• Title/Summary/Keyword: Environmental Input-Output Model

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Impact Analysis on the Regional Economy Affected by Environmental Regulations (환경규제가 지역경제에 미치는 파급효과 분석)

  • 김호언
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 1999
  • Since the 1990's, the most important environmental issue on the earth is characterized by "global worming problem". The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) plays an significant role to solve this problem on a worldwide scale. The main purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of $CO_2$ reduction on the Daegu regional economy through 1995 regional input-output coefficients derived from the 1995 national input coefficients table by using non-survey method. The sectoral impacts on output, income, and employment were computed under the decline-unequalized assumption in final demand influenced by $CO_2$ reduction. This article has six main sections. Section 1 is an introduction to this paper. Section 2 explains briefly the derivation method of the regional technical coefficients. Section 3 describes the model building through input-output multipliers. In section 4 regional data on output, income, employment and final demand are computed to estimate the regional impacts. Section 5 deals with impact analysis on the Daegu economy. Section 6 contains a brief summary and concludintg remarks. The research findings of this study can be summarized as follows. In 1995, under the assumption of 10% decrease on an average in final demand sectors, the economy of the region studied decreased \3600 billion of output, ₩1114 billion of income, and 49919 man-years of employment. The percent ratios of each value to the total showed 9.4%, 9.7%, and 9.2%, respectively. The dominant sectors associated with impact analysis within the region are chemicals and chemical products, paper, printing and publishing, and textiles and leather, etc; nevertheless, the least dominant sector is non-metallic mineral products. products.

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An Environmental Impact Assessment System for Microscale Winds Based on a Computational Fluid Dynamics Model (전산유체역학모형에 근거한 미기상 바람환경 영향평가 시스템)

  • Kim, Kyu Rang;Koo, Hae Jung;Kwon, Tae Heon;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.337-348
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    • 2011
  • Urban environmental problem became one of major issues during its urbanization processes. Environmental impacts are assessed during recent urban planning and development. Though the environmental impact assessment considers meteorological impact as a minor component, changes in wind environment during development can largely affect the distribution pattern of air temperature, humidity, and pollutants. Impact assessment of local wind is, therefore, a major element for impact assessment prior to any other meteorological impact assessment. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) models are utilized in various fields such as in wind field assessment during a construction of a new building and in post analysis of a fire event over a mountain. CFD models require specially formatted input data and produce specific output files, which can be analyzed using special programs. CFD's huge requirement in computing power is another hurdle in practical use. In this study, a CFD model and related software processors were automated and integrated as a microscale wind environmental impact assessment system. A supercomputer system was used to reduce the running hours of the model. Input data processor ingests development plans in CAD or GIS formatted files and produces input data files for the CFD model. Output data processor produces various analytical graphs upon user requests. The system was used in assessing the impacts of a new building near an observatory on wind fields and showed the changes by the construction visually and quantitatively. The microscale wind assessment system will evolve, of course, incorporating new improvement of the models and processors. Nevertheless the framework suggested here can be utilized as a basic system for the assessment.

What are the benefits and challenges of multi-purpose dam operation modeling via deep learning : A case study of Seomjin River

  • Eun Mi Lee;Jong Hun Kam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.246-246
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    • 2023
  • Multi-purpose dams are operated accounting for both physical and socioeconomic factors. This study aims to evaluate the utility of a deep learning algorithm-based model for three multi-purpose dam operation (Seomjin River dam, Juam dam, and Juam Control dam) in Seomjin River. In this study, the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) algorithm is applied to predict hourly water level of the dam reservoirs over 2002-2021. The hyper-parameters are optimized by the Bayesian optimization algorithm to enhance the prediction skill of the GRU model. The GRU models are set by the following cases: single dam input - single dam output (S-S), multi-dam input - single dam output (M-S), and multi-dam input - multi-dam output (M-M). Results show that the S-S cases with the local dam information have the highest accuracy above 0.8 of NSE. Results from the M-S and M-M model cases confirm that upstream dam information can bring important information for downstream dam operation prediction. The S-S models are simulated with altered outflows (-40% to +40%) to generate the simulated water level of the dam reservoir as alternative dam operational scenarios. The alternative S-S model simulations show physically inconsistent results, indicating that our deep learning algorithm-based model is not explainable for multi-purpose dam operation patterns. To better understand this limitation, we further analyze the relationship between observed water level and outflow of each dam. Results show that complexity in outflow-water level relationship causes the limited predictability of the GRU algorithm-based model. This study highlights the importance of socioeconomic factors from hidden multi-purpose dam operation processes on not only physical processes-based modeling but also aritificial intelligence modeling.

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Application of Back-propagation Algorithm for the forecasting of Temperature and Humidity (온도 및 습도의 단기 예측에 있어서 역전파 알고리즘의 적용)

  • Jeong, Hyo-Joon;Hwang, Won-Tae;Suh, Kyung-Suk;Kim, Eun-Han;Han, Moon-Hee
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.271-279
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    • 2003
  • Temperature and humidity forecasting have been performed using artificial neural networks model(ANN). We composed ANN with multi-layer perceptron which is 2 input layers, 2 hidden layers and 1 output layer. Back propagation algorithm was used to train the ANN. 6 nodes and 12 nodes in the middle layers were appropriate to the temperature model for training. And 9 nodes and 6 nodes were also appropriate to the humidity model respectively. 90% of the all data was used learning set, and the extra 10% was used to model verification. In the case of temperature, average temperature before 15 minute and humidity at present constituted input layer, and temperature at present constituted out-layer and humidity model was vice versa. The sensitivity analysis revealed that previous value data contributed to forecasting target value than the other variable. Temperature was pseudo-linearly related to the previous 15 minute average value. We confirmed that ANN with multi-layer perceptron could support pollutant dispersion model by computing meterological data at real time.

Comparison of ANN model's prediction performance according to the level of data uncertainty in water distribution network (상수도관망 내 데이터 불확실성에 따른 절점 압력 예측 ANN 모델 수행 성능 비교)

  • Jang, Hyewoon;Jung, Donghwi;Jun, Sanghoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.spc1
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    • pp.1295-1303
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    • 2022
  • As the role of water distribution networks (WDNs) becomes more important, identifying abnormal events (e.g., pipe burst) rapidly and accurately is required. Since existing approaches such as field equipment-based detection methods have several limitations, model-based methods (e.g., machine learning based detection model) that identify abnormal events using hydraulic simulation models have been developed. However, no previous work has examined the impact of data uncertainties on the results. Thus, this study compares the effects of measurement error-induced pressure data uncertainty in WDNs. An artificial neural network (ANN) is used to predict nodal pressures and measurement errors are generated by using cumulative density function inverse sampling method that follows Gaussian distribution. Total of nine conditions (3 input datasets × 3 output datasets) are considered in the ANN model to investigate the impact of measurement error size on the prediction results. The results have shown that higher data uncertainty decreased ANN model's prediction accuracy. Also, the measurement error of output data had more impact on the model performance than input data that for a same measurement error size on the input and output data, the prediction accuracy was 72.25% and 38.61%, respectively. Thus, to increase ANN models prediction performance, reducing the magnitude of measurement errors of the output pressure node is considered to be more important than input node.

Development of Distributed Hydrological Analysis Tool for Future Climate Change Impacts Assessment of South Korea (전국 기후변화 영향평가를 위한 분포형 수문분석 툴 개발)

  • Kim, Seong Joon;Kim, Sang Ho;Joh, Hyung Kyung;Ahn, So Ra
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a software tool, PGA-CC (Projection of hydrology via Grid-based Assessment for Climate Change) to evaluate the present hydrologic cycle and the future watershed hydrology by climate change. PGA-CC is composed of grid-based input data pre-processing module, hydrologic cycle calculation module, output analysis module, and output data post-processing module. The grid-based hydrological model was coded by Fortran and compiled using Compaq Fortran 6.6c, and the Graphic User Interface was developed by using Visual C#. Other most elements viz. Table and Graph, and GIS functions were implemented by MapWindow. The applicability of PGA-CC was tested by assessing the future hydrology of South Korea by HadCM3 SRES B1 and A2 climate change scenarios. For the whole country, the tool successfully assessed the future hydrological components including input data and evapotranspiration, soil moisture, surface runoff, lateral flow, base flow etc. From the spatial outputs, we could understand the hydrological changes both seasonally and regionally.

Movement identification model of port container crane based on structural health monitoring system

  • Kaloop, Mosbeh R.;Sayed, Mohamed A.;Kim, Dookie;Kim, Eunsung
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.105-119
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    • 2014
  • This study presents a steel container crane movement analysis and assessment based on structural health monitoring (SHM). The accelerometers are used to monitor the dynamic crane behavior and a 3-D finite element model (FEM) was designed to express the static displacement of the crane under the different load cases. The multi-input single-output nonlinear autoregressive neural network with external input (NNARX) model is used to identify the crane dynamic displacements. The FEM analysis and the identification model are used to investigate the safety and the vibration state of the crane in both time and frequency domains. Moreover, the SHM system is used based on the FEM analysis to assess the crane behavior. The analysis results indicate that: (1) the mean relative dynamic displacement can reveal the relative static movement of structures under environmental load; (2) the environmental load conditions clearly affect the crane deformations in different load cases; (3) the crane deformations are shown within the safe limits under different loads.

Predictive Modeling of River Water Quality Factors Using Artificial Neural Network Technique - Focusing on BOD and DO- (인공신경망기법을 이용한 하천수질인자의 예측모델링 - BOD와 DO를 중심으로-)

  • 조현경
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.455-462
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    • 2000
  • This study aims at the development of the model for a forecasting of water quality in river basins using artificial neural network technique. Water quality by Artificial Neural Network Model forecasted and compared with observed values at the Sangju q and Dalsung stations in Nakdong river basin. For it, a multi-layer neural network was constructed to forecast river water quality. The neural network learns continuous-valued input and output data. Input data was selected as BOD, CO discharge and precipitation. As a result, it showed that method III of three methods was suitable more han other methods by statistical test(ME, MSE, Bias and VER). Therefore, it showed that Artificial Neural Network Model was suitable for forecasting river water quality.

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Stochastic Generation Model Development for Optimum Reservoir Operation of Water Distribution System (저수지 최적운영모형을 위한 추계학적 모의 발생 모형의 유도)

  • Kim, Tae Geun;Yoon, Yong Nam;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.887-896
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    • 1994
  • It is common practice in the case of optimum reservoir operation model that the reservoir inflow series are generated by stochastic model with keeping other variable such as water demands from the reservoir constant. However, when the input and output of the water distribution system have close relationship the output variables can be stochastically generated in relation with the input variables. In the present study the reservoir inflow series, the input of the system, is generated by periodic autoregressive model with constant parameter, and the agricultural water demand series, the output, is generated using periodic multivariate autoregressive model with constant parameter. The time period of the data series generated is taken as 10-day which is the common period used for agricultural water uses. The results of data generation by two different models showed that the periodic stochastic models well represent the characteristics of the historical time series, and that in the case of generating model for agricultural demand series it has closer relation with reservoir inflow than with the series itself.

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Tensile strength prediction of corroded steel plates by using machine learning approach

  • Karina, Cindy N.N.;Chun, Pang-jo;Okubo, Kazuaki
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.635-641
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    • 2017
  • Safety service improvement and development of efficient maintenance strategies for corroded steel structures are undeniably essential. Therefore, understanding the influence of damage caused by corrosion on the remaining load-carrying capacities such as tensile strength is required. In this study, artificial neural network (ANN) approach is proposed in order to produce a simple, accurate, and inexpensive method developed by using tensile test results, material properties and finite element method (FEM) results to train the ANN model. Initially in reproducing corroded model process, FEM was used to obtain tensile strength of artificial corroded plates, for which surface is developed by a spatial autocorrelation model. By using the corroded surface data and material properties as input data, with tensile strength as the output data, the ANN model could be trained. The accuracy of the ANN result was then verified by using leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV). As a result, it was confirmed that the accuracy of the ANN approach and the final output equation was developed for predicting tensile strength without tensile test results and FEM in further work. Though previous studies have been conducted, the accuracy results are still lower than the proposed ANN approach. Hence, the proposed ANN model now enables us to have a simple, rapid, and inexpensive method to predict residual tensile strength more accurately due to corrosion in steel structures.