• Title/Summary/Keyword: Financial Profile

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Power transformation in quasi-likelihood innovations for GARCH volatility (금융 시계열 변동성 추정을 위한 준-우도 이노베이션의 멱변환)

  • Sunah, Chung;Sun Young, Hwang;Sung Duck, Lee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.755-764
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    • 2022
  • This paper is concerned with power transformations in estimating GARCH volatility. To handle a semi-parametric case for which the exact likelihood is not known, quasi-likelihood (QL) rather than maximum-likelihood method is investigated to best estimate GARCH via maximizing the information criteria. A power transformation is introduced in the innovation generating QL estimating functions and then optimum power is selected by maximizing the profile information. A combination of two different power transformations is also studied in order to increase the parameter estimation efficiency. Nine domestic stock prices data are analyzed to order to illustrate the main idea of the paper. The data span includes Covid-19 pandemic period in which financial time series are really volatile.

Global Oil Prices and Exchange Rate: Evidence from the Monetary Model

  • ZAFAR, Sadaf;KHAN, Muhammad Arshad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.189-201
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    • 2022
  • The study empirically examines the impact of monetary fundamentals along with global oil prices on the Pak-rupee exchange rate using the monthly data over 2001-2020. Employing the cointegrating vector autoregressive with exogenous variables (VARX) and vector error correction model with exogenous variables (VECMX), the study analyzes the impact of domestic monetary fundamentals while considering the foreign variables as weakly exogenous. In order to account for the structural breaks in the data, the Lagrange multiplier (LM) unit root test with two structural breaks has been used (Lee & Strazicich, 2003). The empirical results reveal that the domestic and foreign monetary variables significantly explain the exchange rate movements in Pakistan both in the long run and in the short run. The dynamic properties of the monetary model of exchange rate have been analyzed using the persistence profile analysis and generalized impulse response functions (GIRFs). The results reveal that the responses of shocks to domestic monetary fundamentals are consistent with the predictions of the monetary model of the exchange rate. Furthermore, being a net oil importer, a rise in global oil prices significantly depreciated the Pak-rupee exchange rate over the period of study. The global financial crisis (GFC) and pandemic (COVID-19) were also found to cause the Pak-rupee exchange rate depreciation.

Effective Normalization Method for Fraud Detection Using a Decision Tree (의사결정나무를 이용한 이상금융거래 탐지 정규화 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jae Hoon;Kim, Huy Kang;Kim, Eunjin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.133-146
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    • 2015
  • Ever sophisticated e-finance fraud techniques have led to an increasing number of reported phishing incidents. Financial authorities, in response, have recommended that we enhance existing Fraud Detection Systems (FDS) of banks and other financial institutions. FDSs are systems designed to prevent e-finance accidents through real-time access and validity checks on client transactions. The effectiveness of an FDS depends largely on how fast it can analyze and detect abnormalities in large amounts of customer transaction data. In this study we detect fraudulent transaction patterns and establish detection rules through e-finance accident data analyses. Abnormalities are flagged by comparing individual client transaction patterns with client profiles, using the ruleset. We propose an effective flagging method that uses decision trees to normalize detection rules. In demonstration, we extracted customer usage patterns, customer profile informations and detection rules from the e-finance accident data of an actual domestic(Korean) bank. We then compared the results of our decision tree-normalized detection rules with the results of a sequential detection and confirmed the efficiency of our methods.

Economic Assessment of the Battery Energy Storage System with Its Customer Type (수용가 형태에 따른 전지전력저장시스템의 경제성 평가)

  • 손학식;최준호;김재철
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2002
  • The Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) has lots of advantages such as load leveling, quick response emergency power (spinning reserve), frequency and voltage control, improvement of reliability, and deferred generation and transmission construction. However, it is very critical that economic feasibility requires justification from the customer side of meter to promoting the dissemination of BESS in nation widely. In this paper, we proposed the economic assessment model of customer owned BESS which is complemented and improved the existing model. The proposed model is applied to the typical customer types, i.e. light industrial, commercial, and residential, which are taken from the statistical analysis on the load profile survey of Korea Electric Power COmpany (KEPCO). The economic viability performed for each customer load type to justifying their economic feasibility of BESS installation from the economic measures such as payback period, Net Present Worth (NPW), Rate Of Return (ROR). The results show that the BESS has economic benefits to the specific customer type, i.e. residential customer. Therefore, the government and the energy agency should be committing the support program, such as tax incentive, financial support, to disseminate the BESS nation widely. The results of this paper are useful to the customer investment decision-making and the national energy policy & strategy in Korea.

The Effect of Baby-boomer Retirees' Consumption Patterns on Depression in Later Life (은퇴 베이비부머의 소비패턴과 우울에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Seo-Young;Hong, Song-Iee
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.349-368
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to empirically structure the patterns of baby boomer retirees'consumption and their effects on depression in later life. Using the 5th wave of Korea Retirement and Income Study(KReIS) in 2013, of baby boomers born in 1955 to 1963, we analyzed those who were completely retired(n=420). The Latent Profile Analysis(LPA) classified the empirical patterns of consumption and then a multiple regression analyzed the effect of consumption patterns on depression among these baby boomer retirees. The LPA results showed that the consumption patterns consist of five groups: (1) Basic life-oriented class(26.9%), (2) Balanced consumption class(29.3%), (3) Social life-oriented class(18.3%), (4) Leisure-oriented class(18.5%), and (5) Education-oriented class(7.0%). Baby boomer retirees' depression was associated with their consumption patterns. Specifically, the basic life-oriented class showed significantly lower depression than the education-oriented class. Other correlates such as higher education, having no spouse, lower subjective health, greater limitations in physical functions, having a diagnosed disability, having fewer children, higher dissatisfaction with leisure activities, and lower self-perceived economic status were associated with higher levels of depression in this study. These findings suggest meaningful implications for gerontological policy and practice for baby boomer retirees in Korea. In light of vulnerable retirement preparation, social services specialized for baby boomers should consider financial education for revamping consumption scale beyond asset management and long-term case management of pre and post retirement cases.

Certification and Management of Occupational Health Nurse in Korea (한국의 산업전문간호사 자격인증 및 제도운영방안)

  • June, Kyung-Ja;Kim, Young-Im;Jung, Hye-Sun;Lee, Bok-Im
    • Korean Journal of Occupational Health Nursing
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.50-58
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study was to develop the certification system, analyze the job profile of occupational health nurses, plan the education program and suggest the political recommendations. Many materials of KAOHN (Korean Association of Occupational Health Nurses) were collected and analyzed and many times of meetings and workshops were held to coordinate the various opinions from related organizations. The results were as follows; 1. The certification of occupational health nurse will be available to the nurses who have the careers more than three years, graduate the education program for certified occupational health nurse, and pass the certified occupational health nurse examination. 2. Two types of education program will be needed, one will be the one-year program for diploma nurses and the other will be master program for baccalaureate nurses. 3. The plan was made for 2000 occupational health nurses to be certified by 2010. By 2007, annually 200 occupational health nurses will graduate from one-year program and 40 occupational health nurses will graduate from master program. After than, 260 occupational health nurses will graduate from master program and 40 or 80 occupational health nurses will graduate from one-year program. 4. To facilitate the usage and motivation of certified occupational health nurse, political recommendations were suggested; revision of the related laws and regulations, the incentives for employers, and financial supports for the certified occupational health nurse educations by the government.

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A study of Factors Influencing Health Promoting Behavior in College Students (대학생의 건강증진행위에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Paek, Kyung-Shin
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.232-241
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    • 2003
  • Purpose: To investigate the factors influencing health promoting behavior in college students and to provide a basic data for developing an effective health promotion program. Method: The subjects were 711 college students living in Jecheon city and were selected using a convenience sampling method. The instruments used in this study included the Health Promoting Lifestyle Profile developed by Walker et al.(987). Perceived Health Status developed by Lawston et al. (1982). Self-Esteem scale developed by Rosenberg(1965), Self-Efficacy scale developed by Becker et al. (1993), and Health Locus of Control developed by Wallston et a1.(1978). The data were analyzed by descriptive statistics, pearson correlation coefficient, and stepwise multiple regression using SPSS/WIN program. Results: I) The mean score of health promoting behavior was 2.39 point out of 4. In terms of sub-domains of health promoting behavior, self-actualization(2.78) showed the highest mean score, followed by interpersonal support(2.75), stress management(2.38), nutrition(2.11), exercise(2.04), and health responsibility (1.97). 2) The health promoting behavior had significantly positive correlations with self-efficacy, powerful others health locus of control, internal health locus of control, chance health locus of control, and perceived health status. 3) In the relationship between general characteristics and health promoting behavior, health promoting behavior was significantly different by gender(t=2.17, p=.03), and financial status of parents (F=10.79. p= .00). 4) The most powerful predictor of health promoting behavior was self-efficacy. A combination of self-efficacy, self-esteem, powerful others health locus of control, and sex accounted for 40.4% of the total variance in health promoting behavior. Conclusion: The findings of this study showed that health responsibility and exercise were the domains where the college student showed relatively lower scores than other domains, self-efficacy was the most important predictor of health promoting behavior. Therefore, it is suggested that health promoting programs should focus on health responsibility, and exercise. Nursing strategies that can enhance self-efficacy should also be developed in order to promote healthy lifestyles in college students.

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The Profile of Child Care and the Policy Needs by Mother's Employment Status in Incheon (인천시 모(母)의 취업 여부에 따른 아동 돌봄 실태 및 정책 욕구)

  • Ha, Seok Cheol
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.446-455
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    • 2018
  • This study examined the time spent, the satisfaction level and the policy needs regarding child care by mother's employment status in Incheon. For this study, mothers with at least one child under the age of five were analyzed. The major results of this study include: First, unemployed mothers spent more time for child care than employed mothers. Second, unemployed mothers had significantly higher levels of satisfaction with child care than employed mothers, but only in the domain of physical care. Finally, the policy needs among mothers differed by their employment status while the financial support need for using a child care facility was high for both groups. This may be due in part to the increased likelihood of sending their child to a facility as their child ages, and the high cost of child care in Incheon. Based on the findings, policy implications are discussed.

Wage Determination Process and Income Disparity in Korean Metropolitan Cities (우리나라 광역대도시 지역노동시장의 임금결정과정과 소득격차)

  • 이원호
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.187-207
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    • 2002
  • This study investigates the wage determination process of regional labor markets in order to understand the regional dimension of labor market processes in Korean metropolitan cities. Since the financial crisis in late 1997, the interplay between labor market restructuring such as unemployment and skill polarization and income disparity has been shaped by the labor market process in the metropolitan cities. This is also closely related to the fact that both industrial restructuring and expanding information technologies in the metropolitan region have reshaped the labor demand structure and finally resulted in structural unemployment due to skill mismatch and spatial mismatch and wage inequality across different occupations. In addition, since wage determination process clearly has a regional dimension, wage determination and its influence on income profile in a certain regional labor market need to be understood by investigating its labor market characteristics including labor supply and demand structure, industrial changes, changing unemployment, etc. This is why labor market policy as a regional policy needs to be redefined and it can be much enhanced by geographical investigation on regional labor market.

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사업 포트폴리오의 기술시너지 효과 : 50대 재벌의 패널자료분석

  • 김태유;박경민
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.15-43
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    • 1997
  • This paper investigates empirically the relationship between various business portfolio properties (particularly technological properties) and chaebol's performance using data on the 50largest chaebols in Korea. In addition to the traditional indexes to measure diversification such as entropy index, we calculated inter-industry technological similarity using R'||'&'||'D expenditure data by industry and 1990 Input-output Table in korea, and obtained chaebol-level technological relatedness and internal transaction proportion from chaebols' business profile, inter-inustry technological similarity and 1990 input-output table. We applied factor analysis on 13 business portfolio property indexes and showed that they could be grouped into 3 dimensions. diversification scope, inter-business relatedness and degree of vertical integration. In this paper, using 50 largest chaebols' financial data (1989-1994), we analyzed empirically the effect of business portfolio properties on ROS(Return On Sales) which is conventional index for firm performance and on TFP(Total Factor Productivity) growth which is a pure measure of firm performance. To utilize the advantage of panel data, FEM(Fixed Effect Model) and REM(Random Effect Model) were used. The empirical result shows that the entropy index as a measurement of inter-business relatedness in not significant but technological relatedness index is significant. OLS estimates on pooled data were considerably different from FEM or REM estimates on panel data. By introducing interaction effect among the three variables for business portfolio properties, we obtained three findings. First, only VI(Vertical integration) has a significant positive correlation with ROS. Second, when using TFP growth as an dependent variable, both TR(Technological Relatedness) and VI are significant and positively related to the dependent variable. Third, the interaction term between TR and VI is significant and negatively affects TFP growth, meaning that TR and VI are substitutes. These results suggest strategic directions on restructuring business portfolio. As VI is increased, chaebols will get more profit. A higher level of either TR or VI will increase TFP growth rate, but increase in both TR and VI will have a negative effect on TFP growth. To summarize, certain business portfolio properties such as VI and TR can be considered "resources" themselves since they can affect profit rate and productivity growth. VI and TR have a synergy effect of change in profit rate and productivity growth. VI increases ROS and productivity growth, while TR increases productivity growth representing a technological synergy effect.t.

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