of COVID-19 on International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), because of the problems associated with changing and amending the financial reports according to the policies established based on the circumstances of the epidemic. The study sample targeted several international financial reports that were amended based on epidemic conditions. The revised financial reporting period provides standardized reporting procedures for financial transactions worldwide despite the pandemic. Therefore, IFRS has been used to reduce challenges in financial reporting by monitoring the duration of social distancing while reporting matters to eliminate confirmed uncertainty and judgment. After analyzing the data obtained through global search engines, the results conducted provided evidence that COVID-19 affects financial reporting in companies around the world. Therefore, companies face difficulty reporting finances based on the challenging environment that the pandemic represents. Besides, IFRS fair value measurements consider the prices that were predicted according to current market values. The contexts of the changing the standards by IFRS to curb the effects of the COVID19 financial reporting was attained through evaluation of the online files that were randomly selected and filtered to obtain valid data.

인공지능기법을 이용한 외환위기 조기경보시스템 구축 (Development of an Early Warning System based on Artificial Intelligence)

  • 권병천;조남욱
    • 산업공학
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.319-326
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    • 2012
  • To effectively predict financial crisis, this paper presents an early warning system based on artificial intelligence technologies. Both Genetic Algorithms and Neural Networks are utilized for the proposed system. First, a genetic algorithm has been developed for the effective selection of economic indices, which are used for monitoring financial crisis. Then, an optimum weight of the selected indices has been determined by a neural network method. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed system, a series of experiments has been conducted by using the Korean economic indices from 2005 to 2008.

Ex Post Monitoring and Loan Repayment Performance in Rural Vietnam

  • HA, Van Dung;DANG, Truong Thanh Nhan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권8호
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 2021
  • Loan monitoring is a fundamental element of credit control. The importance of loan monitoring is to reduce loan defaults and to increase loan repayment performance. The ex-post monitoring can also increase the loan quality and thus a concern to many creditors in the market economy. This study identifies the role of ex-post monitoring on loan repayment performance in the context of rural Vietnam. Employing primary data from rural areas of Vietnam, this study investigates the impacts of ex-post monitoring on loan repayment performance of individual borrowers in terms of on-time loan repayment and the rate of loan repayment. Descriptions of borrower demographics, loan information, and ex-post monitoring show the initial picture of borrowers and loans in Vietnam's rural areas. Quantitative estimations that use the Probit and the Tobit model confirm the argument that better ex-post monitoring would result in better loan repayment performance in both on-time repayment and repayment rate. Thus, some policy suggestions have been made to improve the monitoring system in each financial institution. The study also indicates that some other factors too affect loan repayment performance such as borrower's characteristics (education, agricultural working area, and income) as well as loan's characteristics (loan size, maturity, and loan purpose).

금융그룹화와 금융위험: 실증분석 및 정책과제 (Risks and Supervisory Challenges of Financial Conglomerates in Korea)

  • 함준호;김준경
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.145-191
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문은 외환위기 이후 빠르게 진전되어 온 금융 대형화, 그룹화 현상이 개별 금융기관과 시장 전반의 시스템 리스크에 미치는 영향에 대하여 분석하였다. 실증분석 결과에 따르면, 위기 이후 독립 금융기관과 비교하여 금융그룹 소속 금융기관의 도산위험이 대체로 낮은 것으로 나타나며, 겸업화 효과보다는 대형화에 의한 수익성 및 수익변동성 개선효과가 유의하게 나타나는 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 아직까지 우리나라에서 고위험 추구를 통한 대형 금융그룹의 위험상승 현상은 관측되지 않고 있다. 그러나 대형 은행그룹 간 직간접적 상호의존도가 높아짐에 따라 시스템 위험의 발생 가능성이 증대되고, 겸업화로 비은행부문 및 자본시장으로부터의 위험전이 가능성도 높아지고 있어 이에 대한 정책대응이 요구된다. 특히 금융그룹을 하나의 동일체로 인식하고 그룹단위로 건전성 규제 등을 실시하는 위험 중심의 연결감독체제가 확립될 필요가 있으며, 겸업화로 인한 공적 안전망의 확대를 효과적으로 차단하기 위한 감독장치도 마련될 필요가 있다. 아울러 금융그룹의 내부통제 및 위험관리체제를 강화하고, 경영투명성의 제고를 통해 금융그룹에 대한 시장의 모니터링 기능도 확충할 필요가 있다.

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경쟁적 전력시장에서 Contingent Transmission Rights을 이용한 지역적 시장지배력 감시방안 (A Study on the Monitoring of Market Power using Contingent Transmission Rights in Competitive Electricity Markets)

  • 박중성;한석만;김발호
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.256-276
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    • 2006
  • 경쟁적 전력시장에서, 송전혼잡은 지역적 시장지배력의 핵심 요인들 중 하나이다. 재무적 송전권을 구매한 시장 참여자는 그들이 지불한 혼잡 세를 돌려받음으로써 재무적 보호를 받을 수 있다. 하지만 많은 연구에서, 이러한 송전권이 오히려 시장지배력을 강화시킴을 보였다. 따라서 본 논문은 새로운 개념의 송전권인 Contingent Transmission Rights을 이용해 지역적 시장지배력을 완화시키는 것이 목적이다. 본 논문은 각 모선의 한계가격 (Locational Marginal Pricing LMP)을 기반으로 한 모선별 가격제도(Nodal Pricing)와 최적조류계산(Optimal Power Flow)를 이용해 사례연구를 수행하였다.

개인투자자 이익보호의 관점에서 본 공매도 활성화를 위한 개선방안 연구 (A study on the improvements to revitalize short selling from the perspective of protecting the interests of individual investors)

  • 양세동;심재연
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2024
  • 최근 한국 금융시장은 무차입공매도를 금지하고 있으며, 차입한 증권을 매도하는 차입공매도를 일반적인 공매도라고 일컫는다. 이 연구는 개인투자자들을 위해 그들의 관점에서 공매도를 활성화하기 위한 개선 방안을 마련하고자 하였다. 공매도란 주식시장에서 소유하지 않은 종목을 매도하는 것으로 해당 종목의 주가가 하락할 것을 예측하여, 주식을 차입해 매도하는 것을 말한다. 본 연구 결과를 통하여 공매도시장의 활성화 및 개선방안은 다음과 같다. 첫째, 개인투자자의 공매도 기회확대 방안을 마련하여야 한다. 국내 공매도 시장은 코스피와 코스닥을 포함하여 외국인과 기관 참여자 비중이 시장의 95% 이상을 차지하고 개인투자자는 매우 미미한 수준이다. 따라서, 이의 확대가 불가피한 실정이다. 둘째, 공매도 불공정거래에 대한 모니터링 및 처벌을 강화해야 한다. 공매도 부작용을 최소화할 수 있는 대표적 개선 방안으로, 불공정거래, 공매도의 모니터링 강화, 처벌수준의 상향조정이 필요하다. 이와 더불어, 불공정거래 관련 공매도에 대한 처벌수준을 보다 높이는 방안을 강구해야 한다. 셋째, 공매도 보고 및 공시제도의 개선이 필요하다. 한국의 경우, 선진국에 비해서는 아직 공매도 거래가 활발하게 일어나고 있지는 않지만, 향후 공매도 거래가 활성화될 것에 대비하여 시장의 투명성을 강화하기 위해 공시제도를 확대할 필요가 있다. 결론적으로 공매도 규제가 지나치게 강화될 경우 가격효율성과 시장유동성 측면에서 손해가 발생하고 결과적으로 시장에 부정적 영향을 끼칠 수 있음을 보고하고 있다. 따라서 공매도 관련 정책은 규제 효과의 긍정적 측면을 고려하면서 시장에의 부정적 영향을 반드시 고려하여 이루어져야 한다.