• Title/Summary/Keyword: Factor Regression Model

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Relation Analysis Between REITs and Construction Business, Real Estate Business, and Stock Market (리츠와 건설경기, 부동산경기, 주식시장과의 관계 분석)

  • Lee, Chi-Joo;Lee, Ghang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2010
  • Even though REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) are listed on the stock market, REITs have characteristics that allow them to invest in real estate and financing for real estate development. Therefore REITs is related with stock market and construction business and real estate business. Using time-series analysis, this study analyzed REITs in relation to construction businesses, real estate businesses, and the stock market, and derived influence factor of REITs. We used the VAR (vector auto-regression) and the VECM (vector error correction model) for the time-series analysis. This study classified three steps in the analysis. First, we performed the time-series analysis between REITs and construction KOSPI(The Korea composite stock price index) and the result showed that construction KOSPI influenced REITs. Second, we analyzed the relationship between REITs and construction commencement area of the coincident construction composite index, office index and housing price index in real estate business indexes. REITs and the housing price index influence each other, although there is no causal relationship between them. Third, we analyzed the relationship between REITs and the construction permit area of the leading construction composite index. The construction permit area is influenced by REITs, although there is no causal relationship between these two indexes, REITs influenced the stock market and housing price indexes and the construction permit area of the leading composite index in construction businesses, but exerted a relatively small influence in construction starts coincident with the composite office indexes in this study.

A Study on the Competitiveness Improvement of Coastal Shipping for Northeast Asia Logistics-Hub (동북아(東北亞) 물류거점화(物流據點化)를 위한 연안해운(沿岸海運) 경쟁력(競爭力) 제고방안(提高方案)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Lee, Yon-Jae;Ahn, Ki-Myung;Kim, Kwang-Hee;Kim, Hyun-Duk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.441-449
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this research is to present the improvement measure of lagging behind coastal shipping system to be a logistic hub-nation with a competitive edge. For this purpose, this research tries to find out major northeast asia environment factors and accordingly the effects of its. The effects of coastal shipping system's development strategy is analysed by structural equation model and multiple regression model. Research results show that three types of coastal shipping developing strategy(connected transportation system, structure of coastal shipping system, governmental support policy) will contribute much to be logistic hub-nation. The contribution effects is increasing cargo from strengthened feeder transport system and maximizing logistic service &minimizing logistic costs. From the result, some implications are derived as follow. First, familiar environmental balanced ocean-coastal transport system is required. Second the one-stop logistic service system is necessary to build excusive feeder port, and to establish Ro-Ro ship & high-speed ship, etc.. Third, governmental support policy and subsidy(tax exempted oil & various tax benefits) are required to bring up lagging behind coastal shipping system to be a logistic hub-nation with a competitive edge.

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Determination of Minimum Spacing between Off-ramp Terminus and Intersection Considering the Influence of Adjacent Signalized Intersections (신호교차로 영향에 따른 도시고속도로 유출연결로 최소이격거리에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Gu;Sim, Dae-Yeong;Heo, Du-Wan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2007
  • The interchanges of urban freeways have many problems with traffic operation due to high off-ramp flows and frequent congestion at adjacent intersections. The flow exiting from off-ramps is affected by the operational status and traffic volume conditions of the nearest signalized intersection. As a result, off-ramp flow cannot exit and the queue backs up the freeway mainline when queues from the signalized intersection form up to the junction of the off-ramp and street. The spacing between an off-ramp and an adjacent intersection is likely to determine the traffic conditions at the adjacent intersection. However, the current design guidelines do not consider such a factor. This study is to develop a model calculating the spacing between off-ramps and adjacent intersections considering the signal, traffic, and road conditions. The variables affecting the model in this study are effective green time (g/C), volume-capacity ratio (v/c), the number of lanes, and off-ramp volume. Various scenarios are designed to represent the effects of the variables and the road networks are constructed using VISSIM, which is a common traffic micro-simulation software package. The queue length is derived from VISSIM and this length is considered as the recommended spacing between the off-ramp and the adjacent intersection. Through the simulation analysis, regression models are developed to calculate the queue length reflecting the various conditions such as signals, traffic, and road configurations. The developed model can be used to create road design guidelines to determine the location of off-ramps in the planning stage.

Differential Effects of Distributive and Procedural Justice on MICE Industrial Employee's Job Attitudes (MICE산업종사자들의 직무태도에 대한 분배 및 절차공정성의 차별적 영향)

  • Ko, Jong-Wook;Park, Jong-Pyo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the differential effects of distributive and procedural justice on the MICE industrial employee's job attitudes. For the study, data were collected from 303 MICE industrial employees in metropolitan area by self-stated questionnaires. Collected data were analyzed by hierarchical regression technique. The result of this study showed that distributive justice had more important effects on MICE industrial employee's job satisfaction than that of procedural justice, while the procedural justice had influenced more effects on organizational commitment, intent to stay, and organizational citizenship behaviour than that of distributive justice; and that there was no the moderating role of the procedural justice to the MICE industrial employee's job satisfaction and job commitment, while the positive effects of the distributive justice was more strongly related to MICE industrial employee's intent to stay and organizational citizenship behaviour when the procedural justice was high. The theoretical implications of the findings were discussed in terms of two-factor model, cultural model and interaction model, and directions for future research were presented.

Association between the self-reported periodontal health status and oral health-related quality of life among elderly Koreans (한국노인의 자가보고 치주건강상태와 구강건강관련 삶의 질의 연관성)

  • Jang, Moon-Sung;Kim, Hae-Young;Shim, Yeon-Su;Rhyu, In-Chul;Han, Soo-Boo;Chung, Chong-Pyoung;Ku, Young
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.591-600
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: This study assessed the impact of self-reported periodontal health on the oral health-related quality of life among elderly Koreans. Methods: Four hundred twenty one elderly Koreans in Seoul and suburban areas were selected with a cluster (institution) sampling method, and were requested to take oral examinations and finish questionnaires on the Oral Health Impact Profile-14(OHIP-14). and self-reported periodontal health status, such as periodontal symptoms, self-rated periodontal health and periodontal treatment need. As the dependent variable, OHIP-14 showed a positive skewed distribution (skewness: 1.17), we transformed to square-root form to apply parametric analyses. Bivariate analysis by t-test and ANOVA, and multivariate analysis with the two-level regression model accounting clusters were implemented. Results: Mean age of the subjects was 74.6 years and 66.5% were women. Fourteen items of OHIP-14 were summarized to one factor explaining 78.6% of total variance and produced the Chronbach alpha coefficient of 0.92. Results from the multivariate model, adjusting for age, sex, type of institutions, ability to pay, and number of teeth present, showed significantly lower OHIP-14 with reporting less than 3 periodontal symptoms (p(O.OOO1), rating their own periodontal health as above average level (p=O.0144), and thinking they don't need any periodontal treatments in the near future (p=O.0148), than their counterparts. The intraclass-corrrelation estimated by the final model was 0.028. Conclusion: This study demonstrates a significant association between self-reported periodontal health status and the oral health-related quality of life.

Variation of Determinant Factor for Seoul Metropolitan Area's Housing and Rent Price in Korea (수도권 주택가격 결정요인 변화 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Ae;Park, Sang-Hak;Kim, Yong-Soon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2013
  • This This paper investigates the variation of the factors to determinate housing price in Seoul metropolitan area after sub-prime financial crisis, in Korea, using a VAR model. The model includes housing price and housing rent (Jeonse) in Seoul metropolitan area from 1999 to 2011, and uses interest rate, real GDP, KOSPI, Producer Price Index and practices to impulse response and variance decomposition analysis to grasp the dynamic relation between a variable of macro economy and and a variable of housing price. Data is classified to 2 groups before and after the 3rd quater of 2008, when sub-prime crisis occurred; one is from the 1st quater of 1999 to the 3rd quater of 2008, and the other is from the 2nd quater of 1999 and the 4th quater of 2011. As a result, comparing before and after sub-prime crisis, housing price is more influenced by its own variation or Jeonse price's variation instead of interest rate and KOSPI. Both before and after sub-prime financial crisis, Jeonse price is also influenced by its own variation and housing price. While after sub-prime financial crisis, influences of Producer Price Index, KOSPI and interest rate were weakened, influence of real GDP is expanded. As housing price and housing rent are more influenced by real economy factors such as GDP, its own variation than before sub-prime financial crisis, the recent trend that the house prices is declined is difficult to be converted, considering domestic economic recession and uncertainty, continued by Europe financial crisis. In the future to activate the housing business, it ia necessary to promote purchasing power rather than relaxation of financial and supply regulation.

Analysis and Prediction for Spatial Distribution of Functional Feeding Groups of Aquatic Insects in the Geum River (금강 수계 수서곤충 섭식기능군의 공간분포 분석 및 예측)

  • Kim, Ki-Dong;Park, Young-Jun;Nam, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.99-118
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    • 2012
  • The aim of this study is to define a correlation between spatial distribution characteristics of FFG(Functional Feeding Groups) of aquatic insects and related environmental factors in the Geum River based on the theory of RCC(River Continuum Concept). For that objective we had used SMRA(Stepwise Multiple Regression Analysis) method to analyze close relationship between the distribution of aquatic insects and the physical and chemical factors that may affect their inhabiting environment in the study area. And then, a probabilistic method named Frequency Ratio Model(FRM) and spatial analysis function of GIS were applied to produce a predictive distribution map of biota community considering their distribution characteristics according to the environmental factors as related variables. As a result of SMRA, the values of decision coefficient for factors of elevation, stream width, flow velocity, conductivity, temperature and percentage of sand showed higher than 0.5. Therefore these 6 environmental factors were considered as major factors that might affect the distribution characteristics of aquatic insects. Finally, we had calculated RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) between the predicted distribution map and prior survey database from other researches to verify the result of this study. The values of RMSE were calculated from 0.1892 to 0.4242 according to each FFG so we could find out a high reliability of this study. The results of this study might be used to develop a new estimation method for aquatic ecosystem with macro invertebrate community and also be used as preliminary data for conservation and restoration of stream habitats.

Development of Permanent Displacement Model for Seismic Mountain Slope (지진 시 산사면의 영구변위 추정식 개발)

  • Lee, Jong-Hoo;Park, Duhee;Ahn, Jae-Kwang;Park, Inn-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2015
  • Empirical seismic displacement equations based on the Newmark sliding block method are widely used to develop seismic landslide hazard map. Most proposed equations have been developed for embankments and landfills, and do not consider the dynamic response of sliding block. Therefore, they cannot be applied to Korean mountain slopes composed of thin, uniform soil-layer underlain by an inclined bedrock parallel to the slope. In this paper, a series of two-dimensional dynamic nonlinear finite difference analyses were performed to estimate the permanent seismic slope displacement. The seismic displacement of mountain slopes was calculated using the Newmark method and the equivalent acceleration time history. The calculated seismic displacements of the mountain slopes were compared to a widely used empirical displacement model. We show that the displacement prediction is significantly enhanced if the slope is modeled as a flexible sliding mass and the amplification characteristics are accounted for. Regression equation, which uses PGA, PGV, Arias intensity of the ground motion and the fundamental period of soil layer, is shown to provide a reliable estimate of the sliding displacement. Furthermore, the empirical equation is shown to reliably predict the hazard category.

A Comparative Study on the Effects of Location Factors on Sales by Restaurant Type (입지요인이 음식업 업종별 매출액에 미치는 영향 비교연구)

  • Noh, Eun Bin;Lee, Sang Kyeong
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effects of location factors on sales by restaurant type in the six districts of Seoul (Jongno-gu, Jung-gu, Yeongdeungpo-gu, Gangnam-gu, Seocho-gu, and Songpa-gu). Ordinary least squares (OLS) regression model is selected for four restaurant types whose spatial autocorrelation is not identified, spatial lag model (SLM) is only selected for seafood restaurant, and spatial error model (SEM) is selected for nine other restaurant types. The floating population and the workers of surrounding businesses have generally positive effects on the sales of restaurants. The floating population elasticity of the sales of restaurants are found to be in the descending order of Oriental food, pub, Western food, and traditional food restaurant, and the elasticity of the workers of surrounding businesses are in the descending order of bakery, Oriental food, and Western food restaurant. The spatial multiplier effects are in the descending order of Oriental food, pub, and Western food restaurant. There is a statistically significant sales gap between roast meat, pub, and bakery in Gangnam-gu and those in five other districts. The results of this research can help in starting a restaurant in that they can provide information on the suitability of location by restaurant type.

Effects of service quality to service satisfaction and decision making in elderly care facility (노인요양시설의 서비스품질이 서비스만족과 의사결정에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, In;Shin, Hakgene
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.579-591
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is what are the factors affecting decision making for selection of social welfare facility, esp., elderly care facility. The resident's selection for social welfare facility are relatively new terms in the Korean social work. To explore the factors, we employed an empirical study. The collected data was analyzed by using SEM(Structural equation modeling). As the results, the standardized regression coefficient of the hypothesis that the service quality will affect the service satisfaction is equal to 0.555(t=6.723, p<0.01) and the coefficient that the service satisfaction will affect the decision making is equal to 0.766. The absolute fitness of the SEM model shows χ2 = 580.151(d.f.=317, p-value=0.000) and RMSEA=0.063, so that the model is absolutely fit. Since CFI=0.915, the model is comparatively fit. Conclusively speaking, the hypothesis that service quality affects to service satisfaction was supported. The hypothesis that service satisfaction affects to decision making was also supported. By accounting for the results of the analysis, this study verified the service quality leading to service satisfaction is an important factor for resident to select a residential facility.