• Title/Summary/Keyword: Expected Value

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Economic Value Analysis of Asian Dust Forecasts Using Decision Tree-Focused on Medicine Inventory Management (의사결정트리를 활용한 황사예보의 경제적 가치 분석-의약품 재고관리문제를 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Seung-Chul;Lee, Ki-Kwang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.120-126
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    • 2014
  • This paper deals with the economic value analysis of meteorological forecasts for a hypothetical inventory decision-making situation in the pharmaceutical industry. The value of Asian dust (AD) forecasts is assessed in terms of the expected value of profits by using a decision tree, which is transformed from the specific payoff structure. The forecast user is assumed to determine the inventory level by considering base profit, inventory cost, and lost sales cost. We estimate the information value of AD forecasts by comparing the two cases of decision-making with or without the AD forecast. The proposed method is verified for the real data of AD forecasts and events in Seoul during the period 2004~2008. The results indicate that AD forecasts can provide the forecast users with benefits, which have various ranges of values according to the relative rate of inventory and lost sales cost.

The Effect of Trust and Customer Value on Loyalty: An Empirical Study in Indonesia

  • SOLIHA, Euis;MASKUR, Ali;WIDYASARI, Suzy;ARIYANI, Eva
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.1001-1010
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    • 2021
  • The world of tourism is a tangible form of a global business trip, which is very promising because it will be estimated to be a sector capable of driving world economic growth resulting from tourists' ever-increasing movement. Currently, in Indonesia, marketing activities in this sector are an integrated process, where the main target is providing customer satisfaction. Thus, the company's marketing activities are expected to be in accordance with customer expectations. The essential purpose of this study was to analyze the mediating role of the effect of trust and customer value on loyalty. The population of this study was users of the Lentera Wisata service in Semarang City, Indonesia. The sampling used a purposive sampling method, with the criteria of male and female customers and customers who have used the Lentera Wisata Semarang service bureau more than once. The test employed multiple regression analyses and the Sobel test. The test results revealed that trust and customer value positively and significantly affected satisfaction. However, trust did not affect customer loyalty. Meanwhile, customer value and satisfaction significantly and positively influenced loyalty. Additionally, the Sobel test results revealed that satisfaction mediated the effect of trust and customer value on customer loyalty.

A Study on Convergence Step Sequence through Virtual Reality (가상현실을 통한 융복합 스텝시켄서(Step Squencer) 연구)

  • Oh, Seung-Hwan
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.487-493
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, various virtual reality contents have been explosively developed, and the 'chance operation' in previous studies was mentioned. This study tries to implement the Step Sequencer in the virtual reality. Through the theoretical background analysis and case studies of virtual reality, three major experiential values such as Value of Overcoming Constraints, Value of Strengthening Experience, and Value of Creating New Experience were induced. A convergencestep sequencer with the presence and immersion elements was developed and presented so that the music contents divided into 4 areas can be understood easily controlled more conveniently while keeping the identity of the step sequencer. It is expected that various convergence VR contentscan be developed in the future studies.

A Study of the Factors Affecting the Intention to Use of Real Estate Crowdfunding (부동산 크라우드펀딩의 이용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hye Sook;Kim, Yonghee;Chong, Kyung-Won;Choi, Jeongil
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzes the characteristics of lending-based crowdfunding of various crowdfunding models, identifies the factors affecting the use of the general public, and provides suggestions for the policies set by real estate crowdfunding businesses and related authorities. To analyze the service's adoption from a cognitive perspective, this study developed a new model that combined the Value-based Adoption Model (VAM), motivation theory, and a set of variables that take into account the characteristics of the real estate industry. For empirical analysis, survey was conducted from the general investors of real estate and valid 252 data were utilized by R 3.2.2. The results of this study showed that both government regulation and the perceived risk are hindering the perceived values and intention to use crowdfunding for real estate. In contrast, this research found that among the intrinsic motivation, enjoyment had a significant impact on the perceived value. In addition, it turned out that among the extrinsic motivation, market attractiveness, brand credibility, expected return, and safety and protection had significant impacts on the perceived value. Finally, it showed the perceived value of real estate crowdfunding had a positive impact on the intention to use.

Numerical Range Criteria for Classification of Value Engineering Proposals based on Value Improvement Types (VE제안의 가치향상 유형별 수치적 범위기준 제시)

  • Nam, Keong-Woo;Jang, Myunghoun
    • Journal of Advanced Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.287-294
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    • 2018
  • Since its introduction in Korea, design VE has widely been used as a means to enhance values in the construction industry. However, a greater emphasis is still placed on cost reduction in approach attitudes and performance evaluations on the implementation of design VE. In this regard, this study presented a performance evaluation method for cost, function, and value of VE proposals. Numerical criteria on the increase and decrease of cost and function that can classify the value enhancement type of VE proposals were proposed based on the performance evaluation method. It is expected that the use of numerical criteria for the type classification of VE proposal, and cost and performance evaluation method proposed in this study will make it possible to conduct a clear and more intuitive evaluation of VE proposal. However, it is appropriate to use the numerical criteria as a guideline to apply the new performance evaluation method for VE proposals. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct a statistical analysis with a wider range of users after the repeated application of the findings of this study, and thus to carry out research for presenting the numerical criteria for various types of users.

Effect of Servicescape on Customer Behavior Intention in Unmanned Stores (무인점포의 서비스스케이프가 소비자 행동의도에 미치는 영향)

  • Kang, Sung Bae;Kim, Hyo Jin
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.91-113
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    • 2022
  • Purpose In the era of the 4th industrial revolution, the introduction of unmanned stores is rapidly spreading throughout the entire distribution market. Unmanned stores are stores where consumers purchase products on their own through machines and not through contact with people. As there are no managers in unmanned stores, Servicescape is expected to have many effects on the purchasing behavior of consumers. Therefore, this study aims to observe the effect of Servicescape on consumer behavioral intentions. Design/methodology/approach This study wanted to look at the relationships among Servicescape in unmanned stores, utilitarian values, hedonic values, satisfaction, and continuous use intentions. The collected(n=211) from individuals who have experienced in using unmanned stores was analyzed with SmartPLS2.0 to test proposed hypotheses. Findings The research results are as follows. First, it was shown that the space, convenience, and comfortableness of Servicescape have positive effects on utilitarian value, and cleanliness did not have significant effects on utilitarian value. Second, it was shown that space and comfortableness had positive effects on hedonic value, and convenience and cleanliness did not have significant effects on hedonic value. Lastly, it was shown that utilitarian values and hedonic values have positive effects on satisfaction, and satisfaction was found to have positive effects on continuous use intentions.

Measuring the Effects of Mediating Variables on the Relationship between Restaurant Sonics Quality and Loyalty In Namhaean Area (남해안 지역 음식점의 서비스품질과 충성도의 관계에 영향을 미치는 매개변수의 효과 평가)

  • Ko, Beom-Seok;Kang, Jong-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.303-308
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to measure the mediating effects of sacrifice, value and satisfaction on the relationship between restaurant service quality and loyalty. A total of 273 questionnaires were completed. Structural equation model was used to measure the causal effects of service quality, perceived sacrifice, value, satisfaction and loyalty. Results of the study demonstrated that the structural analysis result for the data also indicated excellent model fit. The influences of service quality and perceived sacrifice on value were statistically significant. The influences of service quality and value on satisfaction were statistically significant. The influences of value and satisfaction on loyalty were statistically significant. As expected, the service quality had a significant effect on loyalty. The results indicated that the effect of service quality on loyally was mediated by value. Moreover, the effect of service quality on loyalty w3s mediated by satisfaction.

The Effects of Experiential Value of on Customer Loyalty in Dessert Café of College Students: Focused on Moderating Effect of the Eating Out Consumption Patterns (대학생의 디저트카페에 대한 경험가치가 고객충성도에 미치는 영향: 외식소비성향의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Hee-Souk
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.82-95
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between experiential value, customer loyalty and eating out tendency of dessert $caf{\acute{e}}$ in college students. This survey was conducted for college students who have used dessert $caf{\acute{e}}$ mainly in college areas where dessert cafes are concentrated in Seoul. The survey was conducted on August 17, 2017 to 28 August. A total of 250 copies of the questionnaires were distributed and 208 copies of valid data were used for the analysis. The results of the analysis are as follows. First, emotional experience value and service experience value were found to affect customer loyalty, and cognitive experience value did not affect customer loyalty. Second, the economic and health seeking type showed a positive(+) moderating effect between emotional experience value and customer loyalty, and negative(-) moderating effect between cognitive experiential value and customer loyalty. Next, atmosphere seeking type showed a moderating effect between service experience value and customer loyalty, and the eating out seeking type showed a moderating effect between emotional experience value and customer loyalty. Finally, convenience seeking type showed positive(+) moderating effect between cognitive experiential value and customer loyalty, and negative(-) moderating effect between service experience value and customer loyalty. Based on the results of this study, the dessert cafe operator can grasp the experience value of college students in order to secure college students who are using dessert cafe as loyal customers. In particular, the relationship between experience value and customer loyalty, it is expected to provide useful data for constructing a specific positioning strategy according to each segment market.

The Analysis on the Value of Yongsan National Park and its Economic Effect

  • Chang, In-Seok;Cho, Young-Tae;Lee, Mi-Hong;Park, Shin-Won
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.491-501
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    • 2011
  • This study estimated economic value and benefits of Yongsan National Park, which will be constructed by financial investment of the government and objectively estimated the real value of it by understanding the value of the park from a user's view of the park. For this, the value of Yongsan National Park is divided into using value such as carbon reduction and the function of relieving urban heat island as an environmental material and non-using value based on willingness to pay of the public according to the construction of the park. As a result of the analysis, it was found out that the using value of Yongsan National Park would reach 130 million won up to maximum level of 450 million won per year, and the non-using value was analyzed to be worthy of 2,344 won per capita every month. Besides, economic ripple effect that can be expected in the process of the park construction project was analyzed to be a national policy that creates effect on production inducement of 2.6 trillion won and value added of 809.6 billion won and new jobs for 25,620 persons. Considering the value of Yongsan National Park and the effect of the project based on the result of this study, it was found that it could sufficiently secure the validity of implementing the project compared to the financial investment by the government. Therefore, it must be emphasized that diffusion strategy is necessary for national understanding and for a nation to make it understood its appropriateness widely in respect to the construction of Yongsan National Park for the successful construction of Yongsan National Park and to raise its using value in the future.

Investment and Economic Ripple Effects from Fostering the Digital Treatment Technology Industry (디지털 치료기술 산업 육성에 따른 투자와 경제적 파급효과)

  • Kim, Jae-Hyun;Moon, Jong Youn;Jang, Jieun;Sim, Jung Yeon;Shin, Jaeyong
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.438-443
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    • 2020
  • The digital treatment technology industry is one of the core fostering industries of the Moon Jae-in government along with the global trend. The purpose of this study is to compare and analyze the investment and economic ripple effect on the related industries. To this end, we used the industry-related table, which is the actual measurement data for 2015 that the Bank of Korea actually measured and released every 5 years in 2019. The digital treatment technology industry was not clearly classified within Korea's industrial classification system, so the contents of the industry-related survey were analyzed, and the digital treatment technology industry was reclassified and then analyzed. As a result of the analysis, it was analyzed that the production induction effect of the digital treatment technology-related industry in 2015 was 1.770, the value-added induction effect was 0.875, and the employment induction effect was 19.128, which was higher than that of other industries in Korea. As a result of the analysis of the economic ripple effect (scenario 1), the production inducing effect was about 370 billion won, the added value inducing effect was about 185 billion won, and the employment inducing effect was 4,044 people. The results of this study are expected to play a large role in economic revitalization as the effect of inducing production, increasing employment, and creating added value through fostering the digital treatment technology industry is expected to play a large role in activating the economy. It is expected to play a large role in providing central medical services. Therefore, it is expected that policy support for revitalizing the digital treatment technology industry through active investment support and tax benefits from the government to foster the digital treatment technology industry is necessary.