• 제목/요약/키워드: Exposure modeling

검색결과 199건 처리시간 0.021초

CalTOX 모델을 이용한 대산 석유화학단지의 활동단계에 따른 벤젠 흡입 노출평가 (Prediction of Inhalation Exposure to Benzene by Activity Stage Using a Caltox Model at the Daesan Petrochemical Complex in South Korea)

  • 이진헌;이민우;박창용;박상현;송영호;김옥;신지훈
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제48권3호
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2022
  • Background: Chemical emissions in the environment have rapidly increased with the accelerated industrialization taking place in recent decades. Residents of industrial complexes are concerned about the health risks posed by chemical exposure. Objectives: This study was performed to suggest modeling methods that take into account multimedia and multi-pathways in human exposure and risk assessment. Methods: The concentration of benzene emitted at industrial complexes in Daesan, South Korea and the exposure of local residents was estimated using the Caltox model. The amount of human exposure based on inhalation rate was stochastically predicted for various activity stages such as resting, normal walking, and fast walking. Results: The coefficient of determination (R2) for the CalTOX model efficiency was 0.9676 and the root-mean-square error (RMSE) was 0.0035, indicating good agreement between predictions and measurements. However, the efficiency index (EI) appeared to be a negative value at -1094.4997. This can be explained as the atmospheric concentration being calculated only from the emissions from industrial facilities in the study area. In the human exposure assessment, the higher the inhalation rate percentile value, the higher the inhalation rate and lifetime average daily dose (LADD) at each activity step. Conclusions: Prediction using the Caltox model might be appropriate for comparing with actual measurements. The LADD of females was higher ratio with an increase in inhalation rate than those of males. This finding would imply that females may be more susceptible to benzene as their inhalation rate increases.

Quantitative Approaches in Use to Assess Cancer Risk

  • Anderson Elizabeth L.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한예방의학회 1994년도 교수 연수회(환경)
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    • pp.450-468
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    • 1994
  • Scientists have long used conventional toxicological methods to establish 'safe levels of exposure' for chemicals presumed to have threshold health effects or doses below which significant effects are unlikely to occur. These same methods cannot be used to establish safe levels of exposure for non-threshold pollutants. such as carcinogens. Therefore. Federal regulatory agencies in the United States are using risk assessment methods to provide information for public health policy decisions concerning increases in risk associated with increases in exposure to carcinogenic and other non-threshold pollutants. Acceptable exposure/risk levels are decided by policymakers who consider descriptions and estimates of risks together with social and economic benefits from the uses of the chemical. 1bis paper focuses on the development of quantitative risk assessment approaches by Federal regulatory agencies in the United States, and identifies the mathematical models currently being used for risk extrapolation. including their inherent uncertainties. The uncertainties and limitations of these methods have led some scientists to question the utility of quantitative risk extrapolation. The experience of the; U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). as summarized in this paper. can provide a realistic basis for evaluating the pros and cons. Finally. shortcomings in current risk assessment methods and their use in policy decisions are explored. and areas for possible improvement. given current scientific knowledge. are identified.

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An expert system for making durable concrete for chemical exposure

  • Islam, Md. Nazrul;Zain, Muhammad Fauzi Mohd.;Basri, Hassan
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.293-307
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    • 2005
  • The development and the main features of an expert system for modeling the requirements of durable concrete in chemical exposure, called the Durable Concrete Advisor for Chemical Exposure (DCACE), are described. The system was developed to help improve the quality of concrete exposed to chemical environment by minimizing mistakes and deficiencies in selecting concrete constituents. Using Kappa-PC expert system shell, an object-oriented model was developed where the rule-based reasoning operates on or across objects. The American Concrete Institute manual of concrete practice was chosen as the main source of knowledge. Other textual sources were also consulted for knowledge acquisition. The major objectives of the research were acquisition and formalization of the relevant knowledge and building an expert system for making durable concrete for chemical exposure regarding sulfate attack, acid attack, seawater attack and carbonation. Similar to most expert systems, this system has explanation facilities, can be incrementally expanded, and has an easy to understand knowledge base. The performance of the system is demonstrated by an example session. The system is user-friendly and can be used as an educational tool.

Impact of multiple component deterioration and exposure conditions on seismic vulnerability of concrete bridges

  • Ghosh, Jayadipta;Padgett, Jamie E.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제3권5호
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    • pp.649-673
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    • 2012
  • Recent studies have highlighted the importance of accounting for aging and deterioration of bridges when estimating their seismic vulnerability. Effects of structural degradation of multiple bridge components, variations in bridge geometry, and comparison of different environmental exposure conditions have traditionally been ignored in the development of seismic fragility curves for aging concrete highway bridges. This study focuses on the degradation of multiple bridge components of a geometrically varying bridge class, as opposed to a single bridge sample, to arrive at time-dependent seismic bridge fragility curves. The effects of different exposure conditions are also explored to assess the impact of severity of the environment on bridge seismic vulnerability. The proposed methodology is demonstrated on a representative class of aging multi-span reinforced concrete girder bridges typical of the Central and Southeastern United States. The results reveal the importance of considering multiple deterioration mechanisms, including the significance of degrading elastomeric bearings along with the corroding reinforced concrete columns, in fragility modeling of aging bridge classes. Additionally, assessment of the relative severity of exposure to marine atmospheric, marine sea-splash and deicing salts, and shows 5%, 9% and 44% reduction, respectively, in the median value bridge fragility for the complete damage state relative to the as-built pristine structure.

비료제조공장 인근 지역의 담배특이니트로사민 환경 노출 (Environmental Exposure to Tobacco-specific Nitrosamines in an Area Near a Fertilizer Plant)

  • 하재나;윤미라;장준영;고도현;신호상;김수향;이철우;이보은;김정수
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.398-409
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate environmental exposure to tobacco-specific nitrosamines (TSNAs) by conducting an analysis of the concentration of TSNAs in deposited dust collected from a fertilizer plant and the surrounding village, a simulation of high-temperature drying of tobacco waste, and CALPUFF modeling. Methods: The raw materials of the products, deposited dust (inside and outside the plant and residential area), soil, and wastewater were sampled and the TSNA concentrations were analyzed by LC-MS/MS. As the plant was closed down before the investigation, simulation tests were conducted to confirm the substances discharged during high-temperature (300℃) drying of tobacco waste. CALPUFF modeling was performed to identify the area of influence due to exposure to TSNAs. Results: TSNAs were detected in organic fertilizers estimated to contain tobacco waste, deposited dust, and soil collected from inside and outside the plant. N'-nitrosonornicotine (NNN), 4-(methylnitrosoamino)-1-(3-pyridyl)-1-butanone (NNK), and N'-nitrosoanatabine (NAT) components were detected in five of 15 deposited dust samples collected from the residential area around the plant, while TSNAs were not detected in the five sampling points in the control area. Also, the simulation test for the high temperature drying of tobacco waste found emissions of TSNAs. The CALPUFF modeling results showed that the survey area was likely to be included in the area of influence of TSNA emissions from the plant. Conclusions: It is estimated that harmful tobacco ingredients such as TSNAs were dispersed in nearby areas due to the illegal use of tobacco waste as a raw material to produce organic fertilizers at the plant. These findings assume that the residents have been exposed to TSNAs and suggest that the need for the establishment of measures to manage environmental health.

이온빔 배향을 이용한 네마틱 액정의 프리틸트각 제어를 위한 통계적 모델링 (Statistical modeling of pretilt angle control for NLC using ion beam alignment)

  • 강희진;강동훈;이정환;윤일구;오용철;서대식
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집 Vol.19
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    • pp.302-303
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    • 2006
  • The response surface modeling of the pretilt angle control using ion-beam (IB) alignment on nitrogen doped diamond-like carbon (NDLC) thin film layer is investigated. The response surface model is used to analyze the variation of the pretilt angle under various process conditions IB exposure angle and IB exposure time are considered as Input factors. The analysis of variance technique is used to analyze the statistical significance, and effect plots are also investigated to examine the relationships betweenthe process parameters and the response. The model can allow us to reliably predict the pretilt angle with respect to the varying process conditions.

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Addressing Early Life Sensitivity Using Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling and In Vitro to In Vivo Extrapolation

  • Yoon, Miyoung;Clewell, Harvey J. III
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2016
  • Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling can provide an effective way to utilize in vitro and in silico based information in modern risk assessment for children and other potentially sensitive populations. In this review, we describe the process of in vitro to in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE) to develop PBPK models for a chemical in different ages in order to predict the target tissue exposure at the age of concern in humans. We present our on-going studies on pyrethroids as a proof of concept to guide the readers through the IVIVE steps using the metabolism data collected either from age-specific liver donors or expressed enzymes in conjunction with enzyme ontogeny information to provide age-appropriate metabolism parameters in the PBPK model in the rat and human, respectively. The approach we present here is readily applicable to not just to other pyrethroids, but also to other environmental chemicals and drugs. Establishment of an in vitro and in silico-based evaluation strategy in conjunction with relevant exposure information in humans is of great importance in risk assessment for potentially vulnerable populations like early ages where the necessary information for decision making is limited.

Measurement and Modeling of Personal Exposure to the Electric and Magnetic Fields in the Vicinity of High Voltage Power Lines

  • Tourab, Wafa;Babouri, Abdesselam
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.102-110
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    • 2016
  • Background: This work presents an experimental and modeling study of the electromagnetic environment in the vicinity of a high voltage substation located in eastern Algeria (Annaba city) specified with a very high population density. The effects of electromagnetic fields emanating from the coupled multi-lines high voltage power systems (MLHV) on the health of the workers and people living in proximity of substations has been analyzed. Methods: Experimental Measurements for the Multi-lines power system proposed have been conducted in the free space under the high voltage lines. Field's intensities were measured using a referenced and calibrated electromagnetic field meter PMM8053B for the levels 0 m, 1 m, 1.5 m and 1.8 m witch present the sensitive's parts as organs and major functions (head, heart, pelvis and feet) of the human body. Results: The measurement results were validated by numerical simulation using the finite element method and these results are compared with the limit values of the international standards. Conclusion: We project to set own national standards for exposure to electromagnetic fields, in order to achieve a regional database that will be at the disposal of partners concerned to ensure safety of people and mainly workers inside high voltage electrical substations.

Mathematical modeling to simulate the adsorption and internalization of copper in two freshwater algae species, Pseudokirchneriella subcapitata and Chlorella vulgaris

  • Kim, Yongeun;Lee, Minyoung;Hong, Jinsol;Cho, Kijong
    • 환경생물
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.298-310
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    • 2021
  • Prediction of the behavior of heavy metals over time is important to evaluate the heavy metal toxicity in algae species. Various modeling studies have been well established, but there is a need for an improved model for predicting the chronic effects of metals on algae species to combine the metal kinetics and biological response of algal cells. In this study, a kinetic dynamics model was developed to predict the copper behavior(5 ㎍ L-1, 10 ㎍ L-1, and 15 ㎍ L-1) for two freshwater algae (Pseudokirchneriella subcapitata and Chlorella vulgaris) in the chronic exposure experiments (8 d and 21 d). In the experimental observations, the rapid change in copper mass between the solutions, extracellular and intracellular sites occurred within initial exposure periods, and then it was slower although the algal density changed with time. Our model showed a good agreement with the measured copper mass in each part for all tested conditions with an elapsed time (R2 for P. subcapitata: 0.928, R2 for C. vulgaris: 0.943). This study provides a novel kinetic dynamics model that is compromised between practical simplicity and realistic complexity, and it can be used to investigate the chronic effects of heavy metals on the algal population.

화해를 입은 철근콘크리트 내부기둥의 잔존거동 수치해석 모델 (Numerical Modeling of Residual Behavior of Fire-Damaged Reinforced Concrete Interior Columns)

  • 이차돈;신영수;이승환;이창은
    • 콘크리트학회논문집
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.893-902
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    • 2005
  • 화재에 노출된 철근콘크리트 구조물의 안정성 판단 및 보강정도를 결정하기 위하여 화해손상을 입은 철근콘크리트 기둥의 잔존거동을 예측하기 위한 합리적 모델이 필요하다 . 화해 손상을 입은 철근콘크리트 기둥의 잔존거동을 예측하기 위한 이론모델 은 기둥 내부에 전달되는 열, 구성 재료의 열화 정도, 그리고 여러 형태의 기둥단면 형상을 고려할 수 있어야 한다. 본 연구에 서 제안한 수치해석 모텔은 이러한 영향인자들을 고려한다. 개발된 모델은 화해를 입은 기둥의 잔존거동을 적절하게 예측하였다. 개발된 모델을 이용하여 피복두께, 화해노출시간, 기둥의 기하학적 형상 등이 철근콘크리트 기둥의 잔존거동에 미치는 영향 에 대하여 변수 고찰하였다. 변수고찰 결과 장기간 화해에 따른 기둥의 잔존내력 감소가 심각하게 나타났으나 기타 변수들의 차이에 따른 잔존거동의 차이는 적은 것으로 나타났다.