• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제36권4호
• /
• pp.249-261
• /
• 2023

Aerodynamic force coefficients are generally prescribed by an ensemble average of ten and/or twenty 10-minute samples. However, this makes it difficult to identify the exact probability distribution and exceedance probability of the prescribed values. In this study, 12,600 10-minute samples on three tall buildings were measured, and the probability distributions were first identified and the aerodynamic force coefficients corresponding to the specific non-exceedance probabilities (cumulative probabilities) of wind load were then evaluated. It was found that the probability distributions of the mean and fluctuating aerodynamic force coefficients followed a normal distribution. The ratios of aerodynamic force coefficients corresponding to the specific non-exceedance probabilities (C_f,Non) to the ensemble average of 12,600 samples (C_f,Ens), which was defined as an adjusting factor (C_f,Non/C_f,Ens), were less than 2%. The effect of coefficient of variation of wind speed on the adjusting factor is larger than that of the annual non-exceedance probability of wind load. The non-exceedance probabilities of the aerodynamic force coefficient is between P_C,nonex = 50% and 60% regardless of force components and aspect ratios. The adjusting factors from the Gumbel distribution were larger than those from the normal distribution.

• 한국산업보건학회지
• /
• 제30권2호
• /
• pp.185-195
• /
• 2020

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to analyze noise exposure levels and the rate of exceedance of exposure limits in workplaces from a 2015 measurement of working environments according to area, industry, and scale of workplace and to determine changes compared to the past. Methods: Among the 408,875 measurements of noise in working environments from 27,030 workplaces in 2015, 16,359 workplaces that were linked to special health examination data were selected as the subjects of this study. The eight-hour corrected measurements and geometric mean values of the individual noise measurements of the workplaces were used to calculate noise exposure levels and the exceedance rate of exposure limits. Results: The average noise exposure level of the overall workplaces making up the subjects of this study was 83.6 dBA, and the exceedance rate of exposure limits was 15.1%. At least half of the noise measurements exceeded the exposure limits in 13.7% of the workplaces. Noise exposure levels were higher in the manufacturing industry and in smaller-scale workplaces. The exceedance rate of noise exposure limits was higher in the mining and manufacturing industries and in smaller-scale workplaces. Conclusions: Noise exposure has shown improvements compared to the past, but the exceedance rate of exposure limits was still high, and more than half of the workers were being exposed to noise of 85 dBA or higher. Therefore, it is necessary to make more active improvements in working environments in terms of noise exposure.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제15권5호
• /
• pp.793-798
• /
• 2008

Extreme value inference deals with fitting the generalized extreme value distribution model and the generalized Pareto distribution model, which are recently combined to give a single model, namely a two-dimensional non-homogeneous Poisson exceedance point process model. In this paper, we extend the two-dimensional non-homogeneous Poisson process model to include non-stationary effect or dependence on covariates and then derive the likelihood for the extended model.

• 한국농공학회지
• /
• 제28권3호
• /
• pp.69-78
• /
• 1986

This studies were established to find out the characteristics of frequency distributiom for the number of occurrence and magnitude, probable flood flows according to the return periods, design floods, and design frequency factors for the studying basins in relation to the risk levels which can be correlated with design return period and the life of structure in the non-annual exceedance series. Eight watersheds along Han, Geum, Nak Dong and Seom Jin river basin were selected as studying basins. The results were analyzed and summarized as follows. 1. Poisson distribution and Exponential distribution were tested as a good fitted distributions for the number of occurrence and magnitude for exceedance event, respectively,at selected watersheds along Han, Geum, Nak Dong and Seom Jin river basin. 2.Formulas for the probable flood flows and probable flood flows according to the return periods were derivated for the exponential distribution at the selected watersheds along Han, Geum, Nak Dong, and Seom Jin river basin. 3.Analysis for the risk of failure was connected return period with design life of structure in the non-annual exceedance series. 4.Empirical formulas for the design frequency factors were derivated from under the condition of the return periods identify with the life of structure in relation to the different risk levels in the non-annual exceedance series. 5.Design freguency factors were appeared to be increased in proportion to the return periods while those are in inverse proportion to the levels of the risk of failure. Numerical values for the design frequency factors for the non-annual exceedance series ware appeared generally higher than those of annual maximum series already published by the first report. 6. Design floods according to the different risk levels could be derivated by using of formulas of the design frequency factors for all studying watersheds in the nor-annual exceedance series.

• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제11권6호
• /
• pp.455-478
• /
• 2008

The present study aims to estimate the wind ventilation performance for pedestrian level domains from the air quality point of view. Three typical models of a dense urban area were considered and numerically simulated in order to examine the effects of the geometry of such models on wind flow characteristics, which in turn affect the air quality, within the pedestrian domain of a street canyon located within this area. The calculated flow fields were employed to estimate the exceedance probabilities within the study domain using a new approach: air exchange rate within the domain. The study has been applied to nine cities in Japan: Tokyo, Osaka, Sapporo, Niigata, Fukuoka, Nagoya, Sendai, Yokohama, and Kyoto, based on their mean wind velocity data. The results demonstrated that the exceedance probability analysis of the pedestrian wind environment could be a valuable tool during the design stage of inhabited areas for the evaluation of pollutant-removal efficiency by the applied wind. Also, the calculated probabilities demonstrated substantial dependence on both the geometry of building arrays and the wind conditions of the nine cities.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
• /
• 제41권1호
• /
• pp.25-33
• /
• 2024

This paper evaluates the influence of rainfall on propagated signal at different time exceedance percentages of an average year, over the climate zones of the country. Specifically, it demonstrates critical and non critical signal fade or signal outage time exceedance (0.001% to 1%) for Ku, K, and Ka-band systems in an average year. The study was carried out using meteorological data made available by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) over a period of 10 years (2009-2018). The four climate zones in the country were represented by five (5) locations; Maidugiri (warm desert climate), Sokoto (tropical dry climate), Port Harcourt (tropical monsoon climate), Abuja and Enugu (tropical savanna climate). The parameters were simulated into the International Telecommunications Union Recommended (ITU-R) models for rain attenuation over the tropics and results presented using MatLab and Origin Lab. Results of Ku band propagations showed that only locations in the tropical savanna and tropical monsoon climates experienced total signal outage for time percentage exceedance equal to or below 0.01% for both horizontal and vertical polarizations. At K band propagations, the five locations showed to have experienced signal outage at time exceedance equal to and below 0.01%, almost same was recorded for the Ka-band propagation. It was also observed that horizontal and vertical polarization of signal had slightly different rain attenuation values for the studied bands at the five locations, with horizontal polarization having higher values than vertical polarization.

• 전산구조공학
• /
• 제4권3호
• /
• pp.107-115
• /
• 1991

지진예측을 위한 확률론적퍼지모형을 제안하였다. 제안된 모형은 지진발생에 대하여 무작위성(randomness)과 퍼지니스(fuzziness)를 같이 사용하여, 기존의 확률론에 근거한 지진예측방법을 개선할 수 있도록 하였다. 이 연구의 결과는 (a) 주어진 초과확률에 대한 지반가속도 또는 주어진 지반가속도에 대한 초과확률의 멤버쉽함수와 (b) 멤버쉽함수를 대표할 수 있는 특성값(characteristic value)이다. 확률론적 퍼지모형을 미국 Utah주의 Wasatch Front Range의 자료에 적용하여 서로 다른 연간 초과확률, 최대지반가속도에 대하여 지진도를 작성하였다.

• 한국지구과학회지
• /
• 제23권8호
• /
• pp.683-696
• /
• 2002

본 연구는 1990년부터 2000년까지 11년의 기간동안 서울지역 대기오염 자동측정망을 중심으로 관측된 오존자료 중 환경기준을 초과한 자료만을 선별적으로 분리한 후 분석에 활용하였다. 이와 같은 분석결과를 토대로 서울시의 4대 권역별 (NE, SE, SW, NW) 기준초과양상을 여러 가지 관점에서 비교해 보았다. 24시간을 주기로 초과농도의 발생 경향을 비교해 본 결과, SW지역이 다른 지역에 비해 오존의 총 발생시간이 더 많은 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 발생빈도를 중심으로 4대 지역에 대한 월별 경향성을 비교했을 때 NW지역에서 여타 지역보다 최고빈도의 발생시기가 약간 뒤처지는 현상이 나타났다. 해를 거듭할수록 오존의 환경기준 초과발생횟수가 증가하는 경향을 감지할 수 있다. 특히 이와 같은 현상은 NE, SE를 포함하는 서울의 동쪽지역에서 두드러지는 것으로 타나났다. 전체 11년동안 초과치의 최고 발생빈도를 지역별로 비교해 보면, NE지역에서 1998년에 그리고 나머지 세지역은 모두 2000년에 나타났다. 이처럼 오존의 환경기준 초과횟수는 최근에 들어 급격히 증가하는 것으로 확인되었다. 이에 반해, 초과농도의 크기에 대한 결과를 보면, 오히려 90년대 초반에 고농도가 집중된 데 반해, 90년대 후반에는 상대적으로 초과농도의 크기가 감소한 것으로 나타났다. 전체 관측기간동안 서울지역에서 관측된 평균 기온자료를 이용하여 오존초과자료와의 상관성을 분석하였다. 그 결과 대체로 크기나 빈도에 상관없이 모두 기온과 일정 수준 이상 양의 상관성을 유지하는 것이 확인되었다. 전반적으로 기온의 변화는 오존의 초과농도발생과 상당 수준 연계되었다는 점을 확인 할 수 있었다.

• 한국습지학회지
• /
• 제20권2호
• /
• pp.136-144
• /
• 2018

환경부에서는 유역단위의 통합 물관리를 위하여 물환경관리계획, 수질오염총량제 등을 실시하고 있으며, 측정망에서 측정된 수질을 이용하여 설정된 목표수질의 달성 정도를 판단하고 있다. 유역 하류부에 위치한 측정망의 지점에서의 수질 농도는 유역의 각 지류에서 오염원 유입과 하천의 자정작용 등의 복잡한 메커니즘을 거쳐서 만들어진 결과물이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 유역의 오염원 추적 및 초과율을 이용해 본류 및 지류의 수질이 목표수질 지점에 미치는 영향의 정도에 대하여 분석하였다. 이를 위해 오염총량제의 대상물질인 BOD와 T-P를 포함한 총 6가지의 수질항목에 대하여 FDC와 초과율 분석을 수행하였고, 이를 통해 목표수질 지점에 유황별 영향을 미치는 수질항목 및 지점을 도출할 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 제시한 FDC 분석을 통한 오염원 추적은 목표수질 달성을 위해 지류별 수질관리 전략을 보다 효율적으로 수립할 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국물환경학회지
• /
• 제21권5호
• /
• pp.516-519
• /
• 2005

An useful protocol coiled load duration curve methodology to estimate contaminant loading to a river on an exceedance probability scale was developed in this research. The technique was further applied to estimate total coliform loading to the Geum River, using the daily mean flow rate and total coliform concentration data during January, 1996 and July, 2004 for the Gongju where an automated monitoring station is located. Drought flow of the Gongju (=50.3 cms) was equivalent to 40% on an exceedance probability scale. Load duration curve for total coliform loading at the Gongju was constructed. Standard duration curve was constructed with the water quality criteria for the class 2 (total coliform concentration = 1000 MPN/100 mL). By plotting load duration curve with standard duration curve, it could be revealed that water quality do not meet the desired water quality for 47% on an exceedance probability scale. If linearity between flow rate and coliform concentration is assumed, it can be interpretated that water quality exceeds desired criteria when average mean flow rate is over 51 cms.