• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimated Time of Arrival

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A Study on DOA and Delay Time Presumption based on Average Method (평균방법에 근거한 DOA와 지연시간추정에 관한 연구)

  • 이관형;송우영
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2004
  • This paper estimated the arrival angle and electric wave delay time using the space method law and the directions of arrival (DOA) estimation algorithm in case of signal correlation. Space method law is the method used to repress cross correlation before applying the weight value to the receiving signal. The values of the diagonal elements in the correlation matrix were averaged to replace as the diagonal elements value. In the area of wireless communication or mobile communication, there are high correlations in case of low delay time difference in multiple waves. This causes the quality of the communication to drop due to interference with the desired signal elements. This paper estimated the arrival angle and electric wave delay time using the space method law and the MUSIC algorithm. With the arrival angle algorithm, the arrival angle cannot be estimated below 5 in case of signal correlations because the angle resolution capacity decreases accordingly. The super resolution capacity was estimated to determine the arrival angle below 5 in this paper. In addition, the proposed algorithm estimated the short delay time difference to be below 20ns.

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AN INTERPOLATION APPROXIMATION VIA SIMULATION ON A QUEUEING NETWORK

  • Lim, Jong-Seul
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.879-890
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we consider open queueing system with a Poisson arrival process which have a finite upper bound on the arrival rate for which the system is stable. Interpolation approximations for quantities of interest, such as moments of the sojourn time distribution, have previously been developed for such systems, utilizing exact light and heavy traffic limits. These limits cannot always be easily computed for complex systems. Thus we consider an interpolation approximation where all of the relevant information is estimated via simulation. We show that all the relevant information can in fact be simultaneously estimated in a single regenerative simulation at any arrival rate. In addition to light and heavy traffic limits, both the quantity of interest and its derivative (with respect to the arrival rate) are estimated at the arrival rate of the simulation. All of the estimates are then combined, using a least squares procedure, to provide an interpolation approximation.

The Bus Arrival Time Prediction Using Bus Delay Time (버스지체시간을 활용한 버스도착시간 예측)

  • Lee, Seung-Hun;Mun, Byeong-Seop;Park, Beom-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2010
  • It is occurred bus arrival time errors when a bus arrives at a bus stop because of a variety of traffic condition such as traffic signal cycle, the time to get on and off a bus, a bus-only lane and so on. In this paper, bus delay time which is occurred as the result of traffic condition was estimated with Markov Chain process and bus arrival time at each bus stop was predicted with it. As the result of the study, it is confirmed to improve accuracy than the method of bus arrival time prediction with existing method (weighed moving average method) in case predicting bus arrival time using 7 by 7 and 9 by 9 matrixes.

Improve the Reliability Measures of Bus Arrival Time Estimation Model (버스도착시간 추정모형의 신뢰도 향상방안 연구)

  • Kim, Jisoo;Park, Bumjin;Roh, Chang-Gyun;Kang, Woneui
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.597-604
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we investigate to show the limitations of current bus arrival time estimation model based on each bus route, and to propose a bus arrival time estimation model based on a bus stop to overcome these limitations. Using the characteristic of bus arrival time calculated on travel time between two bus stops, we develop a model to estimate bus arrival times with the data of all buses traveling the same section regardless of bus route numbers. In the proposed model, an estimated arrival time is calculated by weighted moving average method, and verification between observed value and estimated time is performed on the basis of RMSE. Error was reduced by up to 20% compared to the existing models and the data update period was reduced by more than half that is related to the accuracy of bus arrival time information. We expect to solve the following problems with the suggested method: sudden increase or decrease in arrival time of the bus, the difference of the expected arrival times at the same stop between two or more buses having different route numbers, and impossibility of offering information of a bus if the bus is not operated with the designated schedule.

Impact point estimation system of the rifle based on time difference of arrival method using microphone array (마이크로폰 어레이를 이용한 도착 시간 차 기반 소총화기 탄착점 추정 시스템)

  • Won, Jongseong;Park, Kyusik
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.206-214
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    • 2018
  • This paper proposes an impact point estimation algorithm of the rifle using microphone sensors. The proposed algorithm resolves the time synchronization problem by expanding the existing ToA (Time of Arrival) method to TDoA (Time Difference of Arrival) method and verifies the performance of the algorithm through the actual shooting experiments. By comparing analysis of the actual and the estimated impact points by the algorithm, it is confirmed that the proposed algorithm has excellent performance by estimating the impact point accurately within the tolerance range.

Performance improvement of underwater target distance estimation using blind deconvolution and time of arrival method (블라인드 디컨볼루션 및 time of arrival 기법을 이용한 수중 표적 거리 추정 성능 향상 기법)

  • Han, Min Su;Choi, Jea Young;Son, Kweon;Lee, Phil Ho
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.378-386
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    • 2017
  • Accurate distance measurement between maneuver target in underwater and measuring devices is required to perform quantitative test evaluation in marine weapons system R&D process. In general, the target distance is measured using a one-way ToA (Time of Arrival) method that calculates the time difference between transmitted and received signals from the two accurately synchronized devices. However, the distance estimation performance is degraded because of the multi-path environments. In this paper, the time-variant transfer function of complex underwater environment is estimated from each received data frame using RBD (Ray-based Blind Deconvolution), and the estimated time-variant transfer function is then used to get rid of the effect about complex underwater environment and to recover the data signal using PTRM (Passive Time Reversal Mirror). The result from the simulation and experimental data show that the suggested method improve the distance estimation performance when comparing with the conventional ToA method.

AoA-Based Local Positioning System Using a Time-Modulated Array

  • Baik, Kyung-Jin;Lee, Sangjoon;Jang, Byung-Jun
    • Journal of electromagnetic engineering and science
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.181-185
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we propose an angle-of-arrival (AoA)-based local positioning system using a time-modulated array (TMA). The proposed system can determine a two-dimensional position using only two TMAs without any synchronization between the two receivers. The hardware for the proposed system consists of two commercial monopole antennas, a self-designed switch, and a well-known software-defined radio receiver. Furthermore, the location can be simply estimated in real time without the need for complicated positioning algorithms such as the MUSIC and ESPRIT algorithms. In order to evaluate the performance of our system, we estimated the position of the wireless node in an office environment. The position was estimated with a mean error of less than 0.1 m. We therefore believe that our system is appropriate for various wireless local positioning applications.

Improving Reliability of Bus Arrival Time Predictions Considering delay Time at Signalized Intersection (신호교차로 지체시간을 고려한 버스도착시간 예측 신뢰성 향상 연구)

  • Um, Ki Hun;Lee, Soong-bong;Lee, Jinsoo;Lee, Young-Ihn
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2017
  • This study propose a method to predict the bus arrival time by considering the signal delay time which is an element which can not be considered in the current bus arrival prediction information generation algorithm. In order to consider the signal delay time, travel time is divided into three components: service time, cruising travel time, and signal delay time. Signal delay time was estimated using intersection arrival time and TOD. The results show that most of the errors that occurred in predicting the arrival time are within about 30 seconds. Some of the estimates have large errors due to the nature of this methodology that uses the estimated value of the intersection arrival time rather than the observation value. It is also difficult to predict the arrival time of the express buses using this method. Future studies such as improving this through real-time location information will greatly improve the accuracy of the methodology.

Development of a Signal Optimization Algorithm at Isolated Intersections Using Vehicle Arrival Models (차량의 도착모형을 이용한 독립교차로 신호최적화알고리즘 개발)

  • Woo, Yong-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2001
  • This study developed signal optimization algorithm by analyzing vehicle arrival patterns. The major principle of signal optimization is dissipate all queueing vehicle in 1cycle and assign delay time uniformly for all approaches. For this, this study used optimal green time and surplus green time. Optimal green time calculated by estimated traffic volume from vehicle arrival model. Surplus green time defined as the gap of optimal green time and queue dissipated time. And alternative cycle has minimum surplus green time was selected as the optimal cycle. Finally, total delay and average delay per vehicle can be calculated by using queueing theory.

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Study on Trajectory Prediction Accuracy Analysis Method for Performance Improvement of a Trajectory Prediction Module of Arrival Manager (도착관리시스템 궤적 예측 모듈의 성능 개선을 위한 궤적 예측 정확도 분석 방법 연구)

  • Oh, Eun-Mi;Kim, Hyounkyoung;Eun, Yeonju;Jeon, Daekeun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2015
  • An analysis method of trajectory prediction has been suggested and the developed trajectory prediction module, which is an important functional component of the Arrival Manager (AMAN) of Jeju airport, has been tested by applying the suggested method. The objective of this method is to improve prediction performance of the trajectory prediction module. The trajectory prediction module predicts the trajectories based on the real-time track data and flight plans. Therefore, the suggested analysis method includes the simulation framework which is based on real-time playback, recording, and graphic display systems for testing. Besides, the definition of time error, which is a important index for the time based scheduling system, such as AMAN, is included in the suggested analysis method. An example of arrival time prediction accuracy improvement through the suggested analysis method has also been presented.