• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation Models

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A visualizing method for investigating individual frailties using frailtyHL R-package

  • Ha, Il Do;Noh, Maengseok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.931-940
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    • 2013
  • For analysis of clustered survival data, the inferences of parameters in semi-parametric frailty models have been widely studied. It is also important to investigate the potential heterogeneity in event times among clusters (e.g. centers, patients). For purpose of this analysis, the interval estimation of frailty is useful. In this paper we propose a visualizing method to present confidence intervals of individual frailties across clusters using the frailtyHL R-package, which is implemented from h-likelihood methods for frailty models. The proposed method is demonstrated using two practical examples.

A study on Estimation Optimum Farm Size for Selected Farming Items at the Year 2001 (2001년(年) 기준(基準) 적정영농(適正營農) 규모(規模) 추정(推定))

  • Shin, Dong-Wan
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.261-271
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    • 1996
  • Korean government has pursued measure of promoting specialized full time farmers, one hundred fifty thousand by 2001, along with "New Agricultural Policy" begining since year 1993, so as to improve agricultural structure depressed by urbanization and industrialization and also under pressure for agricultural imports liberlization. Objective of the study was to estimate optimal farming size for selected cash crops and livestocks aimed at farm income of more than fifty million won at the year 2001. Estimated items were eighteen fann models of four area for cash crops and nine models of three kind livestocks. Optimal fann size was estimated from the data collected through ninety nine fann household survey for farming result in 1993. and developed computer model on changing farm size estimation related on price change. Those results is espected to utilize as basic reference for promoting specialized full time farmers proposed by the New Agricultural Policy.

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Lessons Learned and Challenges Encountered in Retail Sales Forecast

  • Song, Qiang
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.196-209
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    • 2015
  • Retail sales forecast is a special area of forecasting. Its unique characteristics call for unique data models and treatment, and unique forecasting processes. In this paper, we will address lessons learned and challenges encountered in retail sales forecast from a practical and technical perspective. In particular, starting with the data models of retail sales data, we proceed to address issues existing in estimating and processing each component in the data model. We will discuss how to estimate the multi-seasonal cycles in retail sales data, and the limitations of the existing methodologies. In addition, we will talk about the distinction between business events and forecast events, the methodologies used in event detection and event effect estimation, and the difficulties in compound event detection and effect estimation. For each of the issues and challenges, we will present our solution strategy. Some of the solution strategies can be generalized and could be helpful in solving similar forecast problems in different areas.

Case-Selective Neural Network Model and Its Application to Software Effort Estimation

  • Jun, Eung-Sup
    • Annual Conference of KIPS
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.363-366
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    • 2001
  • It is very difficult to maintain the performance of estimation models for the new breed of projects since the computing environment changes so rapidly in terms of programming languages, development tools, and methodologies. So, we propose to use the relevant cases for a neural network model, whose cost is the decreased number of cases. To balance the relevance and data availability, the qualitative input factors are used as criteria of data classification. With the data sets that have the same value for certain qualitative input factors, we can eliminate the factors from the model making reduced neural network models. So we need to seek the optimally reduced neural network model among them. To find the optimally case-selective neural network, we propose the search techniques and sensitivity analysis between data points and search space.

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3D City Modeling Using Laser Scan Data

  • Kim, Dong-Suk;Lee, Kwae-Hi
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.505-507
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    • 2003
  • This paper describes techniques for the automated creation of geometric 3D models of the urban area us ing two 2D laser scanners and aerial images. One of the laser scanners scans an environment horizontally and the other scans vertically. Horizontal scanner is used for position estimation and vertical scanner is used for building 3D model. Aerial image is used for registration with scan data. Those models can be used for virtual reality, tele-presence, digital cinematography, and urban planning applications. Results are shown with 3D point cloud in urban area.

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Parameter estimation of an extended inverse power Lomax distribution with Type I right censored data

  • Hassan, Amal S.;Nassr, Said G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.99-118
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we introduce an extended form of the inverse power Lomax model via Marshall-Olkin approach. We call it the Marshall-Olkin inverse power Lomax (MOIPL) distribution. The four- parameter MOIPL distribution is very flexible which contains some former and new models. Vital properties of the MOIPL distribution are affirmed. Maximum likelihood estimators and approximate confidence intervals are considered under Type I censored samples. Maximum likelihood estimates are evaluated according to simulation study. Bayesian estimators as well as Bayesian credible intervals under symmetric loss function are obtained via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. Finally, the flexibility of the new model is analyzed by means of two real data sets. It is found that the MOIPL model provides closer fits than some other models based on the selected criteria.

STATISTICALLY PREPROCESSED DATA BASED PARAMETRIC COST MODEL FOR BUILDING PROJECTS

  • Sae-Hyun Ji;Moonseo Park;Hyun-Soo Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.417-424
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    • 2009
  • For a construction project to progress smoothly, effective cost estimation is vital, particularly in the conceptual and schematic design stages. In these early phases, despite the fact that initial estimates are highly sensitive to changes in project scope, owners require accurate forecasts which reflect their supplying information. Thus, cost estimators need effective estimation strategies. Practically, parametric cost estimates are the most commonly used method in these initial phases, which utilizes historical cost data (Karshenas 1984, Kirkham 2007). Hence, compilation of historical data regarding appropriate cost variance governing parameters is a prime requirement. However, precedent practice of data mining (data preprocessing) for denoising internal errors or abnormal values is needed before compilation. As an effort to deal with this issue, this research proposed a statistical methodology for data preprocessing and verified that data preprocessing has a positive impact on the enhancement of estimate accuracy and stability. Moreover, Statistically Preprocessed data Based Parametric (SPBP) cost models are developed based on multiple regression equations and verified their effectiveness compared with conventional cost models.

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On Two Mathematical Models and Their Appli-cations for the Estmation of Population (산業社會의 人口移動推定을 위한 數理模型의 適용: 특히 1975년도 Census人口에 立脚한 將來人口推計)

  • J.H.Koo;C.K.Im;B.M.Jun;K.W.Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 1978
  • This study aims to find out a suitable mathematical models for the estimation of population size and improve it for the estimation of social increase of population at urban areas. This study shows that Model (I) is obtained by the generalization of Kabak's Wild Life Management Model together with some other useful results as follows: a) By the transition matrix P, it is known that the interregional migrations have shown greater rise than those of five years ago. b) The invariant population vector $\alpha$ predicts that the Kyonggi area will have a share of 48%, the Choongcheong area of 10%, the Honam area of 12%, and the Youngnam area of 17% of the total population of Korea. c) The estimated population of the Special City of Seoul (Metropolitan) will be above ten millon in 1983. d) The estimated optmum population of Korea will be 53,850,000 in 2000 A.D.

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Accurate Face Pose Estimation and Synthesis Using Linear Transform Among Face Models (얼굴 모델간 선형변환을 이용한 정밀한 얼굴 포즈추정 및 포즈합성)

  • Suvdaa, B.;Ko, J.
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.508-515
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents a method that estimates face pose for a given face image and synthesizes any posed face images using Active Appearance Model(AAM). The AAM that having been successfully applied to various applications is an example-based learning model and learns the variations of training examples. However, with a single model, it is difficult to handle large pose variations of face images. This paper proposes to build a model covering only a small range of angle for each pose. Then, with a proper model for a given face image, we can achieve accurate pose estimation and synthesis. In case of the model used for pose estimation was not trained with the angle to synthesize, we solve this problem by training the linear relationship between the models in advance. In the experiments on Yale B public face database, we present the accurate pose estimation and pose synthesis results. For our face database having large pose variations, we demonstrate successful frontal pose synthesis results.

Multiple Homographies Estimation using a Guided Sequential RANSAC (가이드된 순차 RANSAC에 의한 다중 호모그래피 추정)

  • Park, Yong-Hee;Kwon, Oh-Seok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.10-22
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    • 2010
  • This study proposes a new method of multiple homographies estimation between two images. With a large proportion of outliers, RANSAC is a general and very successful robust parameter estimator. However it is limited by the assumption that a single model acounts for all of the data inliers. Therefore, it has been suggested to sequentially apply RANSAC to estimate multiple 2D projective transformations. In this case, because outliers stay in the correspondence data set through the estimation process sequentially, it tends to progress slowly for all models. And, it is difficult to parallelize the sequential process due to the estimation order by the number of inliers for each model. We introduce a guided sequential RANSAC algorithm, using the local model instances that have been obtained from RANSAC procedure, which is able to reduce the number of random samples and deal simultaneously with multiple models.