• Title/Summary/Keyword: Environment Uncertainty

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An Empirical Analysis of the Characteristics of Acquiring Manufacturing Firms in Korea : The Focus on Environmental Factors and Firm Performance (합병한 국내 제조기업들의 특징에 관한 실증적 연구 : 환경적 요인과 기업성과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Younsuk;Park, Soohoon
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.91-109
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    • 2015
  • The M&A of firms has been emerged as the effective means of fast diversification and growth in dynamic environment. However, the empirical research about M&A in Korea has not been implemented rich due to the difficulty of obtaining M&A data. In this research, we empirically investigate the relationships among M&A, environment and firms' performance focused on Korean manufacturing firms, understanding the current practice of M&A in Korea. We use the Manufacturing Productivity Panel Survey Data, which are collected by Korea Productivity Center in 2013. The sample size is 575 and the sample is divided into M&A group and non-M&A group. We conduct logit analysis with the independent variables of environment factors (munificence, dynamic, uncertainty), and firms' performance (sales growth, ROS, labor productivity and Inventory turnover), and dependent variable of M&A group or non M&A group. The results show that M&A is closely related to environment feature and firm performance: M&A firms are likely to be the higher munificence and dynamic and the lower sales growth and higher profitability than non-M&A group. In addition, we also examine the characteristics of firms by M&A types (competitors, customer/supplier and firms from unrelated industry). These results imply that if firms confront the pressure of uncertainty (dynamic) and the lower growth, they tend to choose M&A. Futhermore, to profoundly understand the behavior of firms about M&A, it is required to classify the M&A firms by merge types.

Reliability Evaluation Considering the Information and Human Factors in the Advanced Pressurized water Reactor 1400MWe under Uncertainty (신형경수로 1400에서 정보와 인적요인을 고려한 신뢰성 평가)

  • Kang Young - Sig
    • Proceedings of the Society of Korea Industrial and System Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.25-30
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    • 2002
  • The problem of qualitative reliability system is very important issue in the digitalized nuclear power plant, because the failure of its system brings about extravagant economic loss, extensive environment destruction, and fatal damage of human. Therefore this study is to develop the reliability evaluation model through the normalized scoring model by the quantitative and qualitative factors considering the advanced safety factors In the Advanced Pressurized water Reactor 1400MWe(APR 1400) under uncertainty Especially, the qualitative factors considering the information and human factors for the systematic and rational justification have been closely analyzed. The reliability evaluation model can be simply applied in real fields in order to minimize the industrial accident and human error in the digitalized nuclear power plant.

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Building capacity for ecological assessment using diatoms in UK rivers

  • Kelly, Martyn
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 2013
  • Diatoms have become an integral part of the UK's freshwater monitoring strategy over the past two decades, mostly in response to increasingly stringent European Union (EU) legislation. The use of diatoms is based on strong correlations between diatom assemblages and environmental variables, and from knowledge of the "expected" (= "reference") state of each river. The nationwide overview of the ecological health of rivers this gives allows those stretches of rivers which fail to meet EU criteria to be identified. This, in turn, allows appropriate remediation measures to be planned. Because diatom assemblages vary in space and time, even within a single water body, effective use of diatoms requires a consistent approach in order to minimise uncertainty. This includes the use of methods which comply with European Standards, a training and accreditation scheme for analysts, and a suite of quality assurance methods. Those aspects of uncertainty that cannot be readily controlled have been quantified and all estimates of ecological status are accompanied by the appropriate "confidence of class" and "risk of misclassification". This, in turn, helps planners prioritise those locations which are most likely to benefit from remediation.

The Motion Estimation of Caterpilla-type Mobile Robot Using Robust SLAM (강인한 SLAM을 이용한 무한궤도형 이동로봇의 모션 추정)

  • Byun, Sung-Jae;Lee, Suk-Gyu;Park, Ju-Hyun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.817-823
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a robust method for mapping of a caterpillar-type mobile robot which inherently has uncertainty in its modeling by compensating for the estimated pose error of the robot. In general, a caterpillar type robot is difficult to model, which results in inaccuracy in Simultaneous Localization And Mapping(SLAM). To enhance the robustness of the SLAM for a caterpillar-type mobile robot, we factorize the SLAM posterior, where we used particle filter to estimate the position of the robot and Extended Kalman Filter(EKF) to map the environment. The simulation results show the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method for mapping.

Task Characteristics and Utilization of Electronic Approval System : Media Richness Theory Perspective (업무특성과 전자결재시스템 활용간의 관계에 대한 탐색적 연구:매체 풍부성 이론 관점)

  • 김영걸;오승엽
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2000
  • With the rapidly changing external environment and the increasing internal process complexity more and more organizations are adopting the Electronic Approval System(EAS) for their competitiveness. This paper defines EAS as a core organizational communication medium investigates factors which influence EAS's use from a media rich-ness theory and shows sutiable EAS functions for equivocality resolution and uncertainty reduction. Results from the five EAS implementation sites show that most organizations use EAS only for tasks with low equivocality and low uncertainty. Additional functionalities such as video conferencing and database access were suggested for fu-ture EAS system to enhance their utilization for more cirtical and unstructed tasks.

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A Process of the Risk Management for a Space Launch Vehicle R&D Project (우주발사체 개발사업의 위험관리 프로세스)

  • Cho, Dong Hyun;Yoo, Il Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2016
  • Many countries concentrated on the space developments to enhance the national security and the people's quality of life. A space launch vehicle for accessing the space is a typical large complex system that is composed of the high-technology like high-performance, high-reliability, superhigh-pressure, etc. The project developing large complex system like space launcher is mostly conducted in the uncertain environment. To achieve a goal of the project, its success probability should be enhanced consistently by reducing its uncertainty during the life cycle: it's possible to reduce the project's uncertainty by performing the risk management (RM) that is a method for identifying and tracing potential risk factors in order to eliminate the risks of the project. In this paper, we introduce the risk management (RM) process applied for a Space Launch Vehicle R&D Project.

Multi-level structural modeling of an offshore wind turbine

  • Petrini, Francesco;Gkoumas, Konstantinos;Zhou, Wensong;Li, Hui
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2012
  • Offshore wind turbines are complex structural and mechanical systems located in a highly demanding environment. This paper proposes a multi-level system approach for studying the structural behavior of the support structure of an offshore wind turbine. In accordance with this approach, a proper numerical modeling requires the adoption of a suitable technique in order to organize the qualitative and quantitative assessment in various sub-problems, which can be solved by means of sub-models at different levels of detail, both for the structural behavior and for the simulation of loads. Consequently, in a first place, the effects on the structural response induced by the uncertainty of the parameters used to describe the environmental actions and the finite element model of the structure are inquired. After that, a meso-level FEM model of the blade is adopted in order to obtain the detailed load stress on the blade/hub connection.

Development of High-Temperature Heat Flux Gauge for Steel Quenching (강재 급속냉각용 고온 열유속게이지 개발)

  • Lee, Jungho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Heat Treatment
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.323-330
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    • 2010
  • The present study was motivated by increasing demands on quantitative measurements of the heat flux through the water cooling and quenching process of hot steel. The local heat flux measurements are employed by a novel experimental technique that has a function of high-temperature heat flux gauge in which test block assemblies are directly used to measure the heat flux variation during water cooling and quenching of hot steel. The heat flux can be directly achieved by Fourier's law and is also compared with numerical estimation which is solved by inverse heat conduction problem (IHCP). The high-temperature heat flux gauge developed in this study can be applicable to measure cooling rate and history during the actual cooling applications of steelmaking process. In addition, the measurement uncertainty of heat flux is calculated by a quantitative uncertainty analysis which is based on the ANSI/ASME PTC 19.1-2005 standard.

Fault Diagnosis in Gas Turbine Engine Using Fuzzy Inference Logic (퍼지 로직 시스템을 이용한 항공기 가스터빈 엔진 오류 검출에 대한 연구)

  • Mo, Eun-Jong;Jie, Min-Seok;Kim, Chin-Su;Lee, Kang-Woong
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.49-53
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    • 2008
  • A fuzzy inference logic system is proposed for gas turbine engine fault isolation. The gas path measurements used for fault isolation are exhaust gas temperature, low and high rotor speed, and fuel flow. The fuzzy inference logic uses rules developed from a model of performance influence coefficients to isolate engine faults while accounting for uncertainty in gas path measurements. Inputs to the fuzzy inference logic system are measurement deviations of gas path parameters which are transferred directly from the ECM(Engine Control Monitoring) program and outputs are engine module faults. The proposed fuzzy inference logic system is tested using simulated data developed from the ECM trend plot reports and the results show that the proposed fuzzy inference logic system isolates module faults with high accuracy rate in the environment of high level of uncertainty.

Using Real Options Pricing to Value Public R&D Investment in the Deep Seabed Manganese Nodule Project

  • Choi, Hyo-Yeon;Kwak, Seung-Jun;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.197-207
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    • 2016
  • This paper seeks to measure the monetary value of technical development in the deep seabed manganese nodule mining by applying the compound option model (COM). The COM is appropriate for the project in terms of its decision-making structure and embedded uncertainty. The estimation results show that the deep seabed mining project has more economic potential than shown by the previously obtained results from the discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. In addition, it is reasonable to invest in the project taking the various uncertainty factors into consideration, because the ratio of the value to the cost of the project is far higher than one. This information can be utilized in national ocean policy decision-making.