• Title/Summary/Keyword: Export To China

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China's Slowdown

  • BARRY EICHENGREEN
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2024
  • This paper evaluates explanations for China's growth slowdown. The natural tendency for rapidly growing economies to slow down is a major factor, along with problems bequeathed by unbalanced growth, including a declining ICOR, slowing total factor productivity growth, and rising indebtedness. A number of other mechanisms are of lesser importance: demographics, President Xi's centralization of political power and anti-corruption campaign, and U.S. export controls. Sustaining growth in the longer term will require China to step away from investment, debt and export-fueled growth in favor of a balanced growth model with household consumption playing a larger role. Doing so will require hardening of the budget constraints of regional and local governments and restructuring of the nonperforming debts of property and construction companies.

A Study on the Interchange of Korean and Chinese Tea Culture (한중차문화교류고)

  • 김명배
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 1993
  • (1) According to the history of three kingdoms, tea was introduced to Korea at the period of Korea at the period of Sun-Duck Queen of Shilla dynasty, and Dae-Ryeom Kim, the emissary, brought tea seeds from Tang China in 828, and sowed them on Mt. Jiri by the order of the King Heung-Duck, Shila. In 1885, The Chosun government took action in transplant 6000 each of tea of tea seeding from Ch'ing. (2) Transmission of schools As for the type of tea through the history of Korea, it could be characterized as cake-tea in the three kingdoms period, lump-tea in Koryo dynasty and leaf-tea in Chosun dynasty. Those were affected by Chinese tea culture. (3) Transfer of tea and tea utensils Kokuryo and Shilla had to import cake-tea from tang China, and Koryo had to import lump-tea from Sung China, and Chosun had to import leaf-tea from ch'ing China. On the other hand, to export various tea to Khitai, Chin, Yuan, and Chosun had to export tea Ch'ing China. And the tea bowl produced in the Sung such as Chien Chou ware and Chi Chou ware, was also introduced to Koryo. (4) Suggestion for the promation of tea industry The Chosun government were adviced to the exchange of Chosun tea for Chosun tea for China horse, by yang Ho, General to the Ming expeditionary forces in Chosun, and were advised to engage in foreign tea trade, by Lee Hong Jyand, minister of commerce for the nothern sea to the Ching.

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China's Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks and South Korea's Exports: A TVP-VAR Approach with an SMSS Structure

  • Liu, Lin;Zhang, Manman;Li, Wei
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - Since China has been South Korea's biggest export destination, uncertainty shocks originating from it would influence South Korea's exports. This paper evaluates the effects of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports to explore the transmission channels. Design/methodology - Incorporating endogeneities and nonlinearities, this study employs a quarterly time-varying parameters vector autoregressive model to investigate the relationships between China's economic policy uncertainty and Korea's exports, where the overparameterization due to time-varying specifications is overcome by a novel stochastic model specification search framework. According to previous theoretical studies, this paper assesses two channels, demand shock channel and exchange rate channel, through which foreign uncertainty affects Korea's exports. This paper identifies the primary drivers of Korea's aggregate exports and analyzes the rationales for the time-variant impacts of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports to China. Findings - Our empirical results reveal that Korea's aggregate exports are less responsive to China's economic policy uncertainty shocks and significantly move together with global demand. In contrast, its bilateral exports to China are highly responsive in a negative and time-variant way. Moreover, Chinese investment is an important channel through which China's economic policy uncertainty affects Korea's exports to China after 2010. Further, the time-variant effects of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports to China are related to changes in China's foreign trade policies, global economic conditions, and China's degree of economic freedom. Originality/value - Few previous studies touch the effects of external uncertainty shocks on South Korea's exports. This paper attempts to fill this gap and explicitly investigate the impacts of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports from a time-varying perspective. As Korea is an export-oriented economy, this study provides insights for the Korean government to understand the transmissions of external uncertainty better.

An Analysis on the Determinants of Technology Export by Korean Finns to China (한국기업의 대(對)중국 기술수출 결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Sing-Young;Kim, Hee-Yong
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.141-164
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to come up with the elements that have influence on the outcomes of technology transfer in a multi-divisional way by making analysis of the interactive relations among technology transfer factor, technology transfer procedure factors, and technology transfer outcome factors through the Structural Equation Model(SEM). And the sample companies are restricted to the ones that have the records of technology transfer to China for the past five years For research model, technology success factor model of Choi and Lee (2000) and technology receptive capability and technology transfer outcome model of Lin, Tan and Chang(2002) were adopted. The research model was divided into an external variable, technology transfer factors and an internal variables, technology transfer procedure factors and technology transfer outcome factors. Research hypothesis was divided into technology transfer factors and technology transfer procedure factors; and technology transfer outcomes. As a result of analysis, cultural difference associated with technology transfer, technological type, corporate capability, and mutual trust have an effect on the outcomes of technology transfer.

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Decisional Factor of China Consumers' Willingness to Pay for Korean Shine Muscat: Evidence from Beijing and Shanghai Consumers (중국 소비자의 샤인머스켓 포도 상품 속성별 지불의향 결정요인 분석: 베이징과 상하이 소비자를 중심으로)

  • Seok, Jun-Ho;Park, Mi-Sung;Lim, Seung-Ju;Kim, Kyung-Phil
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.359-384
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    • 2021
  • In a long-run, a price reduction of shine muscat that is one type of grapes is expected due to an increase of cultivated area. To come up with this problem, expanding exports of shine muscat considering that domestic demand is restricted in Korea. This study investigates the China consumers preference for shine muscat from Korea since exports to China have increased a lot after the quarantine agreement in 2015. Specifically, this paper analyzes a probability of shine muscat exports to China based on willingness to pay (WTP). Moreover, we derive long-run and short-run export strategies for Korean shine muscat. Our results show that a probability of exports to China is high. However, this probability is lowered at the sample of consumers who have the experience of tasted shine muscat. Considering the relative important characteristic for buying shine muscat at the sample of eating experienced consumers in China is sweetness, there is a need to develop cultivation technologies for enhancing sweetness to attain a sustainable development in the grape sector of Korea.

Development of Export Volume and Export Amount Prediction Models Based on Supervised Learning (지도학습 기반 수출물량 및 수출금액 예측 모델 개발)

  • Dong-Gil Na;Yeong-Woong Yu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.152-159
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    • 2023
  • Due to COVID-19, changes in consumption trends are taking place in the distribution sector, such as an increase in non-face-to-face consumption and a rapid growth in the online shopping market. However, it is difficult for small and medium-sized export sellers to obtain forecast information on the export market by country, compared to large distributors who can easily build a global sales network. This study is about the prediction of export amount and export volume by country and item for market information analysis of small and medium export sellers. A prediction model was developed using Lasso, XGBoost, and MLP models based on supervised learning and deep learning, and export trends for clothing, cosmetics, and household electronic devices were predicted for Korea's major export countries, the United States, China, and Vietnam. As a result of the prediction, the performance of MAE and RMSE for the Lasso model was excellent, and based on the development results, a market analysis system for small and medium sellers was developed.

A Study on the Competitive Position and Strategic Exportable Goods of Korea Focused on Korea-China-Japan Fisheries Products Class (한.중.일 수산물부문에 있어 한국의 경쟁력 수준과 수출전략품목 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ki-Soo;Woo, Ji-Hyo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2007
  • This study examines the relative competitive position of korean fisheries products market over period of 2001 to 2005 and selects strategic exported goods from its position provide against concluding FTA agreement with China and Japan. The portfolio approach is used to develope competitiveness-market share matrix. The position of each export countries on the competitiveness market share matrix will be in one of nine cells, with differing implications for their role in korean fisheries products market. Based the competitiveness market share matrix, each export countries are divided into first cell type, third cell type and ninth cell type and the items of ninth cell type are chosen as strategic exportable goods. The results of this study are summarized as follows: First, in the case of each country change aspect, China is trending to decrease quantity but shows number of item that increase gradually with high share still, and look trend that increase third cell type item too gradually, and in case of first cell type item is that competitive position is high more relatively than the Korea. In the case of Japan, ninth cell type item is falling gradually, and share does not show big change generally in case of first cell type item. Second, in the case of strategic exportable goods that analyze using domestic competitive position cell type and MCA with competitive position in domestic fisheries products market and export market, was appear by codfish(frozen), cuttle fish(frozen) etc. in case with China, and by mackerel(frozen), other sea bream(frozen), laver(dry), bathing(dry) etc. in case with Japan. And analyzed goods that have all export competitive advantages in both countries are roes of alaska pollack(frozen), other roes of fish(except frozen roes of alaska pollack), squid(frozen) etc.

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Bilateral Trade Potential of IP Sensitive Products: A Comparative Study of India and China

  • Sharma, Ruchi;Jain, Arushi;Panda, Sidheswar
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.69-86
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    • 2022
  • This study examines performances and varieties of export of IP sensitive products across emerging countries, namely, India and China by utilizing 6-digit disaggregated product-level export data. Further, this study constructs trade margins - extensive and intensive margins to understand trade potential and different trade patterns, specifically, exporters' productivity, product diversification, and volume of trade during 2007-2016. This study finds India's performance is comparable with China at the extensive margin though the gap between India and China is very wide in terms of the total value of exports and the intensive margin. China majorly exports more expensive electronics and manufacturing-related products as opposed to relatively cheaper medicinal and synthetic products, the total value of exports from China to the rest of the world is much higher than that of India. This study suggests that India is exporting IP-sensitive products to lower-income countries sufficiently, but the IP-sensitive exports to higher-income countries are still lagging.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Bilateral Trade Flow: Evidence from China (환율 변동성과 양자 무역 흐름: 중국을 중심으로)

  • Li Qing;Sang-Whi Lee
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.47-66
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    • 2023
  • Our study aims to explore the impact of China's foreign trade policy measures on the real exchange rate movement. We seek to provide specific references for the formulation of exchange rate and trade-related strategies. Our results indicate that China's bilateral trade is significantly influenced by movements in the Real Effective Exchange Rate (RER). When analyzing the relationship between aggregated trade flow and exchange rate movements, this paper finds that the depreciation of the real exchange rate leads to an increase in China's export volume and a slight decrease in its import volume. Moreover, China's export volume exhibits higher sensitivity to exchange rate volatility compared to the exchange rate level. Furthermore, the empirical findings regarding disaggregated trade flow suggest that different goods are affected differently by exchange rate movements. Capital goods and consumer goods, being in different stages of processing, show no negative impact on their import and export due to exchange rate depreciation. Consequently, we recommend deepening the industry's reform by improving production efficiency and transitioning the industrial structure to a higher processing stage. This approach can effectively reduce the negative impact of exchange rate depreciation.

A Comparative Study on the Export Similarity Index (ESI) and Trade Competitiveness Index (TCI) of Korean Construction Machinery with China and the U.S.A (한국 건설기계의 수출유사성지수(ESI) 및 무역경쟁력지수(TCI) 연구 - 중국 및 미국과의 비교 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Gyuseong;Li, Xiang;Shim, Sangryul
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.16-23
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    • 2022
  • This study examined the trend of international competitiveness over the past 10 years (2011-2020), focusing on comparative analysis with China and the United States, targeting seven major export items of Korean construction machinery based on 6 units of HS code. To this end, the export similarity index and trade competitiveness index were calculated and analyzed using UN Comtrade and Korea International Trade Association trade statistics. As a result of the analysis, competition between Korea and China has intensified over the past decade, and competition with the United States has remained at a certain level. Korean forklifts (8427.20) are exporting to the world with strong competitiveness in the global market. Excavators (8429.52) and loaders (8429.51), which have the largest export share of Korean construction machinery, have a weight advantage, but they are exporting due to price inferiority. The rest of the items were found to be inferior in price and weight, and were not competitive in the global market. These analysis results suggest the following implications. First, it is necessary to strengthen efforts to expand exports of universal construction machinery items, which are expected to increase in demand in the future, by boosting the economy and expanding infrastructure investment in accordance with eco-friendly policies. Second, excavators, which have been shown to have a quality advantage and a price competitive advantage, need to further strengthen export marketing activities not only in China and the United States but also in emerging developing countries.