• 응용통계연구
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.427-446
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• 2018

UN의 고령화사회(ageing society) 정의와 통계청의 장래인구추계 (2016)에 따르면 우리나라는 만 30여년 만에 초고령사회(super-aged society)를 맞이하게 되며, 세계 어느 나라와도 비교할 수 없는 빠른 고령화 속도를 보인다. 이러한 유례없는 고령화 속도에 비해서 장기 시계열의 사망관련 데이터 확보와 연금과 복지정책을 고민하는 인식은 뒤처져 있다. 본 연구는 과거 및 미래 예측을 통해 우리나라 1955-2200년까지 245여 연간의 사망률 자료를 추정 예측하여 가상코호트와 실제코호트의 기대수명을 비교함으로써 그 차이가 어느 정도인지를 가늠해 보았다. 더불어 우리나라 고령화수준을 파악하기 위해 국제비교도 하였다. 역 추계(back-projection) 기간의 추정치는 선행연구와 Lee-Carte (LC) 모형으로 비교 분석해 정확성과 객관성을 높였으며, 2016년 이후의 예측치는 LC method extended with rotation (LC-ER) 모형을 활용해 우리나라의 사망률 개선의 교대현상을 반영하였다. 분석결과 60년 동안(1955-2015년) 약 30년에 가까운 기대수명의 증가가 이루어졌고, 2세기(1955-2155)동안 실제코호트의 기대수명이 가상코호트보다 높게 도출되었다. 실제코호트의 기대수명 비교우위는 비교 국가들 모두 공통적인 경향임을 확인하였다. 그리고 일본과 우리나라가 기대수명의 상위를 점하고 있고, 모든 국가들이 85-90세를 기점으로 가상과 실제코호트의 기대수명에 대한 증가속도가 이전보다 높지 않음을 보였다.

• 가정과삶의질연구
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.23-37
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• 2011

This study examined the preference and the purchase intention of male and female from 20s through 405 to smart phones. This study verified the differences between the groups according to the socio-demographic factors, the usage pattern of mobile phone, and the perceived cost and the expected benefit. The analysis of the relative influence of those relevant factors was followed. The summaries of this study are as follows; First, the high level factors in purchasing smart phones were the perceived cost and the expected benefit pointed over 3.82. It means that they arc interested in smart phones highly, and if they can support to buy smart phones and situations can be permitted, they would like to buy them. Second, the differences between groups of the preference and the purchase intention were found according to the ages, the marital status and the education level. The results showed that those preference and the purchase intension were measured high at the group of the 20s-30s, the married, and the higher educational level of collage students. Third, expected benefit on smart phones was shown to be divided into two characterized factors through factor analysis. One was 'functional expected benefit' and the other was 'emotional expected benefit'. The functional and the emotional benefit on the using of smart phones were presented high level in group of over graduated students. Forth, the results of the stepwise multiple analysis, which was carried out to find out the influencing factors on the preference and the purchasing intension to smart phones, showed that the most effective factor was the functional expected benefit. The self-expressive propensity, and the education level were followed sequentially. The purchase intention was influenced by both of the functional and the emotional expected benefit. The result of this study shows that the level of the consumer's perceived cost(economic, psychological) and the expected benefit were measured high at the same time. That means that it is necessary to make the consumer information and communicating smoothly in order to lower the cost and enhance the benefit. In addition, This study has its meaning because it found out that functional expected benefit is a factor which has an influence on the Consumer Preference and Purchase Intention on Smart phone. If consumer's function requirements on smart phone are satisfied, it will be able to reduce the consumer problems and increase the consumer satisfaction. The result of this study would be applicable when Smart Phone is used as one of the auxiliary tools for smart consumption.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회 1996년도 추계학술대회발표논문집; 고려대학교, 서울; 26 Oct. 1996
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• pp.103-112
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• 1996

Optimal pricing research in general has been focused on profit maximizing strategy under the given product life-time T. Here we have tried to study the effect of uncertain product life-time on dynamic optimal pricing strategy. In reality, the life-time of product is more likely to be uncertain and not known as well. In terms of approximating the model to the concerned reality, so-called model validity, it seems to be more desirable to consider the uncertainty of product life-time into the optimal pricing strategy model, For this purpose, we tried two different approaches. One is to consider diverse product life-time probability functions under fixed life-time T. In this case, we might have the same product life-time as the previous study, but the process could be different in the expectation of product's discontinuity. The other is that life-time itself is not determined and thus it is the situation in which we can only decide optimal price on incremental basis. The former is the situation in which although we got some strong guess on life-time of a certain product, the pattern of expected life-time probability could be different. The question is what could be optimal pricing strategies on such different product life-time situations. But since in the latter, we don't assume any idea on the life-time of product. proper optimal pricing could be derived only from the past prices and diffusion information. While the latter seems to be safer in the aspect of model assumption, the former could be more realistic because we might have more or less a prior knowledge on the product life-time itself.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.117-129
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• 2017

PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to analyze the performance life of hot central plant recycling (HCPR) and hot in-place recycling (HIR) pavements applied to the National Highway for the past 20 years and compare it with conventional hot-mix asphalt (HMA) pavement. METHODS : In order to analyze the performance life of recycling asphalt pavements, a comprehensive literature review was conducted to investigate the government law and official system for the use of recycling asphalt pavement in Korea and foreign countries. Next, the application information of using a hot central plant recycling and hot in-place recycling pavements in the national highway is collected from the database of pavement management system (PMS) and then their field condition is visually surveyed. Finally, the performance life of recycling asphalt pavements in the national highway is analyzed and compared with conventional hot-mix asphalt pavement. RESULTS :Institutions are encouraging the promotion of using recycled asphalt pavement through various legal systems in Korea as well as abroad. Based on analysis results for the average performance life of hot central plant recycling pavement applied to the national highway, the average performance life is estimated to be 10.2 years. However, the average performance life of in-place recycling pavement is estimated to be 6.5 years. However, it is expected to increase performance life after the HIR construction system is modified. CONCLUSIONS : Based on the limited data analysis of the performance life of recycled asphalt pavements, HCPR shows similar performance life to conventional asphalt pavement but HIR shows shorter performance life than conventional asphalt pavement. However, it is noted that all performance life data is very limited and it should be monitored and analyzed further.

• 재활복지
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.53-77
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• 2013

본 연구는 고령화 사회에서 고령여성장애인 삶의 만족도를 높이는 것이 궁국적인 목표라는 인식에서 출발하였다. 이를 통해 삶의 만족도에 영향을 미치는 요인을 확인하고, 영향을 미침에 있어 노후준비가 영향을 주는지 살펴보았다. 선행연구에서 비장애인의 경우 삶의 만족도와 노후준비의 연관성이 나타났으며, 이러한 내용이 고령여성장애인의 삶의 만족도에도 동일하게 적용되는 것인지에 대한 검증을 위하여 수행되었다. 본 연구의 대상은 고용노동부 한국장애인고용공단에서 조사한 장애인고용패널의 4차년도(2011) 자료로 이 중 50세 이상 고령여성장애인 1,175명이며, 자료분석은 SPSS Win 18.0 프로그램을 사용하여 분석하였다. 연구결과, 심리요인, 건강요인, 경제요인, 사회요인이 삶의 만족도에 영향을 미치는데 있어 노후준비의 조절효과를 살펴보면, 주관적 소속계층이 고령여성장애인의 삶의 만족도에 영향을 미침에 있어 노후준비는 조절효과가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 고령여성장애인의 삶의 만족도를 높이기 위해서는 노후준비를 위한 지원이 필요할 것이다.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제55권1호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2022

An index that evaluates the health level of a population group considering both death and loss of function due to disease is called a summary measure of population health (SMPH). SMPHs are broadly divided into life year indices and life expectancy indices, the latter of which comprise healthy life expectancy (HLE). HLE is included as a policy target in various national and regional level healthcare plans, and the term "HLE" is commonly used in academia and by the public. However, the overall level of understanding of HLE-such as the precise definition of HLE and methods of calculating HLE-still seems to be low. As discussed in this study, the types of HLE are classified into disability-free life expectancy, disease-free life expectancy, quality-adjusted life expectancy, self-rated HLE, and disability-adjusted life expectancy. Their characteristics are examined to facilitate a correct understanding and appropriate utilization of HLE. In addition, the Sullivan method, as a representative method for calculating HLE, is presented in detail, and major issues in the process of calculating HLE, such as selection of the population group and age group, estimation of death probability, calculation of life years, and incorporation of health weights, are reviewed. This study will help researchers to select an appropriate HLE type and evaluate the validity of HLE research results, and it is expected to contribute to the vitalization of HLE research.

• 생물정신의학
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.310-315
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• 2008

Objectives : The evaluation of disability after trauma in psychiatry is relatively subjective compared with other departments. A consensus among evaluators could improve reliability of evaluations. We compared disability rate of common psychiatric disorders without definite brain injury depending on their diagnosis from experienced evaluators in Korea. Methods : A written questionnaire was mailed to each evaluator and the reply was analyzed. The questions included disability rate ranges of postconcussional syndrome, PTSD and depression. Other questions related with admission for evaluation, expected duration of treatment, life expectancy and need of supporting person were also asked. Results : Range of disability rate were from $8.6{\pm}4.5%$ to $26.6{\pm}12.8%$ in postconcussional syndrome, from $10.4{\pm}6.8%$ to $36.4{\pm}13.8%$ in PTSD and from $10.0{\pm}4.6%$ to $30.6{\pm}10.3%$ in depressive disorder. There were lots of diversity in expected duration of treatment with psychiatric disability. Decline of life expectancy and need of supporting person were considered at least 50% of disability. Conclusion : There is much diversity in evaluation of psychiatric disabilities with disability rate and expected duration of treatments even among experienced evaluators. A common consensus among experts may increase reliability of psychiatric evaluations after trauma.

• 의료법학
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.209-236
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• 2013

The concept of expectation rights considers 'the expectation' that the patient should be given proper medical treatment as the benefit and protection of the law, so it would be the benefit and protection of the law due to personal rights different from 'the legal principle that has the possibility to a considerable extent' being in an extension of life and body. However, the problem how the patient's expectation of medical service sets up in order to make it the benefit and protection of the law would be still left in the vague concept of the patient's 'expectation', thus, in the first place, the medical practice following formed medical standard in every particular medical institutes should be the standard because these medical services are normally within a range of the patients' expectations. In addition, it should be naturally constituted as mental profit to get the subjective circumstances such as 'the patient's expectation' to be an object, and also, different from the profit and protection of the law such as life and body that should be absolutely protected, the origin of violation behavior should be regarded simultaneously to define the denotation of expectation rights. Therefore, the expectation rights violations would be problematic in case it fails to reach the medical standard that is expected for common doctors to practice properly. This is the concept of expectation rights that gets subjective matters such as the patient's expectation to be objectivity as medical practices that can be expected by generalized abstract doctors. This standard should be defined as the minimum standard that is naturally expected for doctors to practice, different from medical standard that decides the level of doctors.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제49권3호
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• pp.341-358
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• 2021

Purpose: After product development, a Reliability Demonstration Test(RDT) is performed to confirm that the target life has been achieved. In the RDT, there are cases where the test equipment cannot accommodate all samples. Therefore, this study considers a test method to most economically demonstrate the target life of the product at a certain confidence level when the sample size is larger than the capacity of the test equipment. Methods: If the sample size is larger than the capacity of the test equipment, test equipments may be added or the test time of individual samples may be increased. So the test method is designed to cover this situation with limited capacity. A zero-failure test method is applied as a test method to RDT. To minimize the cost, the test cost is defined and the cost function is obtained. Finally, we obtain the optimal test plan. Results: A zero-failure test method is designed when the sample size is larger than the capacity of the test equipment, and the expected total cost is derived. In addition, the process of calculating the appropriate sample size, test time, and number of test equipment is illustrated through an example, and the effects of model parameters to the optimal solutions are investigated numerically. Conclusion: In this paper, we study a zero-failure RDT with test equipment that has limited capacity. The expected total cost is derived and the optimal sample size, test time, and number of test equipment are determined to minimize the expected total cost. We also studied numerical examples and for further studies, we can relax some restrictions in the test model and optimize the test method.

• 문화기술의 융합
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.243-249
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• 2019

본 연구의 목적은 간호대학생의 생명존중의지에 영향을 미치는 요인을 조사하여 예비 간호사인 간호대학생들의 삶에 대한 올바른 인식을 확립하고 생명존중의지를 함양시키기 위한 교육프로그램 개발을 위한 기초자료를 마련하고자 실시한 서술적 조사연구이다. 총 146 명의 간호대학생을 대상으로 연구를 시행하였으며, 자료분석방법은 t-test, ANOVA, Pearson correlation coefficients, and Multiple regression을 이용하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 생명에 대한 존중과 의지에 영향을 미치는 요인으로 생의 의미, 영적 안녕감, 죽음에 대한 태도라는 것을 확인하였고, 이 세 요인의 설명력은 26.3%였다. 따라서 간호대학생들은 생의 의미에 대한 이해와 영적 안녕감 수준의 향상 그리고 죽음에 대한 태도 즉, 죽음 불안 수준을 감소시킴으로써 생명존중의지를 함양할 수 있을 것이다. 또한 이러한 요인들을 구체적인 중재 요소로 포함한 생명존중의지 향상 중재프로그램 개발하여 간호대학생들에게 시행한다며, 간호대학생의 생명존중의지 향상을 기대할 수 있을 것이며, 궁극적으로 생의 말기에 있는 혹은 죽음을 맞이하는 환자에게 진정한 도움을 줄 수 있는 간호사로 성장할 것이라고 사료된다.