• 제목/요약/키워드: Failure Prognostics

검색결과 36건 처리시간 0.022초

제조로봇 고장예지진단을 위한 오픈소스기반 스마트 제조 빅데이터 플랫폼 구현 (Development and Implementation of Smart Manufacturing Big-Data Platform Using Opensource for Failure Prognostics and Diagnosis Technology of Industrial Robot)

  • 천승만;석수영
    • 대한임베디드공학회논문지
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.187-195
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    • 2019
  • In the fourth industrial revolution era, various commercial smart platforms for smart system implementation are being developed and serviced. However, since most of the smart platforms have been developed for general purposes, they are difficult to apply / utilize because they cannot satisfy the requirements of real-time data management, data visualization and data storage of smart factory system. In this paper, we implemented an open source based smart manufacturing big data platform that can manage highly efficient / reliable data integration for the diagnosis diagnostic system of manufacturing robots.

배터리 잔존 유효 수명 예측을 위한 전기화학 모델 기반 고장 예지 및 건전성 관리 기술 (Prognostics and Health Management for Battery Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Electrochemistry Model: A Tutorial)

  • 최요환;김홍석
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.939-949
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    • 2017
  • 고장 예지 및 건전성 관리 기술(Prognostics and Health Management; PHM)은 시스템의 현재 상태를 진단하고 향후 발생 가능한 고장 시점을 신뢰성 있게 예지하는 기술로써 유지 보수 비용의 절감 및 시스템의 안정성 향상을 꾀하고자 하는 다양한 산업분야에서 활발하게 이용되고 있다. 스마트 그리드의 에너지 저장장치, 전기차, 스마트폰, 항공우주산업 등 광범위한 사용처에서 중요한 에너지원으로 사용되고 있는 배터리 또한 성능 저하 및 폭발의 위험성으로부터 자유로울 수 없기 때문에 이러한 고장 예지 및 건전성 관리 기술이 반드시 적용되어야 할 어플리케이션이다. 본 논문에서는 PHM의 기본적인 개념을 소개함과 동시에 배터리의 잔존 유효 수명(Remaining Useful Life; RUL)을 예측하는 각종 알고리즘 및 성능 평가 지표 서술에 초점을 맞추도록 한다. 더불어 배터리의 기능적 동작 원리 및 전기화학 기반의 모델링에 대한 설명을 통해 향후 잠재적인 가능성을 지닌 배터리의 전반적인 특성에 대한 깊은 이해 및 응용 기술에 대한 통찰력을 제시하고자 한다.

RELIABILITY DATA UPDATE USING CONDITION MONITORING AND PROGNOSTICS IN PROBABILISTIC SAFETY ASSESSMENT

  • KIM, HYEONMIN;LEE, SANG-HWAN;PARK, JUN-SEOK;KIM, HYUNGDAE;CHANG, YOON-SUK;HEO, GYUNYOUNG
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.204-211
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    • 2015
  • Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has had a significant role in quantitative decision-making by finding design and operational vulnerabilities and evaluating cost-benefit in improving such weak points. In particular, it has been widely used as the core methodology for risk-informed applications (RIAs). Even though the nature of PSA seeks realistic results, there are still "conservative" aspects. One of the sources for the conservatism is the assumptions of safety analysis and the estimation of failure frequency. Surveillance, diagnosis, and prognosis (SDP), utilizing massive databases and information technology, is worth highlighting in terms of its capability for alleviating the conservatism in conventional PSA. This article provides enabling techniques to solidify a method to provide time- and condition-dependent risks by integrating a conventional PSA model with condition monitoring and prognostics techniques. We will discuss how to integrate the results with frequency of initiating events (IEs) and probability of basic events (BEs). Two illustrative examples will be introduced: (1) how the failure probability of a passive system can be evaluated under different plant conditions and (2) how the IE frequency for a steam generator tube rupture (SGTR) can be updated in terms of operating time. We expect that the proposed model can take a role of annunciator to show the variation of core damage frequency (CDF) depending on operational conditions.

PCA-SVM 기반의 SMPS 고장예지에 관한 연구 (Fault Prognostics of a SMPS based on PCA-SVM)

  • 유연수;김동현;김설;허장욱
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제19권9호
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2020
  • With the 4th industrial revolution, condition monitoring using machine learning techniques has become popular among researchers. An overload due to complex operations causes several irregularities in MOSFETs. This study investigated the acquired voltage to analyze the overcurrent effects on MOSFETs using a failure mode effect analysis (FMEA). The results indicated that the voltage pattern changes greatly when the current is beyond the threshold value. Several features were extracted from the collected voltage signals that indicate the health state of a switched-mode power supply (SMPS). Then, the data were reduced to a smaller sample space by using a principal component analysis (PCA). A robust machine learning algorithm, the support vector machine (SVM), was used to classify different health states of an SMPS, and the classification results are presented for different parameters. An SVM approach assisted by a PCA algorithm provides a strong fault diagnosis framework for an SMPS.

INCORPORATING PRIOR BELIEF IN THE GENERAL PATH MODEL: A COMPARISON OF INFORMATION SOURCES

  • Coble, Jamie;Hines, J. W esley
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제46권6호
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    • pp.773-782
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    • 2014
  • The general path model (GPM) is one approach for performing degradation-based, or Type III, prognostics. The GPM fits a parametric function to the collected observations of a prognostic parameter and extrapolates the fit to a failure threshold. This approach has been successfully applied to a variety of systems when a sufficient number of prognostic parameter observations are available. However, the parametric fit can suffer significantly when few data are available or the data are very noisy. In these instances, it is beneficial to include additional information to influence the fit to conform to a prior belief about the evolution of system degradation. Bayesian statistical approaches have been proposed to include prior information in the form of distributions of expected model parameters. This requires a number of run-to-failure cases with tracked prognostic parameters; these data may not be readily available for many systems. Reliability information and stressor-based (Type I and Type II, respectively) prognostic estimates can provide the necessary prior belief for the GPM. This article presents the Bayesian updating framework to include prior information in the GPM and compares the efficacy of including different information sources on two data sets.

Failure prediction of a motor-driven gearbox in a pulverizer under external noise and disturbance

  • Park, Jungho;Jeon, Byungjoo;Park, Jongmin;Cui, Jinshi;Kim, Myungyon;Youn, Byeng D.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2018
  • Participants in the Asia Pacific Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2017 (PHMAP 2017) Data Challenge were given measured vibration signals from motor-driven gearboxes used in pulverizers. Using this information, participants were requested to predict failure dates and the faulty components. The measured signals were affected by significant noise and disturbance, as the pulverizers in the provided data worked under actual operating conditions. This paper thus presents a fault prediction method for a motor-driven gearbox in a pulverizer system that can perform under external noise and disturbance conditions. First, two fault features, an RMS value in the higher frequency zones (HRMS) and an amplitude of a period for high-speed shaft in the quefrency domain ($QA_{HSS}$), were extracted based on frequency analysis using the higher and lower sampling rate data. The two features were then applied to each pulverizer based on results of frequency responses to impact loadings. Then, a regression analysis was used to predict the failure date using the two extracted features. A weighted regression analysis was used to compensate for the imbalance of the features in the given period. In addition, the faulty components in the motor-driven gearboxes were predicted based on the modulated frequency components. The score predicted by the proposed approach was ranked first in the PHMAP 2017 Data Challenge.

비선형모델링을 통한 온습도 바이어스 시험 중의 다층 세라믹축전기 수명 예측 (Failure Prediction of Multilayer Ceramic Capacitors (MLCCs) under Temperature-Humidity-Bias Testing Conditions Using Non-Linear Modeling)

  • 권대일
    • 마이크로전자및패키징학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.7-10
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    • 2013
  • This study presents an approach to predict insulation resistance failure of multilayer ceramic capacitors (MLCCs) using non-linear modeling. A capacitance aging model created by non-linear modeling allowed for the prediction of insulation resistance failure. The MLCC data tested under temperature-humidity-bias testing conditions showed that a change in capacitance, when measured against a capacitance aging model, was able to provide a prediction of insulation resistance failure.

SVM 기법을 적용한 구름베어링의 부식 고장진단 (Corrosion Failure Diagnosis of Rolling Bearing with SVM)

  • 고정일;이의영;이민재;최성대;허장욱
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제20권9호
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2021
  • A rotor is a crucial component in various mechanical assemblies. Additionally, high-speed and high-efficiency components are required in the automotive industry, manufacturing industry, and turbine systems. In particular, the failure of high-speed rotating bearings has catastrophic effects on auxiliary systems. Therefore, bearing reliability and fault diagnosis are essential for bearing maintenance. In this work, we performed failure mode and effect analysis on bearing rotors and determined that corrosion is the most critical failure type. Furthermore, we conducted experiments to extract vibration characteristic data and preprocess the vibration data through principle component analysis. Finally, we applied a machine learning algorithm called support vector machine to diagnose the failure and observed a classification performance of 98%.

변동진폭하중 하에서 균열성장 예측의 실험적 검증 (Experimental Validation of Crack Growth Prognosis under Variable Amplitude Loads)

  • 임상혁;안다운;임체규;황웅기;최주호
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 모드 I의 변동진폭하중 하에서 평판의 두께관통 균열성장을 예측하고 예측결과를 실험을 통해 검증하였다. 균열성장 모델을 위해 과하중으로 인한 균열가속과 지연효과를 고려하는 Huang의 모델식을 이용하였다. 실험적 검증을 위해 Al6016-T6 평판 균열을 제작하여 변동하중을 부여하고 균열길이를 일정 주기로 육안 측정하였다. 측정데이터로부터 모델 변수를 추정하기 위해 베이지안 접근법에 기반한 파티클 필터 방법을 이용하였고, 이를 통해 위험크기까지의 미래 거동 및 잔존수명을 확률적으로 예측하였으며, 이를 실제 실험한 결과와 비교하였다. 그 결과 변동하중에 의한 균열지연이 잘 예측됨을 확인하였고, 측정 데이터가 증가할수록 예측된 중앙값(median)이 실제와 점점 더 일치하였다.

머신러닝을 이용한 드론의 고장진단에 관한 연구 (Fault Diagnosis of Drone Using Machine Learning)

  • 박수현;도재석;최성대;허장욱
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제20권9호
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2021
  • The Fourth Industrial Revolution has led to the development of drones for commercial and private applications. Therefore, the malfunction of drones has become a prominent problem. Failure mode and effect analysis was used in this study to analyze the primary cause of drone failure, and blade breakage was observed to have the highest frequency of failure. This was tested using a vibration sensor placed on drones along the breakage length of the blades. The data exhibited a significant increase in vibration within the drone body for blade fracture length. Principal component analysis was used to reduce the data dimension and classify the state with machine learning algorithms such as support vector machine, k-nearest neighbor, Gaussian naive Bayes, and random forest. The performance of machine learning was higher than 0.95 for the four algorithms in terms of accuracy, precision, recall, and f1-score. A follow-up study on failure prediction will be conducted based on the results of fault diagnosis.