• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimated rainfall

Search Result 873, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

Provincial Road in National Highway Traffic Volume Variation According to Rainfall Intensity (강우 강도에 따른 일반국도 지방부 도로의 교통량 변동 특성)

  • Kim, Tae-Woon;Oh, Ju-Sam
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.406-414
    • /
    • 2015
  • Existing relative researches for traffic were studied under favorable weather or excluding impact of weather. This study present traffic volume variation according to rainfall intensity in national highway provincial road and rainfall-factor. Continuous traffic count section match AWS after selecting to analyze provincial road 256 section. Weekdays ADT(Average Daily Traffic) and rainfall-factor are influenced by rainfall a little because of business travel. But non-weekdays ADT and rainfall-factor are influenced much more than weekdays because of leisure travel. Estimated AADT(Annual Average Daily Traffic) by adjusting rainfall-factor is lower MAPE than non-adjusting rainfall factor. So, rainfall have to be considered when estimating AADT. ADT decrease according to rainfall intensity, continuous studies considered rainfall intensity are needed when road design and operation.

Lake Water Quality Modelling Considering Rainfall-Runoff Pollution Loads (강우유출오염부하를 고려한 호수수질모델링)

  • Cho, Jae-Heon;Kang, Sung-Hyo
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.18 no.2
    • /
    • pp.59-67
    • /
    • 2009
  • Water quality of the Lake Youngrang in the Sokcho City is eutrophic. Jangcheon is the largest inflow source to the lake. Major pollutant sources are stormwater runoff from resort areas and various land uses in the Jangcheon watershed. A storm sewer on the southern end of the lake is also an important pollution source. In this study, water quality modelling for Lake Youngrang was carried out considering the rainfall-runoff pollution loads from the watershed. The rainfall-runoff curves and the rainfall-runoff pollutant load curves were derived from the rainfall-runoff survey data during the recent 4 years. The rainfall-runoff pollution loads and flow from the Jangcheon watershed and the storm sewer were estimated using the two kinds of curves, and they were used as the flow and the boundary data of the WASP model. With the measured water quality data of the year 2005 and 2006, WASP model was calibrated. Non-point pollution control measures such as wet pond and infiltration trench were considered as the alternative for water quality management of the lake. The predicted water quality were compared with those under the present condition, and the improvement effect of the lake water quality were analyzed.

Statistical Model for Typhoon-Induced Rainfall around Korean Peninsular (한반도의 태풍 동반 강우의 통계적 모형)

  • Ku, Hye-Yun;Lee, Sung-Su;Lee, Young-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
    • /
    • v.8 no.5
    • /
    • pp.45-51
    • /
    • 2008
  • Due to recent increases of typhoon damages primarily owing to heavy rainfall and stron wind, estimation and analysis of a typhoon's influence has become more important. In this perspective, the statistical models to estimate the rainfall rate during a typhoon were presented in this paper. Central pressure of the typhoon is modeled to be the primary parameter affecting typhoon rainfall rate while relative angle and distance between the center of typhoon and the specific location for observation are secondary variables. Comparisons between the estimated rainfall rate of these models and the observed value in the duration of Typhoon NARI(2007) were analyzed to confirm the availability of these models. The result shows that the present statistical models can estimate typhoon-induced rainfall around Korean Peninsular to some extent.

A Determination of Design Flood for a small Basin by Unit Hydrograph Method (단위유량도법에 의한 소유역의 계획홍수량 결정)

  • 윤용남;침순보
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.76-86
    • /
    • 1976
  • The 30-year design flood hydrograph for the Musim Representative Basin, one of the study basins of the International Hydrological Program, is synthesized by the method of unit hydrograph. The theory of unit hydrograph has been well known for a long time. However, the synthesis of flood hydrograph by this method for a basin with insufficient hydrologic data is not an easy task and hence, assumptions and engineering judgement must be exercized. In this paper, the problems often encountered in applying the unit hydrograph method are exposed and solved in detail based on the theory and rational judgement. The probability rainfall for Cheonju Station is transposed to the Musim Basin since it has not been analyzed due to short period of rainfall record. The duration of design rainfall was estimated based on the time of concentration for the watershed. The effective rainfall was determined from the design rainfall using the SCS method which is commonly used for a small basin. The spatial distribution of significant storms was expressed as a dimensionless rainfall mass curve and hence, it was possible to determine the hyetograph of effective design storm. To synthesize the direct runoff hydrograph the 15-min. unit hydrograph was derived by the S-Curve method from the 1-hr unit hydrograph which was obtained from the observed rainfall and runoff data, and then it was applied to the design hyetograph. The exsisting maximum groundwater depletion curve was derived by the base flow seperation. Hence, the design flood hydrograph was obtained by superimposing the groundwater depletion curve to the computed direct runoff hydrograph resulting from the design storm.

  • PDF

Analysis of Provincial road in National Highway Average Speed Variation According to Rainfall Intensity (강우 강도에 따른 일반국도 지방부 도로의 평균속도 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Woon;Oh, Ju-Sam
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.15 no.4
    • /
    • pp.510-518
    • /
    • 2015
  • Weather condition has effect on traffic condition, but there is a lack of research between weather and traffic condition. So, in this study analyzes speed variation according to rainfall intensity in national highway provincial road. The results of the analysis, average speed is reduced about 3.2%. But average speed decrease by maximum 8.8% when traffic volume is below 200vph per direction. Because relatively, free flow traffic speed has greatly deceased according to rainfall intensity in provincial road. Also in this study estimates of speed reduction model according to rainfall and performs the statistical verification. Estimated speed reduction model's slops are gradual when rainfall increased, because average speed is reduced by rainfall when free flow.

The Potential Effects of Climate Change on Streamflow in Rivers Basin of Korea Using Rainfall Elasticity

  • Kim, Byung Sik;Hong, Seung Jin;Lee, Hyun Dong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.9-20
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper, the rainfall elasticity of streamflow was estimated to quantify the effects of climate change on 5 river basins. Rainfall elasticity denotes the sensitivity of annual streamflow for the variations of potential annual rainfall. This is a simple, useful method that evaluates how the balance of a water cycle on river basins changes due to long-term climate change and offers information to manage water resources and environment systems. The elasticity method was first used by Schaake in 1990 and is commonly used in the United States and Australia. A semi-distributed hydrological model (SLURP, semi-distributed land use-based runoff processes) was used to simulate the variations of area streamflow, and potential evapotranspiration. A nonparametric method was then used to estimate the rainfall elasticity on five river basins of Korea. In addition, the A2 (SRES IPCC AR4, Special Report on Emission Scenarios IPCC Fourth Assessment Report) climate change scenario and stochastic downscaling technique were used to create a high-resolution weather change scenario in river basins, and the effects of climate change on the rainfall elasticity of each basin were then analyzed.

A Study on Flash Flood Warning Trigger Rainfall in Mountainous Area (산악지역 돌발홍수 기준우량 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Jun, Kye-Won;Oh, Chae-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.89-94
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the critical flood discharge and flash flood trigger rainfall for alarm system providing for a flash flood in mountainous area. The flash flood need non-linear approaching method, because rainfall-runoff is nonlinear and it is difficult to explain the existing linear rainfall-runoff. Hydrological characteristics would be utilized to apply such as hydrologic modelling or basin management. This study was effectively estimated a topographic characteristic factor of basin using the GIS. Especially, decided stream order using GIS at stream order decision that is important for input variable of GCIUH. A flash floods defined as a flood which follows shortly after a heavy or excessive rainfall event, with a few hours. In this study, we gave a definition that a critical flood for alarm is the flood when valley depth judging dangerous depth is over 0.5m depth from the bottom of channel. Result that calculate threshold discharge to use GCIUH, at the Mureung valley basin, flash flood trigger rainfall was 16.34mm in the first 20minutes when the threshold discharge was $14.54m^3/sec$.

The Impact of Climate Change on Sub-daily Extreme Rainfall of Han River Basin (기후변화가 한강 유역의 시단위 확률강우량에 미치는 영향)

  • Nam, Woosung;Ahn, Hyunjun;Kim, Sunghun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-27
    • /
    • 2015
  • Recent researches show that climate change has impact on the rainfall process at different temporal and spatial scales. The present paper is focused on climate change impact on sub-daily rainfall quantile of Han River basin in South Korea. Climate change simulation outputs from ECHO-G GCM under the A2 scenario were used to estimate daily extreme rainfall. Sub-daily extreme rainfall was estimated using the scale invariance concept. In order to assess sub-daily extreme rainfall from climate change simulation outputs, precipitation time series were generated based on NSRPM (Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model) and modified using the ratio of rainfall over projection periods to historical one. Sub-daily extreme rainfall was then estimated from those series. It was found that sub-daily extreme rainfall in the future displayed increasing or decreasing trends for estimation methods and different periods.

Assessment of Dual-Polarization Radar for Flood Forecasting (이중편파 레이더의 홍수예보 활용성 평가)

  • Kim, Jeong-Bae;Choi, Woo-Seok;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.48 no.4
    • /
    • pp.257-268
    • /
    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to assess the dual-polarization radar for flood forecasting. First, radar rainfall has temporal and spatial errors, so estimated radar rainfall was compared with ground observation rainfall to assess accuracy improvement, especially, considering the radar range of observation and increase of the rainfall intensity. The results of this study showed that the error for estimated dual-polarization radar rainfall was less than single-polarization radar rainfall. And in this study, dual-polarization radar rainfall for flood forecasting was assessed using MAP (Mean Areal Precipitation) and SURR (Sejong University Rainfall Runoff) model in Namkang dam watershed. The results of MAP are more accurate using dual-polarization radar. And the results of runoff using dual-polarization radar rainfall showed that peak flow error was reduced approximately 12~63%, runoff volumes error was reduced by approximately 30~42%, and also the root mean square error decreased compared to the result of runoff using single-polarization radar rainfall. The results revealed that dual-polarization radar will contribute to improving the accuracy of the flood forecasting.

Derivation of Probable Rainfall Intensity Formulas at Inchon District (인천지방 확률강우강도식의 유도)

  • Choe, Gye-Un;An, Tae-Jin;Gwon, Yeong-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.263-276
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper is to derive the probable rainfall depths and the probable rainfall intensity formulas for Inchon Metropolitan district. The annual maximum rainfall data from 10 min. to 6 hours have been collected from the Inchon weather station. Eleven types of probability distribution are considered to estimate probable rainfall depths for 12 different storm durations at the Inchon Metropolitan district. Three tests including Chi-square, Kolmogorov-Smimov and Cramer Von Mises with the graphical analysis are adopted to select the best probability distribution. The probable rainfall intensity formulas are then determined by the least squares method using the trial and error approach. Five types of Talbot type, Sherman type, Japanese type, Unified type I, and Unified type II are considered to determine the best type for the Inchon rainfall intensity. The root mean squared errors are computed to compare the accuracy from the derived formulas. It has been suggested that the probable rainfall intensities having Unified type I for the short term duration should be the most reliable formulas by considering the root mean squared errors and the difference between computed probable rainfall depth and estimated probable rainfall depth.

  • PDF