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http://dx.doi.org/10.12985/ksaa.2015.23.3.028

Study on Trajectory Prediction Accuracy Analysis Method for Performance Improvement of a Trajectory Prediction Module of Arrival Manager  

Oh, Eun-Mi (한국항공우주연구원 위성항법.응용기술센터)
Kim, Hyounkyoung (한국항공우주연구원 위성항법.응용기술센터)
Eun, Yeonju (한국항공우주연구원 위성항법.응용기술센터)
Jeon, Daekeun (한국항공우주연구원 위성항법.응용기술센터)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics / v.23, no.3, 2015 , pp. 28-34 More about this Journal
Abstract
An analysis method of trajectory prediction has been suggested and the developed trajectory prediction module, which is an important functional component of the Arrival Manager (AMAN) of Jeju airport, has been tested by applying the suggested method. The objective of this method is to improve prediction performance of the trajectory prediction module. The trajectory prediction module predicts the trajectories based on the real-time track data and flight plans. Therefore, the suggested analysis method includes the simulation framework which is based on real-time playback, recording, and graphic display systems for testing. Besides, the definition of time error, which is a important index for the time based scheduling system, such as AMAN, is included in the suggested analysis method. An example of arrival time prediction accuracy improvement through the suggested analysis method has also been presented.
Keywords
4-D Trajectory Prediction; ETA(Estimated Time of Arrival); DST(Decision Support Tool); AMAN(Arrival Management/Manager);
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  • Reference
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