• 제목/요약/키워드: Environmental Input-Output Model

검색결과 158건 처리시간 0.027초

환경규제가 지역경제에 미치는 파급효과 분석 (Impact Analysis on the Regional Economy Affected by Environmental Regulations)

  • 김호언
    • 지역연구
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 1999
  • Since the 1990's, the most important environmental issue on the earth is characterized by "global worming problem". The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) plays an significant role to solve this problem on a worldwide scale. The main purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of $CO_2$ reduction on the Daegu regional economy through 1995 regional input-output coefficients derived from the 1995 national input coefficients table by using non-survey method. The sectoral impacts on output, income, and employment were computed under the decline-unequalized assumption in final demand influenced by $CO_2$ reduction. This article has six main sections. Section 1 is an introduction to this paper. Section 2 explains briefly the derivation method of the regional technical coefficients. Section 3 describes the model building through input-output multipliers. In section 4 regional data on output, income, employment and final demand are computed to estimate the regional impacts. Section 5 deals with impact analysis on the Daegu economy. Section 6 contains a brief summary and concludintg remarks. The research findings of this study can be summarized as follows. In 1995, under the assumption of 10% decrease on an average in final demand sectors, the economy of the region studied decreased \3600 billion of output, ₩1114 billion of income, and 49919 man-years of employment. The percent ratios of each value to the total showed 9.4%, 9.7%, and 9.2%, respectively. The dominant sectors associated with impact analysis within the region are chemicals and chemical products, paper, printing and publishing, and textiles and leather, etc; nevertheless, the least dominant sector is non-metallic mineral products. products.

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전산유체역학모형에 근거한 미기상 바람환경 영향평가 시스템 (An Environmental Impact Assessment System for Microscale Winds Based on a Computational Fluid Dynamics Model)

  • 김규랑;구해정;권태헌;최영진
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.337-348
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    • 2011
  • Urban environmental problem became one of major issues during its urbanization processes. Environmental impacts are assessed during recent urban planning and development. Though the environmental impact assessment considers meteorological impact as a minor component, changes in wind environment during development can largely affect the distribution pattern of air temperature, humidity, and pollutants. Impact assessment of local wind is, therefore, a major element for impact assessment prior to any other meteorological impact assessment. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) models are utilized in various fields such as in wind field assessment during a construction of a new building and in post analysis of a fire event over a mountain. CFD models require specially formatted input data and produce specific output files, which can be analyzed using special programs. CFD's huge requirement in computing power is another hurdle in practical use. In this study, a CFD model and related software processors were automated and integrated as a microscale wind environmental impact assessment system. A supercomputer system was used to reduce the running hours of the model. Input data processor ingests development plans in CAD or GIS formatted files and produces input data files for the CFD model. Output data processor produces various analytical graphs upon user requests. The system was used in assessing the impacts of a new building near an observatory on wind fields and showed the changes by the construction visually and quantitatively. The microscale wind assessment system will evolve, of course, incorporating new improvement of the models and processors. Nevertheless the framework suggested here can be utilized as a basic system for the assessment.

What are the benefits and challenges of multi-purpose dam operation modeling via deep learning : A case study of Seomjin River

  • Eun Mi Lee;Jong Hun Kam
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.246-246
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    • 2023
  • Multi-purpose dams are operated accounting for both physical and socioeconomic factors. This study aims to evaluate the utility of a deep learning algorithm-based model for three multi-purpose dam operation (Seomjin River dam, Juam dam, and Juam Control dam) in Seomjin River. In this study, the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) algorithm is applied to predict hourly water level of the dam reservoirs over 2002-2021. The hyper-parameters are optimized by the Bayesian optimization algorithm to enhance the prediction skill of the GRU model. The GRU models are set by the following cases: single dam input - single dam output (S-S), multi-dam input - single dam output (M-S), and multi-dam input - multi-dam output (M-M). Results show that the S-S cases with the local dam information have the highest accuracy above 0.8 of NSE. Results from the M-S and M-M model cases confirm that upstream dam information can bring important information for downstream dam operation prediction. The S-S models are simulated with altered outflows (-40% to +40%) to generate the simulated water level of the dam reservoir as alternative dam operational scenarios. The alternative S-S model simulations show physically inconsistent results, indicating that our deep learning algorithm-based model is not explainable for multi-purpose dam operation patterns. To better understand this limitation, we further analyze the relationship between observed water level and outflow of each dam. Results show that complexity in outflow-water level relationship causes the limited predictability of the GRU algorithm-based model. This study highlights the importance of socioeconomic factors from hidden multi-purpose dam operation processes on not only physical processes-based modeling but also aritificial intelligence modeling.

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온도 및 습도의 단기 예측에 있어서 역전파 알고리즘의 적용 (Application of Back-propagation Algorithm for the forecasting of Temperature and Humidity)

  • 정효준;황원태;서경석;김은한;한문희
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.271-279
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    • 2003
  • Temperature and humidity forecasting have been performed using artificial neural networks model(ANN). We composed ANN with multi-layer perceptron which is 2 input layers, 2 hidden layers and 1 output layer. Back propagation algorithm was used to train the ANN. 6 nodes and 12 nodes in the middle layers were appropriate to the temperature model for training. And 9 nodes and 6 nodes were also appropriate to the humidity model respectively. 90% of the all data was used learning set, and the extra 10% was used to model verification. In the case of temperature, average temperature before 15 minute and humidity at present constituted input layer, and temperature at present constituted out-layer and humidity model was vice versa. The sensitivity analysis revealed that previous value data contributed to forecasting target value than the other variable. Temperature was pseudo-linearly related to the previous 15 minute average value. We confirmed that ANN with multi-layer perceptron could support pollutant dispersion model by computing meterological data at real time.

상수도관망 내 데이터 불확실성에 따른 절점 압력 예측 ANN 모델 수행 성능 비교 (Comparison of ANN model's prediction performance according to the level of data uncertainty in water distribution network)

  • 장혜운;정동휘;전상훈
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제55권spc1호
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    • pp.1295-1303
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    • 2022
  • 안정적인 수도 공급을 위한 상수도관망의 역할이 더욱 주목받음에 따라 비정상 상황에 대한 신속한 탐지와 적절한 대처 역시 중요시되고 있다. 장치에 의존한 탐지기법 등 기존의 방법론에는 한계가 존재하므로 데이터를 이용한 모델 기반의 방법이 개발되었다. 하지만 상수도관망 내 측정 데이터는 불확실성을 가져 실제 사용량과 다르다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기계학습 방법의 하나인 인공신경망 모델을 이용하여 상수도관망 압력값을 예측함에 있어 데이터 불확실성의 영향을 조사한다. 정규분포를 따르는 임의의 값을 고려하여 데이터에 측정치 오류를 형성하고 측정치 오류 여부 및 종류에 따라 총 9가지 데이터를 인공신경망 모델을 통해 예측해 경향성을 비교한다. 분석을 통해 데이터 불확실성이 증가할수록 모델 성능이 감소하며, 출력데이터의 측정치 오류가 모델 성능에 미치는 정도가 더 큼을 확인하였다. 특히 입력데이터와 출력데이터의 측정 오차 크기가 동일한 경우 예측 정확도는 각각 72.25%, 38.61%로 큰 차이를 보였다. 따라서 ANN 모델 예측 성능 향상을 위해서는 입력 데이터보다 출력데이터인 주절점의 측정 오류 크기를 줄이는 것이 중요하다.

전국 기후변화 영향평가를 위한 분포형 수문분석 툴 개발 (Development of Distributed Hydrological Analysis Tool for Future Climate Change Impacts Assessment of South Korea)

  • 김성준;김상호;조형경;안소라
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권2호
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a software tool, PGA-CC (Projection of hydrology via Grid-based Assessment for Climate Change) to evaluate the present hydrologic cycle and the future watershed hydrology by climate change. PGA-CC is composed of grid-based input data pre-processing module, hydrologic cycle calculation module, output analysis module, and output data post-processing module. The grid-based hydrological model was coded by Fortran and compiled using Compaq Fortran 6.6c, and the Graphic User Interface was developed by using Visual C#. Other most elements viz. Table and Graph, and GIS functions were implemented by MapWindow. The applicability of PGA-CC was tested by assessing the future hydrology of South Korea by HadCM3 SRES B1 and A2 climate change scenarios. For the whole country, the tool successfully assessed the future hydrological components including input data and evapotranspiration, soil moisture, surface runoff, lateral flow, base flow etc. From the spatial outputs, we could understand the hydrological changes both seasonally and regionally.

Movement identification model of port container crane based on structural health monitoring system

  • Kaloop, Mosbeh R.;Sayed, Mohamed A.;Kim, Dookie;Kim, Eunsung
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제50권1호
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    • pp.105-119
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    • 2014
  • This study presents a steel container crane movement analysis and assessment based on structural health monitoring (SHM). The accelerometers are used to monitor the dynamic crane behavior and a 3-D finite element model (FEM) was designed to express the static displacement of the crane under the different load cases. The multi-input single-output nonlinear autoregressive neural network with external input (NNARX) model is used to identify the crane dynamic displacements. The FEM analysis and the identification model are used to investigate the safety and the vibration state of the crane in both time and frequency domains. Moreover, the SHM system is used based on the FEM analysis to assess the crane behavior. The analysis results indicate that: (1) the mean relative dynamic displacement can reveal the relative static movement of structures under environmental load; (2) the environmental load conditions clearly affect the crane deformations in different load cases; (3) the crane deformations are shown within the safe limits under different loads.

인공신경망기법을 이용한 하천수질인자의 예측모델링 - BOD와 DO를 중심으로- (Predictive Modeling of River Water Quality Factors Using Artificial Neural Network Technique - Focusing on BOD and DO-)

  • 조현경
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.455-462
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    • 2000
  • This study aims at the development of the model for a forecasting of water quality in river basins using artificial neural network technique. Water quality by Artificial Neural Network Model forecasted and compared with observed values at the Sangju q and Dalsung stations in Nakdong river basin. For it, a multi-layer neural network was constructed to forecast river water quality. The neural network learns continuous-valued input and output data. Input data was selected as BOD, CO discharge and precipitation. As a result, it showed that method III of three methods was suitable more han other methods by statistical test(ME, MSE, Bias and VER). Therefore, it showed that Artificial Neural Network Model was suitable for forecasting river water quality.

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저수지 최적운영모형을 위한 추계학적 모의 발생 모형의 유도 (Stochastic Generation Model Development for Optimum Reservoir Operation of Water Distribution System)

  • 김태균;윤용남;김중훈
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.887-896
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    • 1994
  • 일반적으로 다목적댐을 대상으로 하는 최적운영모형에 이용되는 각종 추계학적 모의 모형은 주로 저수지 유입량을 모의하기 위한 모형이며, 시스템으로부터의 용수수요량과 같은 변수들은 일정한 값을 가진다고 가정한다. 그러나 특수한 목적의 저수지의 경우 시스템 구성인자들 사이에 어떤 상관성이 있다면, 이를 이용하여 각 변수들의 관계를 도출한 후, 시스템을 구성하는 것이 바람직하다. 본 연구에서는 농업용수 공급을 목적으로 하는 다목적댐을 대상으로 강우 및 기상조건에 영향을 받는 순별 저수지 유입량과 농업용수 수요량을 각각 일정변수 주기성 자기회귀모형과 일정변수 주기성 다변량 자기회귀모형을 이용하여 모의발생 하였다. 유도된 모형은 각 변수의 통계화적 특성을 잘 나타내며, 농업용수 수요량의 경우 전(前) 시간의 수요량보다는 현재 운영기간(순(旬))의 저수지 유입량과의 상관관계에 더 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 나타냈다.

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Tensile strength prediction of corroded steel plates by using machine learning approach

  • Karina, Cindy N.N.;Chun, Pang-jo;Okubo, Kazuaki
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.635-641
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    • 2017
  • Safety service improvement and development of efficient maintenance strategies for corroded steel structures are undeniably essential. Therefore, understanding the influence of damage caused by corrosion on the remaining load-carrying capacities such as tensile strength is required. In this study, artificial neural network (ANN) approach is proposed in order to produce a simple, accurate, and inexpensive method developed by using tensile test results, material properties and finite element method (FEM) results to train the ANN model. Initially in reproducing corroded model process, FEM was used to obtain tensile strength of artificial corroded plates, for which surface is developed by a spatial autocorrelation model. By using the corroded surface data and material properties as input data, with tensile strength as the output data, the ANN model could be trained. The accuracy of the ANN result was then verified by using leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV). As a result, it was confirmed that the accuracy of the ANN approach and the final output equation was developed for predicting tensile strength without tensile test results and FEM in further work. Though previous studies have been conducted, the accuracy results are still lower than the proposed ANN approach. Hence, the proposed ANN model now enables us to have a simple, rapid, and inexpensive method to predict residual tensile strength more accurately due to corrosion in steel structures.