• 수산해양교육연구
• /
• 제28권1호
• /
• pp.198-210
• /
• 2016

This study firstly aims to estimate a leading-price of Jeju flounders with various price-classes by fish weight and secondly plans to provide policy implications of flounder purchase projects by understanding dynamic changes and interactions among flounder producer price-classes caused by price impulses in the market. This study applies an unit root test for stability of data, uses a Granger causality test to estimate the leading-price among producer prices by fish weight, employs the vector autoregressive model to analyze statistical impacts among t-1 variables used in models, and finally utilizes impulse response analyses and forecast error variance decomposition analyses to understand dynamic changes and interactions among change rates of the producer prices caused by price impulses in the market. The results of the study are as follows. Firstly, KPSS, PP, and ADF tests show that the change rate of Jeju flounder monthly producer prices by fish weight differentiated by logarithm is stable. Secondly, the Granger causality test presents that the change rate of the 1kg flounder producer price strongly leads it of 500g, 700g, and 2kg flounder producer prices respectively. Thirdly, the vector autoregressive model indicates that the change rate of the 1kg producer price in t-1 period statistically, significantly influences it of own weight in t period and also slightly affects price change rates of other weights in t period. Fourthly, the impulse response analysis indicates that impulse responses of structural shocks for the change rate of the 1kg producer price are relatively more powerful in its own weight and in other weights than shocks emanating from price change rates of other weights. Fifthly, the variance decomposition analysis points out that the change rate of the 1kg producer price is relatively more influential than it of 500g, 700g, and 2kg producer prices respectively. In conclusion, the change rate of the 1kg Jeju flounder producer price leads the change rates of other ones and Jeju purchase projects need to be targeted to the 1kg Jeju flounder producer price as the purchase project implemented in 2014.

• 수산경영론집
• /
• 제44권2호
• /
• pp.1-17
• /
• 2013

We investigate the appropriateness of the fixed 12% discount rate to be used in estimating the amount of compensation for revoking a license for fishery business by the Enforcement Decree of Fisheries Act in Korea. We also suggest the appropriate discount rate fully reflecting the change of market interest rate in the Korean financial market. The capital asset pricing model, or, CAPM is the best known model of risk and return, and is widely used to estimate the expected rate of return for the risky projects. Even though the CAPM implies that the discount rate or the expected rate of return should change as the related market factors do, the discount rate used to estimate compensation for revoking a license for fishery business remains to be the same 12% rate for the last 15 years by law. During this period, however, the yield to maturity for the 5-year government bonds in Korea has dramatically changed from about 12% to less than 3%. In order to provide the fair compensation for the damages against the coastal fisheries and evaluate the intrinsic value of fishery resources in the coastal areas, we suggest that the appropriate discount rate should be determined by the yield to maturity of the government bonds with 5-year maturity, instead of the current fixed 12% interest rate.

• 전자공학회논문지S
• /
• 제35S권1호
• /
• pp.29-38
• /
• 1998

We summarize, in this paper, that we have learned from the slftwar reliability analysis of a large switching software composed of functional blocks which form slotware units. To determine the time of management activity related to sopftware reliability growth, we review the process of detection and correction of software failures. Also we apply the two softwre reliability frowth model, Goel-Okumoto and S-shaped model, to estimate the global software reliability growth to a set of failure found during period of the system test. The analysis methods and results can be applied to other large software development projects.

• 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국건설관리학회 2004년도 제5회 정기학술발표대회 논문집
• /
• pp.394-397
• /
• 2004

대부분의 건설현장에서 기후에 대한 공기산정은 정확한 자료 없이 현장관리자의 경험과 직관에 의해 작업불능일수를 정함으로써 잦은 공기조정으로 인한 경제적 손실은 물로 공사주체들 간의 이해관계에서도 많은 문제점을 안고 있다. 더욱이 최근 대두되고 있는 기후변화는 기후예측을 보다 어렵게 만들고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 공기에 영향을 미치는 기후요소 중 기온과 강우에 대하여 지역별 특징과 기후변화를 분석하고, 현행 산술평균방식을 산정기간별로 예측오차를 비교분석하여 최적의 산정방식을 제안하였다.

• STI Policy Review
• /
• 제9권1호
• /
• pp.55-76
• /
• 2018

This study analyzed the effect of the government R&D subsidy program on long-term firm survival. In order to estimate the average treatment effect for the treated group, we used the survival analysis and matching method by constituting a comprehensive dataset of more than 90,000 observations. The analysis results show that the government R&D subsidy has a negative impact on long-term firm survival. In particular, not only the subsidy does not have a statistically significant effect on firm survival in the relatively short-term, the survival probability of the subsidized firms is statistically significantly lower than the non-subsidized firms after six years. These results can be seen as weakening the justification of government R&D support. There may be problems in the subsidy policy itself and the process of selection of subsidy awardees; however, the more fundamental problem is that the subsidy policy is concluded as the one-time event. Admittedly, it would be difficult for the government to precisely manage the subsidized projects over a long term period. However, in the case of a project in which short-term performance is detected, it would be necessary to provide a step-by-step support to strengthen the firm's competitiveness through further support and continuous development of performance. Of course, mid- and long-term evaluations of subsidy support policy should be performed in parallel with such phased support.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
• /
• 제17권2호
• /
• pp.69-81
• /
• 2018

This study performed an economic analysis and tested the viability of a public computerization project to create a comprehensive information system for public e-procurement for small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs). The study found that the estimated costs of the project included 4.3 billion won to build the system and 710 million won per year to maintain the system once it is built. The project's estimated total benefits amounted to 6.66 billion won per year, including 5.871 billion won per year in increased convenience for SMBs that use the system, 406 million won per year in benefits for public institutions, and 383 million won per year in benefits for the institution "A" to adopt the system. We used the contingent valuation method (CVM) to estimate the benefits to SMBs, which would be the main participants of the project. The survey found that the SMBs were willing to pay an average fee of 170,136 won. we conducted an economic analysis by applying a 5.5% social discount rate over an analysis period of 10 years and found a benefit-cost ratio of 5.02 and a net present value of 40.201 billion won, which indicated a very high economic viability of the project. The results of this study can be an important reference when deciding whether to pursue computerization projects in the public sector.

• KIEAE Journal
• /
• 제15권6호
• /
• pp.37-45
• /
• 2015

This study focuses on the human-centered diversity that is one of the important value in modern society, and the method to apply various demands for architectural space. Human begins pursue new contents and leisurely life all the time and live toward the period of high emotion with personal characteristics. With those social trends, people aggressively request subjects to satisfy their emotional attractiveness as well as comforts and pleasures beyond the functional basic requirements in space. Many studies and projects about emotion have been progressed in the fields of architectural planning and design these days. Purpose: The purpose of this study is to suggest the Multi-Purposed Emotional Space as a new alternative of space renewal that satisfy both functional programs and users emotional demands. Method: For this research, the pervious researches were investigated first to determine essential methodology and terminology to estimate and construct the multi-purposed emotional space. Result: According to survey, the multi-purposed emotional space could finally be classified by emotional words, and the results of experiment were applied for building spaces. By the above process, types of the multi-purposed emotional space and design guidelines could be suggested.

• 대한토목학회논문집
• /
• 제9권4호
• /
• pp.83-92
• /
• 1989

강성포장(剛性鋪裝)에 대하여 더 좋은 공용성능(供用性能) 기대를 위한 개발과 파손발생에 대한 파손과정에 관하여 포장상태를 조사하게 된다. 본 논문(論文)은 공용중(供用中)인 시멘트콘크리트 포장(鋪裝)의 피로거동(疲勞擧動)과 탄성특성(彈性特性)에 대한 연구결과이다. 공용중(供用中)인 각(各) 포장(鋪裝)의 평균인장강도(平均引張強度)를 측정하기 위하여 Indirect tensile시험을 실시한 것이다. 변형측정(變形測定)은 이러한 특성의 변화 및 콘크리트의 탄성특성(彈性特性)을 구하기 위한 피로(疲勞)시험을 통하여 이루어진 것이다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제42권6호
• /
• pp.690-703
• /
• 2010

Sampling based uncertainty analysis was carried out to quantify uncertainty in predictions of best estimate code RELAP5/MOD3.2 for a thermal hydraulic test (10% hot leg break LOCA) performed in the Large Scale Test Facility (LSTF) as a part of an IAEA coordinated research project. The nodalisation of the test facility was qualified for both steady state and transient level by systematically applying the procedures led by uncertainty methodology based on accuracy extrapolation (UMAE); uncertainty analysis was carried out using the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method to evaluate uncertainty for ten input parameters. Sixteen output parameters were selected for uncertainty evaluation and uncertainty band between $5^{th}$ and $95^{th}$ percentile of the output parameters were evaluated. It was observed that the uncertainty band for the primary pressure during two phase blowdown is larger than that of the remaining period. Similarly, a larger uncertainty band is observed relating to accumulator injection flow during reflood phase. Importance analysis was also carried out and standard rank regression coefficients were computed to quantify the effect of each individual input parameter on output parameters. It was observed that the break discharge coefficient is the most important uncertain parameter relating to the prediction of all the primary side parameters and that the steam generator (SG) relief pressure setting is the most important parameter in predicting the SG secondary pressure.

• Smart Structures and Systems
• /
• 제20권3호
• /
• pp.303-309
• /
• 2017

Structural control through seismic isolation using elastomeric rubber bearing, which is also known as High Damping Rubber Bearing (HDRB), has seen an increase in use to provide protective from earthquake, especially for new buildings in earthquake zones. Besides, HDRB has also been used in structural rehabilitation of older yet significant buildings, such as museums and palaces. However, the present design approach applied in normal practice has often resulted in dissimilar HDRB dimension requirement between structural designers and bearing manufacturers mainly due to ineffective communication. Therefore, in order to ease the design process, most HDRB manufacturers have come up with catalogs that list all necessary and relevant product lines specifically for structural engineers to choose from. In fact, these catalogs contain physical dimension, compression property, shear characteristic, and most importantly, the total rubber thickness. Nonetheless, other complicated issues, such as the relationship between target isolation period and displacement demand (which determines the total rubber thickness), are omitted due to cul-de-sac fixing of these values in the catalogs. As such, this paper presents a formula, which is derived and extended from the present design approach, in order to offer a simple guideline for engineers to estimate the required HDRB size. This improved design formula successfully minimizes the discrepancies stumbled upon among structural designers, builders, and rubber bearing manufacturers in terms of variation order issue at the designing stage because manufacturer of isolator is always the last to be appointed in most projects.