• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure Data

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Estimation of a Bivariate Exponential Distribution with a Location Parameter

  • Hong, Yeon-Ung;Gwon, Yong-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.243-250
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers the problem of estimating parameters of the bivariate exponential distribution with a location parameter for a two-component shared parallel system using component data from system-level life test terminated at the time of the prespecified number of system failure. In the system-level life testing, there are three patterns of failure types ; 1) both component failed 2) both component censored 3) one is failed and the other is censored. In the third case, we assume that the failure time might be known or unknown. The maximum likelihood estimators are obtained for the case of known/unknown failure time when the other component is censored.

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A Study on the Failure Effect Analysis of Overhead Transformer Considering Weather (기상요인에 따른 가공변압기의 고장영향 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Do-Eun;Jang, Seung-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.5
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    • pp.857-862
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    • 2017
  • The management of the electric power facilities became important in accordance with the industrial development and electric power facilities were influenced by weather. Even if the same kind of electric power facilities is estimated for extracting the time-varying failure rate, the failure rate could be different depending on external effect such as climate. This research will show the data mining modeling of the weather-related outage and influence of weather on the electric power facility with recent data.

A modified estimating equation for a binary time varying covariate with an interval censored changing time

  • Kim, Yang-Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.335-341
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    • 2016
  • Interval censored failure time data often occurs in an observational study where a subject is followed periodically. Instead of observing an exact failure time, two inspection times that include it are made available. Several methods have been suggested to analyze interval censored failure time data (Sun, 2006). In this article, we are concerned with a binary time-varying covariate whose changing time is interval censored. A modified estimating equation is proposed by extending the approach suggested in the presence of a missing covariate. Based on simulation results, the proposed method shows a better performance than other simple imputation methods. ACTG 181 dataset were analyzed as a real example.

Risk Analysis using Failure Data in Railway E&M System

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan;Song, Mi-Ok;Lim, Sung-Soo
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.34-37
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    • 2010
  • In recent, the railway system consists of subsystems as rolling stock and infrastructures as signaling, telecommunication, power supply, overhead contact and platform screen door, etc. Furthermore, each subsystem has complicated interface so as not to understand these relationship. Consequently, to operate the railway system continuously with required safety and availability, the failure data should be corrected and analyzed systematically during operation. To achieve this object effectively, this paper presents the method which is evaluating the operational risk quantitatively using failure data, and selecting the critical equipment. Following this analysis, the improvement plan is established and applied to reduce the operational risk on system or equipment. From this study, the critical equipments of system could be determined and prioritized by risk analysis. Also, the effective maintenance to prevent critical failure could be implanted by this suggested methodology.

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Statistical Life Expectancy Calculation of MV Cables and Application Methods (중전압 전선의 통계적 수명예측 계산과 응용 방법)

  • Chong-Eun, Cho;On-You, Lee;Sang-Bong, Kim;Kang-Sik, Kim
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, the change history of various types of MV (Medium Voltage) cables was investigated. In addition, the statistical life expectancy of each type was calculated by using the operation data and the failure data. For cut-off year, 10 years was applied, and realistically applicable statistical life expectancy was calculated by correcting the cause of failure entered by mistake. The life expectancy of FR-CNCO-W was calculated as 51.2 years, CNCV-W 38.1 years, and CNCV 31.4 years and the overall average is 33.8 years. Currently, the life expectancy of TR CNCV-W is 29.4 years, but it is estimated that the lifespan will be extended if failure data is accumulated. As a result, it is expected that life expectancy results can be applied to Asset Management System (AMS) in the future.

Comparing the generalized Hoek-Brown and Mohr-Coulomb failure criteria for stress analysis on the rocks failure plane

  • Mohammadi, M.;Tavakoli, H.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2015
  • Determination of mobilized shear strength parameters (that identify stresses on the failure plane) is required for analyzing the stability by limit equilibrium method. Generalized Hoek-Brown (GHB) and Mohr-Coulomb (MC) failure criteria are usually used for obtaining stresses on the plane of failure. In the present paper, the applicability of these criteria for determining the stresses on failure plane is investigated. The comparison is based on stresses on the real failure plane which are obtained from the Mohr stress circle. To do so, 18 sets of data (consist of principal stresses and angle of failure plane) presented in the literature are used. In addition, the values account for (VAF) and the root mean square error (RMSE) indices were calculated to check the determination performance of the obtained results. Values of VAF and RMSE for the normal stresses on the failure plane evaluated from MC are 49% and 31.5 where for GHB are 55% and 30.5, respectively. Also, for the shear stresses on failure plane, they are 74% and 36 for MC, 76% and 34.5 for GHB. Results show that the obtained stresses and angles of failure plane for each criterion differ from real ones, but GHB results are closer to the empirical results. Also, it is inferred that results are affected by the failure envelope not real failure plane. Therefore, obtained shear strength parameters are not mobilized. Finally, a multivariable regressed relation is presented for determining the stresses on the failure plane.

A Feasibility Study on the Characterization of Incipient Insulator Failure for Distribution Fault Prediction (배전선로 고장예지를 위한 애자의 고장징후 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Tae-Won;Park, Seong-Taek;Kim, Chang-Jong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1997.11a
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    • pp.245-249
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    • 1997
  • A feasibility study on the characterization of incipient insulator failure for distribution fault prediction is presented. In this study, real distribution data was collected and analyzed to isolate incipient failure signatures or parameters which were expected to show distinct behaviors before and after failure incident. Several signal analysis methods were applied to isolate the parameters and a new strategy of analysis, the event-date concept, was also applied to find a relationship between non-harmonic and high frequency signal activities and imminent insulator failures.

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A Study on Evaluation of corrective maintenance for the ATP on-board equipped in Tilting train (틸팅열차 차상신호장치 교정유지보수 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kang-Mi;Shin, Duc-Ko;Baek, Jong-Hyen;Lee, Jae-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1989-1992
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    • 2009
  • Maintenance is classified preventive maintenance before performing equipment failure and corrective maintenance after performing equipment failure. In preventive maintenance, we may analyze the failure data to end from beginning of equipment and allocate maintenance method and calculate maintenance cycle quantitatively by the failure data analysis. So, it has a merit to reduce system maintenance cost and to operate effectively but, it require high cost in system introducing and continuous operation to end of system. In corrective maintenance, we may calculate MTTR(mean time to repair) quantitatively based on function failure time. it can be based on establishing maintenance system for operation efficiency. In this paper, we may reflect the MTTR for the onboard equipped in Tilting train to establish maintenance system for Tilting train operation efficiency.

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Development of a Failure Evaluation Diagram and a Database by Two Criteria Method (2기준법에 의한 파괴평가선도 및 데이터베이스 구축의 시도)

  • 이종형;심우진;황은하;강용구
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.1181-1185
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    • 1990
  • A failure evaluation diagram to evaluate fatigue fracture was developed. The relation between the fatigue limit and the threshold stress intensity factor for the short-cracked specimens of various materials including a piping carbon steel can be rationally predicted by the proposed method. It is shown that the coupled failure evaluation diagram for fatigue and ductile fracture is expecially useful for evaluation of the flaw tolerance as well as the margin of the safety of the pressure vessel and piping. Further, accumulation of fatigue data will be needed to construct an accurate fatigue failure evaluation diagram.

A Classification Structure of Information Systems Failures: An Empirical Investigation of IS developers' perception (정보시스템 실패의 구조 규명을 위한 실증연구: 프로그래머를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jong-Uk
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 1998
  • Many cases of information systems (IS) failure have still continued to be reported ever since computer-based information systems were introduced to process business transactions in the early 1950s. Because an enormous amount of budgets is currently invested on information technology in many organizations, failures and problems of information systems may serve as key culprits to serious business problems which will face the organizations. Thus, there have been a number of studies on IS failures which aimed to identify causes and reasons for such failures and reveal their inherent nature, Some studies developed conceptual frameworks to classify categories of diverse IS failure phenomena. However, little research performed an empirical study to investigate the underlying structure of IS failures perceived by IS professionals by measuring their perception. In this regard, the current study collected systems developers perceptual data towards IS failure phenomena to identify what constitute IS failure. The data was analyzed using a multidimensional scaling program and ten categories of problems were identified to constitute the IS failure structure, It was found that most categories were related to problems with users, hardware, and systems quality.

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