• Title/Summary/Keyword: Environment Uncertainty

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Air Similarity Test for the Evaluation of Aerodynamic Performance of Steam Turbine (스팀터빈의 공력성능 평가를 위한 공기 상사실험)

  • Lim, Byeung-Jun;Lee, Eun-Seok;Yang, Soo-Seok;Lee, Ik-Hyoung;Kim, Young-Sang;Kwon, Gee-Bum
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.7 no.5 s.26
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2004
  • The turbine efficiency is an important factor in power plant, and accurate evaluation of steam turbine performance is the key issue in turbo machinery industry. The difficulty of evaluating the steam turbine performance due to its high steam temperature and pressure environment makes the most steam turbine tests to be replaced by air similarity test. This paper presents how to decide the similarity conditions of the steam turbine test and describes its limitations and assumptions. The test facility was developed and arranged to conduct an air similarity turbine performance test with various inlet pressure, temperature and mass flow rate. The eddy-current type dynamometer measures the turbine-generated shaft power and controls the rotating speed. Pressure ratio of turbine can be controled by back pressure control valve. To verify its test results, uncertainty analysis was performed and relative uncertainty of turbine efficiency was obtained.

Pedestrian wind conditions at outdoor platforms in a high-rise apartment building: generic sub-configuration validation, wind comfort assessment and uncertainty issues

  • Blocken, B.;Carmeliet, J.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.51-70
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    • 2008
  • CFD is applied to evaluate pedestrian wind comfort at outdoor platforms in a high-rise apartment building. Model validation is focused on generic building sub-configurations that are obtained by decomposition of the actual complex building geometry. The comfort study is performed during the design stage, which allows structural design changes to be made for wind comfort improvement. Preliminary simulations are performed to determine the effect of different design modifications. A full wind comfort assessment study is conducted for the final design. Structural remedial measures for this building, aimed at reducing pressure short-circuiting, appear to be successful in bringing the discomfort probability estimates down to acceptable levels. Finally, the importance of one of the main sources of uncertainty in this type of wind comfort studies is illustrated. It is shown that the uncertainty about the terrain roughness classification can strongly influence the outcome of wind comfort studies and can lead to wrong decisions. This problem is present to the same extent in both wind tunnel and CFD wind comfort studies when applying the same particular procedure for terrain relation contributions as used in this paper.

Determination of Weighted Value to Estimate Each Emission Factor of Landfill (폐기물 매립부문 배출계수 평가항목의 가중치 결정)

  • Lee, Seung Hoon;Kim, Jae Young;Yi, Seung Muk;Choi, Eun Hwa;Kim, Young Soo
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.199-208
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    • 2014
  • According to "IPCC guide line for national greenhouse gas inventories" each country should develop the 'Country-specific emission factor' and apply it to estimate greenhouse gases emissions from landfill. It could reflect properties of country and make estimation more accurate. For that accuracy, developed country-specific emission factor should be assessed and be verified consistently. Developed emission factors should be assessed in terms of Representative, Emission Property, Accuracy and Uncertainty, but there is no study about weighted assessment factors under each emission variable. This study do survey targeting public officials, professors and other experts for Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP), mostly use to make decisions, to weight assessment factors. We investigated the weighted values per Emission factor for Representative, Emission property, Accuracy and Uncertainty on AHP survey, and Representative factor was the highest, and then in the order of Emission property (0.26), Accuracy(0.22), Uncertainty (0.15).

A Probabilistic Approach to Forecasting and Evaluating the Risk of Fishing Vessel Accidents in Korea

  • Kim, Dong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.302-310
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    • 2018
  • Despite the accident rate for fishing vessels accounts for 70% of all maritime accidents, few studies on such accidents have been done and most of the them mainly focus on causes and mitigation policies to reduce that accident rate. Thus, this risk analysis on sea accidents is the first to be performed for the successful and efficient implementation of accident reducing measures. In risk analysis, risk is calculated based on the combination of frequency and the consequence of an accident, and is usually expressed as a single number. However, there exists uncertainty in the risk calculation process if one uses a limited number of data for analysis. Therefore, in the study we propose a probabilistic simulation method to forecast risk not as a single number, but in a range of possible risk values. For the capability of the proposed method, using the criteria with the ALARP region, we show the possible risk values spanning across the different risk regions, whereas the single risk value calculated from the existing method lies in one of the risk regions. Therefore, a decision maker could employ appropriate risk mitigation options to handle the risks lying in different regions. For this study, we used fishing vessel accident data from 1988 to 2016.

Spatial Distribution Analysis of Metallic Elements in Dustfall using GIS (GIS를 이용한 강하분진 중 금속원소의 공간분포분석)

  • 윤훈주;김동술
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.463-474
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    • 1997
  • Metallic elements in dustfall have been known as notable air pollutants directly or indirectly influencing human health and wealth. The first aim of this study was to obtain precise spatial distribution patterns of 5 elements (Pb, Zn, K, Cr, and Al) in dustfall around Suwon area. To predict isometric lines of metal fluxes deposited on unsupervised random sites, the study has applied both spatial statistics as a receptor model and a GIS (geographic information system). Total of 31 sampling sites were selected in the study area (roughly 3 by 3 km grid basis) and dustfall samples were then collected monthly basis by the British deposit gauges from Dec., 1995 to Nov., 1996. The metallic elements in the dustfall were then analyzed by an atomic absorption spectrometer (AAS). On the other hand, a base map overlapped by 7 layers was constructed by using the AutoCAD R13 and ARC/INFO 3.4D. Four different spatial interpolation and expolation techniques such as IDW (inverse distance weighted averaging), TIN (triangulated irregular network), polynomial regression, and kriging technique were examined to compare spatial distribution patterns. Each pattern obtained by each technique was substantally different as varing pollutant types, land of use types, and topological conditions, etc. Thus, our study focused intensively on uncertainty analysis based on a concept of the jackknife and the sum of error distance. It was found that a kriging technique was the best applicalbe in this study area.

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Dependence on Brand by Product type in Online Environment (온라인(Online) 상에서의 제품유형에 따른 소비자의 브랜드 의존성)

  • 최인혁;박주영;이철선
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.109-133
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    • 2002
  • This article examines how consumers in online environments depend on brand in making purchase decisions by product types. Previous research explains that the characteristics of online environments decrease the dependence on brand due to inexpensive search costs and affluent information quantity. But it is likely that in online environment, the dependence on brand will be differentiated by product types. We found that in search product, the availability of information decreased consumer's uncertainty, which, in turn, increased the dependence of brand. However, in experience products, the weakness of multi-sensory increased consumer's uncertainty, which resulted in the increase of the dependence of brand.

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Measurements of the Benzene Absorption Cross Section in the Range of Ultra Violet (UV) (UV 영역에서 벤젠의 흡수 단면적의 측정)

  • Lee, J.S.;Ryu, S.Y.;Kim, H.H.;Woo, J.C.;Kim, K.B.
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.922-928
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    • 2006
  • An absolute absorption cross section of benzene was measured with a spectrometer system including a mono-chrometer and a grating in the wavelength region of $240{\sim}280nm$ under the atmospheric pressure and room temperature in the laboratory. A certificated reference benzene gas ($98{\mu}mol/mol$ in $N_2$) was used to measure its absorption cross section. A 710 mm cell with a quartz window and a 150 W Xe arc lamp were employed. The magnitude of absorption cross section of $1.41{\times}10^{-18}cm^2$ was lower than that of the reference spectra ($2.5{\times}10^{-18}cm^2$) of high resolution spectrometer, Total measurement uncertainty was estimated to be 4.0%.

Spatial Epidemiology and Environmental Health: On the Use of Spatially Referenced Health and Environment Data (공간역학과 환경보건: 공간위치정보 활용에 대한 고찰)

  • Han, Dai-Kwon;Hwang, Seung-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • Recent advances in Geographic Information Systems and spatial statistical and analytical methods, along with the availability of spatially referenced health and environmental data, have created unique opportunities to investigate spatial associations between environment exposures and health outcomes at multiple spatial scales and resolutions. However, the increased use of spatial data also faces challenges, one of which is to ensure certainty and accuracy of locational data that meets the needs of a study. This article critically reviews the use of spatially referenced data in epidemiologic studies, focusing on the issue of locational uncertainty generated from the process of geocoding health and environmental data. Primarily, major issues involving the use of spatially referenced data are addressed, including completeness and positional accuracy, potential source of bias and exposure misclassification, and implications for epidemiologic studies. The need for critical assessment and caution in designing and conducting spatial epidemiology studies is briefly discussed.

Localization for Mobile Robots using IRID(InfraRed IDentification) (IRID를 이용한 이동로봇의 위치 추정)

  • Bae, Jung-Yun;Song, Jae-Bok;Lee, Soo-Yong
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.903-909
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    • 2007
  • Mobile Robots are increasingly being used to perform tasks in unknown environment. The potential of robots to undertake such tasks lies in their ability to intelligently and efficiently search in an environment. To achieve autonomous mobile robot navigation, efficient path planner and accurate localization technique are the fundamental issues that should be addressed. This paper presents mobile robot localization using IRID(InfraRed IDentification) as artificial landmarks. IRID has highly deterministic characteristics, different from RFID. By putting several IRID emitters on the ceiling, the floor is divided into many different sectors and each sector is set to have a unique identification. Dead-reckoning provides the estimated robot configuration but the error becomes accumulated as the robot travels. IRID information tells the sector the robot is in, but the size of the uncertainty is too large if only the IRID information is used. This paper presents an algorithm which combines both the encoder and the IRID information so that the size of the uncertainty becomes smaller. It also introduces a framework which can be used with other types of the artificial landmarks. The characteristics of the developed IRID and the proposed algorithm are verified from the simulation results and experiments.

Derivation of New Box Model to Analyze the Air Pollution Trends in a Metropolitan Area (대도시 대기오염 추세 분석을 위한 새로운 박스모델의 유도)

  • Kim Seogcheol;Joh Seunghun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.377-397
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    • 2005
  • A new box model is proposed to describe the dynamic trend of the spatially averaged concentrations of pollutants over a large urban area such as metropolitan Seoul. Being averaged temporally and spatially over a thresh-hold scales, the dynamics of the pollutant concentration becomes simple enough that the governing equation can be expressed in an explicit algebraic form as a function of several meteorological factors and the pollutant emission rate. The single most important meteorological factor is the wind speed dominating the daily variations of the pollutant concentrations. Given the meteorological data from the surface station in the metropolitan Seoul, the model concentration shows excellent agreement with observations from January 1, 1990 to December 31, 2000: the modeling uncertainty, for example, of $NO_2$ concentrations, defined as mean differences between the model concentrations and observations is $16\%$ of the model concentrations. Even for $PM_{10}$ of which secondary sources are considered to be very important and simple box model is irrelevant to, the model performance turns out good, modeling uncertainty being about $32\%$.