• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation Errors

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SAAnnot-C3Pap: Ground Truth Collection Technique of Playing Posture Using Semi Automatic Annotation Method (SAAnnot-C3Pap: 반자동 주석화 방법을 적용한 연주 자세의 그라운드 트루스 수집 기법)

  • Park, So-Hyun;Kim, Seo-Yeon;Park, Young-Ho
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.409-418
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose SAAnnot-C3Pap, a semi-automatic annotation method for obtaining ground truth of a player's posture. In order to obtain ground truth about the two-dimensional joint position in the existing music domain, openpose, a two-dimensional posture estimation method, was used or manually labeled. However, automatic annotation methods such as the existing openpose have the disadvantages of showing inaccurate results even though they are fast. Therefore, this paper proposes SAAnnot-C3Pap, a semi-automated annotation method that is a compromise between the two. The proposed approach consists of three main steps: extracting postures using openpose, correcting the parts with errors among the extracted parts using supervisely, and then analyzing the results of openpose and supervisely. Perform the synchronization process. Through the proposed method, it was possible to correct the incorrect 2D joint position detection result that occurred in the openpose, solve the problem of detecting two or more people, and obtain the ground truth in the playing posture. In the experiment, we compare and analyze the results of the semi-automated annotation method openpose and the SAAnnot-C3Pap proposed in this paper. As a result of comparison, the proposed method showed improvement of posture information incorrectly collected through openpose.

Closing Analysis of Symmetric Steel Cable-stayed Bridges and Estimation of Construction Error (대칭형 강 사장교의 폐합해석과 시공오차의 예측)

  • Lee, Min Kwon;Lee, Hae Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1A
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents the closing analysis of a symmetric steel cable-stayed bridge erected by a free cantilever method. Two independent structural systems are formed before the closing procedure of a bridge is performed, and thus the compatibility conditions for vertical displacement and rotational angle are not satisfied at the closing section without the application of proper sectional forces. Since, however, it is usually impossible to apply sectional forces at the closing section, the compatibility conditions should be satisfied by proper external forces that can be actually applicable to a bridge. Unstrained lengths of selected cables and the pull-up force of a derrick crane are adjusted to satisfy nonlinear compatibility conditions, which are solved iteratively by the Newton-Raphson method. Cable members are modeled by the elastic catenary cable elements, and towers and main girders are discretized by linear 3-D frame elements. The sensitivities of displacement with respect to the unstrained lengths of selected cables and the pull-up force of the derrick crane are evaluated by the direct differentiation of the equilibrium equation. A Monte-Carlo simulation approach is proposed to estimate expected construction errors for a given confidence level. The proposed method is applied to the second Jindo Grand Bridge to demonstrate its validity and effectiveness.

Methodology for Estimating Highway Traffic Performance Based on Origin/Destination Traffic Volume (기종점통행량(O/D) 기반의 고속도로 통행실적 산정 방법론 연구)

  • Howon Lee;Jungyeol Hong;Yoonhyuk Choi
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.119-131
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    • 2024
  • Understanding accurate traffic performance is crucial for ensuring efficient highway operation and providing a sustainable mobility environment. On the other hand, an immediate and precise estimation of highway traffic performance faces challenges because of infrastructure and technological constraints, data processing complexities, and limitations in using integrated big data. This paper introduces a framework for estimating traffic performance by analyzing real-time data sourced from toll collection systems and dedicated short-range communications used on highways. In particular, this study addresses the data errors arising from segmented information in data, influencing the individual travel trajectories of vehicles and establishing a more reliable Origin-Destination (OD) framework. The study revealed the necessity of trip linkage for accurate estimations when consecutive segments of individual vehicle travel within the OD occur within a 20-minute window. By linking these trip ODs, the daily average highway traffic performance for South Korea was estimated to be248,624 thousand vehicle kilometers per day. This value shows an increase of approximately 458 thousand vehicle kilometers per day compared to the 248,166 thousand vehicle kilometers per day reported in the highway operations manual. This outcome highlights the potential for supplementing previously omitted traffic performance data through the methodology proposed in this study.

Development of a Listener Position Adaptive Real-Time Sound Reproduction System (청취자 위치 적응 실시간 사운드 재생 시스템의 개발)

  • Lee, Ki-Seung;Lee, Seok-Pil
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.458-467
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, a new audio reproduction system was developed in which the cross-talk signals would be reasonably cancelled at an arbitrary listener position. To adaptively remove the cross-talk signals according to the listener's position, a method of tracking the listener position was employed. This was achieved using the two microphones, where the listener direction was estimated using the time-delay between the two signals from the two microphones, respectively. Moreover, room reverberation effects were taken into consideration where linear prediction analysis was involved. To remove the cross-talk signals at the left-and right-ears, the paths between the sources and the ears were represented using the KEMAR head-related transfer functions (HRTFs) which were measured from the artificial dummy head. To evaluate the usefulness of the proposed listener tracking system, the performance of cross-talk cancellation was evaluated at the estimated listener positions. The performance was evaluated in terms of the channel separation ration (CSR), a -10 dB of CSR was experimentally achieved although the listener positions were more or less deviated. A real-time system was implemented using a floating-point digital signal processor (DSP). It was confirmed that the average errors of the listener direction was 5 degree and the subjects indicated that 80 % of the stimuli was perceived as the correct directions.

A Performance Improvement Method using Variable Break in Corpus Based Japanese Text-to-Speech System (가변 Break를 이용한 코퍼스 기반 일본어 음성 합성기의 성능 향상 방법)

  • Na, Deok-Su;Min, So-Yeon;Lee, Jong-Seok;Bae, Myung-Jin
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2009
  • In text-to-speech systems, the conversion of text into prosodic parameters is necessarily composed of three steps. These are the placement of prosodic boundaries. the determination of segmental durations, and the specification of fundamental frequency contours. Prosodic boundaries. as the most important and basic parameter. affect the estimation of durations and fundamental frequency. Break prediction is an important step in text-to-speech systems as break indices (BIs) have a great influence on how to correctly represent prosodic phrase boundaries, However. an accurate prediction is difficult since BIs are often chosen according to the meaning of a sentence or the reading style of the speaker. In Japanese, the prediction of an accentual phrase boundary (APB) and major phrase boundary (MPB) is particularly difficult. Thus, this paper presents a method to complement the prediction errors of an APB and MPB. First, we define a subtle BI in which it is difficult to decide between an APB and MPB clearly as a variable break (VB), and an explicit BI as a fixed break (FB). The VB is chosen using the classification and regression tree, and multiple prosodic targets in relation to the pith and duration are then generated. Finally. unit-selection is conducted using multiple prosodic targets. In the MOS test result. the original speech scored a 4,99. while proposed method scored a 4.25 and conventional method scored a 4.01. The experimental results show that the proposed method improves the naturalness of synthesized speech.

Transmission Dose Estimation Algorithm for Tissue Deficit (조직 결손에 대한 투과선량 계산 알고리즘 보정)

  • Yun Hyong Geun;Chie Eui Kyu;Huh Soon Nyung;Lee Hyoung Koo;Woo Hong Gyun;Shin Kyo Chul;Ha Sung Whan
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.186-192
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    • 2002
  • Purpose : Measurement of transmission dose is useful for in vivo dosimetry. In this study, previous algorithm for estimation of transmission dose was modified for use in cases with tissue deficit. Materials and Methods : The beam data was measured with flat solid phantom in various conditions of tissue deficit. New algorithm for correction of transmission dose for tissue deficit was developed by physical reasoning. The algorithm was tested in experimental settings with irregular contours mimicking breast cancer patients using multiple sheets of solid phantoms. Results : The correction algorithm for tissue deficit could accurately reflect the effect of tissue deficit with errors within ${\pm}1.0\%$ in most situations and within ${\pm}3.0\%$ in experimental settings with irregular contours mimicking breast cancer treatment set-up. Conclusion : Developed algorithm could accurately reflect the effect of tissue deficit and irregularly shaped body contour on transmission dosimetry.

Multi-task Learning Based Tropical Cyclone Intensity Monitoring and Forecasting through Fusion of Geostationary Satellite Data and Numerical Forecasting Model Output (정지궤도 기상위성 및 수치예보모델 융합을 통한 Multi-task Learning 기반 태풍 강도 실시간 추정 및 예측)

  • Lee, Juhyun;Yoo, Cheolhee;Im, Jungho;Shin, Yeji;Cho, Dongjin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.5_3
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    • pp.1037-1051
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    • 2020
  • The accurate monitoring and forecasting of the intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs) are able to effectively reduce the overall costs of disaster management. In this study, we proposed a multi-task learning (MTL) based deep learning model for real-time TC intensity estimation and forecasting with the lead time of 6-12 hours following the event, based on the fusion of geostationary satellite images and numerical forecast model output. A total of 142 TCs which developed in the Northwest Pacific from 2011 to 2016 were used in this study. The Communications system, the Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) Meteorological Imager (MI) data were used to extract the images of typhoons, and the Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) provided by the National Center of Environmental Prediction (NCEP) was employed to extract air and ocean forecasting data. This study suggested two schemes with different input variables to the MTL models. Scheme 1 used only satellite-based input data while scheme 2 used both satellite images and numerical forecast modeling. As a result of real-time TC intensity estimation, Both schemes exhibited similar performance. For TC intensity forecasting with the lead time of 6 and 12 hours, scheme 2 improved the performance by 13% and 16%, respectively, in terms of the root mean squared error (RMSE) when compared to scheme 1. Relative root mean squared errors(rRMSE) for most intensity levels were lessthan 30%. The lower mean absolute error (MAE) and RMSE were found for the lower intensity levels of TCs. In the test results of the typhoon HALONG in 2014, scheme 1 tended to overestimate the intensity by about 20 kts at the early development stage. Scheme 2 slightly reduced the error, resulting in an overestimation by about 5 kts. The MTL models reduced the computational cost about 300% when compared to the single-tasking model, which suggested the feasibility of the rapid production of TC intensity forecasts.

Tissue Inhomogeneity Correction in Clinical Application of Transmission Dosimetry to Head and Neck Cancer Radiation Treatment (두경부 방사선 치료 환자에서 투과선량 알고리즘의 임상 적용시 불균질 조직 보정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Suzy;Ha Sung Whan;Wu Hong Gyun;Huh Soon Nyung
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2004
  • Purpose : To confirm the reproducibility of in vivo transmission dosimetry system and the accuracy of the a1gorithms for the estimation of transmission dose in head and neck radiation therapy patients. Materials and Methods : From September 5 to 18, 2001, transmission dose measurements were peformed when radiotherapy was given to brain or head and neck cancer patients. The data of 35 patients who were treated more than three times and whose central axis of the beam was not blocked were analyzed in this study. To confirm the reproducibility of this system, transmission dose was measured before dally treatment and then repetitively every hour during the treatment time, with a field size of 10$\times$10 cm$^{2}$ and a delivery of 100 MU. The accuracy of the transmission dose calculation algorithms was confirmed by comparing estimated dose with measured dose. To accurately estimate transmission dose, tissue inhomogeneity correction was done. Results : The measurement variations during a day were within $\pm$0.5$\%$ and the dally variations in the checked period were within $\pm$ 1.0$\%$, which were acceptable for system reproducibility. The mean errors between estimated and measured doses were within $\pm$5.0$\%$ in Patients treated to the brain, $\pm$2.5$\%$ in head, and $\pm$ 5.0%$\%$in neck. Conclusion : The results of this study confirmed the reproducibility of our system and its usefulness and accuracy for dally treatment. We also found that tissue inhomogeneity correction was necessary for the accurate estimation of transmission dose in patients treated to the head and neck.

Unbilled Revenue and Analysts' Earnings Forecasts (진행기준 수익인식 방법과 재무분석가 이익예측 - 미청구공사 계정을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Bo-Mi;Park, Bo-Young
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.151-165
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    • 2017
  • This study investigates the effect of revenue recognition by percentage of completion method on financial analysts' earnings forecasting information in order industry. Specifically, we examines how the analysts' earnings forecast errors and biases differ according to whether or not to report the unbilled revenue account balance and the level of unbilled revenue account balance. The sample consists of 453 firm-years listed in Korea Stock Exchange during the period from 2010 to 2014 since the information on unbilled revenue accounts can be obtained after the adoption of K-IFRS. The results are as follows. First, we find that the firms with unbilled revenue account balances have lower analysts' earnings forecast accuracy than the firms who do not report unbilled revue account balances. In addition, we find that the accuracy of analysts' earnings forecasts decreases as the amount of unbilled revenue increases. Unbilled revenue account balances occur when the revenue recognition of the contractor is faster than the client. There is a possibility that managerial discretionary judgment and estimation may intervene when the contractor calculates the progress rate. The difference between the actual progress of the construction and the progress recognized by the company lowers the predictive value of financial statements. Our results suggest that the analysts' earnings forecasts may be more difficult for the firms that report unbilled revenue balances as applying the revenue recognition method based on the progress criteria. Second, we find that the firms reporting unbilled revenue account balances tend to have higher the optimistic biases in analysts' earnings forecast than the firms who do not report unbilled revenue account balances. And we find that the analysts' earnings forecast biases are increases as the amount of unbilled revenue increases. This study suggests an effort to reduce the arbitrary adjustment and estimation in the measurement of the progress as well as the introduction of the progress measurement method which can reflect the actual progress. Investors are encouraged to invest and analyze the characteristics of the order-based industry accounting standards. In addition, the results of this study empower the accounting transparency enhancement plan for order industry proposed by the policy authorities.

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Evaluation of MODIS-derived Evapotranspiration at the Flux Tower Sites in East Asia (동아시아 지역의 플럭스 타워 관측지에 대한 MODIS 위성영상 기반의 증발산 평가)

  • Jeong, Seung-Taek;Jang, Keun-Chang;Kang, Sin-Kyu;Kim, Joon;Kondo, Hiroaki;Gamo, Minoru;Asanuma, Jun;Saigusa, Nobuko;Wang, Shaoqiang;Han, Shijie
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.174-184
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    • 2009
  • Evapotranspiration (ET) is one of the major hydrologic processes in terrestrial ecosystems. A reliable estimation of spatially representavtive ET is necessary for deriving regional water budget, primary productivity of vegetation, and feedbacks of land surface to regional climate. Moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) provides an opportunity to monitor ET for wide area at daily time scale. In this study, we applied a MODIS-based ET algorithm and tested its reliability for nine flux tower sites in East Asia. This is a stand-alone MODIS algorithm based on the Penman-Monteith equation and uses input data derived from MODIS. Instantaneous ET was estimated and scaled up to daily ET. For six flux sites, the MODIS-derived instantaneous ET showed a good agreement with the measured data ($r^2=0.38$ to 0.73, ME = -44 to $+31W\;m^{-2}$, RMSE =48 to $111W\;m^{-2}$). However, for the other three sites, a poor agreement was observed. The predictability of MODIS ET was improved when the up-scaled daily ET was used ($r^2\;=\;0.48$ to 0.89, ME = -0.7 to $-0.6\;mm\;day^{-1}$, $RMSE=\;0.5{\sim}1.1\;mm\;day^{-1}$). Errors in the canopy conductance were identified as a primary factor of uncertainty in MODIS-derived ET and hence, a more reliable estimation of canopy conductance is necessary to increase the accuracy of MODIS ET.