• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure Prediction Model

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Shear Capacity Curve Model for Seismic Design of Circular RC Bridge Columns (RC 원형교각의 내진설계를 위한 전단성능곡선)

  • Lee Jae Hoon;Ko Seong Hyun;Choi Jin Ho;Kwon Soon Hong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.93-96
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    • 2005
  • Since the columns with flexure-shear failure have lower ductility than those with flexural failure, shear capacity curve models shall be applied as well as flexural capacity curve in order to determine ultimate displacement for seismic design or performance evaluation. In this paper, a modified shear capacity curve model is proposed and compared with the other models such as the CALTRANS model, Aschheim et al.'s model, and Priestley et al.'s model. Four shear capacity curve models are applied to the 4 full scale circular bridge column test results and the accuracy of each model is discussed. It may not be fully adequate to drive a final decision from the application to the limited number of test results, however the proposed model provides the better prediction of failure mode and ultimate displacement than the other models for the selected column test results.

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Evaluation of Shear Capacity Curve Model for Seismic Design (내진설계를 위한 전단성능곡선 모델의 평가)

  • Ko, Seong-Hyun;Lee, Jae-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.186-189
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    • 2006
  • Since the columns with flexure-shear failure have lower ductility than those with flexural failure, shear capacity curve models shall be applied as well as flexural capacity curve in order to determine ultimate displacement for seismic design or performance evaluation. In this paper, a proposed modified shear capacity curve model is compared with the other models such as the CALTRANS model, Aschheim et al.'s model, and Priestley et al.'s model. Four shear capacity curve models are applied to the 4 full scale and 7 small scale circular bridge column test results and the accuracy of each model is discussed. It may not be fully adequate to drive a final decision from the application to the limited number of test results, however the proposed model provides the better prediction of failure mode and ultimate displacement than the other models for the selected column test results.

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Life Testing Simulation for Reliability Prediction (신뢰도 예측을 위한 수명시험 시뮬레이션)

  • Kim, Yon-Soo;Chung, Young-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.124-131
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents a spreadsheet-based reliability prediction simulation framework for the conceptual product design stage to acquire system reliability information in timely manner. During early stage, reliability performance deals with both known and unknown failure rates and component-level and subsystem-level failure estimate to predict system reliability. A technique for performing life testing simulation using Excel spreadsheet has been developed under the such circumstances. This paper also discuss the results obtainable from this method such as reliability estimate, mean and variance of failures and confidence intervals. The resultant of this reliability prediction system is mainly benefitting small and medium-sized enterprise's field engineers.

Work Roll Diagnosis by Roll Life Prediction Model in Hot Rolling Process (Roll 수명예측모델에 의한 열연작업롤 진단)

  • Bae, Yong-Hwan;Jang, Sam-Kyu;Lee, Seok-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 1993
  • It is important to prevent roll failure in hot rolling process for reducing maintenance coat and production loss. Roll material and rolling conditions such as the roll force and torque have been intensively investigated to overcome the roll failures. In this study, a computer roll life prediction system under working condition is developed and evaluated on IBM-PC level. The system is composed and fatigue estimation models which are stress analysis, crack propagation, wear and fatigue estimation. Roll damage can be predicted by calculating the stress anplification, crack depth propagation and fatigue level in the roll using this computer model. The developed system is applied to a work roll in actual hot rolling process for reliability evaluation. Roll failures can be diagnosed and the propriety of current working condition can be determined through roll life prediction simulation.

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Failure Pressure Prediction of Composite Cylinders for Hydrogen Storage Using Thermo-mechanical Analysis and Neural Network

  • Hu, J.;Sundararaman, S.;Menta, V.G.K.;Chandrashekhara, K.;Chernicoff, William
    • Advanced Composite Materials
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.233-249
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    • 2009
  • Safe installation and operation of high-pressure composite cylinders for hydrogen storage are of primary concern. It is unavoidable for the cylinders to experience temperature variation and significant thermal input during service. The maximum failure pressure that the cylinder can sustain is affected due to the dependence of composite material properties on temperature and complexity of cylinder design. Most of the analysis reported for high-pressure composite cylinders is based on simplifying assumptions and does not account for complexities like thermo-mechanical behavior and temperature dependent material properties. In the present work, a comprehensive finite element simulation tool for the design of hydrogen storage cylinder system is developed. The structural response of the cylinder is analyzed using laminated shell theory accounting for transverse shear deformation and geometric nonlinearity. A composite failure model is used to evaluate the failure pressure under various thermo-mechanical loadings. A back-propagation neural network (NNk) model is developed to predict the maximum failure pressure using the analysis results. The failure pressures predicted from NNk model are compared with those from test cases. The developed NNk model is capable of predicting the failure pressure for any given loading condition.

The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using Time Series Analysis. (시계열 분석을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2011
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing, For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. In this study, time series analys is used in the simple moving average and weighted moving averages, exponential smoothing method for predict the future failure times, Empirical analysis used interval failure time for the prediction of this model. Model selection using the mean square error was presented for effective comparison.

Prediction Intervals for Proportional Hazard Rate Models Based on Progressively Type II Censored Samples

  • Asgharzadeh, A.;Valiollahi, R.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we present two methods for obtaining prediction intervals for the times to failure of units censored in multiple stages in a progressively censored sample from proportional hazard rate models. A numerical example and a Monte Carlo simulation study are presented to illustrate the prediction methods.

Strength Prediction Model of Rapid Prototyping Parts - Fused Deposition Modeling (FDM) (쾌속조형재료의 강도예측모델 - Fused Deposition Modeling (FDM))

  • 안성훈;이선영;백창일;추원식
    • Composites Research
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.38-43
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    • 2002
  • Rapid Prototyping(RP) technologies provide the ability to fabricate initial prototypes from various model materials. Stratasys' Fused Deposition Modeling(FDM) is a typical RP process that can fabricate prototypes out of plastic materials, and the parts made from FDM were often used as load-carrying elements. Because FDM deposits materials in about 300$\mu$m thin filament with designated orientation, parts made from FDM show anisotropic material properties. In this paper an analytic model was proposed to predict the tensile strength of FDM parts. Applying the Classical Lamination Theory, which was developed for laminated composite materials, a computer code was implemented. Tsai-Wu failure criterion was added to the code to predict the failure of the FDM parts. The tensile strengths predicted by the analytic model were compared with experimental data. The data and prediction agreed reasonably well to prove the validity of the model. In addition, a web-based advisory service(FDMAS) was developed to provide strength prediction and design rules for FDM parts.

Deep Learning Based TSV Hole TCD Measurement (딥러닝 기반의 TSV Hole TCD 계측 방법)

  • Jeong, Jun Hee;Gu, Chang Mo;Cho, Joong Hwee
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2021
  • The TCD is used as one of the indicators for determining whether TSV Hole is defective. If the TCD is not normal size, it can lead to contamination of the CMP equipment or failure to connect the upper and lower chips. We propose a deep learning model for measuring the TCD. To verify the performance of the proposed model, we compared the prediction results of the proposed model for 2461 via holes with the CD-SEM measurement data and the prediction results of the existing model. Although the number of trainable parameters in the proposed model was about one two-thousandth of the existing model, the results were comparable. The experiment showed that the correlation between CD-SEM and the prediction results of the proposed model measured 98%, the mean absolute difference was 0.051um, the standard deviation of the absolute difference was 0.045um, and the maximum absolute difference was 0.299um on average.

Damage-controlled test to determine the input parameters for CWFS model and its application to simulation of brittle failure (CWFS모델변수 결정을 위한 손상제어시험 및 이를 활용한 취성파괴모델링)

  • Cheon, Dae-Sung;Park, Chan;Jeon, Seok-Won;Jung, Yong-Bok
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.263-273
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    • 2007
  • When a tunnel or an underground structure is excavated in deep geological environments, the failure process is affected and eventually dominated by stress-induced fractures growing preferentially parallel to the excavation boundary. This fracturing is generally referred to as brittle failure by spatting and slabbing. Continuum models with traditional failure criteria such as Hoek-Brown or Mohr-Coulomb criteria have not been successful in prediction of the extent and depth of brittle failure. Instead cohesion weakening and frictional strengthening (CWFS) model is known to predict brittle failure well. In this study, CWFS model was applied to predict the brittle failure around a circular opening observed in physical model experiments. To obtain the input parameters for CWFS model, damage-controlled tests were carried out. The predicted depth and extent of brittle failure using CWFS model were compared to the results of the physical model experiment and numerical simulation using traditional model.

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