• Title/Summary/Keyword: Evaluation indicators and scenarios

검색결과 19건 처리시간 0.01초

Multi-criteria Comparative Evaluation of Nuclear Energy Deployment Scenarios With Thermal and Fast Reactors

  • Andrianov, A.A.;Andrianova, O.N.;Kuptsov, I.S.;Svetlichny, L.I.;Utianskaya, T.V.
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2019
  • The paper presents the results of a multi-criteria comparative evaluation of 12 feasible Russian nuclear energy deployment scenarios with thermal and fast reactors in a closed nuclear fuel cycle. The comparative evaluation was performed based on 6 performance indicators and 5 different MCDA methods (Simple Scoring Model, MAVT / MAUT, AHP, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE) in accordance with the recommendations elaborated by the IAEA/INPRO section. It is shown that the use of different MCDA methods to compare the nuclear energy deployment scenarios, despite some differences in the rankings, leads to well-coordinated and similar results. Taking into account the uncertainties in the weights within a multi-attribute model, it was possible to rank the scenarios in the absence of information regarding the relative importance of performance indicators and determine the preference probability for a certain nuclear energy deployment scenario. Based on the results of the uncertainty/sensitivity analysis and additional analysis of alternatives as well as the whole set of graphical and attribute data, it was possible to identify the most promising nuclear energy deployment scenario under the assumptions made.

중장기 해상풍력 단지개발 시나리오에 관한 연구 (Long-term Scenarios for Development of Off-shore Wind Farms)

  • 이상훈;성창경
    • 풍력에너지저널
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2014
  • Reviewing the capacity and timing of Southwest sea offshore wind farms, additional farms developing, and potential farms, we devised the long-term plan of domestic offshore wind farms development. In order to rank many wind farms, we determined evaluation indicators and weights of priority. We applied economic and preliminary factors such as wind grade, depth of water, distance from substations, farms scale, MOU signed, and feasibility studies. After deciding the ranking of wind farms by the scores, we planed domestic long-term scenarios of offshore wind farms development to meet national energy policy objectives.

시내버스노선체계 평가를 위한 정량적 지표의 설정 및 적용 (Quantitative Evaluation Indicators for the City Bus Route Network)

  • 이상용;박경아
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.29-44
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    • 2003
  • 도시 내 버스노선체계 개선을 위한 선행작업인 전체노선체계에 대한 합리적이고 형평성 있는 평가를 위한 기준 및 정량적 지표의 설정, 그리고 이를 이용한 평가사례가 제시되었다. 평가기준은 버스이용의 편의성, 운행의 생산성, 그리고 사회적 비용의 최소화라는 3가지 목표에 입각하여 접근성, 승차안락성, 환승률, 노선직결도, 운행생산성, 형평성, 그리고 차량소요대수의 7개 기준으로 설정되었으며 평가지표는 각각의 기준을 나타내는 구체적 측정도구로서의 정량적 모델로 구성되었다. 평가사례는 경기도 시흥시를 대상으로 기존 노선망의 유지를 포함한 4개의 개선대안에 대하여 설정된 7개 평가지표를 산출, 결과를 비교 평가하는 방식을 취하였다. 또한 지표별 평가점수를 선형정규화법에 의하여 표준화함으로서 종합적 평가가 가능하도록 하였다. 평가결과에 따르면, 설정된 지표들은 부분적으로 한계가 있지만 전반적으로 버스노선체계의 구조와 특성을 잘 반영하고 있어 타당성이 충분함을 보여주고 있다. 후속 연구와 관련하여, 설정된 지표 중 접근성 지표와 환승률 지표에 대하여는 좀더 연구가 필요할 것으로 보인다. 또한. 종합적 평가를 위한 지표 값의 표준화와 지표별 가중치 설정에 관한 연구가 이어져야할 것이며, 정책적 측면에서는 각 도시별로 나름대로의 특성과 정책목표에 입각하여 평가체계를 구성하는 노력이 있어야할 것으로 보인다.

분위사상법을 적용한 RCP 시나리오 기반 시군별 홍수 위험도 평가 (Flood Risk Assessment Based on Bias-Corrected RCP Scenarios with Quantile Mapping at a Si-Gun Level)

  • 박지훈;강문성;송인홍
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제55권4호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2013
  • The main objective of this study was to evaluate Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios-based flood risk at a Si-Gun level. A bias correction using a quantile mapping method with the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution was performed to correct future precipitation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). A series of proxy variables including CN80 (Number of days over 80 mm) and CX3h (Maximum precipitation during 3-hr) etc. were used to carry out flood risk assessment. Indicators were normalized by a Z-score method and weighted by factors estimated by principal component analysis (PCA). Flood risk evaluation was conducted for the four different time periods, i.e. 1990s, 2025s, 2055s, and 2085s, which correspond to 1976~2005, 2011~2040, 2041~2070, and 2071~2100. The average flood risk indices based on RCP4.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.16, 0.22, and 0.13 for the corresponding periods in the order of time, which increased steadily up to 2055s period and decreased. The average indices based on RCP8.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.23, 0.11, and 0.21, which decreased in the 2055s period and then increased again. Considering the average index during entire period of the future, RCP8.5 scenario resulted in greater risk than RCP4.5 scenario.

국토교통기술사업화지원사업 선정평가 지표 개선방안 연구: 후속사업 연계 방안을 중심으로 (A Study on the Improvement Direction of Selection Evaluation Indicators for the Land Transport Technology Commercialization Support Project: Focusing on the Follow-up Project Linkage Plan)

  • 심형욱;차석기;백승희
    • 산업융합연구
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    • 제20권12호
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2022
  • 국토교통부는 중소벤처 기업의 보유기술 및 공공기술 이전 및 사업화 지원을 위해 국토교통기술사업화지원사업을 추진하여 왔으며, 일몰제 적용에 따라 2022년부터는 후속 신규사업을 추진할 예정이다. 이러한 시점에서 후속 신규사업의 투자효과 제고 및 우수 연구기관 선정을 위해 사업목적에 맞는 타당한 평가지표 체계의 수립이 필요하다. 후속 신규사업의 평가 지표 체계는 선행사업의 사업목적 및 목표와 연계 되어야 하며, 연구성과 단절 등을 예방하기 위해 기존 평가항목 및 지표를 고려하는 것이 필요하다. 따라서 본 논문은 국토교통기술사업화지원사업 평가위원별 평가결과 데이터를 이용하여 계층적 군집분석을 통해 평가지표 체계를 다수의 시나리오로 설정하고, 구조방정식 모형 분석을 수행하였다. 시나리오 분석결과, 평가 지표 간 인과관계를 나타내는 각 경로의 측정효과와 평가항목에 미치는 평가지표별 효과를 고려하여 평가결과에 미치는 영향력이 가장 높은 시나리오를 개선방안으로 선택할 수 있었다.

Fixed Relays for Next Generation Wireless Systems - System Concept and Performance Evaluation

  • Pabst Ralf;Esseling Norbert;Walke Bernhard H.
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.104-114
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    • 2005
  • This work presents a concept and the related analysis of the traffic performance for a wireless broadband system based on fixed relay stations acting as wireless bridges. The analysis focuses on the important performance indicators end-to-end throughput and delay, taking into account the effects of an automated repeat request protocol. An extension to a MAC frame based access protocol like IEEE 802.11e, 802.15.3, 802.16a, and HIPERLAN2 is outlined and taken as basis for the calculations. The system is intended for both dense populated areas as an overlay to cellular radio systems and to provide wide-area broad-band coverage. The two possible deployment scenarios for both dense urban and wide-area environments are introduced. Analytical and validating simulation results are shown, proving the suitability of the proposed concept for both of the mentioned scenarios. It is established that the fixed relaying concept is well suited to substantially contribute to provide high capacity cellular broad-band radio coverage in next generation (NG) cellular wireless broadband systems.

초기설계단계에서 건축물 통합 안전성능 검증을 위한 평가요소 체계화에 관한 연구 (Systematization of Evaluation Indicators for Integrated Safety Performance Verification of Buildings in the Early Design Stage)

  • 서지효;추승연
    • 대한건축학회논문집:계획계
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2018
  • When planning buildings, safety should be considered as a priority over any other performance. The study aims to derive and systematize elements that can be reflected in the design stage, which affects the safety of construction workers and building users. The elements for safety of workers are classified by type of work, and the elements for safety of users are classified by fields. Elements that are difficult to be reflected in design stage or those whose effects are insignificant are excluded. In addition, application scenarios have been proposed for each element so that the elements created in this study can be directly applied and utilized in practice. This will contribute to lowering the accident rate of construction projects by evaluating the harmful risks of construction projects at the design stage.

Statistical bias indicators for the long-term displacement of steel-concrete composite beams

  • Moreno, Julian A.;Tamayo, Jorge L.P.;Morsch, Inacio B.;Miranda, Marcela P.;Reginato, Lucas H.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.379-397
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    • 2019
  • Steel-concrete composite beams are widely employed in constructions and their performance at the serviceability stage is of concern among practitioners and design regulations. In this context, an accurate evaluation of long-term deflections via various rheological concrete models is needed. In this work, the performance and predict capability of some concrete creep and shrinkage models ACI, CEB, B3, FIB and GL2000 are ascertained, and compared by using statistical bias indicators. Ten steel-concrete composite beams with existing experimental and numerical results are then modeled for this purpose. The proposed modeling technique uses the finite element method, where the concrete slab and steel beam are modeled with shell finite elements. Concrete is considered as an aging viscoelastic material and cracking is treated with the common smeared approach. The results show that when the experimental ultimate shrinkage strain is used for calibration, all studied rheological models predict nearly similar deflections, which agree with the experimental data. In contrast, significance differences are encountered for some models, when none calibration is made prior to. A value between twenty and thirty times the cracking strain is recommended for the ultimate tensile strain in the tension stiffening model. Also, increasing the relative humidity and decreasing the ambient temperature can lead to a substantial reduction of slab cracking for beams under negative flexure. Finally, there is not a unique rheological model that clearly excels in all scenarios.

산림경관서비스 지불제 도입을 위한 시범사업 설계 (Pilot-Project Design on Introduction of Payment of Forest Landscape Service)

  • 최재용;이동근;이호철;고재춘
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.112-122
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    • 2009
  • Payment of Forest Landscape Service (PFLS) is based on the value of landscape conservation and is a positive forest policy inducing the owners of mountains to improve environmental service quality with economic incentives. The purpose of this study is to test the feasibility of PFLS and find out the elements related to PFLS such as associated statutes, target applications, eligible owner's requirements, and applicable environmental services. Research sites were selected in designated reserved forests by law and surveys were carried out with 28 professional forestry engineers and 10 owners of reserved forests located in Chungnam Province in November, 2008. As a result, the owners are willing to participate pilot-project of PFLS if they could have tax incentives. Preferred activities in their forestry are eco-tourism and carbon emission trading as PFLS business model. Although they expect low economic benefit from the PFLS, respondents answered introducing PFLS will give good opportunities for owners of a reserved forest to enhance willingness to manage their forestry properly for the landscape conservation. In this study, PFLS evaluation indicators and policy directions are established and recommends the strategies to cope with changing needs of forestry conservation by inducing the owners' active participation in the sustainable forest landscape management.

AHP를 이용한 주파수 공유 비즈니스 모델 평가방법 설계 (Design of Evaluation Method for Business Models Considering Spectrum Sharing using Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) Method)

  • 김태한;박현민
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제15권12호
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    • pp.525-533
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    • 2015
  • 주파수 공유 기술의 진화는 TV 유휴대역 활용과 같은 다양한 신규 비즈니스 모델의 출현을 불러일으킬 것으로 예상된다. 그런데 주파수 공유를 고려한 비즈니스 모델은 서비스 제공업체의 경제적 타당성을 충족시키고, 서비스 이용자에게는 이전 서비스보다 증가된 편익을 제공해야 한다. 이와 더불어, 신규 비즈니스 모델은 무선 통신 서비스 분야를 포함하여 산업 활성화에 기여해야 한다. 이러한 다양한 목적을 이룰 수 있는 최적 비즈니스 모델 선별에 적합한 정량적 평가방법이 필요하다. 평가방법에는 정부, 서비스 제공자, 서비스 이용자의 평가 관점이 골고루 반영되어야 한다. 본 연구는 주파수 공유 비즈니스 모델의 평가방법을 제시한다. 먼저 주파수 공유 기술 적용의 특수성을 고려한 평가속성과 평가척도를 정의한다. 또한 계층적 의사결정 분석기법(AHP)을 적용하여 평가속성 및 평가항목의 상대적 중요도를 도출한다.