• Title/Summary/Keyword: Evacuation Time Estimates

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Estimation of Vehicles Evacuation Time by using Lane-based Routing Method (차로기반 경로유도방식을 이용한 차량의 소개시간 추정)

  • Do, Myungsik
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2013
  • This study is the fundamental research to establish evacuation planning and to analyze evacuation planning characteristics in Gumi-city based on existing network and traffic characteristics data. Assuming an emergency situation, it compared with evacuation time estimates between using existing traffic signal system and proposed lane-based routing method through micro simulations. As a result, using existing traffic signal system could not affect the evacuation times in each level of emergency conditions. However this study found that proposed lane-based routing method is very effective to reduce an evacuation time compared with using existing traffic signal system. Also the proposed method is verified to reduce an evacuation time especially in extreme emergency circumstances.

Public Evacuation Time Estimates within EPZ of Ulchin Site (울진원전 방사선비상계획구역 내의 주민 소개시간 예측)

  • Chung Yang-Geun;Lee Gab-Bock;Bang Sun-Young;Kim Sung-Min;Lee Eun-Mi
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.359-372
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    • 2005
  • The strong protection method of radiation emergency preparedness is the evacuation when a great deal of radionuclide material is released to environment. Required factors for evacuation time estimate of Ulchin nuclear power plant site were investigated. The traffic capacity and the traffic volume by season were investigated for the traffic analysis and simulation within EPZ of Ulchin site. As a result, the background traffic volume by season were established. The NETSIM code was applied to simulate for 12 scenarios in the event of normal traffic/summer peak traffic/winter peak traffic, daytime/night, and normal weather/adverse weather conditions. The results showed that the evacuation time required for total vehicles to move out from EPZ took generally $210\~315$ minutes. The evacuation time took longer about 45 minutes at night than in the daytime, and 45 minutes in adverse weather than normal condition.

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Evaluating the Effects of Sprawl on Evacuation Time: An Exploratory Analysis from Texas Coastal Counties (긴급재난 대피시간에 대한 도시확산 현상의 효과에 관한 연구: 미국 텍사스 해변 지역사례 연구)

  • Jung, Ju-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this research was to test a hypothesis that sprawl increases congestion, and so the estimated evacuation time become longer. For this, sprawl was thought to be poor accessibility so that vehicle miles of travel become longer. This research shows that the daily vehicle miles per lane mile that are thought to be an accessibility index had a strong and statistically significant relationship to the estimated evacuation time, while urban population density has no statistically significant relationship to the evacuation time. The result of this research recommends that we should consider sustainable land use patterns that decrease traffic demand by providing good accessibility.

An Agent-Based Modeling Approach for Estimating Inundation Areas over Time (행위자 기반 모델링을 활용한 시간에 따른 침수 지역 예상)

  • Kim, Byungil;Shin, Sha Chul;Jung, Jaehoon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2016
  • Emergency and evacuation planning is critical to reduce potential loss of life from flooding. In order to develop evacuation plans, emergency managers and decision makers require estimates of probable inundation areas and times of inundation. In this paper, we present an agent-based modeling approach that incorporates in a hydrodynamic model to estimate both of these properties. A case study is conducted modeling the failure of a dam located in Andong, South Korea. We estimate flood travel times for Manning's roughness coefficients and discharge using a coupling of the continuity equation and Manning's equation. Using the output from the hydrodynamic model and the flood travel times, the agent-based model produces flood inundation maps at each time interval. The model estimates that for two-thirds of the Andong region the time of inundation is estimated to be slightly less than three minutes. The results of this study can be used to in the development of emergency and evacuation planning for the region.

A Study on the Public Evacuation Time Estimates for Radiological Emergency Plan and Preparedness of Wolsong Nuclear Power Plant Site (방사선 비상계획을 위한 월성원전 주변 주민 소개시간 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Gab-Bock;Bang, Sun-Young;Chung, Yang-Geun
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2007
  • When an accident occurs at nuclear power plant and radionuclide material is released to the area around the plant, public evacuation is considered as a measure to protect the safety of the residents nearby. This study draws factors required to estimate evacuation time and make estimation of the time to evacuate all residents from the EPZ of Wolsong site in consideration of traffic condition in the neighborhood and on the basis of field data around the site for each factor. The traffic capacity and the traffic volume by season were investigated for the traffic analysis and simulation within EPZ of Wolsong site. As a result, the background traffic volume by season were established. To estimate TGT(Trip Generation Time), the questionnaire surveys were carried out for resident and transient. The TSIS code was applied to traffic analysis in the events of daytime/night and normal/adverse weather under normal day/summer peak traffic condition. The results showed that the evacuation time required for total vehicles to move out from EPZ took generally from 118 to 150 minutes. The evacuation time took longer maximum 17 minutes at night than daytime during summer peak traffic.

Implementation of Fire Risk Estimation System for various Fire Situations using Multiple Sensors (다중 센서들을 이용한 다양한 화재 상황의 위험도 추정 시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Kwangjae;Lee, Youn-Sung
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.394-398
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, a fire detection system based on quantitative risk estimation is presented. Multiple sensors are used to build a comprehensive indicator that represents the risk of fire quantitatively. The proposed fire risk estimation method consists of two stages which determines the occurrence of fire and estimates the toxicity of the surveillance area. In the first stage, fire is reliably detected under diverse fire scenarios. The risk of fire is estimated in the second stage. Applying Purser's Fractional Effective Dose (FED) model which quantitates harmfulness of toxic gases, the risk of the surveillance area and evacuation time are calculated. A fire experiment conducted using four different types of combustion materials for the verification of the system resulted in a maximum error rate of 12.5%. By using FED calculation and risk estimation methods, the proposed system can detect various signs of fire faster than conventional systems.

Automated Finite Element Analyses for Structural Integrated Systems (통합 구조 시스템의 유한요소해석 자동화)

  • Chongyul Yoon
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2024
  • An automated dynamic structural analysis module stands as a crucial element within a structural integrated mitigation system. This module must deliver prompt real-time responses to enable timely actions, such as evacuation or warnings, in response to the severity posed by the structural system. The finite element method, a widely adopted approximate structural analysis approach globally, owes its popularity in part to its user-friendly nature. However, the computational efficiency and accuracy of results depend on the user-provided finite element mesh, with the number of elements and their quality playing pivotal roles. This paper introduces a computationally efficient adaptive mesh generation scheme that optimally combines the h-method of node movement and the r-method of element division for mesh refinement. Adaptive mesh generation schemes automatically create finite element meshes, and in this case, representative strain values for a given mesh are employed for error estimates. When applied to dynamic problems analyzed in the time domain, meshes need to be modified at each time step, considering a few hundred or thousand steps. The algorithm's specifics are demonstrated through a standard cantilever beam example subjected to a concentrated load at the free end. Additionally, a portal frame example showcases the generation of various robust meshes. These examples illustrate the adaptive algorithm's capability to produce robust meshes, ensuring reasonable accuracy and efficient computing time. Moreover, the study highlights the potential for the scheme's effective application in complex structural dynamic problems, such as those subjected to seismic or erratic wind loads. It also emphasizes its suitability for general nonlinear analysis problems, establishing the versatility and reliability of the proposed adaptive mesh generation scheme.

Experimental Study on the Determination of Critical Velocity for the Case of Fire in Long Traffic Tunnels (장대 교통터널 화재시 임계속도 결정에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Yoon Chanhoon;Yoon Sungwook;Yoo Yongho;Kim Jin
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.16 no.1 s.60
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2006
  • In this study, scaled model tests were carried out to decide the optimal critical velocity, to prevent back layering in the case of fire in a long traffic tunnel. Realistic estimates were made for the time required for people to escape ken the tunnel and far the time required by the ventilation operator to increase the system speed to full capacity. The analysis, predicts that the emergency ventilation will start about 240 seconds after the tunnel fire. It was also found that prevention of back layering would occur within 4 minutes after fan operation. To find out optimal critical velocity, a 1/50 scaled model tunnel(diameter : 0.2 m and length : 20 m) based on the Froude similarity technique was constructed. Changing $\beta$ values in the Tetzner's equation, smoke propagation was observed. From the experiment, it was concluded that using a $\beta$ value of 0.5 to prevent back layering successfully allowed time for safe evacuation.