• Title/Summary/Keyword: Expert Group Analysis

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Prediction of High Level Ozone Concentration in Seoul by Using Multivariate Statistical Analyses (다변량 통계분석을 이용한 서울시 고농도 오존의 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 허정숙;김동술
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 1993
  • In order to statistically predict $O_3$ levels in Seoul, the study used the TMS (telemeted air monitoring system) data from the Department of Environment, which have monitored at 20 sites in 1989 and 1990. Each data in each site was characterized by 6 major criteria pollutants ($SO_2, TSP, CO, NO_2, THC, and O_3$) and 2 meteorological parameters, such as wind speed and wind direction. To select proper variables and to determine each pollutant's behavior, univariate statistical analyses were extensively studied in the beginning, and then various applied statistical techniques like cluster analysis, regression analysis, and expert system have been intensively examined. For the initial study of high level $O_3$ prediction, the raw data set in each site was separated into 2 group based on 60 ppb $O_3$ level. A hierarchical cluster analysis was applied to classify the group based on 60 ppb $O_3$ into small calsses. Each class in each site has its own pattern. Next, multiple regression for each class was repeatedly applied to determine an $O_3$ prediction submodel and to determine outliers in each class based on a certain level of standardized redisual. Thus, a prediction submodel for each homogeneous class could be obtained. The study was extended to model $O_3$ prediction for both on-time basis and 1-hr after basis. Finally, an expect system was used to build a unified classification rule based on examples of the homogenous classes for all of sites. Thus, a concept of high level $O_3$ prediction model was developed for one of $O_3$ alert systems.

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Development of a Scale to Measure Korean Smoking Temptation (한국형 흡연유혹 측정도구 개발을 위한 연구)

  • 장성옥
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.849-858
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: Smoking temptation is the central concept related to relapse within the context of smoking. Therefore :or effective smoking cessation interventions, a scale to measure smoking temptation is necessary. This study was carried out to develop scale to measure smoking temptation. Method: This study utilized Cronbach's alpha, spilt-half coefficient and test-retest correlation in analyzing the reliability of the collected data and expert group, factor analysis, item analysis multitrait-multimethod method and known-group technique to analyze validity. Result: Twenty-five items were selected from a total of 33 items. The Cronbach's alpha coefficient for internal consistency was .93, spilt-half coefficient .91, and 2 week interval test-retest correlation .93 for the 25 items on the smoking temptation scale. Five factors evolved by factor analysis, which explained 57.28 % of the total variance. The smoking temptation scale was effective in differentiating the subjects at each stage of change for smoking cessation and there were significant negative correlations between smoking temptation and self efficacy for smoking cessation and significant positive correlations between smoking temptation and the Fagerstrom Tolerance Questionnaire. Conclusion: The scale for measuring smoking temptation in Korean in this study was evaluated as a tool with a high degree of reliability and validity.

The Ultimate Bearing Capacity and Estimation Method of Rigid Pile for Port Structures under Lateral Load (횡하중이 작용하는 항만구조물에서 짧은말뚝의 극한지지력 및 평가방법)

  • Kim, Byung-Il;Han, Sang-Jae;Kim, Jong-Seok;Kim, Do-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.75-91
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    • 2014
  • In this study the analysis is performed for influencing factors on the behavior of rigid piles (short pile) by research papers and case study. The results indicated that the point of virtual fixity should be calculated considering the relative stiffness of soil and pile, and Chang (1937) and P-Y method estimated the similar fixity. The values of ultimate resistances of a vertical pile to a lateral load are different for laboratory and field tests in cohesive soils and its ultimate values in laboratory tests are underestimated and in field tests are under or overestimated. The estimated resistance by Hansen (1961)'s method is similar to the value of field tests. The horizontal resistances to laterally loaded pile in cohesionless soils are overestimated in laboratory tests and generally overestimated in field tests. The ultimate resistances by Zhang (2005)'s method, used to the empirical distribution of the resistance, are similar to the test results. In the paper the calculating method and distribution of the ultimate resistance in cohesive soils are proposed. The estimated value by the proposed method is closer to the test results than any other method of calculating ultimate resistance of the piles embedded into cohesive soils.

Analysis of Metabolic Syndrome Risk Factors among the Menopausal Women in Her Fifties (50대 폐경 여성의 대사증후군 위험인자 분석)

  • Shim, Hye-Sun;Kim, Hee-Seung;Kim, Joo-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Biological Nursing Science
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.58-62
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to assess the difference of metabolic syndrome (MS) risk factors according to the MS diagnosis in the age of fifties women. Methods: Forty-two subjects (non metabolic syndrome 30, metabolic syndrome 12) were recruited from the health promotion center of a tertiary care hospital in an urban city. MS was defined by third report of the national cholesterol education program (NCEP) expert panel on detection, evaluation, and treatment of high blood cholesterol in adults (Adult Treatment Panel III) (ATP III), and abdominal obesity was determined by Asia-Pacific criteria in waist circumference. Results: The prevalence of MS by definition of NCEP-ATP III and Asia-Pacific criteria in waist circumference was 28.6% in the age of fifties women. The educational level and the median HDL-cholesterol were significantly lower in the MS patient group than in the Non-MS group. The median of weight, triglyceride, and fasting glucose were significantly higher in the MS patient group than in the Non-MS group. Conclusion: These results indicate that the nursing care should be focused on weight, triglyceride, HDL-cholesterol, and fasting glucose of the MS patients in the fifties women.

Application case for phase III of UAM-LWR benchmark: Uncertainty propagation of thermal-hydraulic macroscopic parameters

  • Mesado, C.;Miro, R.;Verdu, G.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.8
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    • pp.1626-1637
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    • 2020
  • This work covers an important point of the benchmark released by the expert group on Uncertainty Analysis in Modeling of Light Water Reactors. This ambitious benchmark aims to determine the uncertainty in light water reactors systems and processes in all stages of calculation, with emphasis on multi-physics (coupled) and multi-scale simulations. The Gesellschaft für Anlagen und Reaktorsicherheit methodology is used to propagate the thermal-hydraulic uncertainty of macroscopic parameters through TRACE5.0p3/PARCSv3.0 coupled code. The main innovative points achieved in this work are i) a new thermal-hydraulic model is developed with a highly-accurate 3D core discretization plus an iterative process is presented to adjust the 3D bypass flow, ii) a control rod insertion occurrence -which data is obtained from a real PWR test- is used as a transient simulation, iii) two approaches are used for the propagation process: maximum response where the uncertainty and sensitivity analysis is performed for the maximum absolute response and index dependent where the uncertainty and sensitivity analysis is performed at each time step, and iv) RESTING MATLAB code is developed to automate the model generation process and, then, propagate the thermal-hydraulic uncertainty. The input uncertainty information is found in related literature or, if not found, defined based on expert judgment. This paper, first, presents the Gesellschaft für Anlagen und Reaktorsicherheit methodology to propagate the uncertainty in thermal-hydraulic macroscopic parameters and, then, shows the results when the methodology is applied to a PWR reactor.

A study on the psychological well-being of the parents of the adult intellectual disabilities - on the fucus of gender differences. (성인 지적장애인 아버지와 어머니의 심리적 안녕감 설명모형 연구)

  • Yoo, Yong-Shik;Roh, Seung-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.247-276
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    • 2010
  • This study aimed to examine the model to explain the mediator effect of care evaluation(care stress, care satisfaction) on the effect of stress factors and resource on the psychological well-being of the parents of the adult intellectual disabilities. Examining whether there is a difference between the gender of parents was another aim of this study. Study results showed that with the care stress as an endogenous variable, the daily life function and maladjustment behavior of adult children and the health state of parents had a significant direct effect on the psychological well-being of parents. With care satisfaction as an endogenous variable, family support, expert support and care stress had a significant direct effect. With the psychological well-being as an endogenous variable, care satisfaction and care stress had a significant effect, but the health state of parents didn't. In case of indirect effect, the care stress had a significant mediator effect on the effect of the physical function and maladjustment behavior of adult children and the health state of parents on the psychological well-being of parents. Care satisfaction had a significant mediator effect on the effect of family support, expert support and care stress on the psychological well-being of parents. According to the result of the Multiple Group Analysis, the path showed a statistically significant difference between gender was friend support→care satisfaction, care stress→psychological wellbeing, expert support→care satisfaction. On the basis of the study results, practical suggestions were made.

A Study on the Improvement of Industrial Safety and Health Management Cost Using the Survey of Construction Safety Experts (건설안전전문가 설문조사를 활용한 현장중심의 안전관리비 제도 개선 연구)

  • Ko, Jae-Hwan
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.331-342
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study concerns the cost of safety management in order to prevent accidents and disabilities in the construction industry. The purpose of the Chapter is to draw up problems and improvement measures for these safety management costs. Method: A detailed questionnaire was developed for 20 construction safety managers for the research. This questionnaire was analyzed and implemented by the Expert Group Interview (FGI) analysis method. Results: In order to understand the safety management cost system, alternatives such as preparing a standard manual, implementing regular on-site training, and establishing a monitoring system for the safety management cost were derived. In addition, there is a need to ensure autonomy in the execution of flexible costs so that they can be deployed immediately in case of emergency to improve the 'efficiency and necessity of the safety negligence system'. And it was analyzed as items that should be improved due to excessive demand for documentation. Conclusion: Through this study, problems should be recognized for the improvement of the construction safety management cost system. And it will have to come up with policy-based and institutional-improvement measures for experts.

Development of Evidence-based Nursing Practice Guidelines for Febrile Children in Emergency Room (응급실 내원 발열 소아환자의 열관리를 위한 근거중심 간호실무 가이드라인 개발)

  • Jeong, Min-Jin;Shin, Hyun-A;Kim, Yun-Hee;Lee, Jee-Hyang;Lee, Seung-Ja;Song, Mi-Ra
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.214-221
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop evidence-based nursing practice guidelines for the care of febrile children in the emergency room and to evaluate the guidelines by applying them to practice. Methods: This study was conducted using a methodological design. referring to the Scottish intercollegiate guideline network, draft of guidelines were developed based on the recommendations found from the critical literature analysis. Then, the draft was modified by an expert group and a pilot application. The final draft was evaluated by the expert group using appraisal of guidelines for research and evaluation. Finally, the final guideline and algorithm were completed. Results: The guideline includes 39 recommendations for the care of febrile children in the emergency room. Conclusion: The clinical guidelines developed through this research can be utilized as systematic and scientific guidelines for the care of febrile children in the emergency room. In addition, the research results will contribute to improving care services.

Preventive Priority Methods Based on the Analysis of Fire Accident Causes in Construction Site (건설현장 화재 발생 요인 분석에 따른 예방우선순위 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-su;Jang, Sang-chul;Joo, Jin-gyu
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Construction Safety
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.50-55
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    • 2019
  • Currently, safety management is becoming important at domestic construction sites. Despite the importance of safety management, accidents at construction sites are steadily increasing. Fire accidents among safety accidents cause not only negative effects on schedule delay or work plans at construction sites, but also huge casualties. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to extract the causes of fire at the construction site through the case of fire at the construction site, and to prioritize prevention through the analysis of the factors to contribute to the prevention of fire. As a research method, we select fire factors through case, conduct surveys through expert group, and analyze survey through AHP technique. The results of the AHP analysis of the survey of expert groups showed that the workers and their sub-item ranked high. Therefore, the priority for fire prevention was given, and this research is believed to help prevent fire.

A study on the composition validity of performance indicators for public sewage treatment plant by using factor analysis (요인분석기법을 활용한 공공하수처리시설 성과평가 지표의 구성 타당성 연구)

  • Yoon, Cheon-Yeo;Koo, Ja-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.583-590
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    • 2015
  • Evaluation and comparison for the performance on the contracting-out became possible after the introduction of the performance indicators(PIs) in 2012 in Korea, And local governments and private companies are utilizing them as evaluation data to enhance the performance of the contracting-out. Several revisions on performance indicator were carried out by expert group on contents validity of PIs, But the review of the composition validity of PIs was not sufficient. In this study, the applicability, distinction ability and composition validity of PIs is evaluated by statistical method. From the results, Improvement of indicator is required in order to increase the interrelationship among indicators to enhance the compostion validity of indicators related with operation, sludge and water reuse.