• Title/Summary/Keyword: Evidence Theory

Search Result 581, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Rainfall Frequency Analysis and Uncertainty Quantification Using Dempster-Shafer Theory (Dempster-Shafer 이론을 이용한 강우빈도분석 및 불확실성의 정량화)

  • Seo, Young-Min;Jee, Hong-Kee;Lee, Soon-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2010.05a
    • /
    • pp.1390-1394
    • /
    • 2010
  • Dempster-Shafer 이론은 미지의 매개변수 추정시 베이지안 기법의 제약을 완화시키기 위한 베이지안 접근법의 일반화로 해석될 수 있으며, 상호배타적인 싱글톤에만 확률이 할당되는 것이 아니라 가능한 결과의 부분집합들이 기본확률할당을 위한 대상으로 고려된다. 베이지안 접근은 우연적 불확실성 및 지식의 불확실성을 효율적으로 구분할 수 없으며, 특정도가 낮고 애매한 증거들을 다룰 수 없는 반면, Dempster-Shafer 증거추론은 이러한 문제들을 효율적으로 평가할 수 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 홍수위험평가 및 수자원 계획 수립시 가장 기본이 되는 강우빈도해석에서 확률분포의 매개변수에 대한 불확실성 고려한 확률강우량의 산정 및 불확실성의 영향을 평가하기 위하여 Dempster-Shafer 이론을 이용하여 불확실성을 고려한 강우빈도해석모델 구축 및 적용을 통해 홍수위험평가 및 수자원 계획 등에 있어서 불확실성 표현 및 처리기법을 제시하였다.

  • PDF

Exploring Knowledge Processing in a Social Complex Adaptive Organization : Wikipedia through the Lens of the LIFE Model

  • Faucher, Jean-Baptiste P.L.;Everett, Andre M.;Lawson, Rob
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.15-39
    • /
    • 2011
  • A deeper understanding of how organizations behave as social complex adaptive systems is needed. In this paper we demonstrate how the Leadership Invigorating Flows of Energies model can help with this understanding. The model highlights the role of emergent leadership as a force encouraging the creation, diffusion, and utilization of knowledge through self-organizing mechanisms. We illustrate our approach by examining Wikipedia and show how it can be described as a social CAS. Our analysis of Wikipedia describes how emerging intrapreneurship behaviors result in dynamic flows of knowledge and self-organizing feedback mechanisms across the organization. We provide implications for organization studies and present evidence to support claims made by advocates of complexity theory. We conclude by proposing that Wikipedia can be seen as a new form of organization, and finish with a brief note highlighting a possible way forward.

The Role of Food Allergy in Infantile Atopic Dermatitis (유아기 아토피 피부염에 있어서 식품 알레르기의 역할에 대한 고찰)

  • Lee, Gil-young;Kim, Hye-jeong
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine Ophthalmology and Otolaryngology and Dermatology
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.33-41
    • /
    • 2003
  • Infantile atopic dermatitis(AD) may be developed by food allergens due to immature intestinal epithelium and its mechanism, which may have no clear-cut evidence, is thought to be IgE mediated immediate and late phase hypersensitivity. It is not easy to diagnose AD caused by food allergens exactly so it is likely to be underestimated more than it be. But we must consider it as a major factor of not only infantile AD but childhood and adult AD. We can see similar theory at previous Oriental medicine. Allergens can be transmitted to a fetus through the placenta and infantile AD is inflammatory condition by food allergens and immature function of intestines. So we must consider those factors at infantile AD treatment. We expect a new model of infantile AD treatment combining the conventional therapy with the diet therapy based on the Oriental medical theory.

  • PDF

Effect of dimensionless nonlocal parameter: Vibration of double-walled CNTs

  • Hussain, Muzamal;Asghar, Sehar;Khadimallah, Mohamed Amine;Ayed, Hamdi;Alghamdi, Sami;Bhutto, Javed Khan;Mahmoud, S.R.;Tounsi, Abdelouahed
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.269-276
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this paper, frequency vibrations of double-walled carbon nanotubes (CNTs) has been investigated based upon nonlocal elastic theory. The inference of small scale is being perceived by establishing nonlocal Love shell model. The wave propagation approach has been operated to frame the governing equations as eigen value system. An innovational nonlocal model to examine the scale effect on vibrational behavior of armchair, zigzag and chiral of double-walled CNTs. An appropriate selection of material properties and nonlocal parameter has been considered. The influence of dimensionless nonlocal parameter has been studied in detail. The dominance of end condition via nonlocal parameter is explained graphically. The results generated furnish the evidence regarding applicability of nonlocal shell model and also verified by earlier published literature.

The soma-germline communication: implications for somatic and reproductive aging

  • Gaddy, Matthew A.;Kuang, Swana;Alfhili, Mohammad A.;Lee, Myon Hee
    • BMB Reports
    • /
    • v.54 no.5
    • /
    • pp.253-259
    • /
    • 2021
  • Aging is characterized by a functional decline in most physiological processes, including alterations in cellular metabolism and defense mechanisms. Increasing evidence suggests that caloric restriction extends longevity and retards age-related diseases at least in part by reducing metabolic rate and oxidative stress in a variety of species, including yeast, worms, flies, and mice. Moreover, recent studies in invertebrates - worms and flies, highlight the intricate interrelation between reproductive longevity and somatic aging (known as disposable soma theory of aging), which appears to be conserved in vertebrates. This review is specifically focused on how the reproductive system modulates somatic aging and vice versa in genetic model systems. Since many signaling pathways governing the aging process are evolutionarily conserved, similar mechanisms may be involved in controlling soma and reproductive aging in vertebrates.

The Detrimental Effect of Customer Demotion on Customer Profitability in Hierarchical Loyalty Programs

  • Chang, Woojung
    • Asia Marketing Journal
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-26
    • /
    • 2020
  • Firms employing hierarchical loyalty programs (HLPs) periodically demote customers from higher to lower status level to divest from unprofitable customers and boost profitability. However, existing literature lacks objective evidence on how customer demotion affects demoted customers' future purchase behaviors and ultimately profitability for the firm. Moreover, customers in the HLP's higher position may respond to customer demotion differently from those in the HLP's lower position. Drawing upon emotions and equity theories, this study quantifies how the profits that customers contribute to the firm change after customer demotion, and compares demoted customers' behavioral reactions from top-tier with those from bottom-tier based on customers' actual behavior data from a major retail bank in South Korea. The findings show that withdrawing customer status actually deteriorates customer profitability, and customers with top-tier status decrease their profitability more dramatically than those with bottom-tier status after demotion. The results contribute to previous literature on customer demotion and relationship marketing, and provide specific guidelines into how firms should design and implement customer demotion in HLPs.

Planfulness Ability as a Mediator of the Relationship between Learning from Supervisor and Readiness for Change: Empirical Evidence from India

  • Mohit Pahwa;Santosh Rangnekar
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
    • /
    • v.30 no.5
    • /
    • pp.59-82
    • /
    • 2023
  • The present research aims to examine whether learning from the supervisor influences readiness for change with the mediating impact of planfulness. Drawing upon the theory of planned behavior, it is hypothesized that learning from the supervisor positively impacts planfulness ability in individuals, which in turn enhances the readiness for change. Through using convenience sampling, the sample of 451 was collected from employees working full-time in the manufacturing and I.T. service organizations in India. Structural equation modeling and regression analysis indicate that learning from the supervisor is positively associated with readiness for change and planfulness. Additionally, planfulness fully mediated the relationship between learning from the supervisor and readiness to change. The findings of the present research highlight that continuous support and learning from the supervisor enhances the planfulness ability of the individual and consequently enhances individual readiness for change. The current research is pioneering in testing the hypothetical model associating learning from the supervisor, planfulness, and readiness for change.

CURRENT STATUS OF SHOCK ACCELERATION THEORY

  • DRURY LUKE O'C
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
    • /
    • v.37 no.5
    • /
    • pp.393-398
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper describes some recent developments in our understanding of particle acceleration by shocks. It is pointed out that while good agreement now exists as to steady nonlinear modifications to the shock structure, there is. also growing evidence that the mesoscopic scales may not in fact be steady and that siginficant instabilties associated with magnetic field amplification may be a feature of strong collisionless plasma shocks.

Study on the Design and Manufacture of Solid Iron Motors (괴상 철심 전동기의 설계 및 시작에 관한 연구)

  • 이윤종;백수현
    • 전기의세계
    • /
    • v.27 no.4
    • /
    • pp.52-59
    • /
    • 1978
  • This paper is prepaped, based upon its foundation of the design, first studying the rotor impedance of single and double layer cylindrical induction motor with solid iron rotor, and then inducing torque equation, from it. Classified were some design factors for this design from the result for above and there carried out the evidence of these design and theory after making experimental motors with solid iron rotors and examining torque characteristics.

  • PDF

TESTING FOR SMOOTH TRANSITION NONLINEARITY IN PARTIALLY NONSTATIONARY VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIONS

  • Seo, Byeong-Seon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.36 no.2
    • /
    • pp.257-274
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper considers the tests for the presence of smooth transition non-linearity in the partially nonstationary vector autoregressive model. The transition parameters cannot be identified under the null hypothesis of linearity, and therefore this paper develops the tests for smooth transition nonlinearity, the associated asymptotic theory and the bootstrap inference. The Monte Carlo simulation evidence shows that the bootstrap inference generates moderate size and power performances.