• Title/Summary/Keyword: Expected values

Search Result 2,235, Processing Time 0.371 seconds

Stochastic ground-motion evaluation of the offshore Uljin Earthquake (울진앞바다 지진( '04. 5. 29, M=5.2)의 추계학적 지진동 평가)

  • Yun, Kwan-Hee;Park, Dong-Hee;Choi, Weon-Hack;Chang, Chun-Jung
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
    • /
    • 2005.03a
    • /
    • pp.18-25
    • /
    • 2005
  • Stochastic ground-motion method is adopted to simulate horizontal PGA values for the offshore Uljin earthquake recorded at nationwide seismic stations. For this purpose, the Fourier spectra are calculated at every stations based on comprehensive results of wave propagation and site effect which were previously revealed through inversion process applied to large accumulated spectral D/B. In addition, the apparent source spectrum of the offshore Uljin earthquake is estimated by removing the path and site response from the observed spectra. The distance dependent time-duration model is revised by iteratively fitting the PGA values generated by using the raw spectra data to the observed PGA data. The stochastic ground-motion method predicts the observed PGA values within a error of ${\sigma}_{log10}=0.1$. Transfer functions of a site relative to another site are estimated based on the error residual of the inversion results and used to convert PGA values at multiple stations to expected PGA values at a reference station of TJN. The converted PGA values can be used as basic data to evaluate the ground-motion attenuation relations developed for seismic hazard analysis that concerns the large damaging earthquakes.

  • PDF

Directional Internalization of Sociocultural Values Related to the Appearance of Body Image and Self-Esteem (외모에 대한 사회문화적 가치의 내면화가 신체이미지와 자아존중감에 미치는 영향)

  • Yoo, Tai Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
    • /
    • v.37 no.3
    • /
    • pp.260-269
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study verifies the direct and indirect causal relationship of sociocultural values related to appearance effect appearance evaluation, body area satisfaction, appearance orientation, and self-esteem that are variables involved in body images. This paper is expected to empirically support the information regarding the path and the relative influence among related-variables and their relational structures. A survey was conducted on 230 women from the ages of 20 to 29 who live in Daegu and Gyeongbuk areas. The data analysis was performed through programs such as AMOS 19.0 and SPSS 19.0 for Windows. The findings are as follows: First, Sociocultural values relating to appearance affect directly body image - appearance evaluation, body area satisfaction, and appearance orientation. Appearance evaluation and appearance orientation were influenced positively; however, body area satisfaction received egative effects. In addition, sociocultural values related to appearance exert relatively stronger influence on appearance orientation. Second, among body images, appearance evaluation and body area satisfaction directly effect self-esteem; however, appearance orientation did not show any direct influence. Appearance evaluation influenced relatively higher on self-esteem. Third, it appeared that appearance evaluation directly affected Appearance orientation. Forth, sociocultural values related to appearance affect self-esteem through body images-appearance evaluation, body area satisfaction, and appearance orientation - as mediators. This confirmed the mediator role of body image between sociocultural values related to appearance and self-esteem.

Piecewise Linear Fuzzy Random Variables and their Statistical Application

  • WATANABE, Norio;IMAIZUMI, Tadashi
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
    • /
    • 1998.06a
    • /
    • pp.696-700
    • /
    • 1998
  • Fuzzy random variables with piecewise linear membership functions are introduced from a practical viewpoint. The estimation of the expected values of these fuzzy random variables is also discussed and statistical application is denonstratied by using a real data set.

  • PDF

Effect of Proportion of Recorded Cows Inseminated by Young A. I. Bulls on Genetic Improvement in Japanese Holstein Population

  • Terawaki, Y.;Shimizu, H.;Fukui, Y.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.410-415
    • /
    • 1998
  • The effects of the proprotion of cows inseminated by young A. I. bulls on genetic improvement in the Japanese Holstein population were examined using a simulation technique. The proportion of recorded cows inseminated by young A. I. bulls was assumed to be from 10% to 100% of the total number of recorded cows. The expected total genetic improvement was estimated for all cows and recorded and non recorded cows. The effects of the above were remarkable in the schemes that proven sires were used to produce recorded and non recorded cows for a limited time. Also the increase in the rates for -the expected total genetic improvement was larger when the proportion of recorded cows that were inseminated by young A. I. bulls was about 10% to 40%. When the expected total genetic improvement was estimated for the entire population, we found that the highest values were in a range of about 40 to 60% recorded cows that were inseminated by young A. I. bulls. On the other hand, the expected total genetic improvement that was only estimated in recorded cows dramatically decreased for more than 40% of the recorded cows. The results of this study showed that the optimal proportion of recorded cows inseminated with young A. I. bulls should be about 30% in the Japanese Holstein population.

A System Analysis of a Controllable Queueing Model Operating under the {T:Min(T,N)} Policy (조정가능한 대기모형에 {T:Min(T,N)} 운용방침이 적용되었을 때의 시스템분석)

  • Rhee, Hahn-Kyou
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.38 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-29
    • /
    • 2015
  • A steady-state controllable M/G/1 queueing model operating under the {T:Min(T,N)} policy is considered where the {T:Min(T,N)} policy is defined as the next busy period will be initiated either after T time units elapsed from the end of the previous busy period if at least one customer arrives at the system during that time period, or after T time units elapsed without a customer' arrival, the time instant when Nth customer arrives at the system or T time units elapsed with at least one customer arrives at the system whichever comes first. After deriving the necessary system characteristics including the expected number of customers in the system, the expected length of busy period and so on, the total expected cost function per unit time for the system operation is constructed to determine the optimal operating policy. To do so, the cost elements associated with such system characteristics including the customers' waiting cost in the system and the server's removal and activating cost are defined. Then, procedures to determine the optimal values of the decision variables included in the operating policy are provided based on minimizing the total expected cost function per unit time to operate the queueing system under considerations.

Analysis of a Controllable M/G/1 Queueing Model Operating under the (TN) Policy ((TN) 운용방침이 적용되는 조정가능한 M/G/1 대기모형 분석)

  • Rhee, Hahn-Kyou
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.37 no.1
    • /
    • pp.96-103
    • /
    • 2014
  • A steady-state controllable M/G/1 queueing model operating under the (TN) policy is considered where the (TN) policy is defined as the next busy period will be initiated either after T time units elapsed from the end of the previous busy period if at least one customer arrives at the system during that time period, or the time instant when Nth customer arrives at the system after T time units elapsed without customers' arrivals during that time period. After deriving the necessary system characteristics such as the expected number of customers in the system, the expected length of busy period and so on, the total expected cost function per unit time in the system operation is constructed to determine the optimal operating policy. To do so, the cost elements associated with such system characteristics including the customers' waiting cost in the system and the server's removal and activating cost are defined. Then, the optimal values of the decision variables included in the operating policies are determined by minimizing the total expected cost function per unit time to operate the system under consideration.

Estimating quantiles of extreme wind speed using generalized extreme value distribution fitted based on the order statistics

  • Liu, Y.X.;Hong, H.P.
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • v.34 no.6
    • /
    • pp.469-482
    • /
    • 2022
  • The generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) is frequently used to fit the block maximum of environmental parameters such as the annual maximum wind speed. There are several methods for estimating the parameters of the GEV distribution, including the least-squares method (LSM). However, the application of the LSM with the expected order statistics has not been reported. This study fills this gap by proposing a fitting method based on the expected order statistics. The study also proposes a plotting position to approximate the expected order statistics; the proposed plotting position depends on the distribution shape parameter. The use of this approximation for distribution fitting is carried out. Simulation analysis results indicate that the developed fitting procedure based on the expected order statistics or its approximation for GEVD is effective for estimating the distribution parameters and quantiles. The values of the probability plotting correlation coefficient that may be used to test the distributional hypothesis are calculated and presented. The developed fitting method is applied to extreme thunderstorm and non-thunderstorm winds for several major cities in Canada. Also, the implication of using the GEVD and Gumbel distribution to model the extreme wind speed on the structural reliability is presented and elaborated.

TIME EVOLUTION OF SCOUR AROUND BRIDGE ABUTMENTS

  • Francesco Ballio;Enrico Orsi
    • Water Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.2 no.4
    • /
    • pp.243-259
    • /
    • 2001
  • Local phenomena around bridge piers and abutments are generally considered to be similar, nevertheless the presence of the incoming boundary layer on the side wall in the abutment case generates extra pressure gradients and consequently a more complex vortex pattern. In the literature, experimental data for bridge abutments are relatively scarce; in particular almost no data are available for the time evolution of the scour. In this work we present the results of several long duration (3 days longrightarrow5weeks) clear water scour laboratory tests around bridge abutments; the time evolution of the erosion process is analysed with respect to local and global characteristic values (maxima, volume, hole shape). In particular we analyse the effect of the constriction ratio b/B between the transversal obstacle dimension and the flume width: in many practical situations abutments (or piers) obstruct a significant portion of the channel, so that the average acceleration due to constriction is expected to increase the scour effects of the local acceleration around the obstacle. Measured values for maximum scour are poorly predicted by literature formulas. Scour depths are positively correlated with the constriction ratio, but increases are smaller than expected from literature indications. Experimental results show that models for bridge piers cannot be directly applied to abutments; in particular, time scales for the latter are significantly larger than for piers.

  • PDF

The Effects of Using O2O Fashion Mobile Commerce on Consumers' Attitudes and Intentions -Focused on the characteristics of consumers and O2O mobile commerce-

  • Ko, Takhwan;Yeom, Sunyoung;Lee, MiYoung
    • Journal of Fashion Business
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.67-79
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study investigated consumers' enjoyment, perceived risks, expected values, and innovativeness factors and the effects of the convenience and personalization of "online to offline" (O2O) fashion mobile commerce on its perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, and consumers' attitudes and intention to use O2O mobile commerce. A research model was developed using the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM). A mobile survey was conducted through smartphone messengers and SNSs targeting male and female college students in their 20s who are living in the Seoul Metropolitan Area. A total of 192 questionnaire responses were used in the analysis. "Among the consumer characteristics, only enjoyment and expected values were found to make consumers feel that the O2O fashion mobile commerce is useful and easy to use. Among the mobile commerce characteristics, only convenience was found to have significant effects on consumers' perceived usefulness and ease of use regarding O2O fashion mobile commerce. Perceived usefulness was found to have the effects on attitudes as well as intention to use toward O2O mobile commerce. It was shown that positive attitudes toward O2O mobile commerce led to positive use intention toward O2O mobile commerce.

Understanding the Adoption of T-Commerce in Telecommunications-Broadcasting Convergence Environment (통신 방송 융합 환경에서의 T-Commerce 수용 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, JoongHo;Kim, Eunjin;Park, Chulwoo
    • Knowledge Management Research
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.15-33
    • /
    • 2009
  • Telecommunications-broadcasting convergence in the domain of IT is a representative phenomenon that is expected to provide the saturated existing markets with a new source of profit. Especially, T-Commerce combines familiarity of TV and immediacy of the Internet which are expected to cover all the users familiar with each media and expand the existing commercial transactions. Telecommunications-broadcasting convergence in Korea, however, is focusing on technical and regulatory aspects so that research on the real users is not up to the mark yet. This is the most fundamental problem in hampering growth in the corresponding service and market. Thus, we are proposing an adoption model on T-Commerce to rapidly expand the convergence service through understanding the potential users. Perceived utilitarian and hedonic values, perceived interactivity, media substitution and personal innovativeness have been examined as the factors influencing the users' intention to adopt a new convergence service. As a result of empirical analysis, it is verified that perceived utilitarian and hedonic values and personal innovativeness directly influenced the users' intention to adopt whereas perceived interactivity had indirect affect on them. T-Commerce service providers should not only emphasize on the benefit that the older media could not provide the users with, but also provide them with more pleasure and entertaining experience during the course of satisfying the users' needs to distinguish T-Commerce from the other existing media.

  • PDF