• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimation of solar radiation

검색결과 138건 처리시간 0.025초

정밀 GPS 위성궤도 결정 및 오차 특성 분석 (Precision GPS Orbit Determination and Analysis of Error Characteristics)

  • 배태석
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2009
  • 동역학적 방법을 이용한 GPS(Global Positioning System) 위성궤도 결정을 위해 양방향 적분이 가능한 multi-step 방식의 수치적분기를 개발하였으며, 이는 GPS 위성 고도에서 마이크로미터 수준의 정확도를 보였다. 가속도 모델링에서 달, 태양 이외의 천체에 의한 인력은 매우 작으므로 태양복사압에서 경험적 모델로 대체하였다. 위성궤도 미지수는 수치적분된 위성궤도와 IGS(International GNSS Service) 정밀궤도를 이용하여 최소제곱방법으로 결정했다. 이를 위해서는 수치적분기에서 가속도와 함께 미지수에 대한 편미분값을 동시에 적분해야 한다. 추정된 위성궤도 미지수를 이용하여 계산한 잔차의 RMS(Root Mean Squares error)로 부터 위성궤도의 정확도를 검증했다. 2009년 3월 한달의 평균적인 궤도오차 RMS는 5.2mm 였으며, 궤도오차의 절대적인 크기는 위성체의 종류 및 위성진행방향기준 좌표계 상에서 특별히 편향된 형태를 보이지는 않는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 적용한 태양복사압 모델은 상수항 및 궤도당 1주기에 대한 변화만을 포함하고 있으므로, 궤도당 2주기에 해당하는 궤도오차 양상을 크게 보이고 있으며 이에 대한 추가적인 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

CMIP5 GCMs과 추정 방법에 따른 우리나라 기준증발산량 평가 (Evaluation of Reference Evapotranspiration in South Korea according to CMIP5 GCMs and Estimation Methods)

  • 박지훈;조재필;이은정;정임국
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.153-168
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    • 2017
  • The main objective of this study was to assess reference evapotranspiration based on multiple GCMs (General Circulation Models) and estimation methods. In this study, 10 GCMs based on the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 scenario were used to estimate reference evapotranspiration. 54 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) data were constructed by statistical downscaling techniques. The meteorological variables of precipitation, maximum temperature and minimum temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation were produced using GCMs. For the past and future periods, we estimated reference evapotranspiration by GCMs and analyzed the statistical characteristics and analyzed its uncertainty. Five methods (BC: Blaney-Criddle, HS: Hargreaves-Samani, MK: Makkink, MS: Matt-Shuttleworth, and PM: Penman-Monteith) were selected to analyze the uncertainty by reference evapotranspiration estimation methods. We compared the uncertainty of reference evapotranspiration method by the variable expansion and analyzed which variables greatly influence reference evapotranspiration estimation. The posterior probabilities of five methods were estimated as BC: 0.1792, HS: 0.1775, MK: 0.2361, MS: 0.2054, and PM: 0.2018. The posterior probability indicated how well reference evapotranspiration estimated with 10 GCMs for five methods reflected the estimated reference evapotranspiration using the observed data. Through this study, we analyzed the overall characteristics of reference evapotranspiration according to GCMs and reference evapotranspiration estimation methods The results of this study might be used as a basic data for preparing the standard method of reference evapotranspiration to derive the water management method under climate change.

신경회로망을 이용한 수도 증발산량 예측 -백프로파게이션과 카운터프로파게이션 알고리즘의 적용- (Estimating Evapotranspiration of Rice Crop Using Neural Networks -Application of Back-propagation and Counter-propagation Algorithm-)

  • 이남호;정하우
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 1994
  • This paper is to evaluate the applicability of neural networks to the estimation of evapotranspiration. Two neural networks were developed to forecast daily evapotranspiration of the rice crop with back-propagation and counter-propagation algorithm. The neural network trained by back-propagation algorithm with delta learning rule is a three-layer network with input, hidden, and output layers. The other network with counter-propagation algorithm is a four-layer network with input, normalizing, competitive, and output layers. Training neural networks was conducted using daily actual evapotranspiration of rice crop and daily climatic data such as mean temperature, sunshine hours, solar radiation, relative humidity, and pan evaporation. During the training, neural network parameters were calibrated. The trained networks were applied to a set of field data not used in the training. The created response of the back-propagation network was in good agreement with desired values and showed better performances than the counter-propagation network did. Evaluating the neural network performance indicates that the back-propagation neural network may be applied to the estimation of evapotranspiration of the rice crop. This study does not provide with a conclusive statement as to the ability of a neural network to evapotranspiration estimating. More detailed study is required for better understanding and evaluating the behavior of neural networks.

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인공신경망 기법을 이용한 장래 잠재증발산량 산정 (Estimation of Future Reference Crop Evapotranspiration using Artificial Neural Networks)

  • 이은정;강문성;박정안;최진영;박승우
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권5호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2010
  • Evapotranspiration (ET) is one of the basic components of the hydrologic cycle and is essential for estimating irrigation water requirements. In this study, artificial neural network (ANN) models for reference crop evapotranspiration ($ET_0$) estimation were developed on a monthly basis (May~October). The models were trained and tested for Suwon, Korea. Four climate factors, daily maximum temperature ($T_{max}$), daily minimum temperature ($T_{min}$), rainfall (R), and solar radiation (S) were used as the input parameters of the models. The target values of the models were calculated using Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Penman-Monteith equation. Future climate data were generated using LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station-Weather Generator), stochastic weather generator, based on HadCM3 (Hadley Centre Coupled Model, ver.3) A1B scenario. The evapotranspirations were 549.7 mm/yr in baseline period (1973-2008), 558.1 mm/yr in 2011-2030, 593.0 mm/yr in 2046-2065, and 641.1 mm/yr in 2080-2099. The results showed that the ANN models achieved good performances in estimating future reference crop evapotranspiration.

지역냉방 공동주택 적정 냉방부하 산정 (The Estimation of Cooling Load for District Cooling in Apartment Buildings)

  • 김상훈;변운섭
    • 대한설비공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한설비공학회 2008년도 하계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.643-649
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a standard for unit cooling load in central control type apartment applied district cooling. The model of unit household was selected. And the standard of coefficient of overall heat transmission, location of unit household, indoor air temperature, solar radiation & thermal conduction at window and interior load was selected, and region, expansion or non-expansion of balcony, pyeong type, azimuth, rate of window area was applied as parameter. And then cooling load simulation was performed. Based on the result of simulation, the synthetic district cooling load was presented for selecting heat source of apartment applied district cooling, and unit cooling load was analyzed according to design parameter.

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조명기구를 통한 내부획득열 추정을 위한 고단열실 및 조명기구의 열적 모델링 (Thermal Modeling of Quasi-Adiabatic Room and Lighting Fixture for Estimation of Internal Heat Gain by Luminaires)

  • 박혜리;최은혁;이광식
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2012
  • In order to reduce energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission in building domain, thermal insulation of building is being enhanced. In a well insulated and tightened environment, internal heat gain caused by solar radiation, luminaires, electronic appliances and metabolism can be more important to thermal condition of building. This paper presents mathematical/physical models of quasi-adiabtic room and lighting fixtures using heat balance equation and thermal-electric analogy to quantify and modelize the heat gain due to luminaires. Experimental results are used to identify thermal parameters of theoretical models. And simulation results of models using Matlab/Simulink are conducted to verify the models and to investigate the thermal effect of lighting fixtures into quasi-adiabatic room.

궤도섭동을 고려한 저궤도 위성의 추진제 소모량 예측 및 궤도 해석 (The Estimation of Fuel Consumption of Satellites and Orbit Analysis under Orbit Perturbations)

  • 정도희;이상기
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2003년도 제21회 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.65-70
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 섭동가속도의 변화식으로 주어지는 궤도 섭동 방정식으로부터 지구 편원현상과 대기저항에 의해 기인하는 궤도요소들의 변화를 표현하고 궤도 일회전당 변화량을 근거로 하여 대기저항에 의한 속도 보정과 그에 필요한 연료소모량을 효과적으로 예측하는 방법을 제시하고 그 기법을 다목적위성 궤도해석에 적용하였다. 그리고 궤도 해석을 위해 위성에 영향을 미치는 섭동력을 비대칭 중력장, 대기 저항력, 태양과 달의 인력, 태양 복사압에 의한 영향을 계산하여 정량적으로 비교 분석하였다.

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GMS-5 위성의 가시자료를 이용한 동아시아 지역의 에어로솔 광학두께 추정 (Estimation of Aerosol Optical Thickness over East Asia Using GMS-5 Visible Channel Measurements)

  • 엄영대;손병주
    • 대기
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.203-211
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    • 2005
  • One algorithm has been developed for retrieving aerosol optical thickness from GMS-5 visible channel measurements, and then the algorithm was applied for obtaining the geographical distribution of aerosol optical thickness over East Asia during April 2002. Algorithm employs a look-up table based upon radiative transfer calculations with solar geometry, aerosol optical thickness, and surface albedo as inputs. Validation was conducted by comparing retrieved aerosol optical thickness with measured values from ground-based sky radiation measurements at Anmyon Do, Korea. It was found that the correlation coefficient is 0.71 with -0.03 of bias and 0.34 of root mean square error, suggesting that the algorithm developed in this study can be used for estimating aerosol optical thickness in a quantitative sense.

일조시간을 이용한 기준 증발산량 추정 (Estimation of the Reference Evapotranspiration using Daily Sunshine Hour)

  • 이길하;조홍연
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.627-640
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    • 2011
  • 이 논문에서는 일사량과 일조시간에 관한 통상적인 선형관계식보다 정확한 비선형 관계식에 대한 적용검토를 수행한다. 일조시간을 이용한 일사량 추정에 이어서 Penman-Monteith 방정식을 이용하여 기준 증발산량을 추정하였다. 우리나라 20개 지점의 1997년부터 2006년까지의 일사량 및 일조시간 자료를 포함한 기상자료를 이용하여 선형 그리고 수정 비선형 Angstrom 방정식을 보정하고 기준 증발산량을 추정하였다. 일조시간과 일사량 사이의 선형과 비선형 관계식을 이용한 기준 증발산량의 상대비교를 수행하였다. 선형 및 비선형 관계식을 이용한 방법 모두 RMS 오차는 5.96, NSC(Nash-Sutcliffe Coefficient)는 0.95로 추정되었고, 그 차이는 매우 미미하였다. 그러나 상대적으로 일사량이 기준 증발산량에 크게 기여하는 하계에는 그 차이가 증가하기 때문에 보다 개선된 비선형 관계식을 이용하는 방법에 대한 엄밀한 검토가 필요하다.