• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권10호
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• pp.581-589
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• 2020

Foreign factors play an important role in the socio-economic development of each country, in which foreign direct investment (FDI), foreign aid and exports of goods and services are always given top priority in undeveloped countries as well as developing countries. The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between the various factors such as FDI, foreign aid, exports and economic growth in Vietnam. The empirical method employed secondary time-series data set during the period 1997-2018 to determine the impact of FDI, foreign aid and exports on economic growth in Vietnam by using a linear approach. For this study, data is collected from the World Bank and relevant agencies in Vietnam. An empirical model is built with a correlation and regression analysis between economic growth (GDP, current) and three independent variables (FDI, aid, exports of goods and services). The results show that the relationship between FDI (net inflows), aid, exports and GDP (current) has a positive effect at a 1% significance level. Based on these findings, the article recommends that Vietnam continues to seek effective solutions to maintain high economic growth rates by attracting FDI inflows, official development assistance (ODA), and increasing exports of goods and services.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.481-503
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• 2022

본 연구는 환경혁신이 환경친화적 제품의 수출에 미치는 영향을 동태패널모형을 이용하여 분석한다. 분석결과 환경친화적 제품의 수출은 장기 균형에 느리게 수렴하는 동태적 조정 과정이 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 환경혁신으로 대표되는 환경 부문의 민간 특허와 환경관련 공공 R&D 지출의 경우 환경친화적 수출에 긍정적인 효과가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 구체적으로 환경친화적 제품은 자원 관리, 오염 관리, 청정 기술 부문의 제품으로 분류되어 있는데, 특허의 경우 자원 관리 부문의 수출에, R&D 지출의 경우 모든 부문의 수출에 기여하는 것으로 나타났다. 동태효과에 대한 추정결과 환경혁신의 수출 증진 효과는 장기로 갈수록 크게 나타났으며, 공공 부문의 환경혁신이 민간 부문의 환경혁신에 비해 수출에 더 크게 기여하는 것으로 나타났다.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.183-195
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• 2022

Purpose - The study attempted to analyze how the U.S.-China trade dispute affects a highly trade-dependent South Korea. Currently, major domestic and international institutions have issued a number of conflicting predictions that the trade dispute between China and the United States will have a positive and negative impact on South Korea. Accordingly, the present study attempted to analyze using actual data. Design/methodology/approach - The analysis was conducted using actual import and export data from the United States and China and actual import and export data from the United States and China from South Korea. The analysis measured the number and amount of imports and exports by year and month, and the rate of increase and decrease. We also looked at trade dispute days, import and export outcomes and what the impact was. In addition, as a result of the US-China trade dispute, the amount of change in Korea's imports and exports was analyzed. Findings - Empirical analysis shows that South Korea's exports to the United States and China have increased. The analysis results are as follows. First, exports to the United States increased by 5.65% in 2018 and 6.45% in 2019 compared to 2017. Second, exports to China surged 12.34% in 2018 compared to 2017. This increase in South Korea's exports to the United States and its mass exports to the United States shows that South Korea has benefited from the trade dispute between the United States and China. Research implications or Originality - South Korea, which is highly trade-dependent, has been heavily affected by the U.S.-China trade dispute. Various predictions are made about this. The analysis showed that South Korea's export volume has increased. In the end, the effect of the trade transition to the 3rd country did not occur. Rather, the U.S.-China trade dispute appears to have helped South Korea.

• 무역학회지
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• 제45권5호
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• pp.1-22
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• 2020

This study explores the role of relationship banking for the exports of SMEs (small and medium sized enterprises) in Korea. Using a sample of SMEs listed on the Korean stock markets between 2004 and 2018, I find that relationship banking has a positive impact on exporting behaviors of SMEs. This result indicates that relationship banking is suitable for SMEs to raise their funds in the export decision-making since the incentive for banks to obtain soft information enhances SMEs' access to external finance. In particular, through further analysis considering financial constraints, I find that the positive impact of relationship banking on exports is amplified for financially constrained SMEs. In addition, the positive impact on exports is also amplified for export starters. Finally, relationship banking provides benefits for SMEs' export decision-making regardless of the financial crisis. To sum up, relationship banking may be useful means of financing for Korean SMEs whose creditworthiness cannot be assessed only by hard information. As the role of finance in international trade has recently been highlighted, this study provides insightful evidence that relationship banking may enhance exports of SMEs as a source of trade finance.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.283-304
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• 2004

Evaluating the sources of economic output is obviously important, and numerous attempts have been made to judge the impact of many different factors on economic output. It is widely accepted that high-technology(HT) is one of the important factors in economic output. This paper empirically explores the impacts of HT exports on economic output using a cross-county analysis based on data from 89 countries for the year 1988-2000. To this end, several versions of the neoclassical growth models, explicitly including HT exports, are estimated. Subject to the appropriate caveats, the results provide further support for several key conclusions of the former studies - investment in physical capital, population growth, and the human capital are important in accounting fer economic output across countries. More importantly, it is concluded that HT exports significantly contribute to economic output. Interestingly, the conclusion is valid f3r developing countries, but not far developed countries.

• 경제분석
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.72-113
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• 2020

이 연구는 1995년 1분기부터 2019년 3분기까지의 북·중무역 자료를 사용하여 북한의 가장 중요한 외화획득 원천이었던 광물 수출과 품목별 수입 간의 관계를 공적분, 벡터자기회귀모형, 그리고 충격반응함수를 통하여 분석하였다. 연구 결과에 따르면 광물 수출은 수입품 중 식품, 연료, 자본재류 중간재와 공적분 관계를 가지는 것으로 추정되었다. 한편, 벡터자기회귀 분석 결과 광물 수출에 구조변화가 있었던 2010년 3분기 전후로 광물 수출과 품목별 수입의 단기적인 관계에서 상반된 결과를 발견할 수 있었다. 구조변화 이전에는 수입 충격이 광물 수출에 영향을 준 반면 구조변화 이후에는 광물 수출 충격이 차량, 섬유류 중간재, 기타 중간재, 사치재 수입을 증가시키는 것으로 추정되었다. 본 연구의 추정결과는 2010년 이후 급증한 북한의 광물 수출이 북한의 경제성장에 기여할 가능성과 한계를 동시에 보여준다. 광물 수출이 식품, 연료 등의 필수재와 더불어 자본재류 중간재와 공적분 관계를 가지며, 단기적으로는 자본재 수입과 각종 중간재 수입을 증가시킨다는 점은 광물 수출이 경제성장에 기여할 가능성을 보여준다. 그러나 기계설비자산 등 자본량 축적에 필요한 자본재 수입과의 장기균형관계는 발견되지 않았으며, 단기적 영향도 차량수입 증가에 국한된 것으로 추정되어 광물 수출에 의한 성장효과는 제한적이었을 것으로 평가된다.

• 한국기계연구소 소보
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• 통권9호
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• pp.41-44
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• 1982

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.419-429
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• 2022

The aim of this research is to examine how globalization affects coffee exports in the producing countries. This research used secondary data obtained from the International Coffee Organization, Pen World Table, World Bank, Food and Agricultural Organization, and KoF Globalization Index to achieve its goals. We used secondary data from 1990 to 2018 from various foreign databases. The research used a two-step system GMM (sys-GMM) to analyze the effect of globalization on coffee export in twenty-four producing countries. We found that export lag, gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rate, and the political globalization index (PGI) positively and significantly impact coffee exports. Meanwhile, coffee exports were unaffected by the level of export prices and the human capital index. Surprisingly, the trade globalization index has a negative impact on coffee exports. This demonstrates the unpreparedness of coffee-producing countries to face tough competition in trade globalization. The political globalization index, the final variable, has a positive impact on exports. With the opening up of world politics, it seems that the environment of democracy in producing countries is increasing. As a result, governments in these countries have adopted a policy of aggressively supporting coffee exports.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.5-12
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• 2015

The authors calculate the long-term predictability of GDP, domestic demand, investment, and net exports for Guangdong province, P.R. China from 2000 to 2013. A vector autoregressive (VAR) model with quarterly data for this period is first co-integrated then the Granger causality test is applied to empirically assess the relationships among gross domestic product (GDP), consumption, investment, and net exports. There is a strong causality effect between investment and net exports in Guangdong province. However, the variance decomposition results indicate that exports respond to foreign shocks rather than domestic ones, making their impact on the Guangdong economy to predict. Results show the stimulating effect of domestic demand on GDP is larger than the stimulating effect of net exports and much larger than even the stimulating effect of investment. The analysis suggests that there are dynamic influences with various levels of persistence between GDP, consumption, investment, and net exports. Macroeconomic policy adjustments are urgently required to expand domestic demand and thereby stimulate economic growth in Guangdong province.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제46권3호
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• pp.49-66
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• 2024

This study empirically investigates how the exports of downstream products to the US change the imports of their upstream products from China during the US-China tariff war. To accomplish this, we use province-level trade data in Vietnam, known to be a country that increased its exports to the US market in place of China, i.e., known to enjoy a trade diversion in the US market. The use of regional trade data enables us to capture the input-output linkages more precisely. Specifically, focusing on the trade in general and electrical machinery industries from January of 2019 to December of 2023, we regress imports of upstream products from China on exports of their downstream products to the US, finding that the rise of exports of downstream products to the US significantly increases imports of their upstream products from China. On the other hand, the rise in these products does not significantly increase the imports of upstream products from Japan, Korea, and Taiwan. Furthermore, the input-output linkage between exports to the US and imports from China was found to be greater in provinces with better business environments in terms of entry costs, transparency in public services, and public support to businesses.