• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimate life-time

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Measuring the Burden of Major Cancers in Korea Using Healthy Life-Year (HeaLY) (건강생활년을 이용한 우리 나라 주요 암 질환의 질병부담 측정)

  • Yoon, Seok-Jun;Kim, Chang-Yup;Shin, Young-Soo;Choi, Yong-Jun
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.372-378
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    • 2001
  • Objectives : This study introduced the healthy life-year(HeaLY), a composite indicator of disease burden, and used it to estimate the burden of major cancers in Korea. Methods : We collected data from the national death certificate database, the national health insurance claims database and the abridged life table. This data was used to create a spreadsheet and estimate the burden of major cancers by sex in terms of HeaLYs. Results : The burden of 10 major cancers for males was 2,248.97 person-year in terms of HeaLYs. Stomach cancer, liver cancer, and lung cancer were responsible for 75.2% of the burden of 10 major cancers. The disease burden of 10 major cancers for females was estimated to be 1,567.58 person-years. About two thirds of HeaLYs lost were from stomach cancer, liver cancer, lung cancer, colorectal cancer, and breast cancer. The rankings among 10 major cancers were somewhat different in terms of both HeaLYs and deaths as the HeaLY method considers both mortality and morbidity. Conclusions : Despite the limitations of the data sources, we conclude that HeaLY can aid in setting policy priorities concerning major cancers by estimating the disease burden of these cancers. Time-series analysis of the disease burden using HeaLY and DALY will elucidate the strengths and weaknesses of both methods.

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Time Change in Spatial Distributions of Light Interception and Photosynthetic Rate of Paprika Estimated by Ray-tracing Simulation (광 추적 시뮬레이션에 의한 시간 별 파프리카의 수광 및 광합성 속도 분포 예측)

  • Kang, Woo Hyun;Hwang, Inha;Jung, Dae Ho;Kim, Dongpil;Kim, Jaewoo;Kim, Jin Hyun;Park, Kyoung Sub;Son, Jung Eek
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.279-285
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    • 2019
  • To estimate daily canopy photosynthesis, accurate estimation of canopy light interception according to a daily solar position is needed. However, this process needs a lot of cost, time, manpower, and difficulty when measuring manually. Various modeling approaches have been applied so far, but it was difficult to accurately estimate light interception by conventional methods. The objective of this study is to estimate the spatial distributions of light interception and photosynthetic rate of paprika with time by using 3D-scanned plant models and optical simulation. Structural models of greenhouse paprika were constructed with a portable 3D scanner. To investigate the change in canopy light interception by surrounding plants, the 3D paprika models were arranged at $1{\times}1$ and $9{\times}9$ isotropic forms with a distance of 60 cm between plants. The light interception was obtained by optical simulation, and the photosynthetic rate was calculated by a rectangular hyperbola model. The spatial distributions of canopy light interception of the 3D paprika model showed different patterns with solar altitude at 9:00, 12:00, and 15:00. The total canopy light interception decreased with an increase of surrounding plants like an arrangement of $9{\times}9$, and the decreasing rate was lowest at 12:00. The canopy photosynthetic rate showed a similar tendency with the canopy light interception, but its decreasing rate was lower than that of the light interception due to the saturation of photosynthetic rate of upper leaves of the plants. In this study, by using the 3D-scanned plant model and optical simulation, it was possible to analyze the light interception and photosynthesis of plant canopy under various conditions, and it can be an effective way to estimate accurate light interception and photosynthesis of plants.

Static Worst-Case Energy and Lifetime Estimation of Wireless Sensor Networks

  • Liu, Yu;Zhang, Wei;Akkaya, Kemal
    • Journal of Computing Science and Engineering
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.128-152
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    • 2010
  • With the advance of computer and communication technologies, wireless sensor networks (WSNs) are increasingly used in many aspects of our daily life. However, since the battery lifetime of WSN nodes is restricted, the WSN lifetime is also limited. Therefore, it is crucial to determine this limited lifetime in advance for preventing service interruptions in critical applications. This paper proposes a feasible static analysis approach to estimating the worstcase lifetime of a WSN. Assuming known routes with a given sensor network topology and SMAC as the underlying MAC protocol, we statically estimate the lifetime of each sensor node with a fixed initial energy budget. These estimations are then compared with the results obtained through simulation which run with the same energy budget on each node. Experimental results of our research on TinyOS applications indicate that our approach can safely and accurately estimate worst-case lifetime of the WSN. To the best of our knowledge, our work is the first one to estimate the worst-case lifetime of WSNs through a static analysis method.

Epidemiological application of the cycle threshold value of RT-PCR for estimating infection period in cases of SARS-CoV-2

  • Soonjong Bae;Jong-Myon Bae
    • Journal of Medicine and Life Science
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2023
  • Epidemiological control of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is needed to estimate the infection period of confirmed cases and identify potential cases. The present study, targeting confirmed cases for which the time of COVID-19 symptom onset was disclosed, aimed to investigate the relationship between intervals (day) from symptom onset to testing the cycle threshold (CT) values of real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction. Of the COVID-19 confirmed cases, those for which the date of suspected symptom onset in the epidemiological investigation was specifically disclosed were included in this study. Interval was defined as the number of days from symptom onset (as disclosed by the patient) to specimen collection for testing. A locally weighted regression smoothing (LOWESS) curve was applied, with intervals as explanatory variables and CT values (CTR for RdRp gene and CTE for E gene) as outcome variables. After finding its non-linear relationship, a polynomial regression model was applied to estimate the 95% confidence interval values of CTR and CTE by interval. The application of LOWESS in 331 patients identified a U-shaped curve relationship between the CTR and CTE values according to the number of interval days, and both CTR and CTE satisfied the quadratic model for interval days. Active application of these results to epidemiological investigations would minimize the chance of failing to identify individuals who are in contact with COVID-19 confirmed cases, thereby reducing the potential transmission of the virus to local communities.

Empirical Bayesian Prediction Analysis on Accelerated Lifetime Data (가속수명자료를 이용한 경험적 베이즈 예측분석)

  • Cho, Geon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 1997
  • In accelerated life tests, the failure time of an item is observed under a high stress level, and based on the time the performances of items are investigated at the normal stress level. In this paper, when the mean of the prior of a failure rate is known in the exponential lifetime distribution with censored accelerated failure time data, we utilize the empirical Bayesian method by using the moment estimators in order to estimate the parameters of the prior distribution and obtain the empirical Bayesian predictive density and predictive intervals for a future observation under the normal stress level.

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A Study on the Estimating the Mechanical Properties of Three-Layer Particleboard (3층(層) 파티클보드의 기계적(機械的) 성질(性質) 예측(豫測)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Park, Hee-Jun;Lee, Phil-Woo;Chung, Ju-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.64-72
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    • 1993
  • Mechanical properties of 15 mm thick, three-layer particleboard were studied by varying resin content, specific gravity, mat moisture content, pressing time and pressing temperature. Based on the results of the study, Multiple regression models were developed to estimate the mechanical properties of three-layer particleboard. The results of this study showed the mechanical properties of particleboard were highly related with resin content. specific gravity and mat moisture content in decending order. The mechanical properties were able to estimated as the linear function of resin content and specific gravity. However, the effects of change in mat moisture content on the mechanical properties showed a non-linear pattern. The mechanical properties curves over mat moisture content reached peaks at 15 %, and then decreased at 18 % and 21 % of mat moisture contents. On the other hand, the effects of pressing time and pressing temperature on the mechanical properties of particleboard were not significant.

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Practical Model to Estimate Road User Cost for Bridge Maintenance Strategy (교량 유지관리 전략 수립을 위한 실용적 도로이용자비용 추정 모델)

  • Park, Kyung-Hoon;Sun, Jong-Wan;Lee, Sang-Yoon;Lee, Jong-Soon;Cho, Hyo-Nam
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 2007
  • The road user cost in indirect costs as well as direct costs such as the inspection/ diagnosis cost and the repair/reinforcement cost should be considered as one of the important items in the life-cycle cost-effective design and maintenance of the bridges. To estimate the road user cost, this paper formulates the road user cost as a sum of the user delay cost and the vehicle operating cost considering the detour effect. A numerical traffic simulation and a regression analysis are performed to develop a regression model due to a time delay. The proposed regression model is applied to the generation of the maintenance strategy based on the life-cycle cost and performance, and its effectiveness and applicability is investigated. The road user cost has a great influence on establishing the maintenance strategy, and the proposed regression model could be successfully utilized to estimate the road user cost of a bridge.

A Study on Development of Fatigue Life Estimation Method for the Spider of a Drum Washing Machine with CAE (CAE를 활용한 드럼세탁기 Spider의 피로수명 평가기법 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Ji-Seol;Kwak Dong-Hyun;Cho Sang-Bong;Kim Yeong-Su;Jeong Seong-Hae;Gang Dong-U;Jeong Yeon-Su;Jeong Bo-Seon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.1311-1314
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    • 2005
  • Recently drum washing machines are required to improve not only functions, but also endurance security. The spider is one of the major parts in a drum washing machine as a power transmission device. It is needed estimating for fatigue life because it rotates at high velocity when the drum washing machine works. In this study, we tried to estimate fatigue life of the Spider with CAE and verified the accuracy by comparing the CAE results with the experimental results. The estimation method of fatigue life for the spider with CAE will be applied to raise the efficiency of time and money in the design process of a new drum washing machine.

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A Study on the Forecasting Model of Technology Life Cycles by Analysis of US Patent Citation (특허인용 분석을 통한 기술수명예측모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Sun-Hi
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.93-112
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    • 2004
  • This study is intend to analyze the cited patent life time of US patent data via more objective way. It is based on exploratory approach which is one of various methods for technology forecasting. The life spans of cited patents of specific technological field are deduced from using informetric analysis of USPA database of KISTI, which is composed of US patent data covered from 1972 to present. The statistics of the results may help to estimate the economic life span of the specific technological area for technology valuation.

A study for Menu Life Cycle of Hotel Restaurants (호텔레스토랑의 메뉴수명주기 (Menu Life Cycle)에 관한 연구)

  • 송청락
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.2
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    • pp.59-87
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    • 1996
  • This study has been done by giving the guide when development of menu or doing marketing strategy in Hotel Restaurant. All products and service has a regular course from induction in market to disappear, so it shall be come out Products Life Cycle theory. In eating business, under the tendency and existing cycle to change menu by taste of customers, liking variation, change of periodic status (environment), MLC(Menu Life Cycle) shall be advised by application PLC(Products Life Cycle) in the process of induction of some menu first and spreading the same business field and then deletion (disappearance) from menu because of no popular. In Emergence Stage, it shall be tried to inform new menu through Cooking Contest, presentation of new menu, free sampling party and others. In Growth Stage, it shall be changed package menu or set menu. In Maturity Stage, it shall be provided complimentary ticket, gift coupon or discount for the customers with some degree of selling record in order to increase using frequency and selling amount after insure new customers. In Decline Stage, it shall be groped for entry underdeveloped country or less advance nation, but there is no possibility to devote in enterprise, it shall be planned substitute menu development in order to withdraw. By inducting MLC concept, it shall be provided the available informations such as“how could some menu be circulate in some restaurant”“Accordingly do strengthen promotion activities or go to low developed area or overseas, or delete it from menuitems and so on”. In the time of decline some menu, it is judged to the time of plan(preparation) of new menu development. In the broad view, when consideration of the concept of menu life cycle, it shall be possible to know which menu is decayed and which menu is developed newly or grown-up, so it shall be provided the important information to estimate the tendency of changing menu and set-up a menu development plan.

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