• Title/Summary/Keyword: Exponential Regression

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A Study on the Comparison of Optimal Solutions by Major Forecasting Methods - For the case of the cement product - (주요(主要) 수요예측기법(需要豫測技法)에 의한 최적해(最適解)의 비교연구(比較硏究) - 시멘트제품(製品)의 경우(境遇)를 중심(中心)으로 -)

  • Jeong, Bok-Su
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 1984
  • The purpose of this paper is to compare several forecasting methods for the case of the cement product by the analysis of the forecasting data and by the study of major forecasting methods, which are the Trend Projection, Exponential Smoothing, and Multiple Regression Analysis. As a result, it is thought that the Multiple Regression Analysis is the optimal model for the case of the cement product. In addition, it is important to consider the future circumstances for forecasting, and to improve the level of the forecasting results through the precise analysis of the collected data.

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A note on nonparametric density deconvolution by weighted kernel estimators

  • Lee, Sungho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.951-959
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    • 2014
  • Recently Hazelton and Turlach (2009) proposed a weighted kernel density estimator for the deconvolution problem. In the case of Gaussian kernels and measurement error, they argued that the weighted kernel density estimator is a competitive estimator over the classical deconvolution kernel estimator. In this paper we consider weighted kernel density estimators when sample observations are contaminated by double exponentially distributed errors. The performance of the weighted kernel density estimators is compared over the classical deconvolution kernel estimator and the kernel density estimator based on the support vector regression method by means of a simulation study. The weighted density estimator with the Gaussian kernel shows numerical instability in practical implementation of optimization function. However the weighted density estimates with the double exponential kernel has very similar patterns to the classical kernel density estimates in the simulations, but the shape is less satisfactory than the classical kernel density estimator with the Gaussian kernel.

Study on the tool temperature estimation for different cutting conditions in turning using a statistical method (통계적 기법을 이용한 선삭 가공 절삭조건에 따른 공구온도 예측)

  • 김성청;이응석;문홍현;송길용
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.851-856
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    • 1997
  • This study is on the estimation of the tool temperature for different tool nose radius and cutting conditions in turning. The experiment has been performed in different cutting conditions such as cutting speed, feed rate, and depth of cut for the tool nose radius, 0.4R, 0.8R using SMC workpiece materials. Tool temperature is measured using thermo-couple which is embedded in the insert tip. Using a multiple linear regression method, the tool temperature can be determined as an exponential equation with cutting variables and tool nose diameters for different tool materials. The equations determined in this study show a good correlation for the cutting conditions and can be used for the tool temperature estimation. The result indicates that the tool temperature decreases for ~ncreasing the tool nose radius in general. Also, nose radius hardly influences on the tool temperature compared with cutting speed, feed rate and depth of cut.

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Improvements of Mass Measurement Rate for Moving Objects (이송 물체의 질량 측정 속도 향샹)

  • Lee, W.G.;Kim, K.P.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.110-117
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    • 1995
  • This study presents and algorithm and related techniques which could satisfy the important properties of check weighers and conveyor scales. The algorithm of Recursive Least Squares Regression is applied for the weighing system simulated as a dynamic model of the second order. Using the model and the algorithm, model parameters and then the mass being weighed can be determined from the step input. The performance of the algorithm was tested on a check weigher. Discussions were extended to the development of noise reduction techniques and to the lagged introduction of objects on the moving plate. It turns out that the algorithm shows several desirable features suitable for real-time signal processing with a microcomputer, which are high precision and stability in noisy environment.

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A Numerical Modelling for the Prediction of Phase Transition Time(Ice-Water) in Frozen Gelatin Matrix by Ohmic Thawing Process

  • Kim, Jee-Yeon;Park, Sung-Hee;Min, Sang-Gi
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Food Science of Animal Resources Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.407-411
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    • 2004
  • Ohmic heating occurs when an electric current is passes through food, resulting in a temperature rise in the product due to the conversion of the electric energy into heat. The time spent in the thawing is critical for product sterility and quality. The objective of this study is to conduct numerical modelling between the effect of ohmic thawing intensity on PTT(phase transition time) at constant concentration and the effect of matrix concentrations on PTT at constant voltage condition. the stronger ohmic thawing intensity resulted in decreasing the PTT. High ohmic intensity causes short PTT. And the higher gelatin concentration, the faster increment of PTT. A numerical modeling was executed to predict the PTT influenced by the power intensity using exponential regression and the PTT influenced by gelatin concentration using logarithmic regression. Therefore, from this numerical model of gelatin matrix, it is possible to estimate exact values extensively.

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Development of a Weekly Load Forecasting Expert System (주간수요예측 전문가 시스템 개발)

  • Hwang, Kap-Ju;Kim, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Sung-Hak
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.365-370
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes the Weekly Load Forecasting Expert System(Named WLoFy) which was developed and implemented for Korea Electric Power Corporation(KEPCO). WLoFy was designed to provide user oriented features with a graphical user interface to improve the user interaction. The various forecasting models such as exponential smoothing, multiple regression, artificial nerual networks, rult-based model, and relative coefficient model also have been included in WLofy to increase the forecasting accuracy. The simulation based on historical data shows that the weekly forecasting results form WLoFy is an improvement when compared to the results from the conventional methods. Especially the forecasting accuracy on special days has been improved remakably.

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Correlation between Welding Parameters and Detaching Drop Size using Regression (회귀 분석을 이용한 용접 변수와 이탈 액적 크기의 상호 관계)

  • 최상균;한창우;이상룡;이영문
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2002
  • Metal Transfer in gas metal arc (GMA) welding is a complex phenomenon affected by many parameters of the welding conditions and material properties. In this research, the correlation equation between the welding condition and detaching droplet size and detaching velocity in GMA welding was studied via recession analysis on the results of numerical analysis using the volume-of-fluid (VOF) method. Welding parameters and material properties were grouped into three dimensionless numbers and detaching droplet size was expressed as the function of them. Second order and exponential multi-variable correlation forms were assumed, and the coefficients of these equations were calculated for globular and spray modes as well as entire transfer modes. Applying correlation equation into available experimental data, it shows good agreement.

Footing settlement formula based on multi-variable regression analyses

  • Hamderi, Murat
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2019
  • The formulas offered so far on the settlement of raft footings provide only a rough estimate of the actual settlement. One of the best ways to make an accurate estimation is to conduct 3-dimensional finite element analyses. However, the required procedure for these analyses is comparatively cumbersome and expensive and needs a bit more expertise. In order to address this issue, in this study, a raft footing settlement formula was developed based on ninety finite element model configurations. The formula was derived using multi-parameter exponential regression analyses. The settlement formula incorporates the dimensions and the elastic modulus of a rectangular raft, vertical uniform pressure and soil moduli and Poisson's ratios up to 5 layers. In addition to this, an equation was offered for the estimation of average deflection of the raft. The proposed formula was checked against 3 well-documented case studies. The formula that is derived from 3D finite element analyses is useful in optimising the raft properties.

Software Cost Estimation Model Based on Use Case Points by using Regression Model (회귀분석을 이용한 UCP 기반 소프트웨어 개발 노력 추정 모델)

  • Park, Ju-Seok;Yang, Hea-Sool
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.8
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    • pp.147-157
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    • 2009
  • Recently, there has been continued research on UCP from the development effort estimation method to a software development project applying object oriented development methodology. Current research proposes a linear model estimating the developmenteffort by multiplying a constant to AUCP which applies technical and environmental factors. However, the fact that a non-linear regression model is more appropriate as the software size increases, the development period increases exponentially. In addition, in the UCP calculation process the occurrence of FP errors due to the application of TCF and EF, it is unrealistic to estimate the size with AUCP. This paper presents the issue of current research based on UCP without considering problems of the research, for example, TCF and EF and expresses the models (linear, logarithmic, polynomial, power and exponential type) estimating the development effort directly from UUCP. Consequently, the exponential model within non-linear models exhibit more accurate results than the current linear model. Therefore, after calculating the UUCP of the developing software system, using the proposed model to estimate the development effort, it is possible to estimate the direct cost required in development.

A Study on the Prediction of Surface Settlement Applying Umbrella Arch Method to Tunnelling (Umbrella arch 공법의 적용에 따른 횡방향 지표침하량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 김선홍;문현구
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.259-267
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    • 2002
  • Recently, Umbrella Arch Method(UAM) is commonly used in order to enhance the stability of tunnel itself and stabilize the adjacent surface structure. But quantitative estimation of reinforcement effect is needed because UAM is designed and constructed only on the basis of empirical experience. By using 3-dimensional finite element method, parametric study is performed for elastic modulus of ground and overburden, and reinforcement effect is analyzed quantitatively. From the results, surface settlement decreases about 9%∼27% in soil tunnel, about 4%∼24% in weathered rock tunnel and 4%∼17% in soft rock tunnel when applied with UAM. The prediction equation for final surface settlement is suggested through regression analysis and the equation is expressed as exponential function which has variable Smax, unknown coefficient i and k.