• Title/Summary/Keyword: Exogenous Variables

Search Result 245, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

The Effects of the Changes of Economic Variables on the Import Container Volume of Gwangyang Port (경제변수의 변동이 광양항 수입컨테이너 물동량에 미치는 효과)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.269-282
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study investigates the difference of behavioral patterns between the import container volume of all ports and that of Gwangyang port in Korea. All series span the period January 1999 to December 2008. I first test whether the series are stationary or not. I can reject the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration at the 5 percent significance level. I hitherto make use of variance decompositions and impulse response functions, both of which have now been widely used to examine how much movement in one variable can be explained by innovations in different variables and how rapidly these fluctuations in one variable can be transmitted to another. The variance decompositions for the import container volume show that the proportions of the forecast error variance of import container volumes explained by themselves are 30 and 26 per cent after 12 months, respectively. As a result, innovations in exchange rate and business activity explain 70 and 74 per cent of the variance in the import container volume. All in all, innovation accounting indicates that import container volumes are not exogenous with respect to exchange rate and business activity. The impulse responses indicate that container volumes decrease sharply to the shocks in exchange rate and decay very slowly to its pre-shock level, while container volumes respond positively to the shocks in the business activity and disappear very slowly, showing that the shocks last very long. Furthermore Gwangyang port is more sensitive to the change of the exchange rate and the industrial production than all ports.

  • PDF

A Study on the Factors of Career Decision-making and the Moderating Effects of Personality Types (경력결정요인과 성격유형의 조절효과에 관한 연구 - 문헌정보학과 학생들을 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Byung-Woo;Choi, Jung-Hee;Kim, Hyong-Gi
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.39 no.3
    • /
    • pp.53-71
    • /
    • 2008
  • This study attempts to analyse factors that influence the level of career decision for prospective librarians. To this end, an empirical study was conducted on the students from the department of Library & Information Science at universities located in Seoul, Gyeong Gi and Chung Cheong Areas. Exogenous variables included curriculum, career-related departmental activities, and librarian-related institutional factors. The result of analysis using the Structural Equation Model reveals that career-related departmental activities are preceding factors which affect the level of career decision and that personality types function as a modulator. This suggests that, in order to raise the career decision level, prospective librarians need to participate in career-related departmental activities, which make it easier to share information regarding career and thus enhance the level of career. Such career-related departmental activities include participating in job-oriented circles and career-consulting programs, communicating with seniors, and operating and joining career programs. Further organizational and institutional development is required : better curriculum, improved practical ability and qualifications as librarians. This study also discusses its limits and areas for future research.

  • PDF

Effects of Ease of Use and Usefulness of Smart Phones on Switching Barrier, Customer Loyalty (스마트폰의 사용 용이성과 유용성이 전환장벽과 고객충성도에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Jin-Choon
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
    • /
    • v.16 no.5
    • /
    • pp.115-126
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study focused on analyzing the effects of ease of use, usefulness on switching barrier and loyalty in the Korean telecommunication market. This study formulated a structural equational model, in which ease of use was adapted as an exogenous variable and in which usefulness, switching barrier were included as intermediate variables, having influences to the endogenous variable such as customer satisfaction and loyalty. In this study 6 hypotheses had been formulated, on which this research model was based, in order to test the significance of structured paths, suggested, in the previous articles, that having high interactive effects. This study collected the effective questionnaires of 452 respondents who had jobs nationwide and who used the telecommunication terminals and then analyzed with AMOS19 and SPSS19 to test the hypotheses. As a result, the conclusions are as follows: First, the ease of use and usefulness had significant effects on the switching barrier. Secondly, ease of use had a significant effect on the usefulness of customers, by which customers' satisfaction was influenced at low significant level. After all, the effects of ease of use and usefulness on switching barrier and satisfaction of the users of smart phones had been shown at the highest level.

A Study on the Emotional Value Perception and Post Adoption Behavior of Mobile Service (모바일 서비스의 감성적 가치인식과 후기수용행동 요인 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Kim, Young-Berm;Kim, Jai-Beom
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.10 no.10
    • /
    • pp.237-245
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study deals with the influencing factors for satisfaction and the emotional value perception of mobile voucher service user. Thus researcher examined a structural equation modeling methodology of the paths within word of mouth, satisfaction, and other exogenous variables (economic/rational value, trust, joyfulness, innovativeness). As a result of this study, First, it was confirmed that the emotional value, and innovativeness affected user's trust for coupon service and joyfulness for using mobile voucher. Second, it was confirmed that trust and joyfulness affected user's satisfaction and word of mouth activities. Therefore, in cases of utilizing the emotional appeal of mobile voucher as part of a marketing tool, corporate can maximize efficiency by using their mobile voucher service & event from the point of view of customer's satisfaction & voluntary word of mouth. Researcher's consideration is that this paper's theoretical and practical contribution point is the propose of the one of the post adoption model with the quantitative study of the mobile voucher service user's emotional perception in the initial development stages of high-tech industry.

Forecasting Model of Air Passenger Demand Using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 항공여객 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-Ho;Jeon, Jun-woo;Yeo, Gi-Tae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.16 no.5
    • /
    • pp.137-143
    • /
    • 2018
  • Korea's air passenger traffic has been growing steadily. In this paper, we propose a forecasting model of air passenger demand to ascertain the growth trend of air passenger transportation performance in Korea. We conducted a simulation based on System Dynamics with the demand as a dependent variable, and international oil prices, GDP and exchange rates as exogenous variables. The accuracy of the model was verified using MAPE and $R^2$, and the proposed prediction model was verified as an accurate prediction model. As a result of the demand forecast, it is predicted that the air passenger demand in Korea will continue to grow, and the share of low cost carriers will increase sharply. The addition of the Korean transportation performance of foreign carriers in Korea and the transportation performance of Korean passengers due to the alliance of airlines will provide a more accurate forecast of passenger demand.

Mediating Effects of Acculturative Stress in the Relationship between Satisfaction with Life, Career Identity and Depression among Vietnamese Students (국내 베트남 어학연수생의 생활만족도, 진로정체감과 우울의 관계에서 문화적응 스트레스의 매개효과)

  • Bae, Eun Sook;Kang, Hye Seung;Lee, So Young
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
    • /
    • v.31 no.1
    • /
    • pp.76-85
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to examine the mediating effect of acculturative stress on the impact of satisfaction with life and career identity on depression among the Vietnamese students enrolled in a language course in Korea. Methods: A questionnaire survey was conducted to get answers of 225 Vietnamese students enrolled in the language course in a college in Busan. Data were collected from November to December 2018. The Data were analyzed with descriptive statistics, Pearson's correlation coefficients and path analysis using SPSS/WIN 20.0 and Amos 18.0 program. Results: Acculturative stress was affected by satisfaction with life (β=-.43, p<.001) and career identity (β=-.45, p<.001). Furthermore, depression was affected by acculturative stress (β=.49, p<.001) and career identity (β=-.25, p<.001), but depression was not affected by the satisfaction with life (β=-.15, p=.029). The mediating effect of acculturative stress between two exogenous variables(satisfaction with life and career identity) and depression was proved. Conclusion: The result of this study suggests that it is necessary to develop an intervention program to reduce the acculturative stress and depression of Vietnamese students enrolled in the language course.

Effects of Marketing Mix on Behavior of Authorized Dealers in the Korean CCTV Converging Channels (CCTV융합채널의 마케팅믹스가 대리점 행태에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Lee, Jin-Choon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.89-100
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study focused on analyzing the effects of characteristics of marketing mix on brand image, perception, switching barrier and loyalty of authorized dealers in the Korean CCTV converging channels. This study formulated a structural equational model, in which characteristics of marketing mix was adapted as an exogenous variable and in which brand image, perception of authorized dealer, switching barrier were included as mediator variables, having influences to the endogenous variable such as loyalty of authorized dealers. In this study, 8 hypotheses were formulated, on which this research models were based, in order to test the significance of mediator effects, suggested in the previous articles, that having high significance. This study collected the effective questionnaires of 191 respondents who were the authorized dealers in nationwide and then analyzed with AMOS20 and SPSS20 to test the hypotheses. This study concluded as follows: Product and price in marketing mix had a significant effect on the brand image but only advertising had some effects on the perception of providing parties.

TFN model application for hourly flood prediction of small river (소규모 하천의 시간단위 홍수예측을 위한 TFN 모형 적용성 검토)

  • Sung, Ji Youn;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.2
    • /
    • pp.165-174
    • /
    • 2018
  • The model using time series data can be considered as a flood forecasting model of a small river due to its efficiency for model development and the advantage of rapid simulation for securing predicted time when reliable data are obtained. Transfer Function Noise (TFN) model has been applied hourly flood forecast in Italy, and UK since 1970s, while it has mainly been used for long-term simulations in daily or monthly basis in Korea. Recently, accumulating hydrological data with good quality have made it possible to simulate hourly flood prediction. The purpose of this study is to assess the TFN model applicability that can reflect exogenous variables by combining dynamic system and error term to reduce prediction error for tributary rivers. TFN model with hourly data had better results than result from Storage Function Model (SFM), according to the flood events. And it is expected to expand to similar sized streams in the future.

The Exports and Economic Growth in the 8 Manufacturing Industries: Cointegration and Error Correction Models:1975-2010 (한국 8개 제조산업의 수출과 경제성장에 관한 실증분석:1975-2010)

  • Zhu, Yan Hua;Park, Sehoon;Kang, Joo Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.61-72
    • /
    • 2013
  • The relationship between export growth and economic growth in developing countries has been one of the main issues in the growth theory field. Many of empirical studies have been done during the last three decades in order to investigate the export-led growth hypothesis using either time-series or cross-sectional data mainly in developing countries. This paper applies cointegration and error correction models to test causal relationship between export growth and economic growth in the Korean 8 manufacturing industries using the industrial time-series quarterly data over 1975-2010. The export-output relationship is tested by including industrial capital stock and the industrial labor force as exogenous variables. The cointegration and error-correction modelling technique with industrial export and output data have showed the strong evidence that there is a bi-directional causality between industrial export and industrial output in 6 manufacturing industries except wood & pulp and nonmetallic industries.

Structural Equation Modeling of Self-Management in Patients with Hemodialysis (혈액투석환자의 자기관리 구조모형)

  • Cha, Jieun
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
    • /
    • v.47 no.1
    • /
    • pp.14-24
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to construct and test a hypothetical model of self-management in patients with hemodialysis based on the Self-Regulation Model and resource-coping perspective. Methods: Data were collected from 215 adults receiving hemodialysis in 17 local clinics and one tertiary hospital in 2016. The Hemodialysis Self-management Instrument, the Revised Illness Perception Questionnaire, Herth Hope Index and Multidimensional Scale of Perceived Social Support were used. The exogenous variable was social context; the endogenous variables were cognitive illness representation, hope, self-management behavior, and illness outcome. For data analysis, descriptive statistics, Pearson correlation analysis, factor analysis, and structural equation modeling were performed. Results: The hypothetical model with six paths showed a good fitness to the empirical data: GFI=.96, AGFI=.90, CFI=.95, RMSEA=.08, SRMR=.04. The factors that had an influence on self-management behavior were social context (${\beta}=.84$), hope and cognitive illness representation (${\beta}=.37$ and ${\beta}=.27$) explaining 92.4% of the variance. Self-management behavior mediated the relationship between psychosocial coping resources and illness outcome. Conclusion: This research specifies a more complete spectrum of the self-management process. It is important to recognize the array of clinical resources available to support patients' self-management. Healthcare providers can facilitate self-management through collaborative care and understanding the ideas and emotions that each patient has about the illness, and ultimately improve the health outcomes. This framework can be used to guide self-management intervention development and assure effective clinical assessment.