• 제목/요약/키워드: Extreme wind speed

검색결과 132건 처리시간 0.022초

태풍이 일 최대강수량에 미치는 영향 평가 (Evaluation of the impact of typhoon on daily maximum precipitation)

  • 양미연;윤상후
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.1415-1425
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    • 2017
  • 태풍은 강한 바람과 폭우를 동반하며 매년 한반도에 인명과 재산피해의 원인이 된다. 국내에서 발생한 자연재해 피해에서 태풍이 차지하는 비중이 높다. 태풍의 많은 피해는 폭우에 의해 발생하므로 태풍이 일 최대강수량에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 살펴볼 필요가 있다. 일 최대강수량은 극치자료로 일반적으로 일반화극단치분포를 따른다. 연구자료로 1976년부터 2016년까지 한반도에 설치된 60개 종관기상관측장비에서 수집된 일강수량, 최대풍속, 평균풍속 자료가 사용되었다. 태풍이 온 기간을 제외한 일강우량 자료와 태풍이 온 기간을 포함한 일강우량 자료로 구분하여 일반화극단치모형에 적합시켰다. 모수추정방법으로 최우추정법과 L-적률추정법이 이용되었다. K-S검정과 $Cram{\acute{e}}r$ von Mises검정을 통해 모형의 적합도를 검정하였다. 추정된 모수를 기반으로 25년, 50년, 100년, 200년 재현수준을 계산하였다. 태풍기간 포함유무에 따른 재현수준을 비교한 결과 태풍은 강릉 인근의 동해안과 울산과 완도 인근의 남해안의 일 최대강수량에 영향을 미친다.

Wind load and wind-induced effect of the large wind turbine tower-blade system considering blade yaw and interference

  • Ke, S.T.;Wang, X.H.;Ge, Y.J.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.71-87
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    • 2019
  • The yaw and interference effects of blades affect aerodynamic performance of large wind turbine system significantly, thus influencing wind-induced response and stability performance of the tower-blade system. In this study, the 5MW wind turbine which was developed by Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (NUAA) was chosen as the research object. Large eddy simulation on flow field and aerodynamics of its wind turbine system with different yaw angles($0^{\circ}$, $5^{\circ}$, $10^{\circ}$, $20^{\circ}$, $30^{\circ}$ and $45^{\circ}$) under the most unfavorable blade position was carried out. Results were compared with codes and measurement results at home and abroad, which verified validity of large eddy simulation. On this basis, effects of yaw angle on average wind pressure, fluctuating wind pressure, lift coefficient, resistance coefficient,streaming and wake characteristics on different interference zone of tower of wind turbine were analyzed. Next, the blade-cabin-tower-foundation integrated coupling model of the large wind turbine was constructed based on finite element method. Dynamic characteristics, wind-induced response and stability performance of the wind turbine structural system under different yaw angle were analyzed systematically. Research results demonstrate that with the increase of yaw angle, the maximum negative pressure and extreme negative pressure of the significant interference zone of the tower present a V-shaped variation trend, whereas the layer resistance coefficient increases gradually. By contrast, the maximum negative pressure, extreme negative pressure and layer resistance coefficient of the non-interference zone remain basically same. Effects of streaming and wake weaken gradually. When the yaw angle increases to $45^{\circ}$, aerodynamic force of the tower is close with that when there's no blade yaw and interference. As the height of significant interference zone increases, layer resistance coefficient decreases firstly and then increases under different yaw angles. Maximum means and mean square error (MSE) of radial displacement under different yaw angles all occur at circumferential $0^{\circ}$ and $180^{\circ}$ of the tower. The maximum bending moment at tower bottom is at circumferential $20^{\circ}$. When the yaw angle is $0^{\circ}$, the maximum downwind displacement responses of different blades are higher than 2.7 m. With the increase of yaw angle, MSEs of radial displacement at tower top, downwind displacement of blades, internal force at blade roots all decrease gradually, while the critical wind speed decreases firstly and then increases and finally decreases. The comprehensive analysis shows that the worst aerodynamic performance and wind-induced response of the wind turbine system are achieved when the yaw angle is $0^{\circ}$, whereas the worst stability performance and ultimate bearing capacity are achieved when the yaw angle is $45^{\circ}$.

2020년 2월 8일 영동지역 강설 사례 시 관측과 수치모의 된 바람 분석 (An Analysis of Observed and Simulated Wind in the Snowfall Event in Yeongdong Region on 8 February 2020)

  • 김해민;남형구;김백조;지준범
    • 대기
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.433-443
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    • 2021
  • The wind speed and wind direction in Yeongdong are one of the crucial meteorological factors for forecasting snowfall in this area. To improve the snowfall forecast in Yeongdong region, Yeongdong Extreme Snowfall-Windstorm Experiment, YES-WEX was designed. We examined the wind field variation simulated with Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS) using observed wind field during YES-WEX period. The simulated wind speed was overestimated over the East Sea and especially 2 to 4 times in the coastal line. The vertical wind in Yeongdong region, which is a crucial factor in the snowfall forecast, was not well simulated at the low level (850 hPa~1000 hPa) until 12 hours before the forecast. The snowfall distribution was also not accurately simulated. Three hours after the snowfall on the East Sea coast was observed, the snowfall was simulated. To improve the forecast accuracy of snowfall in Yeongdong region, it is important to understand the weather conditions using the observed and simulated data. In the future, data in the northern part of the East Sea and the mountain slope of Taebaek observed from the meteorological aircraft, ship, and drone would help in understanding the snowfall phenomenon and improving forecasts.

An Evaluation Method for Tornado Missile Strike Probability with Stochastic Correlation

  • Eguchi, Yuzuru;Murakami, Takahiro;Hirakuchi, Hiromaru;Sugimoto, Soichiro;Hattori, Yasuo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.395-403
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    • 2017
  • An efficient evaluation method for the probability of a tornado missile strike without using the Monte Carlo method is proposed in this paper. A major part of the proposed probability evaluation is based on numerical results computed using an in-house code, Tornado-borne missile analysis code, which enables us to evaluate the liftoff and flight behaviors of unconstrained objects on the ground driven by a tornado. Using the Tornado-borne missile analysis code, we can obtain a stochastic correlation between local wind speed and flight distance of each object, and this stochastic correlation is used to evaluate the conditional strike probability, $Q_V(r)$, of a missile located at position r, where the local wind speed is V. In contrast, the annual exceedance probability of local wind speed, which can be computed using a tornado hazard analysis code, is used to derive the probability density function, p(V). Then, we finally obtain the annual probability of tornado missile strike on a structure with the convolutional integration of product of $Q_V(r)$ and p(V) over V. The evaluation method is applied to a simple problem to qualitatively confirm the validity, and to quantitatively verify the results for two extreme cases in which an object is located just in the vicinity of or far away from the structure.

The 2021 Australian/New Zealand Standard, AS/NZS 1170.2:2021

  • John D. Holmes;Richard G.J. Flay;John D. Ginger;Matthew Mason;Antonios Rofail;Graeme S. Wood
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2023
  • The latest revision of AS/NZS 1170.2 incorporates some new research and knowledge on strong winds, climate change, and shape factors for new structures of interest such as solar panels. Unlike most other jurisdictions, Australia and New Zealand covers a vast area of land, a latitude range from 11° to 47°S climatic zones from tropical to cold temperate, and virtually every type of extreme wind event. The latter includes gales from synoptic-scale depressions, severe convectively-driven downdrafts from thunderstorms, tropical cyclones, downslope winds, and tornadoes. All except tornadoes are now covered within AS/NZS 1170.2. The paper describes the main features of the 2021 edition with emphasis on the new content, including the changes in the regional boundaries, regional wind speeds, terrain-height, topographic and direction multipliers. A new 'climate change multiplier' has been included, and the gust and turbulence profiles for over-water winds have been revised. Amongst the changes to the provisions for shape factors, values are provided for ground-mounted solar panels, and new data are provided for curved roofs. New methods have been given for dynamic response factors for poles and masts, and advice given for acceleration calculations for high-rise buildings and other dynamically wind-sensitive structures.

Finite Element Analysis of Carbon Fiber Composite Sandwich Panels Subjected to Wind Debris Impacts

  • Zhang, Bi;Shanker, Ajay
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.436-442
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    • 2022
  • Hurricanes and tornadoes are the most destructive natural disasters in some central and southern states. Thus, storm shelters, which can provide emergency protections for low-rise building residents, are becoming popular nowadays. Both FEMA and ICC have published a series of manuals on storm shelter design. However, the authors found that the materials for related products in the market are heavyweight and hard to deliver and install; renovations are necessary. The authors' previous studies found that lightweight and high-performance composite materials can withstand extreme wind pressure, but some building codes are designated in wind-borne debris areas. In these areas, wind debris can reach greater than 100 mph speed. In addition, the impact damage on the composite materials is an increasing safety issue in many engineering fields; some can cause catastrophic results. Therefore, studying composite structures subjected to wind debris impact is essential. The finite element models are set up using the software Abaqus 2.0 to conduct the simulations to observe the impact resistance behavior of the carbon fiber composite sandwich panels. The selected wood debris models meet the FEMA requirements. The outcome of this study is then employed in future lab tests and compared with other material models.

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실측 데이터를 이용한 공용중인 강사장교의 버페팅 응답 분석 (A Study on Buffeting Responses of a In-service Steel Cable-stayed Bridge Using Full-scale Measurements)

  • 이덕근;공민준;유동우
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.349-359
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    • 2016
  • 공용 중인 교량의 버페팅 응답을 해석적으로 평가하기 위해서는 교량 현장의 난류강도, 난류 스펙트럼, 조도계수, 거스트 계수 등 풍하중에 대한 분석이 우선되어야 하고, 해석 결과는 정적 공기력 계수, 플러터계수, 구조 감쇠비, 공기역학적 감쇠비, 고유 진동수 등 여러 변수에 의해 영향을 받는다. 본 논문에서 대상으로 한 교량은 32년째 공용 중에 있는 교량으로써 교량 주변의 지형조건은 설계 및 시공 당시에 비해 많은 변화가 발생하였으며 최근 기후 변화로 인한 풍 환경 역시 큰 변화가 있다. 이러한 이유로 대상교량에서 실측한 풍속 데이터를 분석하여 난류강도, 난류길이, 지표조도계수, 풍속 스펙트럼 등 교량 현장의 풍하중을 평가하였다. 교량 주변의 풍환경 평가 결과, 대상 교량은 해상교량임에도 불구하고 지표조도구분 II의 특성을 나타내고 있었다. 또한 실측한 구조물의 가속도, 변위 응답 데이터를 통해 대상교량의 감쇠비, 정적 공기력 계수, 고유진동수를 평가하여 계측기반 버페팅 해석 변수를 산정하였다. 계측데이터 기반의 해석 변수와 케이블강교량설계지침에 제시된 해석 변수를 적용하여 총 4가지 경우에 대한 버페팅 해석을 수행하였으며, 그 결과 10분 평균 풍속 25m/s이하에서 측정된 버페팅 응답과 계측 기반 해석 변수를 적용한 해석 응답이 가장 잘 일치함을 확인하였고, 계측 풍속과 Gumbel 확률분포를 이용하여 추정한 200년 재현기대 풍속인 45m/s에서의 버페팅 응답을 제시하였다.

풍향패턴에 따른 굼벨 모델 시뮬레이션에 의한 풍향풍속성의 적용율 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Application ratio of Directional wind speeds Characteristics by Gumbel Model Simulation Using Directional wind Patterns)

  • 정영배
    • 한국강구조학회 논문집
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.573-580
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 바람에 민감한 영향을 받는 건축물 또는 구조물에 있어서 풍향풍속을 고려하여 평가하는 방법을 제안하며 지역별 년 최대풍속에 따른 풍향풍속 특성에 대한 기초적인 결과를 정리한 것이다. 본 풍향풍속성 평가방법에서는 년최대풍속의 기상청 데이터를 기초로 하여 극치분포를 통해 적합성을 확인하였으며 풍향성을 고려하기 위하여 풍향풍속별 풍향패턴을 4그룹으로 구분하여 풍향풍속성 평가방법을 시도하여 제안하였다. 연구결과는 서울, 통영, 인천지역의 년최대풍속 기상데이터를 사용하여 전풍향풍속이 Gumbel분포에 의한 적합성을 확인하였으며, 이 전풍향풍속의 Gumbel model은 패턴별 4그룹 풍향풍속 Gumbel mode을 지배하는 독립된 확률특성을 가지므로 풍향패턴 4그룹 풍향풍속성의 평가를 통하여 적용율을 제안하였다. 연구결과는 년최대풍속에 의한 Gumbel분포의 적합성에 따른 서울, 통영, 인천 지역의 풍향패턴 4그룹 풍향풍속성을 고려한 새로운 적용율을 제안하였다.

바람에 기인하는 태양광추적구조물의 안정성 해석 (Stability Analysis on Solar Tracker Due to Wind)

  • 김용우;이승열
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 2013
  • A solar power generator is usually installed outdoors and it is exposed to extreme environments such as heavy fall of snow and high speed wind. Therefore, the solar tracker structure should be designed to have sufficient static and dynamic stiffness against such environmental conditions. In this paper, eigenvalue analysis of the solar tracker is carried out by varying the pose of the solar panel and unsteady flow analysis around a single tracker or multi-trackers arranged in a line is performed by varying the parameters such as wind directions, wind speeds and the pose of the solar panel to evaluate whether there exists an instability of resonance due to vortex shedding. Finite element eigenvalue analysis shows that natural frequencies and modes are almost not influenced by the pose of the solar panel and the finite element flow analysis shows that there does not exist periodic vortex shedding due to the flow around single tracker or multiple solar trackers in a line.

Reliability analysis on flutter of the long-span Aizhai bridge

  • Liu, Shuqian;Cai, C.S.;Han, Yan;Li, Chunguang
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.175-186
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    • 2018
  • With the continuous increase of span lengths, modern bridges are becoming much more flexible and more prone to flutter under wind excitations. A reasonable probabilistic flutter analysis of long-span bridges involving random and uncertain variables may have to be taken into consideration. This paper presents a method for estimating the reliability index and failure probability due to flutter, which considers the very important variables including the extreme wind velocity at bridge site, damping ratio, mathematical modeling, and flutter derivatives. The Aizhai Bridge in China is selected as an example to demonstrate the numerical procedure for the flutter reliability analysis. In the presented method, the joint probability density function of wind speed and wind direction at the deck level of the bridge is first established. Then, based on the fundamental theories of structural reliability, the reliability index and failure probability due to flutter of the Aizhai Bridge is investigated by applying the Monte Carlo method and the first order reliability method (FORM). The probabilistic flutter analysis can provide a guideline in the design of long-span bridges and the results show that the structural damping and flutter derivatives have significant effects on the flutter reliability, more accurate and reliable data of which is needed.