• 제목/요약/키워드: Excess mortality

검색결과 72건 처리시간 0.026초

대도시 폭염의 기후-보건학적 특성에 기반한 고온건강경보시스템 개발 (Development of Heat-Health Warning System Based on Regional Properties between Climate and Human Health)

  • 이대근;최영진;김규랑;변재영
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2010
  • 극단적 폭염은 온대지역의 여름철 사망률과 유병률을 증가시키는 기상재해이다. 기후모델의 예측결과에 따르면 미래 폭염의 강도와 빈도는 더욱 증가할 것으로 보고되고 있다. 이 연구는 국내 7개 대도시의 폭염유발기단과 일 사망률의 증가와의 연관성을 제시하며, 이를 기반으로 운영 중인 고온건강경보시스템을 소개한다. 1982년에서 2007년까지 관측된 기후자료로부터 종관기단분류기법이 적용되어 각 도시의 여름철의 각 날에 대한 기단분류가 수행되었다. 폭염유발기단과 일 사망률 증가와의 연관성 연구 결과, 고온건조(DT) 기단과 고온다습+(MT+) 기단의 두 기단에서 가장 높은 사망률 증가 연관성이 관찰되었다. 따라서 DT와 MT+ 기단 내의 기상요소들을 이용하여 초과사망자수를 종속변수로 하는 중회귀 분석을 통한 초과사망자수 예측알고리즘이 제작되었다. 또한, 각 대도시들마다 다르게 나타나는 지역적인 기후순응 특성에 입각하여 각 도시별 예측알고리즘에서 사용되는 독립변수가 선정되고, 고온건강경보시스템의 고온건강주의보 및 경보 기준인 초과사망자수 기준이 설정되었다. 지구온난화 추세 하의 고온건강경보시스템은 대규모 건강이상을 야기할 수 있는 폭염에 대한 효과적인 정보를 대도시 시민들에게 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

한라산 구상나무 공간적 고사패턴 분석을 통한 고사원인 추정 - 기후변화에 따른 토양수분 과다 가능성 제안 - (The inference about the cause of death of Korean Fir in Mt. Halla through the analysis of spatial dying pattern - Proposing the possibility of excess soil moisture by climate changes -)

  • 안웅산;김대신;윤영석;고석형;김권수;조인숙
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 한라산 사방향에 분포하는 구상나무 자생지 중 9개 조사구에 대하여 구상나무를 생목과 사목으로 구분하여 도면화하고, 그 밀도와 고사율을 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 구상나무는 조사구 내의 위치에 따라 밀도 및 고사율에 있어 상당한 불균질성을 보였다. 이는 위치에 따라 변화하는 특정 인자가 구상나무 고사를 발생시킬 것이라는 추정을 가능케 한다. 본 연구에서는 구상나무 밀도 및 고사율을 토대로 고도, 지형경사, 수계망, 일사량과 경사향 등의 지형적 요인과 구상나무 고사현상과의 관련성을 살펴보았다. 구상나무는 고도가 증가함에 따라 밀도가 증가하였으며, 고사율 또한 증가하였다. 지형경사와 고사율 사이에는 음의 상관관계가 인지되었으며, 수계망이 미약하게 발달한 완만한 곳에서 고사율이 높게 나타났다. 그리고 경사향에 따라 고사율이 크게 변화하는 것이 인지되었으며, 생목이 우세한 영역이 사목이 우세한 영역에 비해 평균 일사량이 많게 나타났다. 전반적으로 한라산 구상나무는 상대적으로 지형경사가 완만하고, 일사량이 적은 곳에서 많이 고사하는 것으로 나타났다. 지형경사가 완만할수록 상대적으로 토양수분 함량이 많고, 일사량이 적을수록 증발량이 적어져 토양수분 함량이 많다는 기존 연구결과를 고려하면, 토양수분 과다가 한라산 구상나무 고사의 원인으로 추정된다. 이는 근래의 한반도 및 제주 지역에서 나타나는 강수량 증가, 증발량 감소, 일조시간 감소 등의 일련의 기후변화 현상, 한라산 고도 증가에 따른 강수량 증가와 함께 나타나는 고사율 증가현상, 한라산 아고산지대에서의 식생변화 등의 증거들에 의해 뒷받침된다. 이번 연구에서 고도 및 지역에 따라 인지되는 구상나무 밀도와 고사율의 변화양상은 향후 구상나무 쇠퇴현상에 대한 수치 모델링 연구에 있어 공간변수로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대한다. 뿐만 아니라, 정사항공영상을 활용하는 개체단위의 수목분포 조사 방법은 향후 장기적 식생변화 연구에 있어 수치적 모니터링 기법으로 널리 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

고온건강경보시스템 기준 설정에 관한 연구 ( II ) - 설정 기준 개선 - (Study on the Establishment of Threshold Criteria for Heat Health Watch Warning System in Korea; Part II: Improvement of Criteria)

  • 정우식;박종길;김은별;송정희
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제18권7호
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    • pp.781-796
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    • 2009
  • The current standard level of Heat Health Watch Warning System consider both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum heat index(HI), but current standard could not consider daily maximum HI due to the difficulties in forecasting when we consider both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum HI and no considering HI because relative humidity could not observed for some regions. So, Newly established standard level of Heat Health Watch Warning System is based on daily maximum temperature exceeding $30^{\circ}C$ for two consecutive days or daily minimum temperature exceeding $25^{\circ}C$ and daily maximum temperature exceeding $30^{\circ}C$. These days are called "extreme heat days". On extreme heat days, the standard of extreme heat advisory is based on daily maximum temperature among exceeding $32.7^{\circ}C$ and not exceeding $34.8^{\circ}C$, and extreme heat warning is based on daily maximum temperature exceeding $34.8^{\circ}C$. ANOVA analysis was carried out using the data of Seoul Metropolitan City in 1994 to check the robustness of the new standard level of Heat Health Watch Warning System from this study, in particular for mortality variable. The results reveal that the new standard specifies excess mortality well, showing significance level of 0.05 in the difference of excess mortality for each phase.

Cancer Mortality and Incidence in Korean Semiconductor Workers

  • Lee, Hye-Eun;Kim, Eun-A;Park, Jung-Sun;Kang, Seong-Kyu
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.135-147
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    • 2011
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to evaluate cancer risks in the Korean semiconductor industry. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed in eight semiconductor factories between 1998 and 2008. The number of subjects was 113,443 for mortality and 108,443 for incidence. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) and standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were calculated. Results: The SMR of leukemia was 0.39 (95% Confidence Interval 0.08-1.14) in males (2 cases) and 1.37 (0.55-2.81) in females (7 cases). The SMR of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) was 1.33 (0.43-3.09, 5 cases) in males and 2.5 (0.68-6.40, 4 cases) in females. The SIR of leukemia was 0.69 (0.30-1.37, 8 cases) in males and 1.28 (0.61-2.36, 10 cases) in females. The SIR of NHL in females was 2.31 (1.23-3.95, 13 cases) and that of thyroid cancer in males was 2.11 (1.49-2.89, 38 cases). The excess incidence of NHL was significant in female assembly operators [SIR=3.15 (1.02-7.36, 5 cases)], but not significant in fabrication workers. The SIR of NHL in the group working for 1-5 years was higher than the SIR of NHL for those working for more than five years. The excess incidence of male thyroid cancer was observed in both office and manufacturing workers. Conclusion: There was no significant increase of leukemia in the Korean semiconductor industry. However, the incidence of NHL in females and thyroid cancer in males were significantly increased even though there was no definite association between work and those diseases in subgroup analysis according to work duration. This result should be interpreted cautiously, because the majority of the cohort was young and the number of cases was small.

Estimation of the National Burden of Disease and Vulnerable Population Associated with Natural Disasters in Korea: Heavy Precipitation and Typhoon

  • Han, Hyun-Jin;Kim, Jong-Hun;Chung, Soo-Eun;Park, Jae-Hyun;Cheong, Hae-Kwan
    • Journal of Korean Medical Science
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    • 제33권49호
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    • pp.314.1-314.15
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    • 2018
  • Background: Despite its growing significance, studies on the burden of disease associated with natural disasters from the perspective of public health were few. This study aimed at estimating the national burden of disease associated with typhoons and torrential rains in Korea. Methods: During the period of 2002-2012, 11 typhoons and five torrential rains were selected. Mortality and morbidities were defined as accentual death, injury and injury-related infection, and mental health. Their incidences were estimated from National Health Insurance Service. Case-crossover design was used to define the disaster-related excess mortality and morbidity. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were directly assessed from excess mortality and morbidity. Results: The burden of disease from typhoons increased with the intensity, with 107.7, 30.6, and 36.6 DALYs per 100,000 per event for strong, moderate, and weak typhoons, respectively. Burden of disease from torrential rains were 56.9, 52.8, and 26.4 DALYs per 100,000 per event for strong, moderate, and weak episodes, respectively. Mental disorders contributed more years lived with disability (YLDs) than did injuries in most cases, but the injury-induced YLDs associated with strong typhoon and torrential rain were higher than those of lower-intensity. The elderly was the most vulnerable to most types of disaster and storm intensities, and males younger than 65 years were more vulnerable to a strong torrential rain event. Conclusion: The intensity of torrential rain or typhoon was the strongest determinant of the burden of disease from natural disasters in Korea. Population vulnerable may vary depending on the nature and strength of the disasters.

우리 나라의 사회경제적 사망률 불평등: 1998년도 국민건강영양조사 자료의 사망추적 결과 (Socioeconomic Mortality Inequality in Korea: Mortality Follow-up of the 1998 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) Data)

  • 김혜련;강영호
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2006
  • Objectives : This study was conducted to examine the relationships of the several socioeconomic position indicators with the mortality risk in a representative longitudinal study of South Korea. Methods : The 1998 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey was conducted on a cross-sectional probability sample of South Korean households, and it contained unique 13-digit personal identification numbers that were linked to the data on mortality from the National Statistical Office of Korea. Of 5,607 males and females, 264 died between 1999 and 2003. Cox's regression was used to estimate the relative risks (RR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) of mortality. Results: Socioeconomic differences in mortality were observed after adjustments were made for gender and age. Compared with those people having college or higher education, those people without any formal education had a greater mortality risk (RR=2.21, 95% CI=1.12-4.40). The mortality risk among manual workers was significantly greater than that for the non-manual workers (RR=2.73, 95% CI=1.47-5.06). A non-standard employment status was also associated with an increase in mortality: temporary or daily workers had a greater mortality risk than did the full-time workers (RR=3.01, 95% CI=1.50-6.03). The mortality risk for the low occupational class was 3.06 times greater than that of the high and middle occupational classes (95% CI=1.75-5.36). In addition, graded mortality differences according to equivalized monthly household income were found. A reduction of monthly household income by 500 thousand Korean Won (about 400 US dollars) was related with a 20% excess risk of mortality. Self-reported poor living standards were also associated with an increased risk of mortality. Those without health insurance had a 3.63 times greater risk of mortality than the insured (95% CI=1.61-8.19). Conclusions: This study showed the socioeconomic differentials in mortality in a national longitudinal study of South Korea. The existence of socioeconomic mortality inequalities requires increased social discussion on social policies in Korean society. Furthermore, the mechanisms for the socioeconomic inequalities of mortality need to be explored in future studies.

한국인의 실내 라돈-222 자핵종 피폭으로 인한 초과 폐암위험 (Evaluation of Excess Lung Cancer Risk in Korean due to Indoor Exposure to Natural $^{222}Rn$ Progenies)

  • 장시영;하정우;이병헌
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 1992
  • 실내 라돈-222 자핵종의 농도에 피폭되므로서 유발될 수 있는 한국인의 초과 폐암위험을 방사선피폭의 확율론적 위험예측 모형을 이용하여 정량적으로 평가하였다. 1989년 기준 표준 생명표와 사망원인 통계연보 자료로부터 유도한 한국인의 폐암 사망률은 남, 여별로 각각 $22.4/10^5-$년 및 $9.5^/10^5-$년으로 추정 되었다. 이 폐암 사망율을 근거로 수학적으로 예상한 한 모든 사망원인하의 기저 폐암사망위험은 남, 여별로 각각 0.047(4.7%) 및 0.019(1.9%)로 1984년도 미국의 0.067(6.7%) 및 0.025(2.5%)보다 낮았다. 방사선 피폭의 확률론적 수정 상대위험 예측모형을 사용하여 예상한 한국인의 라돈자핵종 피폭당의 초과 폐암위험 계수는 남자 : 0.022/WLM, 여자 : 0.009/WLM 및 평균 : 0.017/WLM로 나타났으며 이로부터 추정한 한국인의 평균 수명중 라돈자핵종 피폭유발 초과 폐암의 사망빈도는 $230/10^6$인-WLM으로 최근 외국의 관련연구에서 보고한 $120{\sim}450/10^6-WLM$의 거의 중간치(median)정도에 해당하는 것으로 평가되었다.

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The Impact of Weekend Admission and Patient Safety Indicator on 30-Day Mortality among Korean Long-Term Care Insurance Beneficiaries

  • Shin, Jaeyong;Kim, Jae-Hyun
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.228-236
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    • 2019
  • Background: This study investigates the impact of weekend admission with a patient safety indicator (PSI) on 30-day mortality among long-term insurance beneficiaries. Methods: Data were obtained from the National Health Insurance Service-Senior claim database from 2002 to 2013. To obtain unbiased estimates of odds ratio, we used a nested case-control study design. The cases were individuals who had a 30-day mortality event after their last medical utilization, while controls were selected by incidence density sampling based on age and sex. We examined the interaction between the main independent variables of weekend admission and PSI by categorizing cases into four groups: weekend admission/PSI, weekend admission/non-PSI, weekday admission/PSI, and weekday admission/non-PSI. Results: Of the 83,400 individuals in the database, there were 20,854 cases (25.0%) and 62,546 controls (75.0%). After adjusting for socioeconomic, health status, seasonality, and hospital-level factors, the odds ratios (ORs) of 30-day mortality for weekend admission/PSI (OR, 1.484; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.371-1.606) and weekday admission/PSI (OR, 1.357; 95% CI, 1.298-1.419) were greater than for patients with weekday admission/non-PSI. Conclusion: This study indicated that there is an increased risk of mortality after weekend admission among patients with PSI as compared with patients admitted during the weekday without a PSI. Therefore, our findings suggest that recognizing these different patterns is important to identify at-risk diagnosis to minimize the excess mortality associated with weekend admission in those with PSI.

비만이 체내 대사에 미치는 영향 (The relationship between body energy balance and problems of obesity and its effects on health)

  • 한정순
    • 한국관광식음료학회지:관광식음료경영연구
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    • 제10권
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    • pp.219-238
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    • 1999
  • Obestity, characterized by an excess accumulation of fat, is a detriment to good health and wellbeing. It is easy for individuals to take on excess fat as soon as enough food and leisure are available in a society, causing an imbalance between energy intake and energy expenditure. Although there has been disagreement as to which side of this energy equation is more important in th epidemic of obesity, both sides are certainly involved. I think the prevalence of obesity begins with infancy. It seems to be relatively constant throughout childhood. Some retrospective studies have suggested that there is a direct progression from a fat chile to a fat adult. Obesity has been associated with excess mortality in many studies. The effect of obesity on cardiovascular disease has not always been an independent one, but has generally been through exacerbation of other rish factors such as hypertention, diabetes, hyperlipedmia, galbladder disease, gout and cancer of the grease and endometrium. The weights of identical twins raised in separate homes have been reported to be similar, thereby suggesting that heredity contributes significantly to weight. Overweight and obesity are by far greater health problems for many people in our society. Therefore in this paper we consider the relationship between body energy balance and problems of obesity. Whatever the weight of the person, the goal of the nutritionist and health care workers is to find solutions that will allow persons to feel better about themselves.

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Tobacco Chewing and Adult Mortality: a Case-control Analysis of 22,000 Cases and 429,000 Controls, Never Smoking Tobacco and Never Drinking Alcohol, in South India

  • Gajalakshmi, Vendhan;Kanimozhi, Vendhan
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.1201-1206
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    • 2015
  • Background: Tobacco is consumed in both smoking and smokeless forms in India. About 35-40% of tobacco consumption in India is in the latter. The study objective was to describe the association between chewing tobacco and adult mortality. Materials and Methods: A case-control study was conducted in urban (Chennai city) and rural (Villupuram district) areas in Tamil Nadu state in South India. Interviewed in 1998-2000 about 80,000 families (48,000 urban and 32,000 rural) with members who had died during 1995-1998. These were the cases and their probable underlying cause of death was arrived at by verbal autopsy. Controls were 600,000 (500,000 urban, 100,000 rural) individuals from a survey conducted during 1998-2001 in the same two study areas from where cases were included. Results: Mortality analyses were restricted to non-smoking non-drinkers aged 35-69. The age, sex, education and study area adjusted mortality odds ratio was 30% higher (RR:1.3, 95%CI:1.2-1.4) in ever tobacco chewers compared to never chewers and was significant for deaths from respiratory diseases combined (RR:1.5, 95%CI:1.4-1.7), respiratory tuberculosis (RR:1.7, 95%CI:1.5-1.9), cancers all sites combined (RR:1.5, 95%CI:1.4-1.7) and stroke (RR:1.4, 95%CI:1.2-1.6). Of the cancers, the adjusted mortality odds ratio was significant for upper aero-digestive, stomach and cervical cancers. Chewing tobacco caused 7.1% of deaths from all medical causes. Conclusions: The present study is the first large study in India analysing non-smoking non-drinkers. Statistically significant excess risks were found among ever tobacco chewers for respiratory diseases combined, respiratory tuberculosis, stroke and cancer (all sites combined) compared to never tobacco chewers.