• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimate

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The Thermal-Hydraulic Effects of Thimble Plug Removal for Westinghouse type PWR Plants

  • B. S. Jun;Park, E. J.;Kim, K. H.;Park, B. S.;K. L. Jeon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1996.05b
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    • pp.166-172
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    • 1996
  • The thermal-hydraulic effects of removing the RCC guide thimble plugs are evaluated for Westinghouse type PWR plants as a part of feasibility study: core outlet loss coefficient, thimble bypass flow, and best estimate flow. It is resulted that the best estimate thimble bypass flow increases about by 2% and the best estimate flow increase approximately by 1.2%. The resulting DNBR penalties can be covered within the current DNBR margin. Accident analyses are also investigated and the dropped rod transient is shown to be limiting and relatively sensitive to bypass flow variation.

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Consideration on the Creation of Construction Cost by Calculating the Quantity at the Planning Design Stage - Focusing on Construction Cost Management Vases and Work Methods - (초기 설계단계에서 개산 견적의 수량산출에 의한 건축공사비 작성에 대한 고찰 - 공사비 관리 사례 및 작업 방법을 중심으로 -)

  • Hyun, Dong-Myung;Jeon, SangHoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.329-330
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    • 2021
  • The calculation of the correct construction value in the construction should be investigated after the quantity is calculated. In order to calculate the quantity requires a lot of cost and time, and the initial accurate quantity calculation is not possible. Therefore, in the planning step in order to successfully complete the project to demonstrate the practicality of the difference between the construction cost by the construction design by presenting a method for calculate the quantity through the estimate with the construction open, floor plan, surface view, section.

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A Study on the Changing Factors in Cost Estimate Standard for Reinforced Concrete Structure Maintenance (철근콘크리트 구조물 유지보수 공사비산정기준 개정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Tae-Seok;An, Bang-Yul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.315-316
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    • 2021
  • The proportion of maintenance work has been increasing due to the recent aging of the infrastructure, but the standardized construction cost estimation standards are insufficient for this. In particular, reinforced concrete structures are being applied to many structures such as buildings and bridges, and various construction methods for maintenance of reinforced concrete structures are being developed and applied. In this study, we surveyed about the current status of the construction method for the maintenance work of reinforced concrete structures and analyze the factors of the revision of the construction cost estimate standard for the reinforced concrete structure maintenance.

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Uncertainties impact on the major FOMs for severe accidents in CANDU 6 nuclear power plant

  • R.M. Nistor-Vlad;D. Dupleac;G.L. Pavel
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.7
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    • pp.2670-2677
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    • 2023
  • In the nuclear safety studies, a new trend refers to the evaluation of uncertainties as a mandatory component of best-estimate safety analysis which is a modern and technically consistent approach being known as BEPU (Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty). The major objectives of this study consist in performing a study of uncertainties/sensitivities of the major analysis results for a generic CANDU 6 Nuclear Power Plant during Station Blackout (SBO) progression to understand and characterize the sources of uncertainties and their effects on the key figure-of-merits (FOMs) predictions in severe accidents (SA). The FOMs of interest are hydrogen mass generation and event timings such as the first fuel channel failure time, beginning of the core disassembly time, core collapse time and calandria vessel failure time. The outcomes of the study, will allow an improvement of capabilities and expertise to perform uncertainty and sensitivity analysis with severe accident codes for CANDU 6 Nuclear Power Plant.

PROBABILISTIC MEASUREMENT OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH INITIAL COST ESTIMATES

  • Seokyon Hwang
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.488-493
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    • 2013
  • Accurate initial cost estimates are essential to effective management of construction projects where many decisions are made in the course of project management by referencing the estimates. In practice, the initial estimates are frequently derived from historical actual cost data, for which standard distribution-based techniques are widely applied in the construction industry to account for risk associated with the estimates. This approach assumes the same probability distribution of estimate errors for any selected estimates. This assumption, however, is not always satisfied. In order to account for the probabilistic nature of estimate errors, an alternative method for measuring the risk associated with a selected initial estimate is developed by applying the Bayesian probability approach. An application example include demonstrates how the method is implemented. A hypothesis test is conducted to reveal the robustness of the Bayesian probability model. The method is envisioned to effectively complement cost estimating methods that are currently in use by providing benefits as follows: (1) it effectively accounts for the probabilistic nature of errors in estimates; (2) it is easy to implement by using historical estimates and actual costs that are readily available in most construction companies; and (3) it minimizes subjective judgment by using quantitative data only.

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Comparative Study on the Applicability of Point Estimate Methods in Combination with Numerical Analysis for the Probabilistic Reliability Assessment of Underground Structures (수치해석과 연계한 지하구조물의 확률론적 신뢰성 평가를 위한 점추정법의 적용성에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Park, Do-Hyun;Kim, Hyung-Mok;Ryu, Dong-Woo;Choi, Byung-Hee;Han, Kong-Chang
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.86-92
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    • 2012
  • Point estimate method has a less accuracy than Monte Carlo simulation that is usually considered as an exact probabilistic method, but this method still remains popular in probability-based reliability assessment in geotechnical and rock engineering, because it significantly reduce the number of sampling points and produces the statistical moments of a performance function in a reasonable accuracy. In the present study, we investigated the accuracy and applicability of point estimate methods proposed by Rosenblueth and Zhou & Nowak by comparing the results of these two methods with those of Monte Carlo simulations. The comparison was carried out for the problem of a lined circular tunnel in an elastic medium where an closed-form analytical solution is given. The comparison results showed that despite the non-linearity of the analytical solution, the statistical moments calculated by the point estimate methods and the Monte Carlo simulations agreed well with an average error of roughly 1-2%. This average error demonstrates the applicability of the two point estimate methods for the probabilistic reliability assessment of underground structures in combination with numerical analysis.

A study of improved ways of the predicted probability to criminal types (범죄유형별 범죄발생 예측확률을 높일 수 있는 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Young-Suk;Kim, Jin-Mook;Park, Koo-Rack
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2012
  • Modern society, various great strength crimes are producing. After all crimes happen, it is most important that prevent crime beforehand than that cope. So, many research studied to prevent various crime. However, existing method of studies are to analyze and prevent by society and psychological factors. Therefore we wishes to achieve research to forecast crime by time using Markov chain method. We embody modelling for crime occurrence estimate by crime type time using crime occurrence number of item data that is collected about 5 great strength offender strength, murder, rape, moderation, violence. And examined propriety of crime occurrence estimate modelling by time that propose in treatise that compare crime occurrence type crime occurrence estimate price and actuality occurrence value. Our proposed crime occurrence estimate techniques studied to apply maximum value by critcal value about great strength crime such as strength, murder, rape etc. actually, and heighten crime occurrence estimate probability by using way to apply mean value about remainder crime in this paper. So, we wish to more study about wide crime case and as the crime occurrence estimate rate and actuality value by time are different in crime type hereafter applied examples investigating.

Association Between Lifestyle and Medical Expenses of Older Adults With Mental Illness: Using Korea Older Adults' Cohort Database (노인 코호트 DB를 이용한 정신과 질환 동반 노인의 생활 습관과 의료비 지출 크기의 연관성 분석 연구)

  • Jeong, Jiin;Bae, Suyeong;Yoo, Eun-Young;Hong, Ickpyo
    • Therapeutic Science for Rehabilitation
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2023
  • Objective : This study aimed to analyze the association between lifestyle and medical expenses of older adults with mental illness using claims data. Methods : We conducted secondary data analysis using the older adult cohort database provided by the Korea National Health Insurance Service. The lifestyle and medical expense variables were extracted from the cohort database. We used a generalized linear model to examine the association between lifestyle and medical expenses. Results : In total, 32,853 records were extracted. The results showed that smokers had medical expenses (estimate = -218,255, p = .037). As the number of days of walking increased, medical expenses significantly decreased (estimate = -58,843, p < .0001). Furthermore, as the number of days of drinking decreased, medical expenses increased (estimate = 692,289, p < .0001). Conclusion : This study analyzed the estimates of medical expenses according to lifestyle among older adults with mental illness. Smoking and exercise were negatively associated with medical expenses. These results suggest the importance of a healthy lifestyle for older adults with mental illness. In addition, this study can be used as clinical evidence for lifestyle management programs to improve physical and mental health.

ESTIMATION OF PHOTOSYNTHETIC LIGHT USE EFFICIENCY IN A SINGLE LEAF BY ANALYZING NARROW-BAND SPECTRAL REFLECTANCE

  • Suh, Kyehong
    • Journal of Photoscience
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.139-142
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    • 2000
  • To examine applicability of some optical indices from reflectance to estimate photosynthetic light use efficiency, photosynthesis, and narrow band spectral reflectance were simultaneously measured at various intensities of light with mongolian oak leaves. Narrow band of the broad-band NDVI was better than photochemical reflectance index and simple ratio to estimate photosynthetic light use efficiency in this study. Changes in spectral reflectance were detected at several wavelengths (540nm, 690nm, 740nm, and 800nm) associated with physiological status of plant leaves that could be components for new optical indices.

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On Estimating the Hazard Rate for Samples from Weighted Distributions

  • Ahmad, Ibrahim A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2000
  • Data from weighted distributions appear, among other situations, when some of the data are missing or are damaged, a case that is important in reliability and life testing. The kernel method for hazard rate estimation is discussed for these data where the basic large sample properties are given. As a by product, the basic properties of the kernel estimate of the distribution function for data from weighted distribution are presented.

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