• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure Prognostics

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Development and Implementation of Smart Manufacturing Big-Data Platform Using Opensource for Failure Prognostics and Diagnosis Technology of Industrial Robot (제조로봇 고장예지진단을 위한 오픈소스기반 스마트 제조 빅데이터 플랫폼 구현)

  • Chun, Seung-Man;Suk, Soo-Young
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.187-195
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    • 2019
  • In the fourth industrial revolution era, various commercial smart platforms for smart system implementation are being developed and serviced. However, since most of the smart platforms have been developed for general purposes, they are difficult to apply / utilize because they cannot satisfy the requirements of real-time data management, data visualization and data storage of smart factory system. In this paper, we implemented an open source based smart manufacturing big data platform that can manage highly efficient / reliable data integration for the diagnosis diagnostic system of manufacturing robots.

Prognostics and Health Management for Battery Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Electrochemistry Model: A Tutorial (배터리 잔존 유효 수명 예측을 위한 전기화학 모델 기반 고장 예지 및 건전성 관리 기술)

  • Choi, Yohwan;Kim, Hongseok
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.939-949
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    • 2017
  • Prognostics and health management(PHM) is actively utilized by industry as an essential technology focusing on accurately monitoring the health state of a system and predicting the remaining useful life(RUL). An effective PHM is expected to reduce maintenance costs as well as improve safety of system by preventing failure in advance. With these advantages, PHM can be applied to the battery system which is a core element to provide electricity for devices with mobility, since battery faults could lead to operational downtime, performance degradation, and even catastrophic loss of human life by unexpected explosion due to non-linear characteristics of battery. In this paper we mainly review a recent progress on various models for predicting RUL of battery with high accuracy satisfying the given confidence interval level. Moreover, performance evaluation metrics for battery prognostics are presented in detail to show the strength of these metrics compared to the traditional ones used in the existing forecasting applications.

RELIABILITY DATA UPDATE USING CONDITION MONITORING AND PROGNOSTICS IN PROBABILISTIC SAFETY ASSESSMENT

  • KIM, HYEONMIN;LEE, SANG-HWAN;PARK, JUN-SEOK;KIM, HYUNGDAE;CHANG, YOON-SUK;HEO, GYUNYOUNG
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.204-211
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    • 2015
  • Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has had a significant role in quantitative decision-making by finding design and operational vulnerabilities and evaluating cost-benefit in improving such weak points. In particular, it has been widely used as the core methodology for risk-informed applications (RIAs). Even though the nature of PSA seeks realistic results, there are still "conservative" aspects. One of the sources for the conservatism is the assumptions of safety analysis and the estimation of failure frequency. Surveillance, diagnosis, and prognosis (SDP), utilizing massive databases and information technology, is worth highlighting in terms of its capability for alleviating the conservatism in conventional PSA. This article provides enabling techniques to solidify a method to provide time- and condition-dependent risks by integrating a conventional PSA model with condition monitoring and prognostics techniques. We will discuss how to integrate the results with frequency of initiating events (IEs) and probability of basic events (BEs). Two illustrative examples will be introduced: (1) how the failure probability of a passive system can be evaluated under different plant conditions and (2) how the IE frequency for a steam generator tube rupture (SGTR) can be updated in terms of operating time. We expect that the proposed model can take a role of annunciator to show the variation of core damage frequency (CDF) depending on operational conditions.

Fault Prognostics of a SMPS based on PCA-SVM (PCA-SVM 기반의 SMPS 고장예지에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Yeon-Su;Kim, Dong-Hyeon;Kim, Seol;Hur, Jang-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2020
  • With the 4th industrial revolution, condition monitoring using machine learning techniques has become popular among researchers. An overload due to complex operations causes several irregularities in MOSFETs. This study investigated the acquired voltage to analyze the overcurrent effects on MOSFETs using a failure mode effect analysis (FMEA). The results indicated that the voltage pattern changes greatly when the current is beyond the threshold value. Several features were extracted from the collected voltage signals that indicate the health state of a switched-mode power supply (SMPS). Then, the data were reduced to a smaller sample space by using a principal component analysis (PCA). A robust machine learning algorithm, the support vector machine (SVM), was used to classify different health states of an SMPS, and the classification results are presented for different parameters. An SVM approach assisted by a PCA algorithm provides a strong fault diagnosis framework for an SMPS.

INCORPORATING PRIOR BELIEF IN THE GENERAL PATH MODEL: A COMPARISON OF INFORMATION SOURCES

  • Coble, Jamie;Hines, J. W esley
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.773-782
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    • 2014
  • The general path model (GPM) is one approach for performing degradation-based, or Type III, prognostics. The GPM fits a parametric function to the collected observations of a prognostic parameter and extrapolates the fit to a failure threshold. This approach has been successfully applied to a variety of systems when a sufficient number of prognostic parameter observations are available. However, the parametric fit can suffer significantly when few data are available or the data are very noisy. In these instances, it is beneficial to include additional information to influence the fit to conform to a prior belief about the evolution of system degradation. Bayesian statistical approaches have been proposed to include prior information in the form of distributions of expected model parameters. This requires a number of run-to-failure cases with tracked prognostic parameters; these data may not be readily available for many systems. Reliability information and stressor-based (Type I and Type II, respectively) prognostic estimates can provide the necessary prior belief for the GPM. This article presents the Bayesian updating framework to include prior information in the GPM and compares the efficacy of including different information sources on two data sets.

Failure prediction of a motor-driven gearbox in a pulverizer under external noise and disturbance

  • Park, Jungho;Jeon, Byungjoo;Park, Jongmin;Cui, Jinshi;Kim, Myungyon;Youn, Byeng D.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2018
  • Participants in the Asia Pacific Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2017 (PHMAP 2017) Data Challenge were given measured vibration signals from motor-driven gearboxes used in pulverizers. Using this information, participants were requested to predict failure dates and the faulty components. The measured signals were affected by significant noise and disturbance, as the pulverizers in the provided data worked under actual operating conditions. This paper thus presents a fault prediction method for a motor-driven gearbox in a pulverizer system that can perform under external noise and disturbance conditions. First, two fault features, an RMS value in the higher frequency zones (HRMS) and an amplitude of a period for high-speed shaft in the quefrency domain ($QA_{HSS}$), were extracted based on frequency analysis using the higher and lower sampling rate data. The two features were then applied to each pulverizer based on results of frequency responses to impact loadings. Then, a regression analysis was used to predict the failure date using the two extracted features. A weighted regression analysis was used to compensate for the imbalance of the features in the given period. In addition, the faulty components in the motor-driven gearboxes were predicted based on the modulated frequency components. The score predicted by the proposed approach was ranked first in the PHMAP 2017 Data Challenge.

Failure Prediction of Multilayer Ceramic Capacitors (MLCCs) under Temperature-Humidity-Bias Testing Conditions Using Non-Linear Modeling (비선형모델링을 통한 온습도 바이어스 시험 중의 다층 세라믹축전기 수명 예측)

  • Kwon, Daeil;Azarian, Michael H.;Pecht, Michael
    • Journal of the Microelectronics and Packaging Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.7-10
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    • 2013
  • This study presents an approach to predict insulation resistance failure of multilayer ceramic capacitors (MLCCs) using non-linear modeling. A capacitance aging model created by non-linear modeling allowed for the prediction of insulation resistance failure. The MLCC data tested under temperature-humidity-bias testing conditions showed that a change in capacitance, when measured against a capacitance aging model, was able to provide a prediction of insulation resistance failure.

Corrosion Failure Diagnosis of Rolling Bearing with SVM (SVM 기법을 적용한 구름베어링의 부식 고장진단)

  • Go, Jeong-Il;Lee, Eui-Young;Lee, Min-Jae;Choi, Seong-Dae;Hur, Jang-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2021
  • A rotor is a crucial component in various mechanical assemblies. Additionally, high-speed and high-efficiency components are required in the automotive industry, manufacturing industry, and turbine systems. In particular, the failure of high-speed rotating bearings has catastrophic effects on auxiliary systems. Therefore, bearing reliability and fault diagnosis are essential for bearing maintenance. In this work, we performed failure mode and effect analysis on bearing rotors and determined that corrosion is the most critical failure type. Furthermore, we conducted experiments to extract vibration characteristic data and preprocess the vibration data through principle component analysis. Finally, we applied a machine learning algorithm called support vector machine to diagnose the failure and observed a classification performance of 98%.

Experimental Validation of Crack Growth Prognosis under Variable Amplitude Loads (변동진폭하중 하에서 균열성장 예측의 실험적 검증)

  • Leem, Sang-Hyuck;An, Dawn;Lim, Che-Kyu;Hwang, Woongki;Choi, Joo-Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2012
  • In this study, crack growth in a center-cracked plate is predicted under mode I variable amplitude loading, and the result is validated by experiment. Huang's model is employed to describe crack growth with acceleration and retardation due to the variable loading effect. Experiment is conducted with Al6016-T6 plate, in which the load is applied, and crack length is measured periodically. Particle Filter algorithm, which is based on the Bayesian approach, is used to estimate model parameters from the experimental data, and predict the crack growth of the future in the probabilistic way. The prediction is validated by the run-to-failure results, from which it is observed that the method predicts well the unique behavior of crack retardation and the more data are used, the closer prediction we get to the actual run-to-failure data.

Fault Diagnosis of Drone Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 이용한 드론의 고장진단에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Soo-Hyun;Do, Jae-Seok;Choi, Seong-Dae;Hur, Jang-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2021
  • The Fourth Industrial Revolution has led to the development of drones for commercial and private applications. Therefore, the malfunction of drones has become a prominent problem. Failure mode and effect analysis was used in this study to analyze the primary cause of drone failure, and blade breakage was observed to have the highest frequency of failure. This was tested using a vibration sensor placed on drones along the breakage length of the blades. The data exhibited a significant increase in vibration within the drone body for blade fracture length. Principal component analysis was used to reduce the data dimension and classify the state with machine learning algorithms such as support vector machine, k-nearest neighbor, Gaussian naive Bayes, and random forest. The performance of machine learning was higher than 0.95 for the four algorithms in terms of accuracy, precision, recall, and f1-score. A follow-up study on failure prediction will be conducted based on the results of fault diagnosis.