• 제목/요약/키워드: Financial index

검색결과 623건 처리시간 0.034초

체계적위험과 비정상성에 관한 연구

  • 이진근
    • 재무관리논총
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.233-258
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구는 비정상성과 관련된 기존의 연구들이 베타위험과 추가설명변수들 사이의 상관관계를 무시한 검증방법의 오류를 지적한다. 그 상관관계를 고려한 포트폴리오 구성방법을 선택한 후, 비정상성에 관한 좀 더 정밀한 검증을 실시하여 규모효과와 EP효과를 검토한다. 더 나아가 CAPM의 두 가지 주장, 즉, 베타위험의 유일성과 이 위험과 그 자산의 수익률간의 양의 상관관계를 갖는다는 두 가지 주장을 세밀히 검토하게 된다. 또한 이 모든 검증에서 등가중지수(Equal-Weighted Index: EWI)와 가치가중지수(Value-Weighted Index: VWI)의 적용에 대한 차이도 동시에 검토하였다. 1980년 1월부터 1993년 6월까지의 월별수익률과 한국신용평가주식회사의 주식수익률 데이터베이스(KIS-SMAT), 재무제표 데이터베이스(KIS-FAS)를 이용하여 검증한 결과, 한국중권시장에서는 규모효과만 존재하였고, EP효과가 존재한다는 증거는 얻지 못하였다. 또한 EWI와 VWI의 지수에 대한 차이는 아주 미미하였다. 특히 CAPM에서 주장하는 베타위험의 유일성과 베타위험과 그 자산의 수익률의 양의 상관관계에 대한 두 가지 사실에 대해서는 오히려 상반된 증거만을 확인할 수 있었다.

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한국 주식시장에서 비선형계획법을 이용한 마코위츠의 포트폴리오 선정 모형의 투자 성과에 관한 연구 (Investment Performance of Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model in the Korean Stock Market)

  • 김성문;김홍선
    • 경영과학
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.19-35
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    • 2009
  • This paper investigated performance of the Markowitz's portfolio selection model with applications to Korean stock market. We chose Samsung-Group-Funds and KOSPI index for performance comparison with the Markowitz's portfolio selection model. For the most recent one and a half year period between March 2007 and September 2008, KOSPI index almost remained the same with only 0.1% change, Samsung-Group-Funds showed 20.54% return, and Markowitz's model, which is composed of the same 17 Samsung group stocks, achieved 52% return. We performed sensitivity analysis on the duration of financial data and the frequency of portfolio change in order to maximize the return of portfolio. In conclusion, according to our empirical research results with Samsung-Group-Funds, investment by Markowitz's model, which periodically changes portfolio by using nonlinear programming with only financial data, outperformed investment by the fund managers who possess rich experiences on stock trading and actively change portfolio by the minute-by-minute market news and business information.

International Transmission of Information Across National Stock Markets: Evidence from the Stock Index Futures Markets

  • 김민호
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.73-94
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    • 1998
  • This paper contributes to the ongoing controversy over price and volatility spillovers across countries by providing new evidence with the futures data of the S&P 500 and Nikkei 225 index futures contacts from January 3, 1990 to April 16, 1996. Based on the two-stage symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models we document that both the U.S. and the Japanese daytime returns significantly influence the subsequent overnight returns of the other market. We find no signs of volatility spillovers between two international markets with the symmetric model. However, with the asymmetric models, we find that the magnitude of foreign negative shocks are different from the positive ones. The findings generally suggest that the two markets are more sensitive to the bad news originating in the other market. This nature of transmission between two markets would have important implications to the arbitragers who are trying to exploit the short-term dynamics of price and volatility movements across two security markets.

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안정적 투자를 위한 ELW의 활용가능성 연구 (Stable investment feasibility study for the utilization of ELW)

  • 정재정;김정현;이석현;강경식
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2012년 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.667-678
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    • 2012
  • Internet and information technology due to the development of rapid changes in the investment environment, the existing securities, or by disassembling the combined financial engineering to create new securities with the development of enlarged minimize losses to investors in financial markets more stable that can be and need a way to invest in this paper, such as individual stocks or a specific index of those derivatives that are linked to the December 1, 2005 and 2010 the market began trading from the phone call attention off new measures to gauge the individual through ELW underlying assets such as stocks or a specific index to minimize the loss of a stable hedge for investors to evaluate the possibility of studying for.

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퍼지적분을 이용한 기업우량도평가모델 (An Evaluation Model on Enterprise Using Fuzzy Integral)

  • 주종문;심재홍;황승국;박영만
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제21권45호
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    • pp.225-235
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    • 1998
  • The scientific evaluation on enterprise helps establishing better management policy. Financial index has been used for the enterprise evaluation as the objective data. However, the necessity of the subjective data for competitive power evaluation is advocated recently. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an evaluation model of competitive power on enterprise by fuzzy integral, using the objective and the subjective data. The evaluation factors are composed to the financial index, top management, product, organization and enterprise's environment. These factors are grouped by detailed sub-factors of 16 units. Lastly, utilizing these factors, the efficiency of this method was shown by the result of the case study of 10 manufacturing enterprises.

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한국 청년가계의 부실화 가능성 연구 (Studies on Insolvency Prediction for young Korean debtor)

  • 이종희
    • 가족자원경영과 정책
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.99-115
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    • 2019
  • This study examined the insolvency likelihood of young debtors from the 2018 Household Financial and Welfare Survey. This study used the Household Default Risk Index (HDRI), which considers the ratio of total debt to total assets (DTA), and a total debt service ratio (DSR) to examine the insolvency level of debtors. The descriptive analyses showed no difference in frequency of households with a high probability of insolvency between those less than 35 years of age and those over 35 years of age. However, the median HDRI value for those less than 35 years of age was higher than those over 35 years of age. The multivariate analyses indicated that educational expenses for young Korean debtors was a factor that increased their probability of insolvency, while income was the only variable that decreased their insolvency likelihood.

Mitigating the Shocks: Exploring the Role of Economic Structure in the Regional Employment Resilience

  • Kiseok Song;Ilwon Seo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.323-344
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    • 2023
  • This study investigates the resilient structural characteristics of a region by assessing the impact of the financial crisis. Utilizing panel data at the prefecture level for metropolitan cities across pre-shock (2006-2008), shock (2009), and post-shock (2010-2019) periods, we calculated an employment resilience index by combining the resistance and recovery indices. The panel logit regression measures the influences of the region's industrial structure and external economic factors in response to the global financial crisis. The results revealed that the diversity index of industries contributed to the post-shock recovery bounce-back. Additionally, the presence of large firms and industrial clusters within the region positively contributed to economic resilience. The specialization and the proportion of manufacturing industries showed negative effects, suggesting that regions overly reliant on manufacturing-centered specialization might be vulnerable to external shocks. Furthermore, excessive capital outflows for market expansion were found to have a detrimental impact on regional economic recovery.

금융업의 사회적 책임활동과 재무성과 (Social Responsibility Activities and Financial Performance of the Financial Industry)

  • 시아쉬에하오;배수현
    • 문화기술의 융합
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2019
  • 기업의 지속가능한 성장을 위해 윤리경영이나 사회공헌활동 등 사회적 책임의 중요성이 더욱 강조되고 있다. 이러한 사회적 관심과 기대의 증가로 기업의 사회적 책임에 대한 연구가 많았음에도 불구하고 대부분 일반 제조업을 대상으로 한 연구에 국한되었다. 본 연구는 금융업을 대상으로 사회적 책임활동이 재무성과에 미치는 영향을 분석하고자 함이 목적이다. 또한 경제정의연구소가 발표한 사회적 책임활동 우수기업과 그렇지 않은 기업의 재무성과에 대한 차별성을 분석하고자 한다. 분석기간은 2011년부터 2016년까지이며, 자기상관과 이분산 문제를 해결하는데 상대적으로 효과적인 Robust Regression 방법론을 이용하여 분석하고자 한다. 분석결과, 사회적 책임활동(KEJI 지수)가 높을수록 재무성과에 긍정적인 영향을 미친다는 사실을 검증하였다. 또한 사회적 책임활동 우수기업과 그렇지 기업의 재무성과에 유의한 차이가 있음을 확인하였다. 이러한 결과는 기업의 재무전략수립에 중요한 시사점을 가질 것이며, 지속가능한 경영을 위해 노력하고 있는 금융업계에 유용한 정보로 작용할 것이다.

지역 금융포용 수준이 새마을금고의 경영지표에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Regional Financial Inclusion Level on Financial Cooperatives' Management Indicators)

  • 윤상용;김진희;박순홍
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.91-107
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This study quantitatively examines the level of financial inclusion of a microfinance institution in each region and how this is changing recently, and examines the level of financial inclusion by region and various financial characteristic factors related to it. It was empirically verified what kind of significant impact actually has on the institution's major management performance indicators (stability, profitability, efficiency, and public interest). Design/methodology/approach - It was confirmed that the institution's financial inclusion index declined rapidly after 2015 as a whole, although there were some differences by region depending on regional characteristics. However, considering the fact that the number of branches per 100,000 adult population is steadily increasing nationwide, it was found that, contrary to what is known, the simple decrease in the number of branches of the institution was not the main cause. Findings - The analysis results of this study show that the institution's efforts for financial inclusion have a positive impact on profitability, stability, efficiency, and public interest, and that the institution pursues profitability, efficiency, stability, and public interest. showed that some trade-offs exist. In other words, overall, it was analyzed that profitability of the institution has a positive effect on efficiency, and efficiency has a positive effect on stability and public interest. Research implications or Originality - Since the institution's efforts to improve its profitability do not have a negative impact on its stability and public interest, it is judged that it is important to take a strategic stance, so excessive loan supply that exceeds the scope of the institution's own control needs to be avoided as much as possible. More detailed financial supply strategies and business management capabilities that enhance the asset soundness and management efficiency of safes need to be demonstrated.

주가지수예측에서의 변환시점을 반영한 이단계 신경망 예측모형 (Two-Stage Forecasting Using Change-Point Detection and Artificial Neural Networks for Stock Price Index)

  • 오경주;김경재;한인구
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.99-111
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    • 2001
  • The prediction of stock price index is a very difficult problem because of the complexity of stock market data. It has been studied by a number of researchers since they strongly affect other economic and financial parameters. The movement of stock price index has a series of change points due to the strategies of institutional investors. This study presents a two-stage forecasting model of stock price index using change-point detection and artificial neural networks. The basic concept of this proposed model is to obtain intervals divided by change points, to identify them as change-point groups, and to use them in stock price index forecasting. First, the proposed model tries to detect successive change points in stock price index. Then, the model forecasts the change-point group with the backpropagation neural network(BPN). Finally, the model forecasts the output with BPN. This study then examines the predictability of the integrated neural network model for stock price index forecasting using change-point detection.

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