• Title/Summary/Keyword: Error segment

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Customer Lifetime Value Model Using Segment-Based Survival Analysis (고객 세분화에 기반한 생존분석을 활용한 고객수명 예측 모델)

  • Chun, Heui-Ju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 2011
  • Customer Lifetime or Customer Lifetime Value is a essential metric of differentiated CRM marketing and differentiated marketing strategy as a company core competency. However, customer lifetime used in companies is easily obtained from a confined simple customer attrition rate at some specific time point regardless of customer characteristics. In this study, in order to overcome the constraints of previous simple methods and to make practical use of it in industries, we suggest a method that estimates a customer lifetime using a customer segment based survival analysis with the censored data of customers; in addition, we apply this method to A mobile telecom company data. A method using customer segment based survival analysis is suggested in this study 1) includes all customers having different subscription dates, 2) reduces individual error, 3) can reflect trends after the observed time point and is more realistic.

Corroded and loosened bolt detection of steel bolted joints based on improved you only look once network and line segment detector

  • Youhao Ni;Jianxiao Mao;Hao Wang;Yuguang Fu;Zhuo Xi
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.23-35
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    • 2023
  • Steel bolted joint is an important part of steel structure, and its damage directly affects the bearing capacity and durability of steel structure. Currently, the existing research mainly focuses on the identification of corroded bolts and corroded bolts respectively, and there are few studies on multiple states. A detection framework of corroded and loosened bolts is proposed in this study, and the innovations can be summarized as follows: (i) Vision Transformer (ViT) is introduced to replace the third and fourth C3 module of you-only-look-once version 5s (YOLOv5s) algorithm, which increases the attention weights of feature channels and the feature extraction capability. (ii) Three states of the steel bolts are considered, including corroded bolt, bolt missing and clean bolt. (iii) Line segment detector (LSD) is introduced for bolt rotation angle calculation, which realizes bolt looseness detection. The improved YOLOv5s model was validated on the dataset, and the mean average precision (mAP) was increased from 0.902 to 0.952. In terms of a lab-scale joint, the performance of the LSD algorithm and the Hough transform was compared from different perspective angles. The error value of bolt loosening angle of the LSD algorithm is controlled within 1.09%, less than 8.91% of the Hough transform. Furthermore, the proposed framework was applied to fullscale joints of a steel bridge in China. Synthetic images of loosened bolts were successfully identified and the multiple states were well detected. Therefore, the proposed framework can be alternative of monitoring steel bolted joints for management department.

A Short-Term Traffic Information Prediction Model Using Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 단기 교통정보 예측모델)

  • Yu, Young-Jung;Cho, Mi-Gyung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.765-773
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    • 2009
  • Currently Telematics traffic information services have been various because we can collect real-time traffic information through Intelligent Transport System. In this paper, we proposed and implemented a short-term traffic information prediction model for giving to guarantee the traffic information with high quality in the near future. A Short-term prediction model is for forecasting traffic flows of each segment in the near future. Our prediction model gives an average speed on the each segment from 5 minutes later to 60 minutes later. We designed a Bayesian network for each segment with some casual nodes which makes an impact to the road situation in the future and found out its joint probability density function on the supposition of GMM(Gaussian Mixture Model) using EM(Expectation Maximization) algorithm with training real-time traffic data. To validate the precision of our prediction model we had conducted various experiments with real-time traffic data and computed RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) between a real speed and its prediction speed. As the result, our model gave 4.5, 4.8, 5.2 as an average value of RMSE about 10, 30, 60 minutes later, respectively.

Development of a Human Error Hazard Identification Method for Introducing Smart Mobiles to Nuclear Power Plants

  • Lee, Yong-Hee;Yun, Jong-Hun;Lee, Yong-Hee
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.261-269
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    • 2012
  • Objective: The aim of this study is to develop an analysis method to extract plausible types of errors when using a smart mobile in nuclear power plants. Background: Smart mobiles such as a smart-phone and a tablet computer(smart-pad) are to be introduced to the various industries. Nuclear power plant like APR1400 already adopted many up-to-date digital devices within its main control room. With this trend, various types of smart mobiles will be inevitably introduced to the nuclear field in the near future. However nuclear power plants(NPPs) should be managed considering a big risk as a result of the trend not only economically but also socially compared to the other industrial systems. It is formally required to make sure to reasonably prevent the all hazards due to the introduction of new technologies and devices before the application to the specific tasks in nuclear power plants. Method: We define interaction segments(IS) as a main architect of interaction description, and enumerate all plausible error segments(ES) for a part of design evaluation of digital devices. Results: We identify various types of interaction errors which are coped with reasonably by interaction design using smart mobiles. Conclusion: According to the application result of the proposed method, we conclude that the proposed method can be utilized to specify the requirements to the human error hazards in digital devices, and to conduct a human factors review during the design of digital devices. Application: The proposed method can be applied to predict the human errors of the tasks related to the digital devices; therefore we can ensure the safety to apply the digital devices to be introduced to NPPs.

Segmental Analysis Trial of Volumetric Modulated Arc Therapy for Quality Assurance of Linear Accelerator

  • Rahman, Mohammad Mahfujur;Kim, Chan Hyeong;Huh, Hyun Do;Kim, Seonghoon
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.128-138
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: Segmental analysis of volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) is not clinically used for compositional error source evaluation. Instead, dose verification is routinely used for plan-specific quality assurance (QA). While this approach identifies the resultant error, it does not specify which machine parameter was responsible for the error. In this research study, we adopted an approach for the segmental analysis of VMAT as a part of machine QA of linear accelerator (LINAC). Methods: Two portal dose QA plans were generated for VMAT QA: a) for full arc and b) for the arc, which was segmented in 12 subsegments. We investigated the multileaf collimator (MLC) position and dosimetric accuracy in the full and segmented arc delivery schemes. A MATLAB program was used to calculate the MLC position error from the data in the dynalog file. The Gamma passing rate (GPR) and the measured to planned dose difference (DD) in each pixel of the electronic portal imaging device was the measurement for dosimetric accuracy. The eclipse treatment planning system and a MATLAB program were used to calculate the dosimetric accuracy. Results: The maximum root-mean-square error of the MLC positions were <1 mm. The GPR was within the range of 98%-99.7% and was similar in both types of VMAT delivery. In general, the DD was <5 calibration units in both full arcs. A similar DD distribution was found for continuous arc and segmented arcs sums. Exceedingly high DD were not observed in any of the arc segment delivery schemes. The LINAC performance was acceptable regarding the execution of the VMAT QA plan. Conclusions: The segmental analysis proposed in this study is expected to be useful for the prediction of the delivery of the VMAT in relation to the gantry angle. We thus recommend the use of segmental analysis of VMAT as part of the regular QA.

An Enhanced Wireless TCP protocol based on Explicit Error Notification (에러 보고를 통한 무선 TCP의 성능 향상)

  • 김경희;김낙명
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.26 no.12B
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    • pp.1656-1664
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    • 2001
  • When a packet loss occurs in a communication network operating a TCP protocol, the TCP protocol regards it that the loss has resulted from network congestion. Then the TCP protocol performs congestion control. When it is applied to the wireless network having quite a high BER characteristics, the performance of TCP protocol is degraded very much. In this paper, we propose an Explicit Error Notification(EEN) algorithm to improve the performance of the wireless TCP When a packet loss occurs in the wireless network, the TCP receiver decodes the TCP segment sequence number and the address of the TCP sender and receiver, and then informs the TCP sender of the error in wireless network by sending a NACK. It is to distinguish packets in error from losses of network congestion. In this paper, the performance of the proposed EEN algorithm is analyzed and simulated. In fact, as more errors are corrected, the proposed algorithm shows a larger improvements in performance.

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Analysis of Influences due to Navigation Message Error of GPS Signals on Receiver (GPS 항법메시지 이상이 수신기에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kang, Hee-Won;Cho, Deuk-Jae;Park, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.2223-2229
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    • 2010
  • The integrity monitoring of anomalous GPS signal have been researched because of the degradation of GPS satellite performance. It is known that anomalous GPS signal can occur by failure of GPS satellite, sudden increase of ionosphere delay error, SA, wrong modeling for navigation parameters from control segment, and an electromagnetic wave interference, etc. In case of GPS anomaly by satellites can arise from carrier frequency, code and navigation message. In this paper, the scenarios with navigation message errors were made by using GPS simulator, and the influences of GPS navigation message error to receiver were analysed. The anomalies of preamble, bits related TOW count message, subframe ID in HOW, bits related satellite healthy, and the other navigation message errors were described and simulated. Also, the number of satellites, DOP and pseudorange are analyzed to know how the anomalous signal can affect on GPS receiver.

Vision-based Potato Detection and Counting System for Yield Monitoring

  • Lee, Young-Joo;Kim, Ki-Duck;Lee, Hyeon-Seung;Shin, Beom-Soo
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.103-109
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study has been conducted to develop a potato yield monitoring system, consisting of a segmentation algorithm to detect potatoes scattered on a soil surface and a counting system to count the number of potatoes and convert the data from two-dimensional images to masses. Methods: First, a segmentation algorithm was developed using top-hat filtering and processing a series of images, and its performance was evaluated in a stationary condition. Second, a counting system was developed to count the number of potatoes in a moving condition and calculate the mass of each using a mass estimation equation, where the volume of a potato was obtained from its two-dimensional image, and the potato density and a correction factor were obtained experimentally. Experiments were conducted to segment potatoes on a soil surface for different potato sizes. The counting system was tested 10 times for 20 randomly selected potatoes in a simulated field condition. Furthermore, the estimated total mass of the potatoes was compared with their actual mass. Results: For a $640{\times}480$ image size, it took 0.04 s for the segmentation algorithm to process one frame. The root mean squared deviation (RMSD) and average percentage error for the measured mass of potatoes using this counting system were 12.65 g and 7.13%, respectively, when the camera was stationary. The system performance while moving was the best in L1 (0.313 m/s), where the RMSD and percentage error were 6.92 g and 7.79%, respectively. For 20 newly prepared potatoes and 10 replication measurements, the counting system exhibited a percentage error in the mass estimation ranging from 10.17-13.24%. Conclusions: At a travel speed of 0.313 m/s, the average percentage error and standard deviation of the mass measurement using the counting system were 12.03% and 1.04%, respectively.

The Role of Post-lexical Intonational Patterns in Korean Word Segmentation

  • Kim, Sa-Hyang
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.37-62
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    • 2007
  • The current study examines the role of post-lexical tonal patterns of a prosodic phrase in word segmentation. In a word spotting experiment, native Korean listeners were asked to spot a disyllabic or trisyllabic word from twelve syllable speech stream that was composed of three Accentual Phrases (AP). Words occurred with various post-lexical intonation patterns. The results showed that listeners spotted more words in phrase-initial than in phrase-medial position, suggesting that the AP-final H tone from the preceding AP helped listeners to segment the phrase-initial word in the target AP. Results also showed that listeners' error rates were significantly lower when words occurred with initial rising tonal pattern, which is the most frequent intonational pattern imposed upon multisyllabic words in Korean, than with non-rising patterns. This result was observed both in AP-initial and in AP-medial positions, regardless of the frequency and legality of overall AP tonal patterns. Tonal cues other than initial rising tone did not positively influence the error rate. These results not only indicate that rising tone in AP-initial and AP_final position is a reliable cue for word boundary detection for Korean listeners, but further suggest that phrasal intonation contours serve as a possible word boundary cue in languages without lexical prominence.

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2-Stage Adaptive Skin Color Model for Effective Skin Color Segmentation in a Single Image (단일 영상에서 효과적인 피부색 검출을 위한 2단계 적응적 피부색 모델)

  • Do, Jun-Hyeong;Kim, Keun-Ho;Kim, Jong-Yeol
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.02a
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    • pp.193-196
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    • 2009
  • Most of studies adopt a fixed skin color model to segment skin color region in a single image. The methods, however, result in low detection rates or high false positive error rates since the distribution of skin color is varies depending on the characteristics of input image. For the effective skin color segmentation, therefore, we need a adaptive skin color model which changes the model depending on the color distribution of input image. In this paper, we propose a novel adaptive skin color segmentation algorithm consisting of 2 stages which results in both high detection rate and low false positive error rate.

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