• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure Distribution

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Interaction Effects of Lay Theories and Failure Type on Adaptive versus Compensatory Consumption Behavior

  • Choi, Nak-Hwan;Wang, Li;Chen, Chang
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.9 no.7
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This paper aims at exploring the effects of failure types such as failure in promotion orientation and failure in prevention orientation on consumers' consumption behavior, and the moderation role of lay theories in the effects. Research design, data, and methodology - This study employed 2 between-subject designs(failure in promotion orientation vs. failure in prevention orientation) and also 2 (failure in promotion orientation vs. failure in prevention orientation) with implicit self as the within-subject. Chinese consumers participated in the empirical study, and to verify the hypotheses ANOVA, T-test and regression analysis were used. Results - Consumers were more likely to choose adaptive consumption behavior rather than compensatory consumption behavior when they were encountered with failure in promotion orientation versus failure in prevention orientation. Lay theories did play the moderation role in the effect of failure types on consumption behavior. The incremental theorists who think that effort is an important way to accomplish their learning goals showed more willingness to conduct compensatory consumption behavior rather than adaptive consumption behavior. Conclusions - Marketers should put more attention on the ways by which their products can help consumers self-improve when consumers encounter with failure. They should also be aware of the importance of consumers' mindsets when designing and developing advertising messages.

An Approach for the NHPP Software Reliability Model Using Erlang Distribution (어랑 분포를 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Hee-Cheul;Choi Yue-Soon;Park Jong-Goo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2006
  • The finite failure NHPP models proposed in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, we propose the Erlang reliability model, which can capture the increasing nature of the failure occurrence rate per fault. Equations to estimate the parameters of the Erlang finite failure NHPP model based on failure data collected in the form of inter-failure times are developed. For the sake of proposing shape parameter of the Erlang distribution, we used to the goodness-of-fit test of distribution. Data set, where the underlying failure process could not be adequately described by the existing models, which motivated the development of the Erlang model. Analysis of the failure data set which led us to the Erlang model, using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, goodness-of-fit test, bias tests is presented.

A Study on Failure Rate Extraction of Distribution System Equipment considering Regional Characteristics (지역특성을 고려한 배전설비 고장률 산출에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Kyu-Wan;Chai, hui-Seok;Moon, Jong-Fil
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.65 no.3
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    • pp.199-203
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    • 2016
  • The cost needed to managing equipment is constantly increasing because of increase of power equipment. The regulations such as PAS 55 and ISO 55000 were enacted to manage equipment assets. The advanced management methods such as real-time monitoring, condition evaluation, and health indices are avalable in generation system, transmission system, and substation transformers. However, These methods can not be applied to distribution equipment because of a lot of equipment. Therefore reliability assessment is very important in case of distribution equipment. In this paper, failure rates are extracted considering characteristics of regions, and which are the essential factors to reliability evaluation.

A Performance Comparative Evaluation for Finite and Infinite Failure Software Reliability Model using the Erlang Distribution (어랑분포를 적용한 유한 및 무한 고장 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 관한 성능 비교 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Tae-Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.351-358
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    • 2016
  • Science and technology is developing rapidly as more powerful software with the rapid development of software testing and reliability assessment by the difficulty increases with the complexity of the software features of the larger increases NHPP software reliability models for failure analysis can have, in the literature, exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, finite failure NHPP models that assuming the expected value of the defect and infinite failures NHPP models that repairing software failure point in time reflects the situation, were presented for comparing property. Commonly used in the field of software reliability based on Erlang distribution software reliability model finite failures and infinite failures were presented for performance comparative evaluation problem. As a result, finite failure model is better than infinite failure model effectively. The parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation in the course of this study was conducted. As the results of this research, software developers to identify software failure property be able to help is concluded.

Reliability Assessment of Machine Tools Using Failure Mode Analysis Programs (고장모드 분석 프로그램을 통한 공작기계의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Kim Bong-Suk;Lee Soo-Hun;Song Jun-Yeob;Lee Seung-Woo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2005
  • For reliability assessment for machine tools, failure mode analyses by two viewpoints were studied in this paper. First, this study developed the reliability data analysis program, which searches f3r optimal failure distribution like failure rate or MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure) using failure data and reliability test data of mechanical parts in the web. Moreover, this data analysis program saves both failure data or reliability data and their failure rate or MTBF for database establishment. Second, this paper conducted failure mode analysis through such performance tests as circular movement test and vibration testing for machine tools when reliability data is not available. A developed web-based analysis program shows correlations between failure mode and performance test result and also accumulates all the data. These kinds of data analysis programs and stored data furnish valuable information for improving the reliability of mechanical system.

Infinite Failure NHPP Software Mixture Reliability Growth Model Base on Record Value Statistics (기록값 통계량에 기초한 무한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 혼합 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2007
  • Infinite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, exponential distribution and Rayleigh distribution model was reviewed, proposes the mixture reliability model, which made out efficiency substituted for situation for failure time Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE and Kolmogorov distance, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Analysis of failure using S27 data set for the sake of proposing shape parameter of the mixture distribution was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with the mixture distribution model and the existing model(using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, bias tests) is presented.

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Fatigue reliability analysis of steel bridge welding member by fracture mechanics method

  • Park, Yeon-Soo;Han, Suk-Yeol;Suh, Byoung-Chul
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.347-359
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    • 2005
  • This paper attempts to develop the analytical model of estimating the fatigue damage using a linear elastic fracture mechanics method. The stress history on a welding member, when a truck passed over a bridge, was defined as a block loading and the crack closure theory was used. These theories explain the influence of a load on a structure. This study undertook an analysis of the stress range frequency considering both dead load stress and crack opening stress. A probability method applied to stress range frequency distribution and the probability distribution parameters of it was obtained by Maximum likelihood Method and Determinant. Monte Carlo Simulation which generates a probability variants (stress range) output failure block loadings. The probability distribution of failure block loadings was acquired by Maximum likelihood Method and Determinant. This can calculate the fatigue reliability preventing the fatigue failure of a welding member. The failure block loading divided by the average daily truck traffic is a predictive remaining life by a day. Fatigue reliability analysis was carried out for the welding member of the bottom flange of a cross beam and the vertical stiffener of a steel box bridge by the proposed model. Results showed that the primary factor effecting failure time was crack opening stress. It was important to decide the crack opening stress for using the proposed model. Also according to the 50% reliability and 90%, 99.9% failure times were indicated.

A data-driven method for the reliability analysis of a transmission line under wind loads

  • Xing Fu;Wen-Long Du;Gang Li;Zhi-Qian Dong;Hong-Nan Li
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.461-473
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    • 2024
  • This study focuses on the reliability of a transmission line under wind excitation and evaluates the failure probability using explicit data resources. The data-driven framework for calculating the failure probability of a transmission line subjected to wind loading is presented, and a probabilistic method for estimating the yearly extreme wind speeds in each wind direction is provided to compensate for the incompleteness of meteorological data. Meteorological data from the Xuwen National Weather Station are used to analyze the distribution characteristics of wind speed and wind direction, fitted with the generalized extreme value distribution. Then, the most vulnerable tower is identified to obtain the fragility curves in all wind directions based on uncertainty analysis. Finally, the failure probabilities are calculated based on the presented method. The simulation results reveal that the failure probability of the employed tower increases over time and that the joint probability distribution of the wind speed and wind direction must be considered to avoid overestimating the failure probability. Additionally, the mixed wind climates (synoptic wind and typhoon) have great influence on the estimation of structural failure probability and should be considered.

Estimation of Local Strain Distribution of Shear-Compressive Failure Type Beam Using Digital Image Processing Technology (화상계측기법에 의한 전단압축파괴형 보의 국부변형률분포 추정)

  • Kwon, Yong-Gil;Han, Sang-Hoon;Hong, Ki-Nam
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.121-127
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    • 2009
  • The failure behavior of RC structure was exceedingly affected by the size and the local strain distribution of the failure zone due to the strain localization behavior on the tension softening materials. However, it is very difficult to quantify and assess the local strain occurring in the failure zone by the conventional test method. In this study, image processing technology, which is available to measure the strain up to the complete failure of RC structures, was used to estimate the local strain distribution and the size of failure zone. In order to verify the reliability and validity for the image processing technology, the strain transition acquired by the image processing technology was compared with strain values measured by the concrete gauge on the uniaxial compressive specimens. Based on the verification of image processing technology for the uniaxial compressive specimens, the size and the local strain distribution of the failure zone of deep beam was measured using the image processing technology. With the results of test, the principal tensile/compressive strain contours were drawn. Using the strain contours, the size of the failure zone and the local strain distribution on the failure of the deep beam was evaluated. The results of strain contour showed that image processing technology is available to assess the failure behavior of deep beam and obtain the local strain values on the domain of the post-peak failure comparatively.

A Weibull Model Building Technique for Reliability Assessment with Limited failure Data (신뢰도 평가에서 제한된 데이터를 이용한 와이블분포 모형화 기법)

  • Kim, Gwang-Won
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2006
  • The Weibull distribution is a good candidate for accurate probabilistic model with its rich shape-forming ability and relatively simple CDF(cumulative distribution function). If there are sufficient information to get convincible mean and variance for a probabilistic event, reliable parameters of the Weibull distribution can be determined uniquely. However, sufficient information is not given as usual. There needs more deliberate model building method for that case. This Paper presents an effective parameter estimation technique for Weibull distribution with limited failure data.