• Title/Summary/Keyword: Extreme distribution function

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Extreme Job, How Will We Survive Since "Candlelight Protest"? -A Revival of Comic Mode and a Comedy Film in the Age of Self-Management (<극한직업>, '촛불혁명' 이후 어떻게 버티며 살아남을 것인가? -코믹 모드의 부활과 자기경영 시대의 코미디영화)

  • Chung, Young-Kwon
    • Journal of Popular Narrative
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.221-254
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    • 2020
  • This paper finds a solution in the social context which cannot be explained thoroughly by well-timed release date, revival of comedy films, and the attraction of Lee Byeong-heon's comedy etc. while it throws question of how the film, Extreme Job captivated 16 million audience. The incredible hits of Extreme Job cannot be explained by analyzing the text alone. After this essay investigates a function and a role of comedy as a public sphere, it examines people's desires and wishes in the comedy and other genres since 2008 when the conservative government has seized power. Since 2008 a series of dark tone's action thriller, social problem film, and disaster film have emerged, these genres showed absence of public security, crisis of democracy and criticism against rulling class. On the other hand, hit comedy films have showed escapism such as weepie, nostalgia, and fantasy at the same time, generally. Although Veteran (2015) is not full-blown comedy, after this film's big success, "comic mode" has gradually revived. A light tone's films which are truer to genre rules has started representing the wishes of people toward social reforms and changes. Meanwhile, "Candlelight Protest" served as a momentum to recover the democracy which has been in crisis, but it could not lead changes in economic and daily lives. Exreme Job can be read as a question how we will survive since "Candlight Protest." The lives of detectives as self-employed workers who has taken over a fried chicken restaurant for going undercover are appearances of ordinary persons who must survive in the edless conpetition. Furthermore, this film shows a dream of a "great success myth" which becomes well-known as a famous restaurant and a self-management such as brand-naming and an exapansion of franchise business. We can read ganster's chicken franchises as a huge distribution industry which disturbs market system by delivering drugs secretly. While applauses that we give to the police having identities of self-employed workers which sweeps the ganster are giving support to oridinary neighborhood like us, they are also wishes of people who long for the restoration of publicness of police in the market which is becoming increasingly privatized today. A significance of this essay is to examine Extreme Job in terms of the geography of film genres and the revival of comic mode sicne 2008 at the macro level, and is to read the film in the perspective of the problems of economic and daily lives which has been still unsolved since "Candlelight Protest" at the micro level.

Investigation on the Strength and Vibration Safety of the Liquid Rocket Turbopump Turbine (액체로켓 터보펌프 구동터빈의 구조 강도 및 진동 안전성에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon,Seong-Min;Kim,Jin-Han;Lee,Dae-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.31 no.8
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2003
  • Structural analyses of a turbine bladed-disk for a liquid rocket turbopump are peformed to investigate the safety level of strength and vibration at design point. Due to the high rotational speed of the turbopump, effects of centrifugal forces are carefully considered in the structural analysis. Thermal load caused by extreme temperature distribution is also considered as an external force applied to turbine bladed-disk. A three dimensional finite element method (FEM) is used for cyclic symmetry structural analyses with the MSC/NASTRAN DMAP Alter. Interblade phase angles are considered to investigate structural dynamic characteristics as a function of rotational speed. Through the numerical analysis, effects of centrifugal and thermal loads on the turbine bladed-disk are examined.

Reliability Based Design of Caisson type Quay Wall Using Partial Safety Factors (부분안전계수를 이용한 케이슨식안벽의 신뢰성설계법)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyawn;Yoon, Gil-Lim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.224-229
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    • 2009
  • Partial safety factors(PSFs) for Level I reliability based design of caisson type quay walls were calculated. First order reliability method(FORM) based PSFs are the functions of sensitivities of limit state function with respect to design random variables, target reliability index, characteristic values and first moment of random variables. Modified PSFs for water level and resilient water level are newly defined to keep consistency with the current design code. In the numerical example, PSFs were calculated by using a target reliability index. Seismic coefficient is defined to show extreme distribution. It was found that PSFs for seismic coefficient becomes smaller as the return period for design seismic coefficient grows longer.

Construction of Bivariate Probability Distribution with Nonstationary GEV/Gumbel Marginal Distributions for Rainfall Data (비정상성 GEV/Gumbel 주변분포를 이용한 강우자료 이변량 확률분포형 구축)

  • Joo, Kyungwon;Choi, Soyung;Kim, Hanbeen;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.41-41
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    • 2016
  • 최근 다변량 확률모형을 이용한 빈도해석이 수문자료 등에 적용되면서 다양하게 연구되고 있으며 다변량 확률모형 중 copula 모형은 주변분포형에 대한 제약이 없어 여러 분야에 걸쳐 활발히 연구되고 있다. 강우자료는 기존 일변량 빈도해석을 수행하기 위하여 사용하던 block maxima 방법 대신 최소무강우시간(inter event time)을 통하여 강우사상을 추출하여 표본으로 사용한다. 또한 기후변화로 인한 강우량의 변화등에 대응하기 위하여 비정상성 Generalized Extreme Value(GEV)와 Gumbel 등의 확률분포형에 대한 연구도 많은 부분 이루어져 있다. 본 연구에서는, Archimedean copula 모형을 이용하여 이변량 확률모형을 구축하면서 여기에 사용되는 주변분포형에 정상성/비정상성 분포형을 적용하였다. 모형의 매개변수는 inference function for margin 방법을 이용하였으며 주변분포형으로는 정상성/비정상성 GEV, Gumbel 모형을 적용하였다. 결과로 정상성/비정상성 경향을 나타내는 지점을 구분하고 각 지점에 대한 정상성/비정상성 주변분포형을 적용한 이변량 확률분포형을 구하였다.

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The Fiscal Policy Instruments and the Economic Prosperity in Jordan

  • ALZYADAT, Jumah A.;AL-NSOUR, Iyad A.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to investigate the effects of fiscal policy instruments on economic growth in Jordan using annual data from 1970 to 2019, by applying the VAR model (Vector Auto regression) and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The study also examines the dynamic relationship among economic variables over time using the Granger casualty test, Impulse Response Function, and Variance Decomposition. The results show that not only the public expenditures have a positive effect on economic growth in Jordan, but also the tax revenues positively affect the economic growth in the short-run, and this is because of using the tax revenues to finance the government activities in Jordan. This effect becomes negative in the long run, and this is explained because the tax seems a source of distortions in the economy, The extreme taxes may cause huge distortions in the economy, and these distortions destroys the purchasing power, the aggregate demand, and supply. More governmental dependence on tax revenues is the main source of tax evasion and less efficiency. The effect of taxation will curb any prosperity in the economy. Therefore, the government should estimate the fair tax rates to generate sufficient revenues to finance the public expenditure required to enhance economic prosperity.

An improvement of MT transfer function estimates using by pre-screening scheme based on the statistical distribution of electromagnetic fields (통계적 사전 처리방법을 통한 MT 전달함수 추정의 향상 기법 연구)

  • Yang Junmo;Kwon Byung-Doo;Lee Duk-Kee;Song Youn-Ho;Youn Yong-Hoon
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.273-280
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    • 2005
  • Robust magneto-telluric (MT) response function estimators are now in standard use in electromagnetic induction research. Properly devised and applied, these methods can reduce the influence of unusual data (outlier) in the response (electric field) variable, but often not sensitive to exceptional predictor (magnetic field) data, which are termed leverage points. A bounded influence estimator is described which simultaneously limits the influence of both outlier and leverage point, and has proven to consistently yield more reliable MT response function estimates than conventional robust approach. The bounded influence estimator combines a standard robust M-estimator with leverage weighting based on the statistics of the hat matrix diagonal, which is a standard statistical measure of unusual predictors. Further extensions to MT data analysis are proposed, including a establishment of data rejection criterion which minimize the influence of both electric and magnetic outlier in frequency domain based on statistical distribution of electromagnetic field. The rejection scheme made in this study seems to have an effective performance on eliminating extreme data, which is even not removed by BI estimator, in frequency domain. The effectiveness and advantage of these developments are illustrated using real MT data.

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Analysis of the Variation Pattern of the Wave Climate in the Sokcho Coastal Zone (속초 연안의 파랑환경 변화양상 분석)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Weon-Mu;Baek, Won-Dae;Kim, Sang-Ik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.120-127
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    • 2012
  • Exploratory data analysis was carried out by using the long-term wave climate data in Sokcho coastal zone. The main features found in this study are as follows. The coefficient of variations on the wave height and period are about 0.11 and 0.02, respectively. It also shows that the annual components of the wave height and period are dominant and their amplitudes are 0.24 m and 0.56 seconds, respectively. The amount of intra-annual variation range is about two times greater than that of the inter-annual variation range. The distribution shapes of the wave data are very similar to the log-normal and GEV(generalized extreme value) functions. However, the goodness-of-fit tests based on the KS test show as "rejected" for all suggested density functions. Then, the structure of the timeseries wave height data is roughly estimated as AR(3) model. Based on the wave duration results, it is clearly shown that the continuous and maximum duration is decreased as a power function shape and the total duration is exponentially decreased. Meanwhile, the environment of the Sokcho coastal zone is classified as a wave-dominated environment.

Relationships on Magnitude and Frequency of Freshwater Discharge and Rainfall in the Altered Yeongsan Estuary (영산강 하구의 방류와 강우의 규모 및 빈도 상관성 분석)

  • Rhew, Ho-Sang;Lee, Guan-Hong
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.223-237
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    • 2011
  • The intermittent freshwater discharge has an critical influence upon the biophysical environments and the ecosystems of the Yeongsan Estuary where the estuary dam altered the continuous mixing of saltwater and freshwater. Though freshwater discharge is controlled by human, the extreme events are mainly driven by the heavy rainfall in the river basin, and provide various impacts, depending on its magnitude and frequency. This research aims to evaluate the magnitude and frequency of extreme freshwater discharges, and to establish the magnitude-frequency relationships between basin-wide rainfall and freshwater inflow. Daily discharge and daily basin-averaged rainfall from Jan 1, 1997 to Aug 31, 2010 were used to determine the relations between discharge and rainfall. Consecutive daily discharges were grouped into independent events using well-defined event-separation algorithm. Partial duration series were extracted to obtain the proper probability distribution function for extreme discharges and corresponding rainfall events. Extreme discharge events over the threshold 133,656,000 $m^3$ count up to 46 for 13.7y years, following the Weibull distribution with k=1.4. The 3-day accumulated rain-falls which occurred one day before peak discharges (1day-before-3day -sum rainfall), are determined as a control variable for discharge, because their magnitude is best correlated with that of the extreme discharge events. The minimum value of the corresponding 1day-before-3day-sum rainfall, 50.98mm is initially set to a threshold for the selection of discharge-inducing rainfall cases. The number of 1day-before-3day-sum rainfall groups after selection, however, exceeds that of the extreme discharge events. The canonical discriminant analysis indicates that water level over target level (-1.35 m EL.) can be useful to divide the 1day-before-3day-sum rainfall groups into discharge-induced and non-discharge ones. It also shows that the newly-set threshold, 104mm, can just separate these two cases without errors. The magnitude-frequency relationships between rainfall and discharge are established with the newly-selected lday-before-3day-sum rainfalls: $D=1.111{\times}10^8+1.677{\times}10^6{\overline{r_{3day}}$, (${\overline{r_{3day}}{\geqq}104$, $R^2=0.459$), $T_d=1.326T^{0.683}_{r3}$, $T_d=0.117{\exp}[0.0155{\overline{r_{3day}}]$, where D is the quantity of discharge, ${\overline{r_{3day}}$ the 1day-before-3day-sum rainfall, $T_{r3}$ and $T_d$, are respectively return periods of 1day-before-3day-sum rainfall and freshwater discharge. These relations provide the framework to evaluate the effect of freshwater discharge on estuarine flow structure, water quality, responses of ecosystems from the perspective of magnitude and frequency.

Flood Frequency Analysis Considering Probability Distribution and Return Period under Non-stationary Condition (비정상성 확률분포 및 재현기간을 고려한 홍수빈도분석)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Yeong Seob
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.7
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    • pp.567-579
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    • 2015
  • This study performed the non-stationary flood frequency analysis considering time-varying parameters of a probability density function. Also, return period and risk under non-stationary condition were estimated. A stationary model and three non-stationary models using Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) were developed. The only location parameter was assumed as time-varying parameter in the first model. In second model, the only scale parameter was assumed as time-varying parameter. Finally, the both parameters were assumed as time varying parameter in the last model. Relative likelihood ratio test and Akaike information criterion were used to select appropriate model. The suggested procedure in this study was applied to eight multipurpose dams in South Korea. Using relative likelihood ratio test and Akaike information criterion it is shown that the inflow into the Hapcheon dam and the Seomjingang dam were suitable for non-stationary GEV model but the other six dams were suitable for stationary GEV model. Also, it is shown that the estimated return period under non-stationary condition was shorter than those estimated under stationary condition.

Estimation of the Periodic Extremes of Minimum Air Temperature Using January Mean of Daily Minimum Air Temperature in Korea (1월 일최저기온 평균을 이용한 한국의 재현기간별 일 최저기온 극값 예측)

  • Moon, Kyung Hwan;Son, In Chang;Seo, Hyeong Ho;Choi, Kyung San
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2012
  • This study was conducted to develop a practical method for estimating the extremes of minimum air temperature with given return-period based on the frequency distribution of daily minimum air temperature in January. Daily temperature data were collected from 61 meteorological observatories country-wide from 1961 to 2010. Most of daily minimum temperature in January could be represented by a normal-distribution, so it is possible to predict stochastically the lowest temperature by the mean and standard deviation. We developed a quadratic function to estimate standard deviation in terms of daily minimum temperature in January. Also, we introduced a coefficient which can be used to predict an extreme of minimum temperature with mean and standard deviation, and is dependent on return-periods. Using this method, we were able to reproduce the past 30-year extremes with an error of 1.1 on average and 5.3 in the worst case.